So five more primaries left...

Invictus ChiKen · Post by **Invictus ChiKen** » 2008-05-10 03:38pm

Not counting West Virginia. I'm wondering how my fellow SD.netters feel about the remaining primaries. Who will get what state, what sort of excuse will Clinton have for her lose and when will Obama finally be nominated.

Is there anyway for Obama to get the 2,025 he needs to just call this thing his. Will the super delegates (please) step in soon and do something about this?

General Zod · Post by **General Zod** » 2008-05-10 03:47pm

It's not really possible for him to get the delegates (based on delegates alone) without an overwhelming victory in each, but if the outcome is even only 50% in each state, he can still attain the necessary delegate count with a bare minimum of 60 (23%) super-delegates, significantly less than half available. If he gets at least half of the remaining supers to support him, he has the campaign in the bag. Clinton would have to win more than 90% of at least three remaining states and more than 50% of the super-delegates to have a feasible shot at winning. Which is highly unlikely, to say the least.

Fire Fly · Post by **Fire Fly** » 2008-05-10 04:22pm

Clinton will win Kentucky and West Virginia overwhelmingly; she'll probably win Puerto Rico with a strong finish also. Obama will take Oregon, Montana and South Dakota with at least a double digit victory or close to one. Clinton will get a net gain of delegates from the remaining primaries but she's already lost the nomination battle and she knows it. She'll remain in the fight to try to recoup her financial losses and to try to gain some sort of political victory to offset her lost nomination (i.e. policy positions, senate leader, anything).

Arguments being thrown around why she hasn't dropped out yet is because she has to gradually pull out; any sudden quitting will upset her supporters and damage the party. Moreover, the last few remaining states deserve to vote; they never get the attention the earlier states do and by pulling out now, the party will only disappoint those voters.

The battle is over and everyone realizes it, even the media heads who want the race to continue forever. Once the last state votes, all the superdelegates will come flocking to the Obama campaign. The only way for Clinton to win now is if we find out that Obama is a secret Nazi who loves the Taliban and wants to defecate on the American flag while flipping the bird to middle class mothers.

Guardsman Bass · Post by **Guardsman Bass** » 2008-05-10 05:56pm

I actually would like to see what a serious Puerto Rican primary would be (solely out of curiousity; I don't want the competition to last that long). I wonder if someone would try to put the candidates in a hot spot to find out what their opinion is on Puerto Rican statehood?