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When do you think HD's will reach the TB range?

Posted: 2003-07-04 03:08am
by Dillon
Well we've been seeing HD space increasing at an exponential rate, so when do you predict the first TB range HD will be available on the market?

Posted: 2003-07-04 03:14am
by Dalton
2005.

Posted: 2003-07-04 03:26am
by Crayz9000
Whenever IBM perfects that optical hard drive they were working on.

Posted: 2003-07-04 04:10am
by Pu-239
What about IBM's mechanical chip thingy I saw in scientific american?

Posted: 2003-07-04 04:34am
by SPOOFE
2005? I'll take that and raise the ante, and say by the second quarter of 2004.

Posted: 2003-07-04 12:27pm
by YT300000
Dalton wrote:2005.
I think so too.

Posted: 2003-07-04 12:48pm
by Cal Wright
wow, and i thought my 80 gig was heavy hitter. i knew they 120gb, but what's the largets consumer HD available?

Posted: 2003-07-04 01:46pm
by Arthur_Tuxedo
On Newegg I've seen 240 gig drives.

Posted: 2003-07-04 02:21pm
by SyntaxVorlon
Can't wait till we hit gb ram.(I'd say around the same time as TB HD)
or Terahertz(2007 or so)

Posted: 2003-07-04 02:37pm
by TheFeniX
Access times will rise and rise with all that platter increase. It's not how much data we can cram into a HDD that worries me, it's accessing it afterwards.

Posted: 2003-07-04 02:51pm
by phongn
Rotational velocity keeps increasing, though, so seek times shouldn't be too bad, especially if they continue increasing areal density and/or add more platters.

I'm more concerned about reliability - it's no secret that IDE drives as of late have not been stellar in that concern.

Posted: 2003-07-04 02:52pm
by phongn
SPOOFE wrote:2005? I'll take that and raise the ante, and say by the second quarter of 2004.
Eh, I'll go with 3Q 2004.

Posted: 2003-07-04 08:35pm
by SPOOFE
Can't wait till we hit gb ram.(I'd say around the same time as TB HD)
Gigabyte sticks of RAM already exist. They're really expensive, though, about three times as much as 512 mb RAM (which looks like it'll be the new standard for the next year or so).

Posted: 2003-07-04 08:38pm
by Asst. Asst. Lt. Cmdr. Smi
At the rate they've been increasing, I'd say in a year or two, depending on the demand for really big hard drives. What I'm wondering is when they'll go below $1,000, when computers will reach the petabyte range, and if the increasing amounts of HD space stops.

Posted: 2003-07-04 08:50pm
by phongn
SPOOFE wrote:
Can't wait till we hit gb ram.(I'd say around the same time as TB HD)
Gigabyte sticks of RAM already exist. They're really expensive, though, about three times as much as 512 mb RAM (which looks like it'll be the new standard for the next year or so).
I've actually seen 2GB sticks of RAM, but they're hideously expensive.

Posted: 2003-07-04 08:50pm
by phongn
Asst. Asst. Lt. Cmdr. Smi wrote:At the rate they've been increasing, I'd say in a year or two, depending on the demand for really big hard drives. What I'm wondering is when they'll go below $1,000, when computers will reach the petabyte range, and if the increasing amounts of HD space stops.
There will always be demand for more storage from various sectors - mostly scientific and media.

Posted: 2003-07-04 08:57pm
by Sea Skimmer
phongn wrote: There will always be demand for more storage from various sectors - mostly scientific and media.
Probably militaries as well, especially with entirely new types of sensors coming into service, Ladar, and all sort of autonomous weapons in development.

Posted: 2003-07-04 11:42pm
by kojikun
1gb sticks at pricewatch are around 160-190 dollars for PC2700-PC3500 or there about. Not expensive at all.

Posted: 2003-07-05 07:43pm
by SPOOFE
... Until you look at prices for 512 mb sticks. However, I remember back when 4 mb chips cost several hundred dollars apiece.

Posted: 2003-07-05 07:45pm
by Crayz9000
kojikun wrote:1gb sticks at pricewatch are around 160-190 dollars for PC2700-PC3500 or there about. Not expensive at all.
Problem is that those memory sticks advertised are usually Samsung or some other cheap brand; worse yet, you can get factory seconds and not even know it. Better to get a reliable brand such as Kingston or Corsair rather than suffer memory glitches.

Posted: 2003-07-05 08:19pm
by phongn
Crayz9000 wrote:
kojikun wrote:1gb sticks at pricewatch are around 160-190 dollars for PC2700-PC3500 or there about. Not expensive at all.
Problem is that those memory sticks advertised are usually Samsung or some other cheap brand; worse yet, you can get factory seconds and not even know it. Better to get a reliable brand such as Kingston or Corsair rather than suffer memory glitches.
Samsung actually makes good RAM, but you have to be careful what Samsung RAM you get.

Posted: 2003-07-05 08:20pm
by phongn
SPOOFE wrote:... Until you look at prices for 512 mb sticks. However, I remember back when 4 mb chips cost several hundred dollars apiece.
My dad had two computers with 32MB of RAM in 1990 :D

Posted: 2003-07-05 08:21pm
by Keevan_Colton
phongn wrote:
SPOOFE wrote:... Until you look at prices for 512 mb sticks. However, I remember back when 4 mb chips cost several hundred dollars apiece.
My dad had two computers with 32MB of RAM in 1990 :D
The ones I've had dont really count as they were never "mine" they were simply borrowed from my dad's work over the years....except for this box....this one is mine! All MINE!!!! Bwhahahahahahaha!
:D

Posted: 2003-07-05 11:53pm
by Einhander Sn0m4n
Crayz9000 wrote:
kojikun wrote:1gb sticks at pricewatch are around 160-190 dollars for PC2700-PC3500 or there about. Not expensive at all.
Problem is that those memory sticks advertised are usually Samsung or some other cheap brand; worse yet, you can get factory seconds and not even know it. Better to get a reliable brand such as Kingston or Corsair rather than suffer memory glitches.
Memory Glitches... EUGH!!

I think that's what's causing me to BSOD every day. Two PC100s and a PC133, what a nightmare of patchwork engineering!

Posted: 2003-07-06 12:02am
by phongn
That isn't neccessarily an issue if you run both at PC100. Still, run Memtest86 and see if there are any problems.