London is doomed: Johnson set to win election

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London is doomed: Johnson set to win election

Post by Bounty »

Nature's answer to common sense. The man who managed to get zero questions right in a televised quiz - including his own name. The man who can't open his mouth without insulting a minority, city or Papua New-Guinea. The man who promised a vote for him would mean "bigger boobs on your wife and a BMW M3".

That man will be the new mayor of London. Expect the city to be lost in a hilarious slapstick disaster sometime around noon tomorrow.
BBC wrote:Early results from the election count suggest Conservative candidate Boris Johnson is ahead in the race to become the next mayor of London.

With 50% of votes counted in the 14 constituencies, he has the most first preference votes in nine. Labour's Ken Livingstone has the most in five areas.

But second preferences, which decided previous contests, are not yet known.

There are various estimates of when the result will be announced - with the Lib Dems saying it is unlikely before 2230.

The official election organisers, London Elect, are still saying "not before" 2030 BST.

One of the reasons for the delayed result is that turnout has been estimated at 45% - up from 36.95% in 2004.

Neck-and-neck

The election will also decide the 25 members of the London Assembly, which scrutinises the work of the mayor.

Opinion polls had placed Mr Livingstone and Mr Johnson neck-and-neck, with Lib Dem ex-police commander Brian Paddick a distant third.

Mr Livingstone won the last two mayoral elections, but in each case the count went to second preference votes.

Prime Minister Gordon Brown has conceded Labour's losses in the local elections across England and Wales have been "disappointing".

BBC Political Editor Nick Robinson said all sides believe Mr Johnson will win the mayoral poll.

But walking to his car on Friday morning Mr Johnson told the BBC he was unsure of the result: "I've got not a clue, we'll have to wait and see what the returning officer says."

National impact

Asked if he was encouraged by the Conservatives' performance in England and Wales, he replied: "I think the party's done fantastically nationally but London is a very different kettle of fish and we'll have to see what happens."

Meanwhile Mr Livingstone told reporters he was "feeling fine" adding: "I'm just off for a swim, and then I'm going to go into the Labour headquarters and thanking the staff who work so hard.

"And then I'm just going to sit down and wait like all the rest of you, because none of us can be certain until they announce that result."

The Liberal Democrat candidate Brian Paddick said he had received strong support in Lambeth, where he was a police commander - but he conceded it had been difficult to take on "two giants" who had dominated media coverage.

Speaking at City Hall he told the BBC: "I think we're holding our own, we are coming in around about 15% by the look of things, if we do manage 15% that will be the best performance for a Lib Dem candidate to date."

The counting began at 0830 BST at three venues - Alexandra Palace, Excel and Olympia - but by 1245 BST only 22% of the votes had been counted.

London Elect says it believes 2.4m Londoners voted - a turnout of about 45% and the first time more than 2m people have voted in the mayoral and assembly elections.

The race to run London is the highest-profile contest in the 2008 round of elections.

Electoral prize

Analysts say the outcome could have a powerful impact on national politics ahead of the next general election, which is due by 2010.

Tory MP Mr Johnson has given Mr Livingstone his toughest challenge since the job of London mayor was set up in 2000.

Pundits say a first defeat for Mr Livingstone would be another blow to Labour and Mr Brown.

The first Tory mayor of London would also give party leader David Cameron his biggest electoral prize so far as he tries to show the Conservatives are once more ready for office, say correspondents.

Attention in the capital will also be focused on the fortunes of the British National Party and George Galloway's Respect.

Both parties are vying to hurdle the 5% threshold needed to win their first seats on the London Assembly.

The Greens and UK Independence Party will be hoping to repeat their successes in 2004, when each took two seats.

The Conservatives aim to remain the largest single grouping, although no single party is expected to obtain an overall majority.
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Post by Jade Falcon »

I really hope that prick Galloway gets soundly drubbed as I despise the man.
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Post by Admiral Valdemar »

It's hilarity manifested as a single eccentric MP who reminds me of my uncle in London.
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Post by Rye »

As a general rule I hate all that is within the M25 (and the disproportionate media coverage it gets), but I have to defend Boris a bit. Yeah, he's a tard, and a tory, but his bungling is at least in part intentional from what I've observed of him. I think it's genuine upper class buffoonery some of the time, and orchestrated disarming populism at other times.
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Post by Bounty »

Zuul wrote:As a general rule I hate all that is within the M25 (and the disproportionate media coverage it gets), but I have to defend Boris a bit. Yeah, he's a tard, and a tory, but his bungling is at least in part intentional from what I've observed of him. I think it's genuine upper class buffoonery some of the time, and orchestrated disarming populism at other times.
Oh, I like the man as an MP, but him running London? He couldn't even keep the title of his book straight between the dustjacket and the front cover.

And a Tory tard? He's with the party, but apart from his "RAR tough on hoodies!" stuff he seems pretty centrist. Isn't he?
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Post by Admiral Valdemar »

Boris does seem pretty much on the fence. He isn't a radical conservative, but neither is he a retarded Greenie wannabe either.
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Post by white_rabbit »

He's not Ken Livingstone, so give the scruffy bugger a chance eh ? :lol:
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Post by Dartzap »

Oh deary me....that's the material written for HIGNFY for the next 4 years then :lol:

No doubt the army of Papua New Guinea will invade or something....
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Post by Bounty »

BBC Breakfast is interviewing Tories about Johnson. One has said his greatest skill will be picking the right people to do the mayoring for him. His father says he thinks Boris is serious about this job because "he hasn't had a drink in at least three months".

Oh dear.
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Post by Jon »

While I am glad that Labour got a well deserved thrashing all over the country in the local elections, I am utterly shocked by what has transpired in London... this prick as Mayor of the capital or the fact they've actually voted a BNP activist into the LA. WTF, London?
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Post by white_rabbit »

Jon wrote:While I am glad that Labour got a well deserved thrashing all over the country in the local elections, I am utterly shocked by what has transpired in London... this prick as Mayor of the capital or the fact they've actually voted a BNP activist into the LA. WTF, London?
BNP have actually grabbed a few wards around where I live, they've apparently done quite well this time.
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Post by Brain_Caster »

I have no idea who this man is, or if he is really as bad as some of you seem to think, but if he is I guess the people will get exactly what they deserve for voting him into office.
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Post by Dartzap »

Brain_Caster wrote:I have no idea who this man is, or if he is really as bad as some of you seem to think, but if he is I guess the people will get exactly what they deserve for voting him into office.
Thats what happens when a government that is very unpopular has to go to a vote at the local level. People start voting on national issues instead of the local ones.

I'm glad that Calamity Clegg and the Lib Dems seem to be doing slightly better, though.
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Post by Crazedwraith »

People in my geology course seem to think Boris will 'be a laugh becuase he's a legend' which of course is suitable grounds for electing someone. Neither of them live in London though and have neither voted nor will live with the consequences.


Dartzap
I've not actually heard anything out of the Lib Dems at all since Campbell left... At least when people complained about their leader being drunk or old, they got talked about. What is the new guy like?

white_rabbit
Whats wrong with Ken? Aside from some dubious comments about Jewish reporters, I thought he was supposed to have done a decent job. Again I'm not from London and have paid near zero attention to it though.
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Post by The Guid »

I also wish to defend Boris on some grounds - though none of these grounds are particularly relevant for Mayor of London except that he will have a high profile position to make these points from; he is very against anything sniffing of police state and has spoken and voted against ID cards & Labour's wonderful "We can lock you up if we feel like it" laws.
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Post by Battlehymn Republic »

Is this a classic Bush the Drunk Frat Cowboy scenario?
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Post by Bounty »

Battlehymn Republic wrote:Is this a classic Bush the Drunk Frat Cowboy scenario?
Not really. Johnson is genuinely scatterbrained when he's talking, but he's a good writer, politically savvy and far more intelligent that he acts. Which makes him more dangerous, in a way. He's certainly not a broken light bulb like Shrub the Lesser.
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Post by Rye »

Battlehymn Republic wrote:Is this a classic Bush the Drunk Frat Cowboy scenario?
Different kettle of fish entirely. Boris would've made a far better president of the US, but that's not particularly hard. He's pretty smart and has made some decent documentaries, IIRC. He doesn't really try to "appeal to the common man" like Bush did, but he is popular for his flaws, many of which I suspect are intentional. I doubt he'll ever become mayor of Liverpool, though.
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Post by TheDarkling »

Zuul wrote: I doubt he'll ever become mayor of Liverpool, though.
I don't know, London has its share of Muslims and black people and he has had his gaffs with regard to those groups.
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