Election Pool --place your bets!

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dr. what
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Election Pool --place your bets!

Post by dr. what »

Not sure if this is in N&P or OT--apologies in advance if in wrong forum--can a mod move this if this is the case?

OK--you may have noticed one or two threads lately on this little U.S. election thingie coming up--who's willing to make a prediction?

Here's four electoral vote predictors

http://www.electoral-vote.com/
http://electionprojection.com/elections2004.html
http://www.nytimes.com/packages/html/po ... E_GRAPHIC/
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/6028629/?ta=y

My prediction:

Kerry 271 Bush 267

Release the lawyers! :P
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theski
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Post by theski »

Bush 281 Kerry 267 Still release the Lawyers... :D
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Post by Mr Bean »

Five million on DEAD EVEN(Before the Legal Swarm)

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The Dude
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Re: Election Pool --place your bets!

Post by The Dude »

To be honest, I'm not sure if there's a reasonable combination of states that gives this number, but my guess is:

Bush 275 Kerry 263
Bush wins popular vote by less than one point.
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Post by SirNitram »

The lawyers are already released, because Jeb Bush's idiotic plans didn't include Don't get your stupid ass caught on tape by the BBC. Again.
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Post by The Cleric »

Can't even begin to call it. Way to close.
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Post by JME2 »

StormtrooperOfDeath wrote:Can't even begin to call it. Way to close.
Agreed, even newly-registered voters possibly turning the tide.
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Post by Asst. Asst. Lt. Cmdr. Smi »

50,000. Oh, wait, you mean the vote totals, not the deaths during the impending lawsuits. In that case:

Electoral Vote: Kerry 272, Bush 266
Popular Vote: 48.5%-48.5%, difference of a few hundred thousand between winner and loser, headache ensues.
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Post by Beowulf »

Bush 271 Kerry 269. Bush wins by a margin of 1 vote in each swing state. Lawsuits take the next 4 years to resolve.
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Post by Keevan_Colton »

£200 on Black.

That's my best bet for this election. Unfortunately this will come down to the averaging of human stupidity across a large sample...and then likely a lot of lawyers...
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Loner
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Post by Loner »

I don't honestly know. It could go either way. Though I've been following Slate's electoral coverage. It's been fluctuating between the two for the past month.
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Post by Seggybop »

269/269
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Post by Jadeite »

SirNitram wrote:The lawyers are already released, because Jeb Bush's idiotic plans didn't include Don't get your stupid ass caught on tape by the BBC. Again.
Now what happened?
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Post by StarshipTitanic »

Bush takes it, barely. I wouldn't be suprised if Kerry gets the popular vote.
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Post by Mayabird »

*Flips a coin to decide. Coin lands on the ground and stays on its edge*

I think that's bad.
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Post by Trogdor »

Seggybop wrote:269/269
My hope doesn't change anything, but it would be so beautiful.
Why do you want that to happen?
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Post by Trogdor »

Never mind, I read Rogue 9's post about what could happen if there's a tie.
"I want to mow down a bunch of motherfuckers with absurdly large weapons and relative impunity - preferably in and around a skyscraper. Then I want to fight a grim battle against the unlikely duo of the Terminator and Robocop. The last level should involve (but not be limited to) multiple robo-Hitlers and a gorillasaurus rex."--Uraniun235 on his ideal FPS game

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Post by darthdavid »

30 Million Causualties in the insuing cival war...
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Post by darthdavid »

civil, damn it...
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Post by JME2 »

darthdavid wrote:civil, damn it...
It's alright; your stanic kitten paws can only type so well... :wink: :twisted:
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Post by darthdavid »

JME2 wrote:
darthdavid wrote:civil, damn it...
It's alright; your stanic kitten paws can only type so well... :wink: :twisted:
They can slash and gouge alot better than they can type...
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Post by JME2 »

darthdavid wrote:
JME2 wrote:
darthdavid wrote:civil, damn it...
It's alright; your stanic kitten paws can only type so well... :wink: :twisted:
They can slash and gouge alot better than they can type...
Don't threaten me; I've already lost a whole arm arm thanks to that crazy Sith bas--, I mean Rob. :twisted: :P
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Post by Dalton »

JME2 wrote:Don't threaten me; I've already lost a whole arm arm thanks to that crazy Sith bas--, I mean Rob. :twisted: :P
*coughs*
Beowulf wrote:Bush 271 Kerry 269. Bush wins by a margin of 1 vote in each swing state. Lawsuits take the next 4 years to resolve.
Dude, there's 538 electoral votes, not 540. You can't get those results.

Me? After watching election coverage for a week and doing dozens upon dozens of tracking polls on swing states (or Battleground States, as we call 'em at MSNBC) and national results from Zogby, Reuters, CNN, Gallup, USA Today, the LA Times, ABC News and the Washington Post, I can say that I think it'll be a dead heat all the way to the end - pretty much agreeing with how Joe Scarborough called it.

I'm optimistic that Kerry can pull it off. Right now it's waaaay too close to call and it can easily swing in either direction, especially with the new Osama video, the al-Qaqqa weapons thing and the FBI probe into Halliburton's no-bid contract.

What a lovely week for piles of polls.

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Post by JME2 »

Dalton wrote:
JME2 wrote:Don't threaten me; I've already lost a whole arm arm thanks to that crazy Sith bas--, I mean Rob. :twisted: :P
*coughs*
Might as well explain this for those that don't get it. Our Resident Borg Fan-Whore has been role-playing Darth Vader in my Trek/Wars crossover story thread and has now sliced off my arm in an attempt to new chapters up and running. :wink: 8)
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Re: Election Pool --place your bets!

Post by jegs2 »

dr. what wrote:OK--you may have noticed one or two threads lately on this little U.S. election thingie coming up--who's willing to make a prediction?
My original prediction stands -- Kerry takes this one, with the help of the 10,000 lawyers put in place by the Democrats. Don't think we'll know for certain (if ever) who won until well into December.
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