Another day, another protest in Ex-USSR...

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Irbis
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Another day, another protest in Ex-USSR...

Post by Irbis »

...except this time against the EU.

First, a brief background - Gaugazians are Turkish people, converted to Orthodox Christianity during 1800s. Modern Gaugazia found itself split between Moldavia and Ukraine. It wasn't problem before 1989, where there was no physical border, but after 1989, both states decided to show Gaugazians who is boss and started to regularly break every promise given to them. Behold this gerry-mander:

Image

That (white blob) was supposed to be promised Gaugazian autonomic republic within Moldavia. Hovever, this peculiar shape, including division into 6 parts, is result of Moldavian government insisting on drawing border only where Gaugazians were big majority, ignoring every area where % of Gaugazians was being brought down by mixed ethnicities or other Turkish peoples, even ones wanting to join the autonomy. So, the promised autonomy, that was understood to cover at least 2x larger area, turned out to be mostly a sham.

Thankfully, Moldavian authorities learned from resentment resulting from broken promise, and did a lot to remedy it: stopped promising anything, choosing just to repress them for the next 20 years, creating even more bitterness. Meanwhile, Russia, while not doing anything for them, remained popular as most of Gaugazians speak Russian and it's pretty much the only place available for them for Gastarbeiter well paid (relatively) work abroad.

And now, current events:
Gagauzia Voters Reject Closer EU Ties For Moldova

An overwhelming majority of voters in a referendum held in the autonomous Moldovan region of Gagauzia have voted for integration with a Russia-led customs union.

The chairwoman of Gagauzia's election commission, Valentina Lisnic, said on February 3 that 98.4 percent of voters chose closer relations with the CIS Customs Union.

In a separate question, 97.2 percent were against closer EU integration.

In addition, 98.9 percent of voters supported Gagauzia's right to declare independence should Moldova lose or surrender its own independence.

Turnout was more than 70 percent in the February 2 vote.

Lisnic added that no polling violations had been registered during the referendum. She said ballots in some remote districts of the autonomous region were still being counted.

Gagauzia has a population of about 155,000 people, mostly ethnically Gagauz, Turkic-speaking Orthodox Christians.

Many locals fear that Chisinau's EU-integration agenda masks an intention to unite Moldova with neighboring Romania.

Chisinau initialed an Association Agreement and a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement with the bloc in November 2013.

As the European integration policy has accelerated, the Russian-supported breakaway region of Transdniester has rumbled increasingly loudly. Recently it adopted Russian legislation, a clear signal of the region's preference for joining Moscow's customs union.

Now Gaugazia's referendum has added to the pressure on the central government.

The central government had tried to stop the referendum, which it sees as a challenge to the country's territorial integrity.

Last month, Moldova's prosecutor-general launched an investigation into Gagauzia's plan to hold the referendum, saying the vote had been rejected earlier by a court in Gagauzia as unconstitutional.

Moldovan Prime Minister Iurie Leanca also told RFE/RL's Moldovan Service on February 3 that the referendum had no legal legitimacy.

"What happened in the region of Gagauzia, unfortunately, represents a defiance of law," he said. "Of course, the referendum that was held yesterday is more than regrettable. The Republic of Moldova will hold parliamentary elections at the end of this year -- the most representative and relevant referendum on various issues, including the most important issue, which is the foreign policy of the country."

In December, Gagauzia's National Assembly adopted a new Electoral Code to bypass a previous court ruling that said the decision to hold the referendum was illegal.

Ahead of the vote, Gagauzia Governor Mihail Formuzal did not hide his personal preferences.

"I think that for the next 10 years it is in our interest to be in the customs union. I think that would enable us to modernize our economy, secure reliable markets for our goods," he told RFE/RL's Moldovan Service.

"And, at the same time, during these years we would carry out the genuine democratization of our society to correspond with the globally accepted standards and democratic norms of a law-based state. At present, unfortunately, we do not have this in our country."

The day after the referendum, on February 3, the head of Moldova's opposition Socialist Party, Igor Dodon, backed the holding of the poll.

"From the beginning the Socialist Party has supported the idea of this referendum in the Gagauzian region," he said. "Despite all attempts to defy this process, to block its funding, despite many difficulties, yesterday the referendum was held. An overwhelming majority of voters participated in this referendum like never before in the history of our country."

On the same day, Mihail Formuzal, the governor of Gagauzia, told RFE/RL that the results of the referendum had sent a clear signal to Chisinau.

"We do not want to suffer," he said. "We want free markets in both Europe and the Russian Federation. We, Gagauzians, a small minority, are telling the central government [of Moldova] -- stop all processes of political integration [with the EU]; take care about economic integration.
So, brilliant plan of repression, not informing Gaugazians about any plans of the government for EU integration (first EU envoy ever visited Gaugazia only when referendum was already underway, plus government doesn't even bother to translate agreements and road maps they sign into Moldavian, much less Gaugaz), trying to crush referendum by police force and blocking any movement of people and money inside Gaugazia as it was held (including accredited observers) to "stop interference"...

That was bound to backfire. But hey, they are our, pro-EU bastards, which means no news coverage, no dramatic missions to pressure the government, and free ignoring of democracy, after all, they were probably steered by KGB (actual accusation from Moldavian press) and most definitely not bitter after 25 years of FREEDOM.

Ironically, Gaugazians in Ukraine are pro-EU for similar reason Moldavian are pro-Russia - they fear new, tightly controlled EU border will slice the region in half, blocking travel and chopping the country in two. Plus, they need to tread lightly, these days it is very dangerous to be a minority right in the middle of right wing bastion most definitely not extremist region, thus paying a lot of lip service.
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Elaro
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Re: Another day, another protest in Ex-USSR...

Post by Elaro »

Firstly, I am suspicious on principle of near-unanimity in polls and referendums, because I expect human diversity in even the most straightforward of questions. But I acknowledge that I may be in the wrong here.

Secondly, why do the Gagauzians think that closer economic ties with Russia will make their country more democratic? Or are they saying the increased prosperity will help democratic reforms?
"The surest sign that the world was not created by an omnipotent Being who loves us is that the Earth is not an infinite plane and it does not rain meat."

"Lo, how free the madman is! He can observe beyond mere reality, and cogitates untroubled by the bounds of relevance."
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Re: Another day, another protest in Ex-USSR...

Post by Sidewinder »

Elaro wrote:Secondly, why do the Gagauzians think that closer economic ties with Russia will make their country more democratic? Or are they saying the increased prosperity will help democratic reforms?
I think the main issue is the same as it was for the Chinese, back in the 1980s: increased prosperity. Democracy is nice to have, but if the average person must choose between freedom of choice (voting) and freedom from want (from starving, from freezing due to unaffordability or unavailability of coal), the decision is obvious.
Please do not make Americans fight giant monsters.

Those gun nuts do not understand the meaning of "overkill," and will simply use weapon after weapon of mass destruction (WMD) until the monster is dead, or until they run out of weapons.

They have more WMD than there are monsters for us to fight. (More insanity here.)
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Irbis
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Re: Another day, another protest in Ex-USSR...

Post by Irbis »

Elaro wrote:Firstly, I am suspicious on principle of near-unanimity in polls and referendums, because I expect human diversity in even the most straightforward of questions. But I acknowledge that I may be in the wrong here.
The problem is, they were pretty much ignored and bullied by the central government last 20 years, including two weeks of very heavy handed tactics to stop the referendum. There was simply no reason to vote against, even Moldavian authorities call it non-binding, not falsified.
Secondly, why do the Gagauzians think that closer economic ties with Russia will make their country more democratic? Or are they saying the increased prosperity will help democratic reforms?
It's more the fact that no one ever bothered to explain how EU works to them. On one side, they see tight border slicing their country in two, further marginalization, inability to go to the only foreign country they have broad language education in, and the fear they will be further marginalized should Moldavia join Romania.

I suspect they simply fear Balkan countries (where they are doubly disliked for being Orthodox Turks) and remember USSR/Russia as country with much larger movement freedom and less discrimination than they have now. Compare the above map with late USSR/early Moldavia Gaugazian autonomic republic:

Image

EU as an idea is fine, and people would like it, but only if they feel involved, exclude them and you get protests.
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