Shillary Losing Ground With Key Demographics

[General Zod]

(CNN) – A day after Sen. Hillary Clinton declared that the Democratic nomination fight was “nowhere near over,” polling data released Tuesday suggest Clinton is losing ground with key demographic groups that have powered her campaign so far.

Sen. Barack Obama’s 16-point lead over Clinton in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters comes from even higher support among groups that have been supporting him throughout the primary race, and from newfound support among several groups that have backed Clinton.

Obama leads or ties Clinton among women, Easterners, whites, adults with no college education, and Hispanics, with the New York senator’s support now below 50 percent in each group, according to Gallup. Both are backed by 47 percent of white voters surveyed, and Obama is essentially tied with Clinton – 47 percent to 46 percent – among Democrats whose education level is a high school diploma or less.

Clinton’s advantage among women overall seems to have evaporated, with Obama now holding a lead within the survey’s three point margin of error, 49 percent to 46 percent. Hispanics favor Obama over Clinton by 7 percentage points, 51 percent to 44 percent. And Obama now leads among voters in Eastern states by 9 percentage points over Clinton – 52 percent to 43 percent.

Clinton’s standing with whites has fallen by five percentage points during the month of May. With Hispanics, Clinton has lost eight percentage points in the same time period. Clinton’s support with Easterners has fallen by seven percentage points and with women, Clinton has last four percentage points in May. Women age 50 or older is the only major demographic group where a majority, 52 percent, still support the New York senator.

Obama’s support among voters with postgraduate education, voters with monthly incomes of at least $5000, and men – has grown to the point that, he now leads Clinton by a margin of 2-to-1. Among voters 29 or younger, Obama leads Clinton by a margin of nearly 3-to-1.

Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Gallup’s May 1-13 daily tracking poll results are based on a survey of 5,474 Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters. The May 1-13 survey results have a margin of error of plus or minus one percentage point.

So far the only demographic Hitlery seems to be holding onto is elderly women. . . .somehow I'm not shocked.

[Sidewinder]

It seems Hillary's ploy to win over right-wingers with the "totally obliterate Iran" line has backfired.

[Darth Wong]

It seems Hillary's ploy to win over right-wingers with the "totally obliterate Iran" line has backfired.

This sharp May collapse also coincides with her picking up the "Great White Hope" angle and running with it. It may be that an awful lot of moderates were repulsed by the way she stepped up the race-baiting. It was a spectacularly brazen move to come right out and say that she was going after the white vote, and it may have backfired. While white racists undoubtedly support her, they may not make up enough of a population bloc to take control, except in shitholes like West Virginia.

[Glocksman]

It seems Hillary's ploy to win over right-wingers with the "totally obliterate Iran" line has backfired.

This sharp May collapse also coincides with her picking up the "Great White Hope" angle and running with it. It may be that an awful lot of moderates were repulsed by the way she stepped up the race-baiting. It was a spectacularly brazen move to come right out and say that she was going after the white vote, and it may have backfired. While white racists undoubtedly support her, they may not make up enough of a population bloc to take control, except in shitholes like West Virginia.

Even then, they'd desert her wholesale in November to support McCain.
That throws her 'I appeal to hardworking, white Americans' spiel right out the window.

[Coyote]

So, her appeal is to whiskey-swilling little old ladies that drive 50 miles an hour in the passing lane with a Confederate flag in the back windows of their Buicks. Great. You go, girl.

[CmdrWilkens]

It seems Hillary's ploy to win over right-wingers with the "totally obliterate Iran" line has backfired.

This sharp May collapse also coincides with her picking up the "Great White Hope" angle and running with it. It may be that an awful lot of moderates were repulsed by the way she stepped up the race-baiting. It was a spectacularly brazen move to come right out and say that she was going after the white vote, and it may have backfired. While white racists undoubtedly support her, they may not make up enough of a population bloc to take control, except in shitholes like West Virginia.

The thing is she was, and is, thinking only as far ahead as the next contest. After she failed to secure an unassailable lead on Super Tuesday she was out of strategies and had to conceded the rest of February. During that time her team did discover one important factoid: The remaining states starting in March were generally poorer, whiter, and more Republican leaning than the previous elections. Consequently she shifted right and she shifted hard to the right.

Thus you now have the dilemna that she would probably win Missouri if they were to re-vote today BUT she would lose California and quite possibly several more democratic leaning states. Simply put she publicly abandoned (not to point out that she had long ago physically done so) the liberal and moderate wing of the party, embraced the DLC and center plus tried to court Republicans and Blue Dogs. The trendline is simply showing public awareness of what has been the growing truth for some time; Clinton is looking ahead only as far as the next demographic to target and could't give a shit about those she leaves behind. Well the ones left behind are wising up (in paticular the Hispanic demo) and dropping her like a hto potato.