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MKSheppard
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Post by MKSheppard »

Patrick Degan wrote: I see a thread hijack in progress. Shall I just link to our last discussion on this issue?
Nah, we can continue it or have it split from this thread; It's 1 AM now, and I'm not in the
mood to continue now, I've however acquired several good sources on both subjects, CLinton/OBL,
and NMD, and I'd be glad to gore your ox.
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Post by Glocksman »

If the case is that Bush was ill-served by his advisers, and they're the ones who didn't do their jobs, and they failed to pass along information or even held it back for whatever reason, and it's their failure which left the country wide open to attack on September 11, then why didn't Bush fire them?
Failures to pass information up the ladder by the career bureaucracy in the FBI and CIA are hardly reason to fire newly appointed (remember he had been in office less than 8 months and some of the confirmations were still going through Congress) agency heads.

The only top level carryover was George Tenet, and he appears to have at least tried.

Read some of the Commission staff reports. The failures were structural in most cases and required more than just appointing a new agency head and/or firing the current head.

Staff Statement #12
Looking Ahead
Two-and-a-half years after 9/11, it is clear that the FBI is an institution in transition. We recognize Director Mueller’s genuine attempts to transform the FBI into an agency with the capacity to prevent terrorism. He has made progress. Important structural challenges remain to be addressed in order to improve the flow of information and to enhance the FBI’s counterterrorism effectiveness.

These challenges include:
-- The relationship between headquarters and field offices;
-- The relationship between the FBI, the JTTFs, and state and local law enforcement;
-- The place of the FBI in the overall Intelligence Community; and
-- The respective roles of the FBI, the new Department of Homeland Security, and the Terrorist Threat Integration Center.
Staff Statement #11 covers the performance of the Intelligence Community.
Thousands of particular reports were circulated. A number of very good analytical papers were distributed on specific topics such as Bin Ladin’s political philosophy, his command of a global network, analysis of information from terrorists captured in Jordan in December 1999, al Qaeda’s operational style, and on the evolving goals of the international extremist movement. Hundreds of articles for morning briefings were prepared for the highest officials in the government with titles such as “Bin Ladin Threatening to Attack US Aircraft [with anti-aircraft
missiles]” (June 1998), “UBL Plans for Reprisals Against U.S. Targets, Possibly in U.S.,” (September 1998), “Strains Surface Between Taliban and Bin Ladin” (January 1999), “Terrorist Threat to US Interests in Caucasus” (June 1999), “Bin Ladin to Exploit Looser Security During
Holidays” (December 1999), “Bin Ladin Evading Sanctions” (March 2000), “Bin Ladin’s Interest in Biological and Radiological Weapons” (February 2001), “Taliban Holding Firm on Bin Ladin for Now” (March 2001), “Terrorist Groups Said Cooperating on US Hostage Plot”
(May 2001), and “Bin Ladin Determined to Strike in US” (August 2001).


Despite such reports, and a 1999 paper on Bin Ladin’s command structure for al Qaeda, there were no complete authoritative portraits of his strategy and the extent of his organization’s involvement in past terrorist attacks. Nor had the community provided an authoritative depiction of his organization’s relationships with other governments, or the scale of the threat his organization posed to the United States.
A few analysts within the CTC were dedicated to working on Bin Ladin. One of them had developed a lengthy comprehensive paper on his organization by 1998. Her supervisor did not consider the paper publishable and broke the topic down into four papers assigned to four other available analysts. As an indicator of the scarcity of analysts and the press of current intelligence reporting work, it took more than two years for two of these papers to be published at all. The other two were not finished until after 9/11.
This is interesting.
Neither the Intelligence Community nor the NSC policy process analyzed systemic defenses of aircraft or against suicide aircraft. The many threat reports mentioning aircraft were passed to the FAA. We discussed the problems at that agency in Staff Statements 3 and 4.

Richard Clarke told us that he was concerned about this threat in the
context of protecting the Atlanta Olympics of 1996, the White House complex, and the 2001 G-8 summit in Genoa. But he attributed his awareness to novels more than any warnings from the Intelligence Community. He did not pursue the systemic issues of defending aircraft from suicide hijackers or bolstering wider air defenses.
Looks like Clarke read Debt of Honor. :lol:

Other sections go on to talk about the budget cutting during the 1990's that hindered efforts to improve analysis and sharing. And no, this isn't mentioned as a sideswipe at Clinton, as the Republican controlled Congress passed the budgets containing the cuts.

Staff Statement #9 covers the FBI shortcomings in detail.
By the late 1990s, the FBI recognized that certain limitations undermined a preventive counterterrorism strategy, and it initiated several significant reforms to address them. These broad efforts were focused on intelligence collection and analysis, counterterrorism expertise and training, information technology, and the counterterrorism capacity of field offices.

Yet the FBI’s leadership confronted two fundamental challenges in countering terrorism. First, the FBI had to reconcile this new priority with its existing agenda. This immediately required choices about whether to divert experienced agents or scarce resources from criminal or other intelligence work to terrorism. As the terrorism danger grew, Director Freeh faced the choice of whether to lower the priority the FBI attached to work on general crime, including the war on drugs, and allocate these resources to terrorism.
The Department of Justice Inspector General found that when the FBI designated “national and economic security” as its top priority in 1998, it did not shift its human resources accordingly. Although the FBI’s counterterrorism budget tripled during the mid-1990s, FBI counterterrorism spending remained fairly constant between fiscal years
1998 and 2001. The Inspector General’s 2003 report stated that prior to 9/11, “the Bureau devoted significantly more special agent resources to traditional law enforcement activities such as white collar crime, organized crime, drug, and violent crime investigations than to domestic and international terrorism issues.” According to another external review of the FBI, by 2000 there were twice as many agents devoted to drug enforcement matters as to counterterrorism. On September 11, 2001, only about 1,300 agents, or six percent of the FBI’s total personnel, worked on counterterrorism.

Former FBI officials told us that prior to 9/11, there was not sufficient national commitment or political will to dedicate the necessary resources to counterterrorism. Specifically, they believed that neither Congress nor the Office of Management and Budget fully understood the FBI’s counterterrorism resource needs. Nor did the FBI receive all it requested from the Department of Justice, under Attorney General Janet Reno. Reno told us that the Bureau never seemed to have sufficient resources given the broad scope of its responsibilities. She said in light of the appropriations FBI received, it needed to prioritize and put counterterrorism first. She also said that Director Freeh seemed unwilling to shift resources to terrorism from other areas such as violent crime.
Freeh said that it was difficult to tell field executives that they needed to do additional counterterrorism work without additional resources.

Finally, even though the number of agents devoted to counterterrorism was limited, they were not always fully utilized in the field offices. We learned through our interviews that prior to 9/11, field agents often were diverted from counterterrorism or other intelligence work in order to cover major criminal cases.


The second core challenge was a legal issue that became a management challenge as well. Certain provisions of federal law had been interpreted to limit communication between agents conducting intelligence investigations and the criminal prosecution units of the Department of Justice. This was done so that the broad powers for gathering
intelligence would not be seized upon by prosecutors trying to make a criminal case. The separation of intelligence from criminal investigations became known as the “wall.” New procedures issued by Attorney General Reno in 1995 required the FBI to notify prosecutors when “facts and circumstances are developed” in a foreign intelligence or foreign counterintelligence investigation that “reasonably indicate a significant federal crime has been, is being, or may be committed.” The procedures, however, prohibited the prosecutors from “directing or controlling” the intelligence investigation. Over time, the wall requirement came to be interpreted by the Justice Department, and particularly the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court, as imposing an increasingly stringent barrier to communications between FBI intelligence agents and criminal prosecutors. Despite additional guidance on information sharing issued by Attorney General Reno in February 2000 and by Deputy Attorney General Larry Thompson in August 2001, the wall remained a source of considerable frustration and concern within the Justice Department. Justice Department prosecutors and FBI criminal agents were
responsible for large criminal cases, like the Embassy bombings. The intelligence side of the FBI, though, had the legal tools that were essential for domestic intelligence work, such as FISA surveillance. In this environment, domestic counterterrorism efforts were
impaired.

There were obvious faults in the FBI and CIA's handling of intelligence matters, but there still was nothing known to the President at the time that justified an EXCOMM style committee.

It's interesting to note that the staff reports do mention the formation of Millenium bomb plot team as a result of information supplied by Ressam. If one of the 9/11 hijackers had been captured and was spilling the beans, the two situations would compare. As it is, using the formation of the MBP team to crucify Bush for not forming one prior to 9/11 is comparing apples to watermelons, as the lucky break of Ressam's capture and cooperation didn't happen with 9/11.

Riiight... Team Bush are more competent simply because they allowed only one attack which erased two buildings from the New York skyline and lost 2800+ people in a single day —after ignoring eight months of warnings from six foreign intelligence sources that something BIG was brewing
But you still haven't proven that 'Team Bush' were aware of all the warnings. Sure, low level career bureaucrats knew pieces of the puzzle, but the 9/11 Commission's investigation found out that there weren't very many people whose job it was to put the puzzle together.

You're blaming Bush for failing to carry out a complete restructuring of the entire national security apparatus in less than eight months.

And your mention of Pearl Harbor is a red herring, as we were at war in 1942. Roosevelt was a wartime president with wartime powers that a peacetime president simply doesn't have and the Navy was a military branch with military discipline and rules. Peacetime civilian agency rules and procedures are a little more restrictive.

We weren't at war with anyone on 9/10.
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Post by Glocksman »

In a sense, any president is a captive of those whose job it is to present information to him. After all, he personally can't go out and direct FBI field investigations or analyze the reams of intel the NSA and CIA take in every day.

It's the same in any large organization. The head is dependent upon those below him to do their jobs and present him with accurate information on which to base his decisions.

In this case, the agencies failed miserably due to obstacles that had very little to do with Bush.
"You say that it is your custom to burn widows. Very well. We also have a custom: when men burn a woman alive, we tie a rope around their necks and we hang them. Build your funeral pyre; beside it, my carpenters will build a gallows. You may follow your custom. And then we will follow ours."- General Sir Charles Napier

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Post by Glocksman »

Failures to pass information up the ladder by the career bureaucracy in the FBI and CIA are hardly reason to fire newly appointed (remember he had been in office less than 8 months and some of the confirmations were still going through Congress) agency heads.
add 'deupties' at the end of that sentence.
"You say that it is your custom to burn widows. Very well. We also have a custom: when men burn a woman alive, we tie a rope around their necks and we hang them. Build your funeral pyre; beside it, my carpenters will build a gallows. You may follow your custom. And then we will follow ours."- General Sir Charles Napier

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Patrick Degan
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Post by Patrick Degan »

Glocksman wrote:
If the case is that Bush was ill-served by his advisers, and they're the ones who didn't do their jobs, and they failed to pass along information or even held it back for whatever reason, and it's their failure which left the country wide open to attack on September 11, then why didn't Bush fire them?
Failures to pass information up the ladder by the career bureaucracy in the FBI and CIA are hardly reason to fire newly appointed (remember he had been in office less than 8 months and some of the confirmations were still going through Congress) agency heads.
But Condoleeza Rice was already in place. So was Louis Freeh. So was Donald Rumsfeld. So was John Ashcroft. And this still doesn't answer why Georgie was so uncurious after reading something titled "Bin Laden determined to strike in U.S." and didn't pull himself away from the fishin' hole.
There were obvious faults in the FBI and CIA's handling of intelligence matters, but there still was nothing known to the President at the time that justified an EXCOMM style committee.
Because he could not be bothered to know.
It's interesting to note that the staff reports do mention the formation of Millenium bomb plot team as a result of information supplied by Ressam. If one of the 9/11 hijackers had been captured and was spilling the beans, the two situations would compare. As it is, using the formation of the MBP team to crucify Bush for not forming one prior to 9/11 is comparing apples to watermelons, as the lucky break of Ressam's capture and cooperation didn't happen with 9/11.
And again, it comes down to one administration which bothered to follow-up and one which didn't. This just continues to elude you.

Riiight... Team Bush are more competent simply because they allowed only one attack which erased two buildings from the New York skyline and lost 2800+ people in a single day —after ignoring eight months of warnings from six foreign intelligence sources that something BIG was brewing
But you still haven't proven that 'Team Bush' were aware of all the warnings. Sure, low level career bureaucrats knew pieces of the puzzle, but the 9/11 Commission's investigation found out that there weren't very many people whose job it was to put the puzzle together.
Nice Burden of Proof fallacy. Just how much effort would have been involved in making a couple of phone calls and asking "what else do you have on threats from Al-Qaeda" after reading something titled "Bin Laden determined to strike in U.S."? Surely it would have been worth letting the bass wait at least one day
You're blaming Bush for failing to carry out a complete restructuring of the entire national security apparatus in less than eight months.
False Dilemma fallacy. The alternative to doing nothing is not rushing a multiyear restructuring of the entire NS apparatus.
And your mention of Pearl Harbor is a red herring, as we were at war in 1942. Roosevelt was a wartime president with wartime powers that a peacetime president simply doesn't have and the Navy was a military branch with military discipline and rules. Peacetime civilian agency rules and procedures are a little more restrictive.
No it is not a Red Herring. The challenge was to get a working strike force up and running in the minimum time in a crisis situation, instead of waiting for a three year buildup of a large warfleet before doing anything. In that case, the national government improvised and used the tools it had at hand in the best manner possible and achieved far more than they should otherwise have.

Understand? Improvising where necessary and using what's available in the most effective manner possible —which is the point of the example. That is not an impossible challenge to any group of people competent enough to do the jobs they're supposed to, but apparently is beyond the capabilities of a pack of political hacks who clearly don't know what the fuck they're doing.
We weren't at war with anyone on 9/10.
We weren't at war with anybody in December 1999 either, yet somehow that doesn't prevent one administration from doing the necessary tasks to stop multiple bombing attacks on U.S. soil. You just keep missing the point.
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Post by Glocksman »

And again, it comes down to one administration which bothered to follow-up and one which didn't. This just continues to elude you.
And it continues to elude you that the situations aren't comparable because of the intelligence that Ressam provided of specific times and specific places and specific people involved in the bomb plot are what led to the formation of the 'team'.

Contrast that information to the 8/6 PDB and tell me with a straight face that it's comparable.

Shit, even Dick Clarke didn't think the situation was *that* urgent, as the plan he kept trying to meet with Bush to discuss was the Delenda plan that had a total timeframe of 3 to 5 years.
But Condoleeza Rice was already in place. So was Louis Freeh. So was Donald Rumsfeld. So was John Ashcroft. And this still doesn't answer why Georgie was so uncurious after reading something titled "Bin Laden determined to strike in U.S." and didn't pull himself away from the fishin' hole.
And *which* investigative agency does Rice head?
Louis Freeh was a Clinton holdover who resigned in the summer.
Ashcroft's reported statement to the interim FBI director about how he 'doesn't want to hear any more about terrorism' is damning if it resulted in policy changes. However, nothing in the Commission staff statements indicate that it did.

I'll freely admit Ashcroft is a monomanical idiot, but I've thought that for years for reasons that have nothing to do with 9/11.
Because he could not be bothered to know.
Guesswork on your part, as he reportedly meets with CIA Director Tenet every day.

And again, it's hard to know something when the agency responsible for telling elects to not share the information.
Staff Statement #9 wrote:The FBI’s inability or unwillingness to share information reportedly frustrated White House national security officials. According to former National Counterterrorism Coordinator Richard Clarke, the National Security Council never received anything in writing from the FBI whatsoever. Former Deputy National Security Adviser James Steinberg stated that the only time that the FBI provided the National Security Council with relevant information was during the Millennium crisis. Clarke told us that Attorney General Reno was notified that the National Security Council could not run an effective counterterrorism program without access to FBI information.

The Justice Department representative on Clarke’s interagency group, the Counterterrorism and Security Group, has told us, however, that—to his knowledge—neither Clarke nor anyone else at the NSC raised any systemic issue of FBI information sharing as a policy issue or a matter to be considered by the Attorney General.
Nice Burden of Proof fallacy. Just how much effort would have been involved in making a couple of phone calls and asking "what else do you have on threats from Al-Qaeda" after reading something titled "Bin Laden determined to strike in U.S."? Surely it would have been worth letting the bass wait at least one day
.

Again, why the focus on the title? The contents didn't have any sense of urgency in them nor any recommendations of additional action to be taken.

In any case, he and his advisors as I've previously noted, met daily with DCI Tenet.

What he presumably was being told by Tenet was something along these lines.
Staff Statement #7 wrote:Meanwhile, the Intelligence Community began to receive its greatest volume of threat reporting since the Millennium plot. By late July, there were indications of multiple, possibly catastrophic, terrorist attacks being planned against American interests overseas. The CTC identified 30 possible overseas targets and launched disruption operations around the world.
Two veteran CTC officers who were deeply involved in UBL issues were so worried about an impending disaster that one of them told us that they considered resigning and going public with their concerns. DCI Tenet, who was briefing the President and his top advisers daily, told us that his sense was that officials at the White House had grasped the sense of urgency he was communicating to them. By early August, DCI Tenet said that intelligence suggested that whatever terrorist activity might have been originally planned had been delayed. At the same time, the Deputies Committee reached a consensus on a new Afghan policy, paving the way for Northern Alliance aid. NSC principals apparently endorsed the new presidential directive on al Qaeda at their meeting on September 4.
So we have the CIA stating that the focus of the threat was overseas and that whatever had been planned had been delayed. The FBI was conducting 70 investigations. A new policy on AQ and Afganistan was nearing the end of the development process.

Looks to me like they were doing more than catching catfish.

And it's not a 'Burden of Proof fallacy'. You are alleging incompetence and negligence on the part of specific people. Proof needs to be provided of said allegations. You haven't provided any.

To use an analogy, if this was a ALJ hearing over the termination of an employee for negligence and/or incompetence, the arbitrator would laugh you out of the hearing room and order the 'employee' reinstated because you've made no case.

What you've done is string together a bunch of warnings of attacks on US interests both at home and overseas and saying 'Bush should have done something', yet you haven't even proven the base assumption that he *knew* about the warnings.


The 9/11 Commission's staff reports go into great detail about the barriers budgetary, legal, and institutional that the FBI and CIA either faced or created among themselves to the effective sharing and analysis of information and by inference make a good case that he couldn't have known the information because it wasn't passed up the bureaucracy because of the aforementioned agency shortcomings.

If you're looking for a 9/11 scapegoat, from where I'm sitting the FBI is looking better and better given the investigators' findings so far.



[/quote]
"You say that it is your custom to burn widows. Very well. We also have a custom: when men burn a woman alive, we tie a rope around their necks and we hang them. Build your funeral pyre; beside it, my carpenters will build a gallows. You may follow your custom. And then we will follow ours."- General Sir Charles Napier

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Post by Glocksman »

The challenge was to get a working strike force up and running in the minimum time in a crisis situation, instead of waiting for a three year buildup of a large warfleet before doing anything. In that case, the national government improvised and used the tools it had at hand in the best manner possible and achieved far more than they should otherwise have.
And that 'crisis situation' happened to be a declared war.
Of course they'd try to rebuild the fleet as fast as they could and abandon the peacetime implemented three year plan.

As a wartime president, FDR had powers that Bush doesn't have. And frankly, I don't want *any* president to have those kind of powers without a declaration of war.

Absent the sneak attack and a declaration of war, however FDR and King would have been waiting the three years.

It's an example, but it's not a good comparison because of the differing situations.
"You say that it is your custom to burn widows. Very well. We also have a custom: when men burn a woman alive, we tie a rope around their necks and we hang them. Build your funeral pyre; beside it, my carpenters will build a gallows. You may follow your custom. And then we will follow ours."- General Sir Charles Napier

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Post by Glocksman »

We weren't at war with anybody in December 1999 either, yet somehow that doesn't prevent one administration from doing the necessary tasks to stop multiple bombing attacks on U.S. soil. You just keep missing the point.
No, you keep missing the point about the events that led to the formation of the MBP team.

The MBP team was created after Ressam's capture as a result of information about specific attacks, targets, and people involved that Ressam provided.

information with those specifics simply didn't exist in the case of 9/11.

Unless it comes out that one of the 9/11 plotters had been cooperating with the government pre-9/11, the situations aren't comparable.
"You say that it is your custom to burn widows. Very well. We also have a custom: when men burn a woman alive, we tie a rope around their necks and we hang them. Build your funeral pyre; beside it, my carpenters will build a gallows. You may follow your custom. And then we will follow ours."- General Sir Charles Napier

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Post by Beowulf »

To those who think that it would have been possible to shoot down a civilian airliner:

You must be high.
The pilot would likely consider it to be an illegal order and refuse to obey. He'd probably have compunctions about killing 200 or so civilians. The shoot down would mostly likely have occured over a fairly crowded area, with predictable results. And I'm sure there are more reasons...
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Post by Patrick Degan »

Glocksman wrote:
The challenge was to get a working strike force up and running in the minimum time in a crisis situation, instead of waiting for a three year buildup of a large warfleet before doing anything. In that case, the national government improvised and used the tools it had at hand in the best manner possible and achieved far more than they should otherwise have.
And that 'crisis situation' happened to be a declared war.
Of course they'd try to rebuild the fleet as fast as they could and abandon the peacetime implemented three year plan.
That's not the point, numbskull. The nature of the situation is not what I was pointing out but the fact that decisions were made to reorder the navy structure as needed by improvising where needed. A different president and a different group of navy commanders may well have failed to realise the necessity to take things in hand during the same crisis situation by not thinking practically and laterally.

And BTW, it wasn't any "peacetime three-year plan" I was referring to either. That is how long it actually took to build up a 1500-ship navy during the course of the Second World War.
As a wartime president, FDR had powers that Bush doesn't have. And frankly, I don't want *any* president to have those kind of powers without a declaration of war.
Which again isn't the point. :roll:
Absent the sneak attack and a declaration of war, however FDR and King would have been waiting the three years.
Which again isn't the point. :roll:
It's an example, but it's not a good comparison because of the differing situations.
The "difference in situations" is not the fucking point —which seems to be cruising at a rather high altitude over your head.
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Post by Patrick Degan »

Beowulf wrote:To those who think that it would have been possible to shoot down a civilian airliner:

You must be high.
The pilot would likely consider it to be an illegal order and refuse to obey. He'd probably have compunctions about killing 200 or so civilians. The shoot down would mostly likely have occured over a fairly crowded area, with predictable results. And I'm sure there are more reasons...
And your basis for any of these surmises is...?
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Oil an emergency?! It's about time, Brigadier, that the leaders of this planet of yours realised that to remain dependent upon a mineral slime simply doesn't make sense.
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Post by Patrick Degan »

Glocksman wrote:
And again, it comes down to one administration which bothered to follow-up and one which didn't. This just continues to elude you.
And it continues to elude you that the situations aren't comparable because of the intelligence that Ressam provided of specific times and specific places and specific people involved in the bomb plot are what led to the formation of the 'team'.

Contrast that information to the 8/6 PDB and tell me with a straight face that it's comparable.
In light of the need to defend Bush from a possible attack by hijacked airliners used as missiles and eight months of intel warnings from six allies, there is enough to warrant far more serious attention and to start coordination action and investigation. You still obsess on the "lucky break" angle to the exclusion of all else.
Shit, even Dick Clarke didn't think the situation was *that* urgent, as the plan he kept trying to meet with Bush to discuss was the Delenda plan that had a total timeframe of 3 to 5 years.
We're not talking about the Delenda plan, so you can put that Red Herring where it belongs.
But Condoleeza Rice was already in place. So was Louis Freeh. So was Donald Rumsfeld. So was John Ashcroft. And this still doesn't answer why Georgie was so uncurious after reading something titled "Bin Laden determined to strike in U.S." and didn't pull himself away from the fishin' hole.
And *which* investigative agency does Rice head?
You're right. After all, why should the president's National Security Advisor be expected to make herself aware of anything which might pertain to her duties of office?
Louis Freeh was a Clinton holdover who resigned in the summer.
Holdover from two administrations, but I'll concede the timing.
Ashcroft's reported statement to the interim FBI director about how he 'doesn't want to hear any more about terrorism' is damning if it resulted in policy changes. However, nothing in the Commission staff statements indicate that it did.

I'll freely admit Ashcroft is a monomanical idiot, but I've thought that for years for reasons that have nothing to do with 9/11.
Yes he is a monomaniacal idiot. However, his overall incompetence plays only a relatively minor part in the 9-11 debacle. It is however indicative of this White House that Bush not only picked this imbecile but continues to retain him.
Because he could not be bothered to know.
Guesswork on your part, as he reportedly meets with CIA Director Tenet every day.
"Guesswork" backed by the fact that his reaction to that August 6 brief was to go out to see if the bass were biting.
And again, it's hard to know something when the agency responsible for telling elects to not share the information.
"Elects not to share information" with the president? Surely it's not Tenet's choice which information Bush gets to hear and which he does not.
Staff Statement #9 wrote:The FBI’s inability or unwillingness to share information reportedly frustrated White House national security officials. According to former National Counterterrorism Coordinator Richard Clarke, the National Security Council never received anything in writing from the FBI whatsoever. Former Deputy National Security Adviser James Steinberg stated that the only time that the FBI provided the National Security Council with relevant information was during the Millennium crisis. Clarke told us that Attorney General Reno was notified that the National Security Council could not run an effective counterterrorism program without access to FBI information.

The Justice Department representative on Clarke’s interagency group, the Counterterrorism and Security Group, has told us, however, that—to his knowledge—neither Clarke nor anyone else at the NSC raised any systemic issue of FBI information sharing as a policy issue or a matter to be considered by the Attorney General.
Except none of this about the standing defects with the FBI or the bureaucratic structure (Rice's excuse) has anything to do with the point I am arguing here.
Nice Burden of Proof fallacy. Just how much effort would have been involved in making a couple of phone calls and asking "what else do you have on threats from Al-Qaeda" after reading something titled "Bin Laden determined to strike in U.S."? Surely it would have been worth letting the bass wait at least one day
.

Again, why the focus on the title? The contents didn't have any sense of urgency in them nor any recommendations of additional action to be taken.
Because it's a Red Flag? And even if we take the contents at face-value, you'd think any man with half a brain in his head would immediately say "there has to be more than this" in reaction —unless he is an uncurious moron who needs to wait on a staff report to do all his thinking for him.
What he presumably was being told by Tenet was something along these lines.

Meanwhile, the Intelligence Community began to receive its greatest volume of threat reporting since the Millennium plot. By late July, there were indications of multiple, possibly catastrophic, terrorist attacks being planned against American interests overseas. The CTC identified 30 possible overseas targets and launched disruption operations around the world.

Two veteran CTC officers who were deeply involved in UBL issues were so worried about an impending disaster that one of them told us that they considered resigning and going public with their concerns. DCI Tenet, who was briefing the President and his top advisers daily, told us that his sense was that officials at the White House had grasped the sense of urgency he was communicating to them. By early August, DCI Tenet said that intelligence suggested that whatever terrorist activity might have been originally planned had been delayed. At the same time, the Deputies Committee reached a consensus on a new Afghan policy, paving the way for Northern Alliance aid. NSC principals apparently endorsed the new presidential directive on al Qaeda at their meeting on September 4.


So we have the CIA stating that the focus of the threat was overseas and that whatever had been planned had been delayed. The FBI was conducting 70 investigations. A new policy on AQ and Afganistan was nearing the end of the development process.

Looks to me like they were doing more than catching catfish.
Only because you wish not to see how Uncurious George can't be bothered to put the intel together with statements that "patterns of suspicious activity connected with hijack preparations" just might be related. Before he hits the fishin' hole, of course.
And it's not a 'Burden of Proof fallacy'. You are alleging incompetence and negligence on the part of specific people. Proof needs to be provided of said allegations. You haven't provided any.
Just read Paul O'Neill's and Richard Clarke's books on how this White House has performed, recall Bush's own public statement about how he "doesn't read newspapers", and treat yourself to a rerun of that stirling performance he gave at his recent press conference.

Oh, and BTW, remember when Condi Rice said back around May 2002 or thereabouts how "nobody could have imagined planes being used as missiles"? Considering that the G8 summit conference in 2001 had to be defended against this very possibility, her statement was either a lie or the telltale sign of an incompetence so comprehensive that it casts doubt on whether Rice's doctorate actually came from an accredited source or Joe's Clam-Bar & College.
To use an analogy, if this was a ALJ hearing over the termination of an employee for negligence and/or incompetence, the arbitrator would laugh you out of the hearing room and order the 'employee' reinstated because you've made no case.
The fact that he failed to carry out assigned responsibilities which were well within his capacity to carry out would get that employee the pink-slip, no matter how you think otherwise. Failure to perform is a valid ground for termination.
What you've done is string together a bunch of warnings of attacks on US interests both at home and overseas and saying 'Bush should have done something', yet you haven't even proven the base assumption that he *knew* about the warnings.
No, my argument has been that he didn't know anything because he could not be bothered to know anything.
The 9/11 Commission's staff reports go into great detail about the barriers budgetary, legal, and institutional that the FBI and CIA either faced or created among themselves to the effective sharing and analysis of information and by inference make a good case that he couldn't have known the information because it wasn't passed up the bureaucracy because of the aforementioned agency shortcomings.

If you're looking for a 9/11 scapegoat, from where I'm sitting the FBI is looking better and better given the investigators' findings so far.
Except none of that touches upon the central point of this discussion. Again, we're not talking about the institutional defects of the FBI or CIA (defects which were as firmly in place when the Millenium Plot was foiled) or the "bureaucratic culture" (Rice's lame excuse) but how a man supposedly charged with the protection of the country as one of his primary responsibilities of office could not be bothered to follow-up on warnings which were available, on the necessity to defend against one such possible attack, and didn't ask questions in the light of these conditions after receiving a document with a title like "Bin Laden determined to strike in U.S."
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Post by Patrick Degan »

Glocksman wrote:
We weren't at war with anybody in December 1999 either, yet somehow that doesn't prevent one administration from doing the necessary tasks to stop multiple bombing attacks on U.S. soil. You just keep missing the point.
No, you keep missing the point about the events that led to the formation of the MBP team.

The MBP team was created after Ressam's capture as a result of information about specific attacks, targets, and people involved that Ressam provided.
And you keep missing the point that the "lucky break" you keep pointing to wouldn't have meant dick without follow-up.
information with those specifics simply didn't exist in the case of 9/11.

Unless it comes out that one of the 9/11 plotters had been cooperating with the government pre-9/11, the situations aren't comparable.
Oh for fuck's sake! There was more than enough information and in sufficent detail that somebody who was competent enough to ask the right questions or indeed any questions at all would have picked up on the very possible threat of a terrorist attack involving hijacked aircraft against high-profile targets somewhere in the U.S. It wouldn't have required a gigantic intellect to figure out that New York is one of the highest profile targets you can imagine after that point.
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Post by Glocksman »

Degan, I only have one more thing to say, then I am finished arguing this.

You're so full of shit that you'd float and your blind partisanship on this issue makes Ann Coulter look rational and clearheaded.

You've made no case whatsoever for Bush's incompetence and negligence other than to compare his actions to the MBP team, and as I have repeatedly pointed out, there was no cooperating conspirator for 9/11 like there was whose information led to the formation of the MBP team.

Bush *did* ask questions and they led to the 8/6 PDB. He met with the CIA director daily. It would be reasonable to presume that if the CIA had information the President should know, DCI Tenet would have told him.

The 9/11 Commission's staff reports offer fucking reams of information on the failures of the intelligence community that span several administrations that led to the 9/11 hints and warnings gettting lost at both the FBI and CIA.

Yet we're supposed to ignore all of this and blame Bush personally for 9/11?


You're simply playing 'coulda woulda shoulda', and hindsight's 20/20.

Anyway, have a good evening Ann. :P
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Post by Edi »

Sorry, Glocksman, but running away from the debate while claiming victory doesn't make you look very good. You have, as Patrick repeatedly pointed out, failed to address the point that has been clearly stated several times. Red herrings are not valid replies.

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Post by Glocksman »

What 'point'?
He's alleging incompetence and as such, the burden of proof is on him.
He hasn't proven incompetence. Listing threat warnings isn't the same as proving the President knew them.

I'm not alleging that the government was blameless, I *am* alleging (and it's backed up by the Commission staff statements) that the blame belongs at a level far below that of the President.

To use an analogy, is the CEO of GM personally responsible for the shitty service that you get from a dealer mechanic out in Podunk, Iowa?

The whole 9/11 debacle was marked by institutional rivalries, lack of communication between FBI field offices and headquarters, lack of analysis of information at hand, and vital information not being passed up to the decision makers.

Does this make the president personally responsible for the FBI's failure to pass information up the ladder or the CIA and FBI's inability to analyze the information they did have? Don't forget Freeh resigned (probably just ahead of being sacked, IMHO) in the summer and his permanent replacement had been in office for a few weeks prior to 9/11.

As far as false analogies go, comparing what FDR and the government were able to do in the aftermath of a sneak attack and declaration of war with what Degan apparently expected Bush to do minus both enablers of power is a classic false analogy.


The Millenium Bomb Plot team comparison is another false analogy. As I repeatedly pointed out, the 'team' wasn't even formed until after one of the conspirators was captured at the border and started singing like a canary.

Unless the White House is hiding a lot more than even Degan thinks, there was no such cooperating conspirator in federal custory before 9/11.

So if we use the MBP as the standard for calling together an ad hoc committee (and I believe it was the first one for such a purpose), the intelligence available didn't justify calling one together.

In my opinion, based on the 9/11 Commission reports on the failures of the intelligence community, I believe that even if Bush had convened an ad hoc committee like the Clinton Bomb Plot one, it would have failed because the pertinent information was either buried in the bureaucracy, lost altogether, or would have been unacted on because of the FBI's pigheadedness about coordinating investigations, disdain for intelligence work, and institutional culture.
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Post by Patrick Degan »

Glocksman wrote:What 'point'?
He's alleging incompetence and as such, blah blah blah blahblahblahblahblah...

I'm not alleging that the government was blameless, I *am* alleging (and it's backed up by the Commission staff statements) that the blame belongs at a level far below that of the President blah blah blah blah blah blah blahblahblahblahblah....

The whole 9/11 debacle was marked by institutional rivalries, lack of communication blah blah blah blah blah blahblahblahblahblahblah...

Does this make the president personally responsible for the FBI's failure to pass information blah blah blah blah blah blah blahblahblahblahblablah....

As far as false analogies go, comparing what FDR and the government were able to do in the aftermath of a sneak attack and declaration of war with what Degan apparently expected Bush to do minus both enablers of power is a classic false analogy blah blah blah blah blahblahblahblahblah...


The Millenium Bomb Plot team comparison is another false analogy blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blahblahblahblahblahblah....

Unless the White House is hiding a lot more than even Degan thinks, blah blah blah blah blah blah blahblahblahblahblah...

In my opinion, based on the 9/11 Commission reports on the failures of the intelligence community, I believe that even if Bush had convened an ad hoc committee like the Clinton Bomb Plot one, it would have failed because the pertinent information was either buried in the bureaucracy blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blahblahblahblahblahblah...
For someone who claims he "doesn't like Bush", I must say you're playing the role of Court Apologist to the hilt. Exactly what standard of incompetence and lack of initiative is considered inexcusable by you?

In the meantime, this, I think, argues my point quite eloquently:

Image
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People pray so that God won't crush them like bugs.
—Dr. Gregory House

Oil an emergency?! It's about time, Brigadier, that the leaders of this planet of yours realised that to remain dependent upon a mineral slime simply doesn't make sense.
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Post by Edi »

Glocksman wrote:What 'point'?
He's alleging incompetence and as such, the burden of proof is on him.
He hasn't proven incompetence. Listing threat warnings isn't the same as proving the President knew them.
The most blatant threat warnings were in the PDB on which the president did not react, and I really wouldn't try and argue that the president didn't know what was in the PDB if I were you. Not reacting to that kind of warnings is incompetence, and has been demonstrated.
Glocksman wrote:I'm not alleging that the government was blameless, I *am* alleging (and it's backed up by the Commission staff statements) that the blame belongs at a level far below that of the President.
There's a lot of blame to go around, it's not all just Bush's fault, but he is far from blameless as you imply.
Glocksman wrote:To use an analogy, is the CEO of GM personally responsible for the shitty service that you get from a dealer mechanic out in Podunk, Iowa?
Your analogy would be accurate if we were talking about something like e.g. me getting rude service from the desk clerk at the US Helsinki embassy, in which case it would be the blame of that clerk and whoeevr made the decision to hire him or her.

However, we're talking about something like a major competitor's plans leaking to some extent and the CEO not reacting to them at all but instead pursuing other goals in completely unrelated fields where there are no profits to be made, with the result being the company losing a lot of market share. In that kind of instance the CEO typically gets the boot, especially if incompetence like that shown by the Bush administration is demonstrated.
Glocksman wrote:The whole 9/11 debacle was marked by institutional rivalries, lack of communication between FBI field offices and headquarters, lack of analysis of information at hand, and vital information not being passed up to the decision makers.
Yet there was mention of 70 ongoing investigations in the PDB and a specific warning about hijacking preparations. That alone shows that enough information to warrant a serious reaction by the president was being passed upward.
Glocksman wrote:Does this make the president personally responsible for the FBI's failure to pass information up the ladder or the CIA and FBI's inability to analyze the information they did have? Don't forget Freeh resigned (probably just ahead of being sacked, IMHO) in the summer and his permanent replacement had been in office for a few weeks prior to 9/11.
If he'd bothered to follow up on the brief and state in no uncertain terms that there was to be a concerted, priority effort to pursue this and that he wanted to know of any new developments immediately, it certainly would have shaken up the bureaucracy and gotten things moving. Nobody wants to be the one identified as the one who fucked up if the president has focused efforts on the task he is doing, but if the president is ignoring everything, there is no motivation to do a better job at all.
Glocksman wrote:The Millenium Bomb Plot team comparison is another false analogy. As I repeatedly pointed out, the 'team' wasn't even formed until after one of the conspirators was captured at the border and started singing like a canary.
There was enough information to know that hijacking preparations were in progress and that there were 70 different investigations into AQ in the US, so there was enough info to focus more resources at the threat and to react, an actual conspirator was not an absolute requirement for action. Concession accepted.

Glocksman wrote:Unless the White House is hiding a lot more than even Degan thinks, there was no such cooperating conspirator in federal custory before 9/11.
You're claiming that having a conspirator in custody was an absolute requirement for action. Where the fuck is your evidence that this was the case, especially in the light of the PDB's contents?
Glocksman wrote:In my opinion, based on the 9/11 Commission reports on the failures of the intelligence community, I believe that even if Bush had convened an ad hoc committee like the Clinton Bomb Plot one, it would have failed because the pertinent information was either buried in the bureaucracy, lost altogether, or would have been unacted on because of the FBI's pigheadedness about coordinating investigations, disdain for intelligence work, and institutional culture.
This might have happened, but bureaucrats tend to pay a lot more attention to what their subordinates are telling them if their jobs are on the line (which is a given if they are told to pay attention to specific stuff and something bad happens because they don't), and when it's the president telling them to pay attention to stuff consistent with airline hijacking preparations, the complacency and pigheadedness tends to disappear quicklike. Doesn't mean that they would have uncovered the plot, but as it was, there was no reaction at all to specifc threats.

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Post by Glocksman »

The most blatant threat warnings were in the PDB on which the president did not react, and I really wouldn't try and argue that the president didn't know what was in the PDB if I were you. Not reacting to that kind of warnings is incompetence, and has been demonstrated.

The only threat warning in the PDB was this:
We have not been able to corroborate some of the more sensational threat reporting, such as that from a ... (edited)... service in 1998 saying that Bin Laden wanted to hijack a US aircraft to gain the release of "Blind Sheikh" Omar Abdel Rahman and other US-held extremists.

Nevertheless, FBI information since that time indicates patterns of suspicious activity in this country consistent with preparations for hijackings or other types of attacks, including recent surveillance of federal buildings in New York.
Which was immediately followed by this:
The FBI is conducting approximately 70 full field investigations throughout the US that it considers Bin Laden-related.

The CIA and the FBI are investigating a call to our embassy in the United Arab Emirates in May saying that a group of Bin Laden supporters was in the US planning attacks with explosives.
I just don't see trusting the FBI and CIA to do their jobs as evidence of incompetence.

You're claiming that having a conspirator in custody was an absolute requirement for action. Where the fuck is your evidence that this was the case, especially in the light of the PDB's contents?
I'm not saying it was an absolute requirement. What I am saying is that the only ad-hoc 'terror committee' was called together based on exactly that event. It set the predecent. Even though precedent isn't a hard and fast rule, it still set the unofficial standard.

There was a lot of intelligence (including intelligence the US provided Jordan about a hijack plot) before Ressam's capture about millennium threats, but the 'team' was only formed after Ressam's capture.
Yet there was mention of 70 ongoing investigations in the PDB and a specific warning about hijacking preparations. That alone shows that enough information to warrant a serious reaction by the president was being passed upward.
And again, is it incompetence to trust the FBI and CIA?
However, we're talking about something like a major competitor's plans leaking to some extent and the CEO not reacting to them at all but instead pursuing other goals in completely unrelated fields where there are no profits to be made, with the result being the company losing a lot of market share. In that kind of instance the CEO typically gets the boot, especially if incompetence like that shown by the Bush administration is demonstrated.
Would the CEO still be incompetent if he did ask about the plans and was reassured that the divisions responsible were investigating the extent of the competitor's planning?
If he'd bothered to follow up on the brief and state in no uncertain terms that there was to be a concerted, priority effort to pursue this and that he wanted to know of any new developments immediately, it certainly would have shaken up the bureaucracy and gotten things moving.
Very possible. But on the other hand, as I posted earlier, the FBI is still ignoring a Presidential order to participate in the TTIC.

In the end the case for incompetence comes from not acting on the 8/6 PDB, specifically, calling together an ad-hoc committee to look into it further.

I don't see incompetence or negligence in asking (the PDB was put together at Bush's request) what's going on with terrorist threats, being told about 'preparations consistent with a hijacking', then being told that the FBI is conducting 70 investigations and both the CIA and FBI are investigating an overseas threat, and as a result thinking the FBI has a handle on the threat with the 70 investigations.

As for Bush and the administration 'doing nothing', read the 9/11 Commission's staff statement #8
Rice recalled that in May 2001, as threats of possible terrorist attacks came up again and again in DCI Tenet’s morning discussions with President Bush, the President expressed impatience with “swatting flies” and pushed his advisers to do more.
On July 2, the FBI issued a national threat advisory. Rice recalls asking Clarke on July 5 to bring additional law enforcement and domestic agencies into the CSG threat discussions. That afternoon, officials from a number of these agencies met at the White House, following up with alerts of their own, including FBI and FAA warnings. The next day, the CIA told CSG participants that al Qaeda members “believe the upcoming attack will be a ‘spectacular,’ qualitatively different from anything they have done to date.” On July 27 Clarke reported to Rice and Hadley that the spike in intelligence indicating a near-term attack appeared to have ceased, but he urged them to keep readiness high; intelligence indicated that an attack had been postponed for a few months.


In early August, the CIA prepared an article for the president’s daily intelligence brief on whether or how terrorists might attack the United States. Neither the White House nor the CSG received specific, credible information about any threatened attacks in the United States. Neither Clarke nor the CSG were informed about the August 2001 investigations that produced the discovery of suspected al Qaeda operatives in the United States. Nor did the group learn about the arrest or FBI investigation of Zacarias Moussaoui in Minnesota.
Again, what we have is more FBI failures to pass along information. This despite the high level attention being given the issue and the FBI's own threat advisory. The Commission blames this on the FBI's institutional mindset of building court cases and considering it inappropriate to share information that would be presented to a grand jury rather than disruption of terrorist activites.


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Post by Glocksman »

Forgot to add.
Quote:
However, we're talking about something like a major competitor's plans leaking to some extent and the CEO not reacting to them at all but instead pursuing other goals in completely unrelated fields where there are no profits to be made, with the result being the company losing a lot of market share. In that kind of instance the CEO typically gets the boot, especially if incompetence like that shown by the Bush administration is demonstrated.


Would the CEO still be incompetent if he did ask about the plans and was reassured that the divisions responsible were investigating the extent of the competitor's planning?
Don't forget that the administration was working on a long term plan to deal with AQ. The 9/4 meeting of the 'Principals Committee' approved a plan for submission to the President, but as the staff statement puts it 'Then came the attacks on September 11.'
"You say that it is your custom to burn widows. Very well. We also have a custom: when men burn a woman alive, we tie a rope around their necks and we hang them. Build your funeral pyre; beside it, my carpenters will build a gallows. You may follow your custom. And then we will follow ours."- General Sir Charles Napier

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Post by Glocksman »

For someone who claims he "doesn't like Bush", I must say you're playing the role of Court Apologist to the hilt. Exactly what standard of incompetence and lack of initiative is considered inexcusable by you?
One higher than you've 'demonstrated' thus far.

My dislike of Bush is based on Iraq, the PATRIOT act, handling of the economy, his waffling on the gun issue, his budget busting and shifting of the tax burden from corporations to the working class.

9/11 has nothing to do with it.

I don't have to like somebody to defend them from bullshit. If I had to, I wouldn't have been a union steward.
"You say that it is your custom to burn widows. Very well. We also have a custom: when men burn a woman alive, we tie a rope around their necks and we hang them. Build your funeral pyre; beside it, my carpenters will build a gallows. You may follow your custom. And then we will follow ours."- General Sir Charles Napier

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