The Red tide 1939
Posted: 2003-03-13 01:25am
In a bold move ,in Aug 1939 Russia launches an invasion of europe .How would this affect ww2?
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The T-70 was the last light tank the Soviet's produced, and was not in service in 1939. I believe it first appeared in 1942. The T-28 however was in service, and it was indeed inadequate.The Dark wrote:
But ignoring politics temporarily, it would likely not go well for Russia. The T-70 and T-28 were inadequate for use as combat units.
I concur. The Red Army would also still be reeling from the effect of the purges, and wouldn't have the T-34 until 1940, and would also be short on many of it's excellent wartime infantry weapons (PPSh-41, SVT-40, etc)Given that the top speed of the light tank was 45 km/h, it would be outmaneuvered by the faster, lighter Panzers. Admittedly, the Germans would not have Panzer IIIs until early October (mass production began in September), but once they appeared, the Russians would truly be in trouble.
Agree.The Russian army at this time was inadequately supplied and trained, as shown by the Finland campaign in 1940. By contrast, the German army was quite possibly the most competent in the world. Additionally, the Luftwaffe was far superior at this point to the Russian Air Force, with the Polikarpovs and early MiGs, none of which could compete with the Bf 109. Stukas would have caused heavy casualties when flying against the technologically inferior Russian military, and even the Zerstorer Bf 110s could have performed light bombing. I don't think Russia would have succeeded well at all.
All in all, this is an extremely implausible, silly scenario.If we throw politics back in, it becomes more interesting. Stalin would likely have been like Hitler in refusing to allow retreats, given the tendency to order men into suicidal charges in later battles. This would have led to worse casualties than a more rational attack plan. Hitler would have had trouble thinking defensively, though. Whether he could have presented a well-planned front is questionable. It would likely come down to the capabilities of the two leaders, both of which were unstable, to be polite.
Oops, my mistake. Misread the entry I have on it...it apparently entered either late '41 or early '42 (conflicts between sources...small-scale deployment before mass production, perhaps?). Not only would they not have the T-70 or T-34, but even the KV-1 wasn't ready until the beginning of the Russo-Finnish War. Stalin would have to be sucidial to attempt an attack in '39 or even '40.Vympel wrote:The T-70 was the last light tank the Soviet's produced, and was not in service in 1939. I believe it first appeared in 1942. The T-28 however was in service, and it was indeed inadequate.The Dark wrote:
But ignoring politics temporarily, it would likely not go well for Russia. The T-70 and T-28 were inadequate for use as combat units.