Israeli Attack on Iran

[Quetzalcoatl]

Though things have died down reccently with the proposed Russian enrichment deal, tensions are obviously still high regarding Iran's nuclear program. While the issue of whether it does or does not have the right to engage in such activities is worthy of discussion, I'm primarily interested in the actual political/strategic situation. Israel has intimated numerous times it would be willing to stage a strike on Iranian enrichment centers, similar to the attack on Syria two years ago. Please indicate whether you think such an attack is feasible, your reasoning, and, if yes, the way such an attack would unfold.

I've been primarily focused on this topic from the issue of international law, so I haven't come to any firm conclusions. Having done a little research, however, I'm leaning more towards 'no'.
Some links to stimulate discussion:

http://www.cfciowa.org/K017/index.php?o ... s&Itemid=7
From the batshit insane "American Reality Check" site. These guys are obviously a little alarmist, but a couple of interesting points are made (as well as some dubious claims).

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142 ... 71306.html
A Wall Street Journal article that has a nifty interactive feature detailing a hypothetical Israeli airstrike.

http://warincontext.org/2009/04/13/an-i ... k-on-iran/
A collection of editorials with varying points of view.

Oh yeah, and if you don't like the links, feel free find your own. I'm not interested in being flamed because I was willing to post the opinion of the doomsayers.

[The Grim Squeaker]

No.
Based on the spread and depth of the various centers, and their reinforcement, any operation would be borderline possible, and regardless, if the UN Russian enrichment deal goes through, Israel's Cassus Belli will be too weak. (And there's no way in hell that Israel would, or possibly could do this without US support).

The Syrian plant (the one that's still glowing ) was a single, small, and frankly easy target, and just one target. The effective gains were higher along with the chances of success.

[Narkis]

I think there's a nonzero chance that Israel will bomb the facilities, but way too many things must go the right way for it to happen. They need US approval, if not support, for the hit. For that to happen, Obama has to have abandoned negotiations altogether, so the Iranians must have fucked up quite badly first. So far they seem to be doing pretty well, and there's absolutely no chance this kind of reversal is going to happen in the next three months.

If you hadn't put the time limit, I'd have voted for "possible" As in "snowball's chance in hell" possible.

[Ma Deuce]

Not gonna happen. We've already discussed many times why the Israelis simply cannot pull this off.