Jobless claims fall to 3 yr low...

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MKSheppard
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Jobless claims fall to 3 yr low...

Post by MKSheppard »

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Fell to 353,000 Last Week (Update1) Dec. 18 (Bloomberg) -- The number of Americans filing first- time applications for state unemployment benefits fell to 353,000 last week, matching an almost three-year low and suggesting the economy will add jobs for a fifth month in December.

Initial jobless claims fell by a larger-than-expected 22,000 in the week that ended Saturday, the first decrease in three weeks, from a revised 375,000 a week earlier, the Labor Department said in Washington. Claims also totaled 353,000 in the last week of October, the lowest since January 2001.

Best Buy Co. and Agilent Technologies Inc. are among companies hiring as the economy improves. Rising employment and wage growth may help boost spending and underpin the expansion.

``There is every reason to expect payroll growth to accelerate over the next few months,'' said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics in Valhalla, New York.

Economists had expected claims would fall to 365,000, based on the median of 40 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey, from the 378,000 initially reported for the week earlier. Forecasts ranged from 350,000 to 380,000. The report coincides with the week the government surveys businesses to determine whether they added or shed jobs this month.

Claims around 370,000 are historically consistent with a gain of 100,000 to 150,000 payroll jobs, according to research by economists at Lehman Brothers Inc. in New York. The December employment report is to be released on Jan. 9.

The four-week moving average of claims, a less-volatile indicator, fell to 361,750 from 364,000.

Continuing Claims

The number of people continuing to collect state jobless benefits rose to 3.34 million in the week that ended Dec. 6 from 3.31 million a week earlier. The four-week average of continuing claims dropped to 3.33 million, the lowest since September 2001.

The insured employment rate, which tends to track the U.S. jobless rate, held at 2.6 percent in the week ended Dec. 6. The Labor Department also said 40 states and territories reported an increase in new claims, while 13 reported a decrease. These data are reported with a one-week lag.

Two-thirds of U.S. chief financial officers said their companies plan to boost hiring in 2004, according to the results of a survey issued yesterday of 236 executives and conducted by Financial Executives International and Duke University's Fuqua School of Business.

The number of employees is expected to increase 2 percent next year, compared with their projections six months ago that there would be no increase, the survey showed. About 14 percent said their payrolls would shrink.

`Significant Growth'

``We are expecting significant growth also as we go into the upcoming year,'' said Brad Anderson, chief executive of Best Buy, the largest U.S. electronics chain, in a televised interview with Bloomberg News yesterday. The Richfield, Minnesota-based retailer is planning on opening 80 stores next year as earnings more than doubled last quarter. The openings will mean ``more hiring and a continued kind of robust investment in inventories,'' said Anderson.

Production at the nation's factories, utilities and mines rose 0.9 percent last month, the biggest increase since October 1999, the Federal Reserve reported yesterday.

``Output is expanding briskly, and the labor market appears to be improving modestly,'' said Fed policy makers last week in announcing they were holding the target for their benchmark interest rate at a 45-year low of 1 percent. With inflation low and resources, such as factories and workers, not being fully utilized, the central bankers said they could keep the target rate low ``for a considerable period.''

Members of the Fed's rate-setting Open Market Committee said signs of economic growth, while encouraging, still may not generate substantial numbers of new jobs until late 2005, according to minutes from their Oct. 28 meeting that were released last week.

Unemployment Rate

The economy added a smaller-than-forecast 57,000 jobs last month, a fourth consecutive gain, according to figures from the Labor Department. The unemployment rate dropped to an eight-month low of 5.9 percent.

An index of New York manufacturing employment rose this month to match the highest reading since its inception in July 1997, according to figures earlier this week from the New York Fed. The reading held above zero for a third month, signaling factory employment in that region was expanding.

``We don't expect to do any more firings,'' said Ned Barnholt, chief executive of Agilent, the world's biggest maker of scientific testing equipment, in an interview last week. ``We will be selectively hiring back engineers and customer-support staff.''

After firing thousands of employees and undertaking other cost-saving measures, Agilent had a profit of $13 million in the quarter ended Oct. 31, following seven quarterly losses.

Last Updated: December 18, 2003 08:42 EST

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Wait wait, this is all a smoke screen by the evil Busshstappo to get
W reelected, using the media to pump out fake information and
statistics! :)
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Post by The Yosemite Bear »

Only the people filing for the first TIME. Well I lost that cherry back in the flood of 1997 when my employer was washed out. So when I get cut below the hours need for survival (last two years) my claims don't count.
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Post by SirNitram »

Need I point out that we're, by and large, looking at the lowest point of unemployment under Bush.
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Post by The Yosemite Bear »

Which still doesn't count the fact that most of the Employed don't have basic benefits, and can't afford to keep themselves alive. <Pay for basic medical insurance.> A situation which has gotten worse under Bush, and howmany old folks who don't count lost everything when the Tycho & Enron malfeasance destroyed their retirement?
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Post by The Yosemite Bear »

I know more then one WWII vet who is now WORKING again, shitty wages, and using medicare benefits for coverage due to the fact that their retirement was screwed over, or due to fear of more cuts to SSN/Medicare.
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Post by LordShaithis »

[Democrat] THIS IS SOMEHOW BAD, BAD, BA... ah fuck, you get the point. :wink:
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Post by TrailerParkJawa »

Ive noticed that most people who speak of how "not bad" it is have been employeed through out the recession.

Things are looking up, but we have a long way to go. At least I got my extention of benefits.
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Post by Bob McDob »

SirNitram wrote:Need I point out that we're, by and large, looking at the lowest point of unemployment under Bush.
Since Bush's first week in office, anyhow.
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Post by LadyTevar »

Nitram's still technically jobless.

After all, when the job you have only calls you in for 4 four-hour shifts a MONTH?
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Post by TrailerParkJawa »

LadyTevar wrote:Nitram's still technically jobless.

After all, when the job you have only calls you in for 4 four-hour shifts a MONTH?
Underemployement does not show up in the statistics. Too be fair I dont know how they would count it, but Ive been in the same boat. If it was not for my mortgage Id probably enjoy working P/T but not for too long. Money does not by happines, but it does buy security.
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Post by Col. Crackpot »

SirNitram wrote:Need I point out that we're, by and large, looking at the lowest point of unemployment under Bush.
of course! we all know that bush accidently flipped the "Economy ON/OFF Switch" under his desk to the 'OFF' position with his knee on the first day. We know that it had nothing to do with the fact that the GDP was in decine for the last three quarters of the Clinton Administration. :roll: You know what! I bet it was Bush's fault that the tide went out in Kennebunkport, because he was in charge of the beach at the time. :roll:
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Post by SirNitram »

Col. Crackpot wrote:
SirNitram wrote:Need I point out that we're, by and large, looking at the lowest point of unemployment under Bush.
of course! we all know that bush accidently flipped the "Economy ON/OFF Switch" under his desk to the 'OFF' position with his knee on the first day. We know that it had nothing to do with the fact that the GDP was in decine for the last three quarters of the Clinton Administration. :roll: You know what! I bet it was Bush's fault that the tide went out in Kennebunkport, because he was in charge of the beach at the time. :roll:
What a spectacular non-answer. Is there an actual reason I should cherish this twit of a politician for finally lowering the number of new unemployed to a record in his own time. Let me spell this out:

The loss of jobs under Bush has finally slowed down. Woo. I sure do feel as if he's a good leader.
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Post by theski »

SirNitram wrote:
Is there an actual reason I should cherish this twit of a politician for finally lowering the number of new unemployed to a record in his own time. Let me spell this out:

The loss of jobs under Bush has finally slowed down. Woo. I sure do feel as if he's a good leader
Ok so at what point do you give him credit for this???
Experts see '04 'firing on all cylinders'
By Barbara Hagenbaugh and Barbara Hansen, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy next year will grow at its fastest pace since the '90s boom and unemployment will fall, economists surveyed by USA TODAY say.
In their most optimistic end-of-the-year outlook in years, the economists expect the stock market to continue to rise. And business spending, a key economic element, is expected to rebound strongly after being largely absent
http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/s ... rvey_x.htm
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Post by SirNitram »

theski wrote:SirNitram wrote:
Is there an actual reason I should cherish this twit of a politician for finally lowering the number of new unemployed to a record in his own time. Let me spell this out:

The loss of jobs under Bush has finally slowed down. Woo. I sure do feel as if he's a good leader
Ok so at what point do you give him credit for this???
When and if it turns out to resemble reality.
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Post by Joe »

Nitram is going about this the wrong way but he may be right, I'm not sure whether Bush's policies have anything to do with this. Who is residing in the White House is a matter given far too much importance when discussing the economy.
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Joe wrote:Nitram is going about this the wrong way but he may be right, I'm not sure whether Bush's policies have anything to do with this. Who is residing in the White House is a matter given far too much importance when discussing the economy.
Since when is pointing out what is actually being said under the spin 'going about it the wrong way'?
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Post by Joe »

Because you're acting like there has been no improvement. Improvement's improvement, even if Bush had little to do with it.
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Post by SirNitram »

Joe wrote:Because you're acting like there has been no improvement. Improvement's improvement, even if Bush had little to do with it.
Well, let me clarify. It's good that the economy is not losing as many jobs as it has been for the rest of Bush's term. But if this is a reason to like Bush, we should all be building shrines to Clinton for happening to be in Office when the free-for-all that was the DotCom boom occoured.
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Post by Joe »

SirNitram wrote:
Joe wrote:Because you're acting like there has been no improvement. Improvement's improvement, even if Bush had little to do with it.
Well, let me clarify. It's good that the economy is not losing as many jobs as it has been for the rest of Bush's term. But if this is a reason to like Bush, we should all be building shrines to Clinton for happening to be in Office when the free-for-all that was the DotCom boom occoured.
And tearing them down for the collapse that occured soon afterward thanks largely to the accounting practices that went on with no objection during the Clinton years.
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Post by SirNitram »

Joe wrote:
SirNitram wrote:
Joe wrote:Because you're acting like there has been no improvement. Improvement's improvement, even if Bush had little to do with it.
Well, let me clarify. It's good that the economy is not losing as many jobs as it has been for the rest of Bush's term. But if this is a reason to like Bush, we should all be building shrines to Clinton for happening to be in Office when the free-for-all that was the DotCom boom occoured.
And tearing them down for the collapse that occured soon afterward thanks largely to the accounting practices that went on with no objection during the Clinton years.
I'd blame it more on teh fact that that boom had nothign at all to do with reality and everything to do with rich idiots who didn't know how to find a company to invest in that doesn't suck.
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Post by Col. Crackpot »

SirNitram wrote:
Joe wrote:
SirNitram wrote: Well, let me clarify. It's good that the economy is not losing as many jobs as it has been for the rest of Bush's term. But if this is a reason to like Bush, we should all be building shrines to Clinton for happening to be in Office when the free-for-all that was the DotCom boom occoured.
And tearing them down for the collapse that occured soon afterward thanks largely to the accounting practices that went on with no objection during the Clinton years.
I'd blame it more on teh fact that that boom had nothign at all to do with reality and everything to do with rich idiots who didn't know how to find a company to invest in that doesn't suck.
and the government regulators that went along for the ride.
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