weemadando wrote:
The FIRST world is CURRENTLY at a state at which a revolution is UNLIKELY.
Why is anybody going to revolt and sacrifice their RV, their rambler, and their steady supply of cable TV and junk food in exchange for a war and then sharing their productions with everyone else in the world? No, there's
zero chance of it happening. Communism was only truly viable if the condition of workers got
worse relative to the wealthy. Even Trotsky's attempt at saving the theory wasn't truly sufficient - We can safely say that Communism in the First World is dead.
The third world is ripe for the pickings and to be quite honest the "corporate revolution" that we are undergoing right now in the first world could well provide similar circumstances to the industrial revolution world that spawned Marxism.
Okay, so the third world goes through the same development as the first world. That means that we'll see a resurgence of some form of Marxism in the third world once the current fundamentalist backlash is over. But it will ultimately prove unsustainable - just like the Marxism of the First World did - and lead to a general triumph of capitalism in the Third World as well as the First World.
You surely can't believe that this iteration of the world -right now- is going to last forever?
Why not? Civilization has existed, oftentimes, basically unchanged for
millenia. The industrial revolution was an
anomaly, and we're
still going through it (I don't buy the entire information age thing - It's just a gradation inside the industrial revolution. Heck, most of our power still comes from steam turbines. The industrial revolution was really about the concentration of people inside of cities, and that is still going on).
Once we stabilize at the level of a complete industrial society - The third and complete organization of society in social-technological terms in my way of reinterpeting Hegelianism (at the overarching level) - then there's no reason we won't settle down and enjoy tens of millenia of gradual and staid, incremental progress just like agricultural society.
I fully expect that to happen. Not quite sure when, but it is inevitable. That's the nice thing about the dialectic, isn't it?