Stas Bush wrote:
Who decides who matters and who does not? You? The Bush Administration? Kurds do matter, but the Ossetians do not? Albanians do matter, but the Serbs do not?
I have no idea what the hell this means, but yes, Iraqi Kurds do matter in determining if Iraqis prefer living in modern or Baathist Iraq. Ossetia isn't in Iraq, so no, their opinions don't matter?
Frankly, this debate was better without venturing into a territory where nothing can be said with any certainity - unless of course you are most sure that the deaths and suffering in the current war is not worse than the continued opression of the Kurds. How can you say that with a certainity? The same of course applies to your opponent, but I do see the debate is losing any hint at substance very quickly.
Numerically it may be worse, however, the perception from the people who live there is that it is better, as recently as 2007:
The Times wrote:One in four Iraqis has had a family member murdered, says the poll by Opinion Research Business. In Baghdad, the capital, one in four has had a relative kidnapped and one in three said members of their family had fled abroad. But when asked whether they preferred life under Saddam, the dictator who was executed last December, or under Nouri al-Maliki, the prime minister, most replied that things were better for them today.
It depends on which people are asked. Where is the poll data and the methodology behind it?
ORB did it, they're pretty respectable as far as I know.
ORB wrote:Results are based on face-to-face interviews amongst a nationally representative sample of 5,019 adults aged 18 years + throughout Iraq.
•The standard margin of error on the sample size is +1.4%
•The methodology uses multi-stage random probability sampling and covers every one of the eighteen governorates within Iraq.
•Interviews conducted 10th – 22nd February 2007.
Their results are in pdf format
here and
here.
Saddam's rule hardly classifies as totalitarian
An autocratic dictator with a cult of personality who had no compunctions in using torture and mass murder on anyone who opposed him sounds pretty totalitarian to me. He kept his state in terror and formed his secret police along soviet lines. Large amounts of the Iraqi workforce were in the expressly authoritarian military, police and political militias, who would wipe out hundreds of people in sanctioned attacks.
- very few societies can claim to be one, but that aside, so? Yeah, the website about "peaceful Kurdistan" is so totally representative. Of course the PKK, for example, are a fringe minority. Or are they?
Northern Iraq was a counterpoint to 18's stereotype.
That requires substantiation - and a better one than an opinion poll, the methodology and sampling of which are not demonstrated and clarified.
I already linked to it and you link to it right after this. "An estimated 3.1% of Iraqi households - 930,000 people - are described as "food insecure" in the latest World Food Programme survey. But that represents a considerable improvement on 15.4%, the figure when the survey was last carried out in 2005. " A reduction from 15.4% down to 3.1% sounds like progress towards a more modern standard of living. TVs, cookers and fridges going up and the demand for electricity going up. They can't satisfy that demand yet, but the demand is there.
To be frank,
this does indicate that the area is very, very far from anything vaguely like a "modern standard of living". Interestingly enough, the North isn't faring good on the water supply and electricity - two key measures of infrastructural health. Hmm.
I never said it was a modern country already, I said it was progressing towards one, which it is.
But maybe I'm wrong. I do see a rather substance-less debate between two extreme viewpoints, but it's an undeniable fact that Iraq's infrastructure has gone down the shitter, causing countless deaths. Trying to say that it doesn't matter because the Kurds are better off without the opressive regime of Saddam, or that Saddam's dictatorial rule is a greater evil than hundreds of thousands of deaths is a claim that needs strong support.
Which is handy since I never said that. I responded to the claims that a) Iraqis don't consider themselves "saved" (I am unaware of any polls that contradict the BBC and ORB ones I've mentioned on this, by the way), and b) their country is a total wasteland. Let's not assume I was for the war as Bush pursued it (I never was), or that I thought a war was necessarily the best course of action at all. At the same time, let's not pretend it's worse than it is, that there's no hope or that things are not getting better.