Durandal wrote:Which is why you don't raise the alert level unless you are damn sure of something!
How often do you think they'd have the required intelligence to be "damn sure of something"? If they went by those standards, they'd probably never issue an alert.
Otherwise, the public, who you're trying to keep vigilant by playing roller-coaster games with this silly terror alert scale, become complacent and start to think that the terror alerts are total bullshit. And so far, they have been!
Prove they where "total bullshit". All you've got is: nothing happened, and the intelligence was old/interrupted a sting. Those two things don't prove the terror alerts didn't in fact disrupt attack/s. I'm not asserting they did; you are asserting they didn't. So prove it.
How do you know his previous alerts haven't stopped terrorist attacks?
Prove that they have.
Why should I? You're the one asserting these terror alerts don't work, and are mocking them for being only a political tool yielded by the Bush Admin to disrupt John Kerry.
After each alert, information has come out suggesting that the alert was premature or unwarranted, just like the latest one.
You're very confused. The latest was only premature because it fucked up a sting operation; that in no way means the alert didn't work.
And in the case of those alerts that were not followed with such revelations, the alerts were so vague and nebulous as to be of no use to anyone.
Define "vague"....and what are you basing your assertion that they were of no use to anyone?
No doubt it was stupid to release that guys name....in hindsight. I think the idea was his name would give substance to the alert; make the doubters like you believe in it more because there's a name behind it.
And that doesn't make you cast doubt on the veracity of their claims?!
Why the fuck should it? Just because they released his name? So fucking what?
They were more concerned with the alert appearing to be genuine than a potential fuck-up of a foreign sting operation in the country in which the most wanted man in the world is believed to reside!
You're either saying:
1. The Bush Admin KNEW of the sting operation, yet still released his name.
2. The Bush Admin considered a possible sting operation, yet went ahead and put its own needs [to make the alert more genuine] in front of the sting.
Which is it? If it's 1, prove it. 2, prove they had considered a "possible sting operation". And by the way, the sting operation is besides the point;
did the alert prevent a terrorist attack is the real question.
Bad decision now, because now we all know the Pakistanis where in the middle of a sting. But did Ridge know that, hence proving him incompetent or a political tool? Prove it if you can. Releasing the name by itself isn't neccessarly incompetance, if it manages to convince enough Americans that the threat is real.
Which it might have done, right up until everyone found out the warning was based on intelligence collected
before September 11, 2001.
Intelligence has a use by date? What's the duration? For me, it's not the age of intelligence; it's all about
is it right. Naturally the older it gets, the less reliable it becomes; but that doesn't necessarily mean it's suddenly of no use, especially if it still fits into the "bigger picture", whatever that bigger picture was/is.
Al Qaeda is known for drawing up big plans and then shelving them.
It was also NOT known for flying planes into buildings...don't assume it'll always function the way it has in the past. Al Qaeda is not a robot; it can change tactics on the fly, do something you least expect; like taking from the shelf a shelved plan.
Do you really think they're still working on the same shit they were four years ago, especially with having their organization fragmented with its base of power in Afghanistan destroyed?
I don't know what to think because I'm not privy to the intelligence sitting in the US government. Are you? So since I don't know the intelligence, I can't form conclusions. Hence I will leave that up to the people who DO have the intelligence; Homeland Security.
They've been focused on rebuilding for the past couple years, and you think they're going to launch another major offensive on US soil?
Why the fuck not? The best time to attack an enemy is to attack him when he least expects it. And you're proving very nicely you are NOT expecting it.
The kind of demonstrations they want to carry out on the US in particular take years of planning.
What are the "demonstrations" they want to carry out? And if you don't know them [I'm assuming you don't] how do you know how long they would take to plan? And even if the next strike requires years of planning...how do you know there isn't a cell who's done just that?
Oh plu-heze! Even the CEO of a company can't say whatever he damn well pleases. You're suggesting that department is run like a dictatorship; prove it. Prove he doesn't have some kind of board he has to run alerts through before releasing them. Or in other words, prove he is answereable to only himself. It's a ludicrous claim, and I need proof before believing it.
Do you even have a list of who is on the Homeland Security team? I don't have to prove shit. The facts speak for themselves. So far, every terror alert issued has been bogus,
How do you fucking know they where all bogus! Prove it for fucks sakes! Here's a tip: repeating the intel was old and that a sting operation was interrupted does NOT prove the alerts where bogus.
and I simply cannot believe that they're just that fucking incompetent. No, the Bush administration is doing what it's famous for. Taking second-rate intelligence and playing it up to say what they want it to say. They have a history of this kind of bullshit. What makes you think it doesn't extend to Homeland Security? Because there might be Democrats there? Oh wonderful. There were Democrats in Congress, and we went to war with Iraq anyway, you fucking nimrod.
In yellow; another unproven assertion. Do you really think appealing to the Bush Admins history proves anything?
Old doesn't neccessarily mean "wrong". And how do you know it was unreliable?
See above and use your fucking brain.
That's very funny, coming from a guy who's essentially tried to pass off a bunch of historical Bush fuckups as proof that Homeland Securities terror alerts are bullshit and to be mocked.