aerius wrote:Spoonist wrote:Now you are getting me pissed.
Yeah? And? Ask me if I give a shit.
Obviously you do cause you are getting pissed to, your language and posture is changing along with mine. Why do you even try to obfiscate such things?
aerius wrote:Spoonist wrote:I address every and any point you make and you just skip whole sections rehashing shit I've already covered?
Check out the rules on this forum you should know them by now.
You made the claims, you either prove them or concede them. I'm not here to do your homework.
Why should I answer when you're just deliberately mis-representing the arguments. What J and myself claim is that the vision for renewables, which is to become the primary source of energy and provide 80% or so of energy needs ain't gonna happen. You've somehow taken this to mean that we're saying all renewables are fucked, and we should just shitcan renewables. Which is a claim which has never been made.
Fuck that bullshit. I've been abundantly clear about which parts of the claims I object to. With a header including "with a dose of reality" you are bound to get flack for unsubstantiated shit. From my first post
"That is ignorant on a vast scale. We have utilized renewable energy for as long as we have been creating human civilizations. We are still doing this and are expanding the concepts today. You would have to use a pretty damn silly definition of "as envisaged by its proponents" to make that stick. "
Then you tried to defend that claim, so how about we go back to what I said in response?
http://bbs.stardestroyer.net/viewtopic. ... 0#p3729140
1) As I stated above, I'm in the automation business, specifically simulation softwares. The company I work for though is very much in the energy business.
2) Proof of what? I did strikethrough on about twenty-thirty sentences, how about you pick one and we go from there?
3) Which thing did you think would be disproven by the capacity numbers? Please explain your line of thinking otherwise its impossible to argue for or against it.
4) You are mixing issues that have nothing to do with eachother.
5) You can't falsify a whole business segment by pointing at a single project or installation. Just like you can't say car manufacturing will never work because some car models didn't.
6) What do you want me to explain about windfarms that you don't understand? Feasability studies? ROI calculations? Governement subsidies? The difference between euro and americas politics?
7) The so called european supergrid is not a requirement for larger windfarms or even for huge ones. Where did you get that silly idea?
8} The so called european supergrid is just a vision. It is not a project. So that is a huge strawman if you want to disprove the validity of specific energy sources. Especially since such a vision would work equally well with other power sources.
Most of that vision is pure speculation on extrapolation from existing market trends anyway.
9) You do realise that if country X, Y and Z do a grid investment with a good ROI etc. Then whether or not the polititians claim that it is part of the "future euro supergrid" then that has zero relevance as a pro-con to the project itself?
Like if the
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Sea_Offshore_Grid is a viable project just for opening the energy markets of those involved, regardless of type of energy supplied into it. If the polititians want to get some extra EU grants or voter credibility by adding certain currently popular key words then that is their business, but it does not in any way reduce the viability of the project itself.
10) Burden of proof. You do realise that the burden of proof lies on the one making a claim, right? J made the claims, you made the claims, the article made the claims. I simply pointed out the ones which where unsubstantiated, unfounded or aimed at strawmen.
11) Whether or not the vision of the so called european supergrid is viable or not is not an argument in itself against renewable power sources. Please explain why you back this strawman.
Now if you had actually not run away like a coward we could have had a productive discussion by addressing those numbers and extrapolating from there. But you can see that all the arguments are basically already there. For you to say that I'm misrepresenting you is childish when I quote you every time and adress every and any argument you make. If you didn't use silly claims and irrelevant data/studies to try to make your argument we wouldn't be here.
I am not arguing that you said "all renewables are fucked, and we should just shitcan renewables" I'm arguing against specific quotes and claims you have been making throughout. No misrepresentation necessary.
Just like your argument from the US stats was false. Or your use of the death numbers in the forbes article was baroque.
So by which silly definition of "as envisaged by its proponents" are you using to make that first claim I argued against stick? The green parties and interests of europe? Then yes, that is a pretty silly definition of renewable energy proponent in a discussion about the global energy market.
aerius wrote:Spoonist wrote:Goals and visions change all the time. Do you really think that if germany thought it couldn't remain competetive to maintain these goals they will go ahead anyway?
Who the fuck knows? Dumber things have happened before.
Ah, so your argument relies on Germany being idiots and dumb shit happens?
Yes dumb shit happens, but we adapt and overcome. The EU have the biggest grid supplying companies, for your scenario to work they would have to be idiots as well. But this still disregards the "they are already meeting targets hence higher goals" argument which you conveniently ignored. The total output is still positive. The trend is positive. Germany has the money. I agree that the targets are too ambitious due to my personal dislike of transforming food production into energy production and labeling such a practice as "renewable energy". But since your arguments haven't been against biofuels - lets not go there.
And this is still trying to blame a business segment for the workings of democracy. How do you propose we handle infrastructure decisions in democracies? Politics will be run by politicians, deal with it. The industry is.
aerius wrote:Spoonist wrote:a) The existing power sources include renewables. They are already there, plenty of them as per the cite you provided. So when I say with already existing power sources then how the fuck can you try to make that into a point trying to exclude renewables?
Fine. Let me rephrase that. Without the massive buildout in renewables required to meet the 80% goal. But I think you already know that and decided to deliberately mis-interpret my statement.
Actually I'm happy with that. Such rephrases is what I'm actually after. It sounds much more reasonable than what you said before. I don't give a shit about winning or losing debates, but I do give a shit about what claims are made and how we back them up. Hence why I appreciate rephrases like that. *tips hat*
aerius wrote:Spoonist wrote:b) The system does not, I repeat does not, remain simpler and more robust by not investing in so called smart grids. All distribution benefits. Even the distribution of nuke, coal, gas and whatever.
This is what I have been beating you and J with, the ROI on smart grids DOES NOT RELY ON POWER SOURCE. Yes it gives a better ROI on badly managed fluctuating ones, but they are not a requirement for such investments to meet ROI.
Smart means smart, not investing would be dumb.
Once again, no one ever claimed "don't invest in smart grids" you stupid fuck.
Which wasn't what I argued that you claimed. Your quote which you snipped out was "Without renewables, the required connections aren't as extensive and remain limited to the electrical grid itself. There's no interconnection to the natural gas plus steam/co-generation systems. The system remains simpler and more robust." In that simplified form that is simply a wrong statement. The smart grid visions which you have argued against before, like the so called euro supergrid, doesn't require an 80% target to make ROI or feasability sense. So your mixing the issues which does not rely on each other is a flawed argument.
Let's include the rephrase and add my own rewrite to what you said.
"Without the massive buildout in renewables required to meet a 80% goal, like germany's, then the required investments in grid infrastructure aren't as extensive and remain more limited to the electrical grid itself making for a more robust system. The system would also be simpler if you can exclude the need for energy storage ideas like elecrolyzing water."
Then you'd be making a statement that I could agree with. Now can you spot the difference? If so go back and recheck what I did the strikethrough on. Pick any of the sentances like I already asked you, thrice now, and we could expand it just like that to see if we agree.
Hence my middle-ground non hyperbole pragmatic post to you and J.
aerius wrote:Spoonist wrote:c)The interconnection to natural gas point I can't even deduce from dumb to normal text. What are you trying to say?
Yup, someone didn't read the BNU paper, that someone would be you. Let me summarize it for you. To provide for energy storage, surplus power is used to electrolyze water, the hydrogen is then reacted with carbon to form natural gas which is then stored in the existing natural gas infrastructure. That gas is then burned in combined cycle generating stations to keep the lights on and provide heating for buildings when renewables aren't generating enough power. Without the gas plants, connection points, and generating stations, renewables won't work as a primary energy source since they can't provide on-demand power. That's all in the paper, which you didn't read.
Lets see, did you mention energy storage - nope. Did you mention electrolyzation - nope. Did you mention a source - nope.
Ah, your lack of communicating must be due to me not having read that paper... Yea right, and sandman is a guardian along with father christmas saving your dreams from the nightmare king.