The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

Post by spartasman »

PeZook wrote:This is ridiculous ; Why the hell are they landing straight in the best defended regions of the planet? Eastern Poland is right between two utterly massive formations of WARPAC troops, while West Germany is crawling with NATO forces. Incidentally, the ragion has some of the highest concentration of airspace defences on Earth at the time, as well as massive stockpiles of tactical nuclear weapons. They're essentially trying to force a landing against an extremely well prepared enemy.
The Race would be trying to neutralize any threat against them by, say, driving a wedge between to utterly massive formations of WARPAC troops, or by landing right on top of a confused West Germany which is crawling with confused NATO forces.
PeZook wrote:So freakin' New York is well-defended enough to stop the landings cold, but the enormous air defence network of the Warsaw Pact isn't? It's the 70s ; The Soviet Union has been building a truly fearsome air defence network for twenty years now.
its 1966, the United States has every airbase and missile north of the Mason Dixon line killing the landings in New York. In Poland, the Soviet union has to deal with not only EMP, but with the masses of killercraft supporting the landing sites, which are considerably larger and more important than the ones in New York.
PeZook wrote:Why would they do that instead of blasting the lizards with battlefield nuclear weapons?
Because 20 nuclear warhead detonated in Poland are going to be sending radiation drifting back into Russa, and because nuclear weapons detonated at the head of the Yangtze are going to flow down-river and poison the crops the Chinese need to feed their ridiculously large, and until recently, starving, population.
PeZook wrote:So...the National Guard is able to "contain" the Race, but all the Soviets can do is throw waves of men and tanks at them in a futile effort? :D

And again, why wouldn't the USSR just use nuclear and chemical weapons the moment the lizards start murdering millions of civilians? Or even way before that?
The National Guard is operating on their home turf, supported by every pissed-off hillbilly in Texas, the Soviets are stationed in Poland to counter any NATO aggression and are trying to counter-attack freakin' space invaders that have just cut their forces in half, disrupted their communications, and who are confused as hell as to what the situation is.
PeZook wrote: This is completely insane. Why do you think Russians are irrational morons who'd react this way? They're not stupid and never were ; They don't need a war with NATO when fucking space aliens are trying to seize the planet!

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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

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phongn wrote:
PeZook wrote:So, uh, you punish Straha by leaving him in sole control of the fleet for 24 years?
Minor nit - Race years, which are half that of Earth years. The invasion begins 1966, not 1976.
No, it really is Earth years. Tau Ceti is 12 light years away in earth units, so it takes 24 earth years to send a signal and get a response. The guy who advocated destroying the earth is going to be in charge of the fleet for 24 years while his opposition returns to hibernation and he witnesses the situation on the ground get worse and worse. This was explained earlier regarding why it was impractical for Atvar to call home for orders.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

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spartasman wrote:The Race would be trying to neutralize any threat against them by, say, driving a wedge between to utterly massive formations of WARPAC troops, or by landing right on top of a confused West Germany which is crawling with confused NATO forces.
Wait. So the plan for neutralizing a huge army full of confused men with nuclear weapons is to land in the middle of them?

I don't about you, but "in the middle of" and "confused men with nuclear weapons" don't sound like they mix well to me.
Because 20 nuclear warhead detonated in Poland are going to be sending radiation drifting back into Russa, and because nuclear weapons detonated at the head of the Yangtze are going to flow down-river and poison the crops the Chinese need to feed their ridiculously large, and until recently, starving, population.
Ahem. We're talking about countries run by ruthless hardass men like Nikita Kruschchev and Mao Zedong here...

See, I think one problem with your plotting is that you tend to overestimate the effectiveness of individual nuclear weapons on an enemy prepared to deal with them. Remember that during this era, everyone was planning to fight a nuclear world war. The doctrine for armies was basically "What, you got nuked? Pansy. Radiation poisoning doesn't set in for days. Get up and walk it off."

Yeah, I'm exaggerating, but not by much. These people would definitely nuke first and worry about the radiation hazard later. And their offensives would not be stopped by setting off one, or two, or probably even ten nukes. Not unless each nuke was something the size of Tsar Bomba that would give everyone in a forty-mile radius face-melting burns or something.
PeZook wrote: This is completely insane. Why do you think Russians are irrational morons who'd react this way? They're not stupid and never were ; They don't need a war with NATO when fucking space aliens are trying to seize the planet!

Communism doesn't make people behave like cartoon villains.
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...Do you have any concept of how retarded that makes you sound?

Someone complains that your plot makes no sense, and you laugh it off by referencing a cartoon character? A cheesy cartoon character, one specifically written to parody the very kind of stupidly evil guy you seem to be writing the entire Soviet government as full of?
spartasman wrote:
phongn wrote:Why? This is completely and totally absurd. You can't just handwave this away because This Is The Way You Want It. Someone in their backyard could see the fleet and get a message out to the press.
How many "UFO" siting were made during the 1960's? How many do you think actually made it to the press? Even if you could see a hundred lights in the sky during the daytime, the government could simply say that it is a weather anomaly, and with all the observatories and reputable astronomers being kept quiet, who other than the tabloids are going to say they are wrong?
Oh, for the love of...

Look, I once tried to do the same thing with a government coverup of alien activity. Plotted out the story, haven't written it yet. But there's a huge difference between what you're doing and what I'm doing.

See, what you're doing is handwaving away problems by giving people in your story whatever miracles they need, so that you can write the events you want to happen. What I did was tone down the events until they fit with a logical human reaction to the situation, so that I didn't need Magic Government Coverup powers to explain how it stayed a secret for so long.

That meant making the alien presence relatively non-obtrusive. That meant that governments actually tried to develop weapons to counter attack from space, even if they weren't fully up-front about their reasons for doing so. Neither of which seems to be happening in your scenario. Governments behave exactly as they would without the signs of alien attack until the very instant at which the aliens do attack, and even a highly visible alien presence is completely ignored by the public because, for some unclear reason, the Man wants to keep it a secret. Not good.
phongn wrote:Why are they landing in those places? What are the objectives? Can the invasion sites hope to link up before they are defeated in detail? And, as always: logistics, logistics, logistics.
The Race are supplying themselves from space, logistics are not dependent on control of roads or cities, at least at first. The Races objectives are to destroy any military threat to their dominance and then assert their control over the planet.
Why do they destroy military threats by landing their forces smack in the middle of large nuclear-equipped armies, though?

As for logistics, that's mostly a problem with the landings in places like Asia and Africa. The Lizards have to pick landing sites for their spacecraft where they can easily move troops and equipment outward in all directions, and where they can easily bring in raw materials and food inward towards their own central depots. They can't keep supplying troops from space indefinitely; it's more expensive than it's worth.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

Post by spartasman »

Simon_Jester wrote:Wait. So the plan for neutralizing a huge army full of confused men with nuclear weapons is to land in the middle of them?

I don't about you, but "in the middle of" and "confused men with nuclear weapons" don't sound like they mix well to me.
well, they would have a choice. They could land a hundred thousand miles away from them, allowing the the Soviets to use their nuclear arsenal against them unhindered, or they could sit on their heads, engage them directly and force them to make the choice of either nuking Poland (and spreading Radiation throughout the Warsaw Pact nations), or slugging it out on the ground. Besides, isn't it the Races nature to be direct and stubborn?
Simon_Jester wrote:Ahem. We're talking about countries run by ruthless hardass men like Nikita Kruschchev and Mao Zedong here...

See, I think one problem with your plotting is that you tend to overestimate the effectiveness of individual nuclear weapons on an enemy prepared to deal with them. Remember that during this era, everyone was planning to fight a nuclear world war. The doctrine for armies was basically "What, you got nuked? Pansy. Radiation poisoning doesn't set in for days. Get up and walk it off."

Yeah, I'm exaggerating, but not by much. These people would definitely nuke first and worry about the radiation hazard later. And their offensives would not be stopped by setting off one, or two, or probably even ten nukes. Not unless each nuke was something the size of Tsar Bomba that would give everyone in a forty-mile radius face-melting burns or something.
Leonid Brezhev was in control of the Soviet Union at this time, but if that actually has anything to do with anything, I can't say. I have to believe that the Soviet Union would worry about nuking their own allies, and irradiating their own nation. I mean, I'm accused of making the Soviets stupid, but I don't think they would be THAT idiotic.

On the effectiveness of nuclear weapons on the Soviet Army, they would have SOME effect. One of the U.S strategies during the 50's and 60's was to create a wall of radiation with nuclear artillery in Germany to buy NATO the time needed to mobilize.That would lead me to believe the idea of the Race creating their own wall of radiation wouldn't be too ineffective.
Simon_Jester wrote:...Do you have any concept of how retarded that makes you sound?

Someone complains that your plot makes no sense, and you laugh it off by referencing a cartoon character? A cheesy cartoon character, one specifically written to parody the very kind of stupidly evil guy you seem to be writing the entire Soviet government as full of?
I knew the moment I posted it that it was childish and stupid, but when I initially read his comment I immediately thought of Rocky & Bullwinkle. But for a real answer to the question, with the Race being slowly squeezed out of Poland, the Soviet Union would begin to look towards re-gaining the integrity of the Warsaw Pact. Seeing the Bundeswehr in East Germany might raise concerns to the Soviet Unions allies, as East Germany was meant to be a buffer against any attack against the Warsaw Pact.
Simon_Jester wrote:Governments behave exactly as they would without the signs of alien attack until the very instant at which the aliens do attack, and even a highly visible alien presence is completely ignored by the public because, for some unclear reason, the Man wants to keep it a secret. Not good.
Who's to say that the Government doesn't have some super weapon hidden somewhere? But really, how interesting would the story be if a railgun in Area 51 begins destroying the conquest fleet within 20 minutes of the Race invading ? This isn't to say that the Governments can't have something, but the integrity of the plot does have to be compromised with reality.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

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You don't get the race is going to be fighting a TACTICAL NUCLEAR WAR against both NATO and WARPAC. Simultaneously. I think both sides were prepared to accept up to fifty million casualties in the opening exchange of a nuclear war, and that's not even counting China. The race would get enveloped and defeated in detail in europe and the US.

There wouldn't be german invasions, or nuclear exchanges between the west and east, it would just be lizard stomping time.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

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spartasman wrote:How many "UFO" siting were made during the 1960's? How many do you think actually made it to the press? Even if you could see a hundred lights in the sky during the daytime, the government could simply say that it is a weather anomaly, and with all the observatories and reputable astronomers being kept quiet, who other than the tabloids are going to say they are wrong?
Still absurd. The papers could replicate it for themselves, and do you think they're going to cover this up for years, decades? These aren't transient sightings, these are years of observation. People might well be able to see it with the naked eye. Furthermore, even if the governments are covering this up from the populace as a whole, they sure as hell will be making their own plans.
I will admit that I am most likely wrong on this. It was my understanding that civilian electronics and military gear were coming out of the vacuum tube stage in the mid 1960s.
Vacuum tubes don't matter. The military network is hardened, transistor or tube. A large portion of the civilian network is hardened. The US long-distance telephone network is hardened (at least in the days of Ma Bell).
The Race are supplying themselves from space, logistics are not dependent on control of roads or cities, at least at first. The Races objectives are to destroy any military threat to their dominance and then assert their control over the planet.
Logistics are dependent on roads, unless you think your spaceships are going to refuel tanks. In fact, it's worse for the Race since they burn H2 in their engines, which has a rather low energy density.
spartasman wrote:The Race would be trying to neutralize any threat against them by, say, driving a wedge between to utterly massive formations of WARPAC troops, or by landing right on top of a confused West Germany which is crawling with confused NATO forces.
A wedge? Put another way, the Race has just opened themselves to encirclement and destruction.
its 1966, the United States has every airbase and missile north of the Mason Dixon line killing the landings in New York. In Poland, the Soviet union has to deal with not only EMP, but with the masses of killercraft supporting the landing sites, which are considerably larger and more important than the ones in New York.
The BOMARC batteries can engage the landings against New York at range, yes, but the Nike batteries don't have the range. As noted, EMP isn't going to bother the Red Army, and Frontal Aviation has a whole lot of aircraft to throw at the enemy. An enemy, incidentialy, which is well-trained but has zero experience.
Because 20 nuclear warhead detonated in Poland are going to be sending radiation drifting back into Russa, and because nuclear weapons detonated at the head of the Yangtze are going to flow down-river and poison the crops the Chinese need to feed their ridiculously large, and until recently, starving, population.
You really don't know how nuclear weapons work. These are battlefield weapons which are airbursting and generating trivial amounts of fallout.
The National Guard is operating on their home turf, supported by every pissed-off hillbilly in Texas, the Soviets are stationed in Poland to counter any NATO aggression and are trying to counter-attack freakin' space invaders that have just cut their forces in half, disrupted their communications, and who are confused as hell as to what the situation is.
So ... the National Guard is trying to counter-invade freakin' space invaders that are landing all around then, who have disrupted their communications and are confused as hell as to what the situation is?
spartasman wrote:Well, they would have a choice. They could land a hundred thousand miles away from them, allowing the the Soviets to use their nuclear arsenal against them unhindered, or they could sit on their heads, engage them directly and force them to make the choice of either nuking Poland (and spreading Radiation throughout the Warsaw Pact nations), or slugging it out on the ground. Besides, isn't it the Races nature to be direct and stubborn?
You think the Russians are going to care about nuking Poland in the face of an alien invasion? The US was going to use tactical nuclear weapons in West Germany!
Leonid Brezhev was in control of the Soviet Union at this time, but if that actually has anything to do with anything, I can't say. I have to believe that the Soviet Union would worry about nuking their own allies, and irradiating their own nation. I mean, I'm accused of making the Soviets stupid, but I don't think they would be THAT idiotic.

On the effectiveness of nuclear weapons on the Soviet Army, they would have SOME effect. One of the U.S strategies during the 50's and 60's was to create a wall of radiation with nuclear artillery in Germany to buy NATO the time needed to mobilize.That would lead me to believe the idea of the Race creating their own wall of radiation wouldn't be too ineffective.
You don't understand nuclear weapons or nuclear war. The US strategic wasn't to create a "wall of radiation". The 1950s 'New Look' strategy was to make it plainly obvious that any attack into West Germany would immediately escalate to nuclear warfare, at which point SAC would erase the USSR from the planet.
Who's to say that the Government doesn't have some super weapon hidden somewhere? But really, how interesting would the story be if a railgun in Area 51 begins destroying the conquest fleet within 20 minutes of the Race invading ? This isn't to say that the Governments can't have something, but the integrity of the plot does have to be compromised with reality.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

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spartasman wrote:Well, they would have a choice. They could land a hundred thousand miles away from them, allowing the the Soviets to use their nuclear arsenal against them unhindered, or they could sit on their heads, engage them directly and force them to make the choice of either nuking Poland (and spreading Radiation throughout the Warsaw Pact nations), or slugging it out on the ground. Besides, isn't it the Races nature to be direct and stubborn?
There's "direct and stubborn" and then there's "too dumb to live." Landing in the middle of millions of confused men with everything from AK-47s up through T-55s to tactical nukes... that's the latter.
Simon_Jester wrote:See, I think one problem with your plotting is that you tend to overestimate the effectiveness of individual nuclear weapons on an enemy prepared to deal with them. Remember that during this era, everyone was planning to fight a nuclear world war. The doctrine for armies was basically "What, you got nuked? Pansy. Radiation poisoning doesn't set in for days. Get up and walk it off."

Yeah, I'm exaggerating, but not by much. These people would definitely nuke first and worry about the radiation hazard later. And their offensives would not be stopped by setting off one, or two, or probably even ten nukes. Not unless each nuke was something the size of Tsar Bomba that would give everyone in a forty-mile radius face-melting burns or something.
Leonid Brezhev was in control of the Soviet Union at this time, but if that actually has anything to do with anything, I can't say. I have to believe that the Soviet Union would worry about nuking their own allies, and irradiating their own nation. I mean, I'm accused of making the Soviets stupid, but I don't think they would be THAT idiotic.
Remember that by this point in history, people had already set off hundreds of nuclear bombs all over the world, just to see whether or not they'd work. The world conspicuously failed to end. And the Soviets know this.

Radiation isn't a magic curse. Like all real things, the amount of it you get depends on how much you make. And when the Martians are landing, your tolerance for "how much is too much?" is rather high. Unless you really like being conquered by the reptile-monsters from Tau Ceti.
I knew the moment I posted it that it was childish and stupid, but when I initially read his comment I immediately thought of Rocky & Bullwinkle. But for a real answer to the question, with the Race being slowly squeezed out of Poland, the Soviet Union would begin to look towards re-gaining the integrity of the Warsaw Pact. Seeing the Bundeswehr in East Germany might raise concerns to the Soviet Unions allies, as East Germany was meant to be a buffer against any attack against the Warsaw Pact.
They would desire to regain the integrity of the Warsaw Pact. What does not make sense is that, like a foolish and greedy child, they would grasp at what they desire even when it's guaranteed to get them killed. Risking a war with NATO while alien ships still orbit the planet is too high a price to pay to secure East Germany.

Also, I submit that you should not do things you believe to be childish and stupid, at least not until you've laid down a baseline of highly intelligent behavior so that people know you're only joking. I wasn't sure that was a joke, you see.
Who's to say that the Government doesn't have some super weapon hidden somewhere? But really, how interesting would the story be if a railgun in Area 51 begins destroying the conquest fleet within 20 minutes of the Race invading ? This isn't to say that the Governments can't have something, but the integrity of the plot does have to be compromised with reality.
Who said anything about superweapons? I'm just talking about weapons that are logically designed to fight the threat. They don't have to be all that "super;" they just have to work. And they do need to be there, if you're going to imply that governments have known about the attack all along. Governments don't ignore that kind of threat entirely.

As for "the integrity of the plot does have to be compromised with reality..." You're still at a stage where deliberately compromising realism for the sake of plot is dangerous, because you seem to have trouble writing a realistic plot at all. Once you understand reality clearly enough to know how things ought to work, it's much easier to write stories that feature violations of realism without having readers bang their heads on the wall. Because then you'll know what non-realistic things people are willing to tolerate, and what will merely make the author look foolish.

You have to know the rules before you can break them for artistic purposes, and your plots don't make me confident that you know the rules.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

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The National Guard is operating on their home turf, supported by every pissed-off hillbilly in Texas, the Soviets are stationed in Poland to counter any NATO aggression and are trying to counter-attack freakin' space invaders that have just cut their forces in half, disrupted their communications, and who are confused as hell as to what the situation is.
I really, really, really hate the "pissed off hillbilly" trope.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

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What I hate is the image of them being militarily effective without discipline, communications, and a chain of command. At best they're a light infantry force, and even the toughest among them are going to be warriors, not soldiers.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

Post by spartasman »

phongn wrote:Logistics are dependent on roads, unless you think your spaceships are going to refuel tanks. In fact, it's worse for the Race since they burn H2 in their engines, which has a rather low energy density.
The Race do refuel their tanks from their spaceships, the fleets ships have tanks in which they electrolyze water to get hydrogen. Of course, they need supply depots on the planet to store it and roads to move it to where it needs to be, but in essence their supply of fuel is grounded in orbit.
phongn wrote:A wedge? Put another way, the Race has just opened themselves to encirclement and destruction.
With landings in Germany tackling Soviet troops stationed there, the Race would be able to deal with the Soviets in detail. Besides, they are already "encircled", being that they just landed in the middle of of the Warsaw Pact nations.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

Post by CaptainChewbacca »

If you parachute down into the middle of a pack of angry attack dogs, the dogs are in a perfect position to bite your ass, not the other way around. You are grossly underestimating soviet military flexibility, the race would be annihilated.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

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Look at it this way: the Race is not going to land in perfect combat formation with all elements in place, ready to assault in the direction of their choosing. There's going to be a massive mess at the landing sites as units are sorted out, equipment unloaded, command points established, terrain and objectives assigned, etc.

Look at the airborne landings in Normandy and how well they went.

On the other hand, the Soviets already have their units formed, their equipment ready and supplies stockpiled. First-wave units in Western Germany had to expect a nuclear attack against their machine parks at any moments, and got really good at rapidly forming into combat-capable formations.

Some had tactical nuclear weapons at their local armories.

If the National Guard (civilians living far away from their equipment) is able to mobilize in time to challenge the Race, the Soviets will be able to do at least as well.

Except with way more mushroom clouds.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

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-1966

-The infantrymales are readied and the fleet takes up orbit around Tosev 3. However, this does not go unnoticed by those on earth, who had previously known of alien existence due to intercepted messages and a few probes which had been shot down. All observatories and other installations capable of detecting the fleet are silenced by various governments around Earth, and the U.N. secretly attempts to communicate with the Race.
By that time everyone on Earth will know there is presence of alien ships in our solar system. To enter orbit around Sol they have to slow down and as soon as they fire up engines to brake from interstellar cruise velocity they will become highly visible. The exhaust plumes will be pointed roughly at our solar system and only the blind will miss dozens of very bright stars that suddenly appeared out of nowhere. As the ships come closer still burning their engines to slow down from c fractional velocity they will become even brighter. From the description (carrying millions of soldiers and their equipment to fight planetary scale ground war) these ships are multi million ton monsters with appropertially sized monster engines putting out who knows how many petawatts of power.

There is no way how fleet that large could do an entry in our solar system and hang out there for more than ten years without being discovered by every amateur astronomer on the planet.

When the fleet comes from their outer solar system pitstop to Earth their braking burn to enter Earth orbit will probably look like dozens of new suns had suddenly appeared in our sky. In other words those ships will be riding on a pillar of continuous nuclear explosion. Good luck hiding that from general public.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

Post by spartasman »

well, somehow they weren't noticed in the original series. That is of course an oversight by Turtledove, but it sure is convenient.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

Post by phongn »

spartasman wrote:well, somehow they weren't noticed in the original series. That is of course an oversight by Turtledove, but it sure is convenient.
Turtledove overlooks a great many things.
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

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spartasman wrote:
phongn wrote:Logistics are dependent on roads, unless you think your spaceships are going to refuel tanks. In fact, it's worse for the Race since they burn H2 in their engines, which has a rather low energy density.
The Race do refuel their tanks from their spaceships, the fleets ships have tanks in which they electrolyze water to get hydrogen. Of course, they need supply depots on the planet to store it and roads to move it to where it needs to be, but in essence their supply of fuel is grounded in orbit.
Logistics is not about "where do they make the fuel?" It is about "How do we get this shit to the battlefield?"

Unless the Lizards land a starship or shuttle every time they need to gas up a few tanks (and that is incredibly dumb, in the literal sense of "I cannot believe how dumb that is"), they depend very, very heavily on land-based infrastructure. Which some of the places you dropped them in don't have.
With landings in Germany tackling Soviet troops stationed there, the Race would be able to deal with the Soviets in detail. Besides, they are already "encircled", being that they just landed in the middle of of the Warsaw Pact nations.
Being trapped in the middle of a huge army doesn't automatically guarantee "defeat in detail." This plan sounds entirely too much like Dien Bien Phu to me.
PeZook wrote:Look at it this way: the Race is not going to land in perfect combat formation with all elements in place, ready to assault in the direction of their choosing. There's going to be a massive mess at the landing sites as units are sorted out, equipment unloaded, command points established, terrain and objectives assigned, etc.

Look at the airborne landings in Normandy and how well they went.
Though the Lizards at least land in ships; it's more like a helicopter-borne landing than a parachute drop if you ask me. Still probably not good enough.
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PeZook
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Re: The Race Vs. Earth in 2010

Post by PeZook »

Simon_Jester wrote: Though the Lizards at least land in ships; it's more like a helicopter-borne landing than a parachute drop if you ask me. Still probably not good enough.
Yeah, and their guidance systems are probably much better than WWII, but you still need to physically drive the tanks down the ramp, sort them into combat units, move them away from the ship to make space for the next batch (which means staking out secure staging areas all around the place), sort out their logistical and command tail and do all the myriad other things that need to happen before the first shot is even fired.
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