Icehawk wrote:Maybe, its hard to say one way or the other I guess. But im still confident they could do it. As Sheps figures that were posted earlier show, Soviets got a shitload of their war making ability thanks to the allied lend lease, which in this scenario they dont have.
No, but economically speaking, Russia and Germany are fairly well matched (at least according to Kennedy, 14% vs. 14.4% of the 'Total Warmaking Potential') and Russia had an advantage of its huge size and poor transportation network to screw with the advancing Germans.
I see your point. Personally though, since im a fan of WW2 German tech and (and Von Braun as well) and from all that I've studied into it, I still say its possible they could have one by '55 if the project went smoothly, but thats just me.
![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
We can agree to disagree.
Bah. I'm not a fan of German tech (or Von Braun's stuff in WW2 ... his later stuff under US funding was more fun). I still seriously doubt that the Germans would get to ICBMs several years before the US, especially as they had a lack of high-quality metallurgy to fabricate their missiles with. Furthermore, with the war in the East, his team might be pressured to concentrate on things like SRBMs and MRBMs rather than ICBMs -- which is much harder.
Thats true, even assuming they developed one for '55 (which IIRC, is about when Germany was projected to have their first nukes by in real life) it would likely be anouther 10-15 years before they could fit one with a small enough nuke so yeah it wouldnt really matter except for dick waving and bragging rights if they got it first.
Quite, so all going well they'd have conventional ICBMs by 1955 (assuming you're right). It we assume the US project is delayed a few years, so be it. We'll still get to nuclear ICBMs first -- and solid fueled rockets ahead of you thanks to the domestic plastics industry.
And even without missiles, the US can erase Germany from the map with paltry damage in exchange.