Georgian & South Ossetian forces exchange fire

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Vympel
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Georgian & South Ossetian forces exchange fire

Post by Vympel »

Link

Looks like Georgia and South Ossetia (with Russia?) might go to war. This article gives a good primer for the situation.
Political analysts say that in contrast with Adzhara, a region populated by ethnic Georgians which never claimed full independence,
Saakashvilli reclaimed control of Adzhara (aka Adjaria) a few months ago.
South Ossetia and another breakaway province of Abkhazia are likely to be tougher tasks for Saakashvili. Saakashvili has accused Russian peacekeepers, who have helped maintain peace in South Ossetia since 1992, of siding with the separatists. The peacekeepers deny the accusations.
This isn't unlikely. It was Russian aid 12 years ago which secured South Ossetia's independence from Georgia. The South Ossetians, for their part, want to unify with North Ossetia (part of Russia).
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Post by BlkbrryTheGreat »

Looks like Georgia and South Ossetia (with Russia?) might go to war.
It would take what? All of 5 minutes for Russia to crush Georgia?

Anyway, is there an actually a good reason why they decided to succeed, or is this just more of the same tribalist bullshit (that leads to a bloodbath) that we're all so use to seeing?
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Post by Murazor »

BlkbrryTheGreat wrote:It would take what? All of 5 minutes for Russia to crush Georgia?
Russia can most certainly crush Georgia in an open conflict, although I doubt that Putin will go to war for this as the Russian army would need to fight a guerrilla war that it can't win, at least without massive losses.
Anyway, is there an actually a good reason why they decided to succeed, or is this just more of the same tribalist bullshit (that leads to a bloodbath) that we're all so use to seeing?
IIRC, the Ossetians are actually a separate group, but Adjaria and another small republic near the Turkish border were the same ethnical group.
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Post by HemlockGrey »

Didn't the Ajdarans (or however it's spelled) already expell the Georgians twice already?
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