Lightening the Army up ENTIRELY- i.e. the FCS concept, to me, is a damn fool idea.
The premise is that lightly armored forces will be just as lethal and
survivable as traditional heavy forces.
How do they try and sell this extremely dubious concept?
When they say 'survivability', they don't mean armour. Instead, they sell the idea that a 20 ton, 8x8 wheeled vehicle can be just as survivable and lethal, if not more so, than an M1 tank by having
- Situational Awareness
- Signature Management
- Active Defense Systems (in the scrapped 40-ton FCS-T idea, this took the form of a turret-mounted high-energy laser, which is of course for a system to be ready by 2008 is a ridiculous pipe dream that has been dropped)
- Long-range weapons
to simply
avoid combat with any vehicle or force that is capable of killing it- which at 20-tons is a damn lot- everything from a BMP upwards in terms of firepower.
For a moment, let's just replace the proven M1 MBT/M2 IFV in OIF and replace them with the FCS systems. Expect the following, assuming the technology is actually workable:
- FCS LOS (the tank replacement) destroys many enemy vehicles with OTH weapons while using its vastly superior sensor suite (thermal imagers) etc and it's ETC 105-120mm main gun to effortlessly destroy Iraqi AFVs that get within visual range. The latter is nothing the M1 isn't perfectly capable of already. The former was scheduled for the M1 (the TERM program), but was cancelled.
- But, what happens when the vehicle takes a hit?! Who are we kidding here- the 100mm gun of the T-55, the 73mm gun of the BMP-1, not to mention the 125mm piece of the T-72 is capable of turning these wheeled toys into flaming wrecks with a single hit- hell, it could disable them without penetrating them by using HEF rounds.
- And lets not forget infantry. The OCSW defending the FCS LOS will inflict casualties on the enemy far in excess of the current M2HB on the M1, but who says they can't put it on the M1? We can also give the M1 canister and HEF rounds for anti-infantry work.
- Now, what about survivability against infantry? They're expecting to make FCS LOS light AT weapon proof, but I don't see how this is doable on a 20-ton vehicle except along the frontal arc, unless you add applique armor after which the vehicle is not 20-tons anymore. More casualties. Toss in ATGMs. More casualties. Toss in shell explosions/ shrapnel/ heavy-machine gun fire. Immobilized vehicles, tires shredded- no defense against that.
All Iraq did was reaffirm that vehicles get hit in combat- the Iraqis were equipped with the worst equipment this side of frigging ... Togo, and US forces still copped casaulties, including M1 tanks. And they wanna make the casualties worse?
And how long can they rely on the fact that the enemies will suck? Not every bad guy is going to have 30 year old monkey-model T-72s with mechanical coincidence rangefinders, no thermal imagers, crappy airdefense, non-existent air force, and incompetent troops.
Look at the ugly future