Simon_Jester wrote:
Losing Texas would shift the American political balance in favor of the party (somewhat) less likely to engage in idiotic foreign adventurism, and (statistically) more likely to enact (relatively) sane domestic policies. It remove from the equation the main reason that American textbooks are forced to take bizarre gibberish like Young Earth Creationism seriously: the Texas school system.
If you really think that the Democratic Party is the party less likely to engage in foreign adventure, you really need to take a second look at history. The first Democrat to engage in a foreign cause (war with Mexico) was James Polk.
Both of the next two major adventures, the Spanish-American War and interfering in the Russo-Japanese War took place under Republicans (McKinley and T. Roosevelt, respectively).
The next phase was World War I and the president was the Democrat Woodrow Wilson whose policy of "neutrality" consisted of permitting banks to lend overwhelmingly to the Allies, overlook the British mining of the North Sea and arming of merchant ships (both actions illegal under the international law of the time), and eventually pitch in directly for which the US got nothing except a long list of Allied debtors (with the exception of Finland). He also approved the crossing of Mexican borders in pursuit of Pancho Villa which ended up as a wild goose chase.
There was no direct American intervention again until World War II under the celebrated Democratic president Franklin D. Roosevelt who preceded Pearl Harbor by shipping arms to China (only avoiding breaking the law because he refused to officially recognize that China and Japan were at war), precipitating the
Greer and
Kearny incidents, occupying Iceland with US soldiers, extending US naval patrols to the mid-Atlantic (where they escorted British convoys part way), assuring America that Nazi Germany planned to invade the United States (a bizarre assertion given what was known even in FDR's time), and assuring both the British and the Dutch of US military support in case Japan attacked their Pacific possessions. Then came Pearl Harbor.
Next came the Korean War, started by Democrat Harry Truman as a "police action" under the new collective-security international organization called the United Nations that he'd officially signed the US into (although preliminary work was done by FDR). The war would last for his presidency and would be inherited by Republican Dwight Eisenhower.
Eisenhower officially edged us towards the Vietnam War (although didn't technically start sending combat troops), made plans to invade Cuba (but didn't actually do so), and supported a CIA coup returning the Shah to the throne of Iran.
The Vietnam War began officially under Democrat John Kennedy whose tenure also included the failed invasion of Cuba and the infamous Cuban Missile Crisis in which he imposed a blockade on another nation without calling it a blockade (a blockade is an act of war). His tenure, of course, ended with his murder in Dallas.
Democrat Lyndon Johnson significantly expanded the war in Vietnam through the use of the Gulf of Tonkin incident but otherwise was not directly involved in further foreign adventures.
The Vietnam War essentially ended under Republican Richard Nixon who was also notable for his indirect intervention (sending American cargo planes full of weapons to the Israelis) in the Yom Kippur War. He also was the first president to visit Red China although this wasn't technically an instance of foreign adventure.
The Vietnam War was officially ended under Republican Gerald Ford who undertook no foreign interventions himself due to Congressional constraint.
There were also no foreign interventions under Carter although there were several major foreign events during his tenure.
Republican Ronald Reagan was the first (I believe) president to send "peacekeeping" troops to a foreign nation although they were withdrawn after the truck bombing in Beruit. He was also involved in the invasion of Grenada, two separate incidents with Libya, and the sending of US support (such as it was) to Nicaragua and Iraq. His most significant foreign affairs incident, however, remains the 1987 IMF Treaty with the USSR.
Republican George H.W. Bush officially saw the end of the USSR, send "peacekeepers" to Somalia, and initiated the second "police action" to drive Iraq out of Kuwait.
Democrat Bill Clinton engaged directly in 44 different instances of foreign intervention during his presidency including the conclusion of Somalia, both major incidents in the Balkans, and numerous deployments of American soldiers in "peacekeeping" operations. During his tenure, of course, came the first WTC attack, the simultaneous bombings of American embassies in Kenya and Tanzania, the cruise missile attack against Afghanistan, the bombing of a chemical plant in Nigeria, the two separate bombings against American soldiers in Saudi Arabia, and the suicide attack on the
USS Cole.
Republican George W. Bush was responsible for the invasions of two countries in response to the terrorist attacks of September 11. I am not aware of any other instances of American foreign adventure during his tenure.
Now, the above is just a general list based upon what I know off the top of my head but as you might notice, Simon_Jester, major foreign interventions seem to be more of a Democrat habit than a Republican one. Based on this, I'd say your idea that having Democrats in charge will mean less foreign intervention is erroneous. If you know of any other foreign adventures that I am not aware of, however, I'm sure you won't hesitate to tell me so.
Simon_Jester wrote:
Duly noted.
The real concern is whether what we see now will inspire a smaller, harder-core movement of car-bombing, bazooka-collecting types.
It is possible but the trend seems to militate against it. There have been fringe instances of those on the right wing being involved in shootings during Obama's tenure but there is no sign that these were coordinated by any central person or organization so they don't really constitute a rebellion or even a "militia." The largest manifestation of right-wing discontent, beyond nasty slogans and individual threats against Obama (again, neither of which seem to be connected to a specific group) was the so-called "tea party" movement which has neither committed nor expressed the intent to commit violent actions. So I'd say that while anything is possible, I don't see it being particularly likely that there'll be any sort of terrorist group popping up anytime soon from the right wing.