After several rereads, I wish to present a non incompetent version of what evolved in IA 8 .
What was the strategic goals and scope of the operation?
From the introduction
Chapter 1a raid into Ork-controlled space to try to stem the growth of a Waagh!
The mission strategic impact was to stop or slow down the growth of an Ork Waagh.Captain Thanstadt and his Guardsmen of the 181st Elysian Drop Regiment, supported by Space Marines of the Legio Astartes Raven Guard were about to interrupt Garaghak's momentum by launching a high-speed surgical raid upon Kastorel-Novem.
However, the Imperium had already made a fatal flawed assessment.
Chapter 1
Chapter 7Warlord Garaghak's attacks had not officially become a full Waaagh!-yet, but alarmingly the momentum was obviously building behind it.
The misidentification of Garaghak and the Ork war/migratory status and the implications in numbers. This would roll over into the issues of target selection and the raid objectives, however, its main impact would be on the raider forces.It took the fall of Forsarr and then magdelene IX before the Administratum finally recognised Garaghak's attacks as a full Waagh!, when arguably it had been exactly that since his victory in the Tallarax war. The wheels of the Imperium's bureaucracy had been characteristically slow to react.
Chapter 7
So, why wasn't more manpower deployed to assault Kastorel?The major mistake had been the under-estimating of Ork strength. The raiders had simply not had the manpower to deal with the massive number of Orks present on Kastorel-Novem.
From the timeline
Chapter 1935979.M41 Departmento Munitorum officials order more Imperial Guard regiments to defend Forsarr hive world. Their logis predictions make Forsarr the next target for Garaghak's conquests.
705988.M41 Garaghak launches his long expected invasion of Forsarr. Millions of orks rampage across the hive world in a war which will eventually last eight years.
541992.M41 Raid on Kastorel-Novem...
Forsarr was the main pirority for reinforcements, being the centre of Imperium power in the sector and has been engaged in 4 years of war.The brave sacrifices on Tallarax and Kastorel-Novem had bought the Imperium some time to bolster the next line of defences. As yet the Imperium had not mustered an army capable of delivering an effective counter-attack or retaking any of the lost planets but the Departmento Munitorum had searched its local strategic reserves for Imperial Guard regiments to deploy onto Forsarr itself.
While this is left unsaid, I suspect that this not only limited the troops available, it also limited the type available.
The war on Forsarr might had chewed up a more powerful or veteran regiment. Alternative choices, such as using an armoured regiment to assault to the site might had not been available.The Departmento Munitorum had rated its combat readiness as optimum when it received its orders for transportation to the Forsarr war zone. It was that optimum rating that had seen it selected for the Kastorel-Novem mission, at the Raven Guards' request.
Additional Guard regiments might had protected certain weaknesses from being exploited by the Orks. An armour or artillery regiment to defend the landing zone, or additional Rough Riders/armoured infantry to defend their flank/speed up the assault might had changed the scenario.
The Raven Guards were the originators of the raid. What were their strategic goals?
its other captains could then plan and execute a series of their trademark lightning attacks. These would be targeted to strike at the Orks' weak points. The Raven Guard wanted to minimise the risk of facing the Ork hordes in open battle.That task they would leave to the Imperial Guard regiments which were digging in to defend Forsarr. The time might come for open battle, but first they would raid deep into Ork territory.By stealth and infiltration, and then with a series of swift powerful strikes, they would systematically target and destroy key Ork bases and leaders.
The Raven strategic doctrine was to act as special forces and use assymetric warfare against the Orks. Nothing wrong with this strategy so far. The goal on Kastorel-Novem was to disrupt manufacturing/supplies with another primary target of eliminating the Mek boss.Here was an opportunity for the Raven Guard to attack Garaghak's horde without confronting the strength of his warbands. If they could disrupt his weapons manufacturing facilities, the knock-on effect would slow or stall the invasion of Forsarr and buy more time to deploy fresh Imperial Guard troops and stabilise the crumbling defences. On Kastorel-Novem the Raven Guard could also target the Ork leadership.
We see the first mistake emerge here. Both goals were deemed as equally important in the planning, which leads to mission creep. The Raven Guard could not mobilise a large enough force to actually attack alone. Instead,
two strike forces were quickly assembled. The first would be dispatched to Forsarr to help on the front line against the tide of greenskins now sweeping from hive city to hive city.
The Ravens were forced to deploy two seperate strike forces instead of one large SM force. A possibility could be politics. There were multiple requests for aid pouring in, and the Chapter deemed it appropiate to deploy a strike force to Forsarr. To compensate for insufficient numbers, possibly influenced by the poor strategic assessment of the Waaagh!, the Ravens tacked on a larger IG regiment.In return for the pledge of Shrike's aid, the Raven Guard also requested and received assistance.
The objectives were split up, the marines would eliminate the leadership, the Guard would eliminate the manufacturing facillities.
The plans however, revealed a more... sneaky aspect of Marines tactics, practicality and brutality.
The Elysians were a diversion, to deliberately draw forces away from the Mek Boss so that the Marines could first locate, and then kill him. This was echoed even in the fuel dump mission.In the general confusion of the fighting and with the Orks already fully distracted by the Elysians, the Raven Guard would be able to overwhelm the Ork commander's bodyguards and kill him
Based on these operational details, the Raven strategic planning becomes more clear. Shrike would answer the incessant plea for aid from the IG on a critical front. This gave the Ravens a diversion Guard force to attack an important target, avoiding the risk of losing more precious Space Marines in a pinning attack. A famous hero would also answer the PR battle,making this a win-win-win situation on all fronts......if the raid was successful.once the battle was in full swing, a small orbital insertion force would be dropped from the Aeruginosus. The timing would prevent the Orks being able to react to the attack and give the smaller force time to defeat the guards and set demolition charges.
This strategic consideration would answer the operational as well as tactical decisions the Marines make later in the field.
The last strategic factor was time. Intel from the planet was obtained after the invasion of Forsarr had occurred. Circumstances(presumably the potential discovery of Raven scouts or changing tactical situation) drove the Guard to take only 3 days to mobilise and deploy a regiment assigned to Forsarr and the Marines rendevous point. Given the complexities of the operational plan the Elysians came up with, this would prevent them from training or doing anything apart from the most cursory planning for the raid.