Kratman and RN Capabilities
Posted: 2010-04-04 09:00pm
Wow, the Nazi wanking Krautmann himself from Baen actually was briefly on HPCA, Stu?
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So a more powerful Imperial Germany at the on-set of the second World War, a America tht takes Manifest Destiny a bit further, as in the whole continent, and a united Africa that throws out all Europeans except allies and is basically Black Draka is possible!? Yay for the evil!Samuel wrote:
Liberia? The country that had a brutal civil war? Additionally, the problem in Africa isn't just social institutions, but disease and poverty, which this won't fix. That and the territories around Liberia got claimed by other powers.
Come to think of it, former slaves dumped in Africa would make a much better Draka than the one we got. They would have a motive to be insanely militaristic and reject European values.
It's a mix; the content had to be shaved down when we closed the thread. Kratman's contributions were mostly along the lines of something like "You. Are. Wrong. " without any further explanation. When we cleaned the thread up, they pretty much all got deleted. In fact, for some time I couldn't believe the person posting was Kratman since what he was saying was totally incompatible with the qualifications and experience he claimed to have. He was making very foolish mistakes and errors in fact that somebody who had achieved a reasonably high grade in the Army simply wouldn't make. Now, many moons later, I realize that he is so obsessed with Nazi supremacy that it's distorted everything else in his head. At a guess that's why his further services to the United States armed forces were declined.Scottish Ninja wrote: That sounds hilarious - is there any record of this, or was it swallowed by Yuku, never to be seen again? If there is I'd love to read that conversation.
Briefly, yes. He stomped off screaming that we were all too stupid to understand him. He got awarded the custom title of "Nazi Cocksucker" (I had to make a programming change to allow it) but he never reappeared and so it was never used. He came across as an extremely unpleasant person.The Duchess of Zeon wrote:Wow, the Nazi wanking Krautmann himself from Baen actually was briefly on HPCA, Stu?
Basically because accepting an armistice would have been accepting defeat and we're very, very bad losers. In fact, most people in the world have suddenly realized that the best way to win a war against the United States is to lose it. Then, the US gets all guilty, pulls out early and gives away billions in aid. Get close to winning a war and the US will hold a grudge for decades verging on centuries - and will act on that grudge at every opportunity.Mystikal wrote: But why wouldn't the US go for peace or Armistice? Is possible at all or is Carpet Nuking the only outcome?
That's utterly implausible. International law clearly states that a blockade is entirely legal. It's an extension of the old principle of beseiging a fortress. Basically, a deal was struck; privateering was made illegal and considered equivalent to piracy, in exchange for which blockade was made legal. This suited all the maritime powers down to the ground and, while they might piss and moan over specific applications, they never got to the point of actually repudiating that agreement. So, from a purely legal point of view, the United States, in the example to which you refer, hasn't got a leg to stand on. Wilson's position as described is inconceivable. It's worth noting that there was steadily-growing anti-German feeling in the US throughout this period. Sauerkraut got renamed liberty cabbage for example and people with German names had a hard time of it.Mystikal wrote: Oh and even though I edited out of the quote, let me explain more. That one smuggler gets shot to shit and while the American Government just goes "Well, no shit" over the deal in greater words, the American people start trying to smuggle in more food and war supplies to Germany in a hunt for profit. Britain and other allies keep killing them forcing Woodrow to ask to to stop the blockade and let free-trade resume or atleast stop shooting the smugglers. They refuse and America is at war with the Entente. Maybe not as a direct ally of Germany. More like a particpant against the Entente and thus a helping hand.
It would certainly give the Royal Navy something to do. I wouldn't like to live in a US coastal city during that period. The Brits would probably burn the White House down again. All in all though, its too far-out a situation to really worry about. The United States has to get across the Atlantic to do something and in the early 20th century, that capability only existed under benign circumstances. If, by some weird fluke, it did happen, I would guess a quiet deal would be struck "You don't invade Canada and we won't burn the East Coast to the ground." Then,a quiet phony war and an equally quiet peace deal after Germany goes down.I know this is a rahter inadequate explaination of my idea but a question. How would it affect the war if the US joined against the Entente and stopped supplying them or started supplying the Central powers as well? What ware the numbers and stuff and how would that affect the Battle of the Atlantic and the end of the war treaties?
Stuart wrote:
It would certainly give the Royal Navy something to do. I wouldn't like to live in a US coastal city during that period. The Brits would probably burn the White House down again. All in all though, its too far-out a situation to really worry about. The United States has to get across the Atlantic to do something and in the early 20th century, that capability only existed under benign circumstances. If, by some weird fluke, it did happen, I would guess a quiet deal would be struck "You don't invade Canada and we won't burn the East Coast to the ground." Then,a quiet phony war and an equally quiet peace deal after Germany goes down.
In your opinion, what would be the outcome of an earlier point of departure in US politics? Obviously changing things in 1944 isn't going to affect weapons that are already under development barring an act of hostile god, but what about changes made before those weapons are developed? Say, political chaos during the Depression leaving us in a very bad position to start a military buildup in 1940?Stuart wrote:On a more serious note, the United States was very well aware that Nazi Germany would remain a threat and any armistice would only delay the final reckoning. By 1943 we knew we had the atomic bomb coming and we assumed Germany would be the same (we didn't realize what a comic-opera bunch of clowns the Nazi research scientists were). This wasn't just a Democrat appreciation, it was completely bipartisan. Everybody on both sides of the political fence was well aware of the situation and were in more or less agreement on how things were due to go. (In TBO, I make this point by having Dewey win the 1944 election and the result is - no change. In OTL, the difference between a Dewey and a Roosevelt administration would have been that the post-war policy towards Russia would have been less tolerant but even that's ruled out in TBO due to the different political situation.
A lot of this is going to depend on when the United States enters WW1. Let's assume 1917 for consistency. This adds the battleships Pennsylvania, Arizona, Oklahoma, Nevada, New York, Texas, Arkansas, Wyoming, Utah, Florida, Delaware, North Dakota South Carolina and Michigan to the CP total. Total of 14 battleships. These are twenty-knot ships by the way. At that time, the Royal Navy deployed 31 battleships and 9 battlecruisers. The German Navy deployed 19 battleships and 6 battlecruisers. So even with the American contribution and assuming it works in full, the balance is 33 battleships to 31 (two in favor of the CP) and 9 battle cruisers to six (three in favor of the RN). If we assume that under these circumstances, the French Navy joins in with the UK, then we can add seven more battleships to the British total. This is just battleships; the cruiser and destroyer supremacy of the RN is overwhelming.Lonestar wrote: To continue the rapid divergence from the OP, would the RN really be able to do as you describe? I know that in absolute numbers the Grand Fleet had a comfortable margin over the HSF, but what about with the US Atlantic Fleet factored in? Or are you thinking in terms of "The RN can send BCs out to shell the hell out of East Coast cities and the USN can't do anything to stop it"?
His "contributions" to the thread in question varied from the pathetic to the absurd. Even now, a long time later, I still can't decide whether he really is that stupid (in which case, his promotion level is inexplicable) or whether he was just taking the piss. At that time, I wasn't aware of just how much of a Nazi cocksucker he really was so my feeling today is that he's let his Nazi worship distort everything inside his head - and that probably explains why Uncle Sam declined his future services.Thanas wrote:Also, I loathe Kratman so I wanted this to be preserved for posterity.
Stuart wrote:However, his piece de resistance was to claim that even if the invasion barges were sunk in mid-channel, the German troops would just swim ashore and proceed to establish their beachhead anyway.
I think Kratman believes the German infantry would simply have walked across the English Channel. Some of his beliefs were very definately weird for somebody who is alleged to have his background (it would be interesting to see what his military records actually say). For example, he was quite convinced that German paratroopers would land in perfect tactical formation and in perfect defense terrain because they were "elite". Pointing out that paratroop operations always had a high degree of dispersal was met with the usual "You. Are. Wrong." (by the way, has anybody any idea where the ludicrous idea of punctuating sentences with a period after every word comes from? From observation I've noted that it appears to be much favored by raving nutcases).CaptHawkeye wrote:If he thinks that why even build the fucking barges then? They might as well just have the Wehrmacht try to swim to shore right from France. Nevermind that GIs and Marines couldn't even swim a few feet during invasions like D-Day or Peleliu when the heaviest equipment they had was a rifle and basic gear. God help anybody carrying a machine gun or mortar. But hey, he'd probably just chalk them up to being sub-human non-Aryans or something. Guys like this are too funny for words.
Hitting a fast-moving destroyer even in broad daylight was a pretty neat trick. The US Navy finally cracked it by using salvoes of air-to-ship rockets but even then it wasn't easy. Dunkirk was an interesting example; the RN destroyers were under intense air attack for several days yet only a handful were sunk and they were caught stationary, inside a small port, loading men. As you say, at night, the Royal Navy reigned supreme, the channel was their own private pond and nobody else was allowed to play in it.CaptHawkeye wrote:He probably thinks his big bad Luftwaffe will stop the RN from doing that, even though it would be exhausted fighting the RAF no matter how well the BoB went. Also the Luftwaffe lacked any kind of really effective anti-ship weapons for the early course of the war. I should also mention the Royal Navy happily and safely controlled the waters of the channel at night when the Luftwaffe couldn't even sortie against them. They even bombarded French harbors a bunch of times during the peak of the LW's strength. But none of this matters because SUPER ARYANS OF DOOM are comin to get ya!
I wonder, Stuart, are there any other prominent sci-fi/alt-hist authors that you've managed to send off in a fit of screaming rage? Seeing as how you've done Stirling and Kratman already, I thought it might be worthwhile to ask.Stuart wrote:His "contributions" to the thread in question varied from the pathetic to the absurd. Even now, a long time later, I still can't decide whether he really is that stupid (in which case, his promotion level is inexplicable) or whether he was just taking the piss. At that time, I wasn't aware of just how much of a Nazi cocksucker he really was so my feeling today is that he's let his Nazi worship distort everything inside his head - and that probably explains why Uncle Sam declined his future services.Thanas wrote:Also, I loathe Kratman so I wanted this to be preserved for posterity.
A dose of sheer insanity for a good mood. We've already discussed Kratman's many failures, I believe (in Sci-Fi, though, not in History). But this is just borderline brainless.Stuart wrote:However, his piece de resistance was to claim that even if the invasion barges were sunk in mid-channel, the German troops would just swim ashore and proceed to establish their beachhead anyway.
Though I could swear the French battle fleet was mostly kept in the Mediterranean to stop the Austro-Hungarians from getting mischievous. And with the Americans entering on the Central Powers' side, around the time the Russians fall apart entirely, the Austro-Hungarians may not collapse the way they did historically... or am I missing something again?Stuart wrote:A lot of this is going to depend on when the United States enters WW1. Let's assume 1917 for consistency. This adds the battleships Pennsylvania, Arizona, Oklahoma, Nevada, New York, Texas, Arkansas, Wyoming, Utah, Florida, Delaware, North Dakota South Carolina and Michigan to the CP total. Total of 14 battleships. These are twenty-knot ships by the way. At that time, the Royal Navy deployed 31 battleships and 9 battlecruisers. The German Navy deployed 19 battleships and 6 battlecruisers. So even with the American contribution and assuming it works in full, the balance is 33 battleships to 31 (two in favor of the CP) and 9 battle cruisers to six (three in favor of the RN). If we assume that under these circumstances, the French Navy joins in with the UK, then we can add seven more battleships to the British total. This is just battleships; the cruiser and destroyer supremacy of the RN is overwhelming.
A question: what was the overall state of US coast defense artillery in this period? My impression is that the last major upgrade program had been long enough ago that it wouldn't be very helpful against 15-inch armed British capital ships.So, faced with this situation, it is predictable that the RN will see its primary objective as keeping the two halves of teh CP fleet apart and eliminating them in detail. Detaching a battle cruiser force (say the Repulse, Renown and the three Courageous class ships that are not included above) to raid the US coast is a good start. They have a ten to twelve knot superiority over the American battle line in an era where a three-knot superiority was considered decisive. They can more or less come and go as they please. They can turn up more or less where they wish, shell the living daylights out of a coastal town and vanish again. There's plenty of bases they can use. Halifax is big enough to hold the entire Grand Fleet, Bermuda is available and there are a few more. The UK also has a lot of pretty neat submarines that could be deployed off American ports to pick off warships coming and going. This is where the American weakness in destroyers and cruisers will really bite them in the ass.
The difficulty I see for the Allies in this situation is that the British no longer have the same dramatic local superiority over the High Seas Fleet; to put heavy units off the US coast, they have to take them away from the Grand Fleet, and they need to use their relatively limited supply of modern units (the ones that have a speed advantage, like the battlecruisers and the Queen Elizabeth class). Suddenly the possibility of a German sally from Wilhelmshaven becomes a bit more plausible, though it may have been practically impossible for other reasons. Politics, maybe?Despite all this talk of numbers of battleships and so on, I suspect that geography is the really great problem here. With the two halves of the CP fleet seperated by so much, the chances of assembling them are limited in the extreme. factor in the need to defend the US East coast (of course if the Japanese decide to join in the fun, the equation changes dramatically. That throws at least four excellent battlecruisers and four battleships into the Entente pot. It also leaves the entire US west coast open (in theory at least).
"The Germans are trying to swim ashore!" has only one response:Samuel wrote:Swimming across the Channel to invade England... can't you just mow the idiots down with destroyers anyway if the Wehrmacht demonstrates superhuman endurance?
Italy had five dreadnoughts in 1917, discounting the Leonardo da Vinci (whose salvage may be the greatest feat ever performed with an Italian capital ship, which tells you a lot about the Italians employed their battle line). The Austrians had four and in any other situation four enemy dreadnoughts versus five Italian ones means that the enemy bombards the Italian coast with impunity and dominates the Mediterranean, but the Austrian warships lacked such features as turret ventilation, and one of them was a floating piece of crap (the worst warship builders in the world were unquestionably the Hungarians, and the entire world breathed a sigh of relief when Hungary lost its coastline and could no longer build battleships), which had been built in the sole shipyard in the entire Kingdom of Hungary, which before had never built anything larger than a torpedo boat. She as a turbine-powered dreadnought could be easily overhauled by the Wobbly Eight, let alone an Italian battleship.Simon_Jester wrote:Though I could swear the French battle fleet was mostly kept in the Mediterranean to stop the Austro-Hungarians from getting mischievous. And with the Americans entering on the Central Powers' side, around the time the Russians fall apart entirely, the Austro-Hungarians may not collapse the way they did historically... or am I missing something again?
I might just be imagining things, but I seem to recall a thread on this subject on here before (as in US joining the Central Powers during the WWI timeframe). The suggestion was that if the US tried to outbuild the UK in capital ships it would be trivial for the Royal Navy to bombard the ports and destroy the under-construction ships/construciton facilites due to the US Navy not having the ships to defend said facilities.The Duchess of Zeon wrote: is the fact that the US has an utterly huge building programme going on which here would not be delayed, but accelerated, and easily could be.
Heh. The problem I remember isn't a danger of the Dual Monarchy going on a monstrous rampage with their powerful ships, since they didn't really have any. It's that you can't let the enemy have battleships operating unopposed. Even crappy battleships. And "opposed only by Italian warships" is alarmingly close to "unopposed." So I'm not sure the French could confidently dispatch their dreadnoughts from the Mediterranean to reinforce the British against the Germans or Americans.The Duchess of Zeon wrote:Italy had five dreadnoughts in 1917, discounting the Leonardo da Vinci (whose salvage may be the greatest feat ever performed with an Italian capital ship, which tells you a lot about the Italians employed their battle line). The Austrians had four and in any other situation four enemy dreadnoughts versus five Italian ones means that the enemy bombards the Italian coast with impunity and dominates the Mediterranean, but the Austrian warships lacked such features as turret ventilation, and one of them was a floating piece of crap (the worst warship builders in the world were unquestionably the Hungarians, and the entire world breathed a sigh of relief when Hungary lost its coastline and could no longer build battleships), which had been built in the sole shipyard in the entire Kingdom of Hungary, which before had never built anything larger than a torpedo boat. She as a turbine-powered dreadnought could be easily overhauled by the Wobbly Eight, let alone an Italian battleship.
In what ways would it be worse than what happened historically for them? Not saying it wouldn't; I'm asking how.But that requires the Germans to hold out to 1919, which... Well, it's possible with the USA not supplying the entente any longer. Will be a long, long winter for German civilians, though...
The RN would need enough superiority to overcome US coastal defenses to make this work. The US coastal artillery wasn't exactly stellar as far as I can tell, but it wasn't completely useless, either. And there's some nasty short ranged stuff like the US submarine force to consider, too.atg wrote:I might just be imagining things, but I seem to recall a thread on this subject on here before (as in US joining the Central Powers during the WWI timeframe). The suggestion was that if the US tried to outbuild the UK in capital ships it would be trivial for the Royal Navy to bombard the ports and destroy the under-construction ships/construciton facilites due to the US Navy not having the ships to defend said facilities.
Of course, I am not personally sure how viable that would be.
We did instead, however, have very extensive fortifications everywhere, which were far better than the fortifications which halted the British at the Hellespont in 1915, and while the guns of the ships doing the bombardments here would be longer-ranged (well, not than the QE's) than the old pre-dreads at the Hellespont.... Who cares? The Endicott forts will hold up well enough since ships bombarding shore fortresses has always been problematic, and if the 1880s vintage guns of the Ottomans could stop a fleet, the 1890s - 1990s vintage Endicott forts will keep the Entente's squadrons at long enough ranges that the occasional 12in or 13.5in shell crashing down will be easily repaired; Leningrad hardly stopped manufacturing things in WW2 under far more heavy inaccurate long range bombardment. I think Stuart is being somewhat optimistic about how the Royal Navy could bombard the US coast, but, conversely, the United States Navy is about 4 years away from having the advantage in 1917, and Germany does not have 4 years of life left. Not under the British hunger blockade. They'd either have to actually start getting grain from the Ukraine in great quantities or win the war in a single decisive blow.atg wrote:I might just be imagining things, but I seem to recall a thread on this subject on here before (as in US joining the Central Powers during the WWI timeframe). The suggestion was that if the US tried to outbuild the UK in capital ships it would be trivial for the Royal Navy to bombard the ports and destroy the under-construction ships/construciton facilites due to the US Navy not having the ships to defend said facilities.The Duchess of Zeon wrote: is the fact that the US has an utterly huge building programme going on which here would not be delayed, but accelerated, and easily could be.
Of course, I am not personally sure how viable that would be.