[Falcon] Re: Global Mean Temperature

SLAM: debunk creationism, pseudoscience, and superstitions. Discuss logic and morality.

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Darth Wong
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Post by Darth Wong »

Patrick Degan wrote:What's truly amusing about the spectacle of Falcon the Imbecile and so many like him is how they bleat "personal freedom" while actually acting as the slaveys of the companies. As the Doctor would say: stupid little sheep who'll willingly trot into the slaughterhouse if they think it's made of gold.
Falcon is one of those people who thinks a really good slogan can somehow overwhelm historical precedent showing that it's not true.

The fact is that the leaded gas/paint precedent completely demolishes his predictions about what should and shouldn't happen when science runs head-on into corporate greed. Therefore, any reasonable person would conclude that his predictive mechanism is wrong. Of course, Falcon is not a reasonable person.

I'm reluctant to play his game of talking about motive, but he's also wrong about the enormous self-interest in global-warming science. The fact that someone's going to have to design and build these new technologies won't do shit for the climatologists, because that money will actually go to engineering and manufacturing firms. So what the fuck is their angle? Is Falcon so fucking stupid that he thinks climatologists somehow get paid when an energy company builds a new nuclear power plant? Does he even recognize how many different branches of science there are? Or does he thinks it's some kind of giant cartel?
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Post by Wyrm »

Darth Wong wrote:[Or does he thinks it's some kind of giant cartel?
Of course it's a giant cartel. All scientist serve Science. It's obviously an evil commie mutant traitor conspiracy bent on monopolizing human knowledge and hearts. Other industries like oil have the Exxon-Mobil faction, the BP faction, the Texico faction, and so on. Lots of competition! Lots of box-office free market kung-fu action there! But Science is all united under one name, purpose, and Great Plan.

We sent you that memo last week, Comrade Wong! Remember? :wink:
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Post by Aaron »

What gets me is that he thinks that people have an infinite supply of trees on their land. Does he not understand what sustainable means? If you cut a tree down and even if you have the foresight to plant another one in it's place it can take anywhere from 10-30 years for that tree to grow big enough to yield a usefull amount of wood, depending on the type of tree, soil condions and sunlight availability. And you still have to dry the wood for another year or two after you cut it down.
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Post by Surlethe »

Falcon wrote:
You're ignoring the consequences of a government that does not incorporate some measure of sympathy into its policies. How can you, as a Christian, condone an organization that sits by and wilfully lets the poor and sick rot?
How could I condone, as a Christian, an organization that takes money unwillingly from one person to bestow upon another person who hasn't earned it? Did we forget, Thou shalt not steal?
How could you, as a Christian, ignore the words of Christ? Have we forgotten "Give to Caesar what is Caesar's, and to God what is God's"?
Loving friends and enemies isn't a blanket endorsement for a Christian to let himself be pillaged by anyone who asks it of him. Love means bringing the light of the Gospel to the sinner's immortal soul, not merely ministering to this dying body.
And how else does one bring the light of the Gospel to the soul, except by living in love and serving others?
Social welfare isn't something for the majority to decide because it violates property rights and gives too much power to the government. Power that can be used for good can also be used for ill.
There's so much wrong with this that I don't even know where to start. First, you're equivocating on "welfare", as below; second, you appear to have some strange notion that people shouldn't pay taxes, as though public services are free. And third, of course interference in a given market grants power to the government; what you must establish is that the potential abuse of the power it grants outweighs the benefits it would bring. In the case of global warming, intervention would bring the benefit of preserving Western civilization; that's a pretty hefty good outcome.
Furthermore, government is highly inefficient:
No shit.
How about a government that works to maximize the welfare of the individual members of the society? Not only does this subsume working to minimize government error, favoritism, etc., as you desire, it also permits the government working to minimize harm civilians can inflict on themselves and each other -- a role you refuse to accept, for some brain-dead reason.
That's the spin, but it has never been the reality. Welfare creates dependancy, crime, and more poverty, not less.
Equivocation fallacy to support a red herring. We're discussing the purpose of government, not whether welfare as is commonly understood in the US is effective.
<snip links>
Leaving aside the egregious cum hoc fallacies in those testimonials, the evidence actually demonstrates there is a correlation between Democratic states and decrease in crime. Also, if it is as you claim, then why do Western European states have violent homicide rates less than half of that of the US (ref: here for international homicide rates and here for US homicide rates) while the US incarceration rate is six times that of the Western European states (here for US incarcration rates)? Why does it seem that income inequality correlates to violent crime (and income inequality correlates, of course, to pure capitalism)?
Obviously not my definition of liberty... If the government exists to protect liberty then it does that by preventing the use of force, fraud, etc, by one individual against another. When the government starts using its force for ends other than securing liberty it ceases its legitimate function.
Your definition of liberty is contained implicitly in, "the very heart of liberty (the liberty to be "left alone" by the government) has been struck through." According to you, the very heart of liberty is to be left alone by the government; since the government's purpose is to secure the people being left alone by it, nonexistence follows quite handily.

And since when has restating the claim under question been a valid defense?
I should think that when the "claim" is in fact my own definition of liberty (which I would be in the best position to know since it is my definition after all) would be a perfect defense to someone else's improper characterization of my definition.
Then you'd better give a better definition of liberty, and explain how it remains consistent with your previous implied definition (being left alone by the government) and yet fails to satisfy the logic I've presented.

Furthermore, the claim under question was not your definition of liberty but rather, "When the government starts using its force for ends other than securing liberty it ceases its legitimate function."
Also, since when was the government's purpose to "secure" the people? The government's purpose is to secure liberty, not "the people."
The people "being left alone by it". Passive voice and awkward, but it's not difficult to understand, retard.
Stating a claim without providing sufficient conditions is not a valid form of argument, you insipid fuck.
It's an observation.
No, asshole, the claim I'm talking about is "the mere granting of the possibility of that power to the government, is too dangerous to be acceptable."
Sure, there's no reason for us to have a free society other than I think its the most desirable type of society for individuals to live in and for humanty to progress. The government's power to interfere in daily life isn't an all or nothing affair, but when the government is not restrained by extraordinary means the passions of the people more easily allow encroachment on their liberty.
What the fuck is this even supposed to mean? You don't think pithy slogans are valid points in debate, do you?
Can't you understand plain english that isn't strewn with profanities? The whole design of the government in America was to make things slow and difficult to do so that the liberties preserved could not be given up easily or quickly. You people want to wholesale undo what protects still remain by giving the government vast new regulatory\taxiation authority and rely on the public to keep government encroachments on liberty in effect.
What a load of bullshit. First of all, as has been pointed out many times in this thread, the government already has vast regulatory and taxation powers. Second, you're indulging in a strawman argument. Third, you're also begging the question; why is doing away with some liberty a bad thing if the greater good is served?
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Post by Zac Naloen »

Out of curiosity does anyone have any articles relating to Methane levels and global warming?

I keep hearing about CO2 levels and Global Warming.. but am I right in thinking methane levels are rising also, would be easier to control and also have a significant effect on the Greenhouse effect?
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Post by Wyrm »

Good to know this argument is still live. Somewhat. It seems that our little birdy has fled, though. Nevertheless, it's incumbant upon me to answer his points.
Falcon wrote:
Wyrm wrote:If the costs of climate change does not figure into the cost model of businesses at present, and currently they do not (they didn't with environmental damage, either—that too had to be externally imposed), then the government has to impose them.
There are no costs though, its all supposition on future costs. If there were real costs then they'd be figured in without any government actions.
:lol: Insurance, buzzard! Costs from accidents are not actually accrued until you're in one. Supposedly, they don't exist. Yet we still pay insurance, so YES, you can put a price on potential future losses, and for certain types of losses, it makes sense to start paying before you suffer the actual loss.

You know fuck-all about the mechanisms of the free market, yet you hold it up like some something you should kneel in front of and "worship". You deserve your title, bitch.
Falcon wrote:That's such a retarded mischaracterization of what I was saying its stunning. Costs and benefits do not come from "outside" the free market, those things are an integral part of the free market. Outside influence are relegated to, for our purposes here, government imposed costs or mandates that have nothing to do with the actual marketable cost and benefit of some act.
Congradulations! You have failed Economics 101!

In the free market, value is the dynamic potential that drives the movemet of goods. I value a Capt'n Crunch Secret Decoder Ring more than I value the $12 it takes to purchase it, so I make the purchase. At the bottom of everything, that's how things work in a free market.

But these values do not originate within the free market. What made me buy the Capt'n Crunch Secret Decoder Ring for $12 retail is that I place more value on the ring than on the $12. These values come from outside the free market, because when I leave the free market and go to any one of the communistic countries still exant, what I value still guides my decisions, as much as they are able. So when I get back into a free market, I carry that value system with me as I enter, and therefore, this value system is external to the free market within which I am participating.

So tell me why governmental-imposed externalities are verboten, whereas mine are permitted.
Falcon wrote:When the government comes in and imposes an arbitrary cost based on some theory of what might happen in a hundred years then that is most definately an outside influence that ought not be permitted.
Why ought it not be permitted? Why is the change in the cost/benefit landscape permitted when it comes from consumers, while it's forbidden if it comes from a government?

Something more substantial than "it comes from the government," please.
Falcon wrote:The key phase there is "in retrospect." You're diluding yourself into thinking that you can peer ahead into the future with the 20\20 vision of the past and then use the government to compel what you assume to be the best outcome.
You fail spelling and the argument! DOUBLE PLAY! At least the government has the benefit of people actually looking forward, you molting emu. When you're riding the mythical almighty, unguided free market, you're flying blind.

So far, I've shown much more foresight than the companies. It's obvious that we are going to run out of fossil fuels, and that fuel prices were going to rise long before they actually rose. Yet the supposedly foresightful free market pushed SUVs as the new big wave. It's obvious that the amount of carbon in fossil fuels, released as CO2 into the atmosphere, will greatly disrupt climate (the average temperature of the Earth when these fossil fuels were forming was quite a bit higher than it is now, and that was in the past when the sun was cooler, and the climate was much different back then), and therefore severely disrupt human civilization. Yet I see an increase in the rate carbon is going into the atmosphere due to the free market wankage.

I find it ironic that you screech about your silly freedoms, yet being willing to enslave yourself to the free market — that which should be our servant, not the other way around.
Falcon wrote:The free market is a necessary consequence of individual liberty, not an inherent component of democracy. You can't have liberty unless the right to property is held above all other rights and accordingly you can't have a right to free property unless you can buy, sell, trade, destroy, etc, your property freely in an uncoerced market.
Yes, and by this logic you have the liberty to build a doomsday weapon that will destroy all life on Earth if you have the resources. Do you see why making doomsday devices is a bad idea?
Falcon wrote:Of course this is getting far afield from your original and apparently abandoned statement equating individuals in the government making decisions with individuals collectively in the market.
Who's abandoned it? Individuals aren't in the market, either... unless we're talking about slavery. Individuals participate in the free market, importing and imposing onto the market their own values (which makes the market go). The government can participate, too. That your bird-like brain is too small to understand this is not my fault.
Falcon wrote:I realize that when you artifically decrease the supply or increase the cost of energy you create cost increases across the board.
Do you really believe that the cost in dollars for a pound of coal is actually equal to its true cost, which would include things like environmental costs? If anything, the price of fossil fuels is artificially low. It doesn't take into account the environmental damage it causes (in the form of atmospheric CO2) when it's burned, a cost you have yet to disprove in other parts of the debate.

Prices that are too low also create problems, you blue-footed boobie.
Falcon wrote:Then where are they? I haven't seen a single dime's worth of expense from global warming? Most of the costs I see attributed to global warming, like hurricane damage, is the result of government bailouts taking away the economic disincentive to build your house in the path of routine natural disasters.
You're either blind, stupid, or lying. What about the lost revenue of my state's (Vermont) first snowless November on record? Skiing is big business up here; businesses literally live or die by the snow. But for the first time, snow was sporatic during the very time of year when before, we could essentially bet your bottom dollar on there being plenty of snow from November 'til January. Not only that, good maple syrup depends on a good freeze the winter before, and it almost didn't happen except for the Valentine blizard. So don't tell me global warming hasn't cost anyone a dime.

As for the government bailouts in Katrinaland, I'm in partial agreement with you. I'd make the bailouts contingent on not rebuilding in hurricane paths.
Falcon wrote:Its funny you should mention iceberg because it used to be global cooling, not global warming, that got everyone in such a twist.
Global cooling has been discredited since the 1970's, and it came about in the first place because we thought ice ages came more frequently than they did. It was never a serious contender in scientific circles anyway. Of course, your camp was hoping that global cooling would counterbalance global warming. Way to go!
Falcon wrote:This is just alarmist propaganda for the sheep so that the wolves in power can seize more control for themselves.
*applause* BRAVO!! Nice performance! I bet you practiced for days to deliver that line without breaking into a grin... oh, you were serious.

Grow up, birdbrain. All the propagandizing came from your camp. My camp only gave warnings of what it honestly saw as oncoming problems in the future, and if anything we severely underestimated the problem.
Falcon wrote:
All the screeching you and your ilk are doing now is just an attempt to absolve yourselves of guilt. "Oh, we shouldn't be regulated! The Free Market™ will save us all!" Fuck you. We gave you and the free market ample chance to self-regulate. You blew it. Now someone else has to kick you in the right direction.
That's it, get all the terror out of your system. Go to your happy place.
Fail. I like how you've deluded yourself into believing that global warming actually gives me comfort. :roll:

If business would self-regulate, I would have no problem with just letting them be. But they don't. They keep screwing up. If the consequences of businesses not self-regulating affected only businesses, I would have no problem simply letting them self-destruct. But the consequences affect every living thing on Earth. They keep screwing everyone over. I'm tired of that. Any sane person would be tired of that, and want regulation of industry.

But then, you're not a sane person, are you. You're doing the same things and expecting different results.
Falcon wrote:If you need to work so bad that you'll work in awful conditions it is just as fair as the other side of the coin where you don't need to work badly so the employer has to bribe you with generous benefits.
Again, you betray your complete disregard for human life by bleating about free markets. I find it amazing that you would think that anybody could be in such dire straights that he couldn't expect reasonable safety in his job, and not be compensated with hazard pay for the job falling short of that.

And here I thought America was supposed to be egalitarian. Silly me! :roll:
Falcon wrote:What really hurts people and the economy is when the government imposes regulations such that people who want to work, and employers who want to hire, are forbidden from entering into those mutually acceptable agreements as a result of the government act.
Bullshit. The worst economic disasters in history came from government not doing enough. The Great Depression wasn't ignited by government "oppression" of the economy; it was percipitated when the bottom fell out of the agriculture market in the middle of a vulnerable time in the economy caused by free market forces.
Falcon wrote:As long as all parties have the relevant information who cares? If the public knows that there is an increase in risk by using a product and continue to use it, however unwisely, that's their own business. The company is just fulfilling a demand.
That's just it: the customers DIDN'T have all the information because the companies were keeping it quiet. Who would accept such a side effect for routine pain relief? If the FDA hadn't been immasculated, these drugs would have never been approved without this side effect coming to light, and doctors able to take it into account when they write prescriptions — namely, keeping tabs on the patient's cardiovascular health at the very least.
Falcon wrote:You haven't noticed all the companies fleeing offshores and incurring shipping expenses, local instabilities, and the like just to access cheaper labor?
You mean, in the past decade in spite of the fact that no new real regulatory moves have been implemented? These moves were only possible because the international infastructure enabled any job done completely over the phone, say tech support, to be located anywhere on earth. It would have happened regardless of regulation.
Falcon wrote:You haven't noticed all the people who lose their job everytime the minimum wage goes up?
Falcon's article wrote:David Neumark, an economist at the University of California, Irvine, has found that increasing the minimum wage does not reduce poverty. Rather, for every 10 percent increase in the minimum wage, he estimates that the poverty rate increases by 3 percent to 4 percent.
Of course I haven't noticed. You guys made that fairytale up.

A raise in the minimum wage, the argument goes, means that employers have to fire workers to make up for the wage increase. Therefore minimum wage causes unemployment.

Sounds like a sound argument, doesn't it. But it's wrong:
Economic Policy Institute wrote:There is no evidence of job loss from the last minimum wage increase.
  • A 1998 EPI study failed to find any systematic, significant job loss associated with the 1996-97 minimum wage increase. In fact, following the most recent increase in the minimum wage in 1996-97, the low-wage labor market performed better than it had in decades (e.g., lower unemployment rates, increased average hourly wages, increased family income, decreased poverty rates).
  • Studies of the 1990-91 federal minimum wage increase, as well as studies by David Card and Alan Krueger of several state minimum wage increases, also found no measurable negative impact on employment.
  • New economic models that look specifically at low-wage labor markets help explain why there is little evidence of job loss associated with minimum wage increases. These models recognize that employers may be able to absorb some of the costs of a wage increase through higher productivity, lower recruiting and training costs, decreased absenteeism, and increased worker morale.
  • A recent Fiscal Policy Institute (FPI) study of state minimum wages found no evidence of negative employment effects on small businesses.
http://www.epi.org/content.cfm/issuegui ... nwagefacts

Real evidence trumps liberitarian logic.
Falcon wrote:Who do you think corporations are if not people? They're just people who have entered into a legal construct for economic protections.
Corporations are artificial entities, fucknut. The legal construct real people enter into when they become a corporation is recognized as a separate legal entity from its members for their protection. That's the point of entering into one.

I'm not surprised you don't know what that implies, having gotten an F in basic economics. The government gives corporations certain rights, privilages and liabilities, but those rights, privilages and liabilities are not necessarily the same as those of a real person. Indeed, they are demonstratably so.

For one thing, imprisoning a corporation is pointless. Also, the individuals in the corporation (the "parents") can dissolve the corporation (the "child") at any time ("killing" it); doing the equavalent to a real individual is called "murder". A company exec that drives a corporation under (again, "killing" it) through gross incompetence is not arressted for negligent homicide (he may open himself to lawsuit, but that's a civil matter).

For all you screeching about the sanctity of "corporation rights and liberties", we obviously don't treat them the same as a living person. That's as it should be; corporations are our servants, not our masters.
Falcon wrote:It isn't a slippery slope argument to raise concerns about giving government power it can abuse. No one is saying such abuse in evitable, merely too risky.
You have no idea what a slipery slope argument is, have you? The rights of a corporation is not commesurate with that of a living individual. They exist only so far as they serve our needs.
Falcon wrote:The market itself is a function of costs and benefits, it doesn't need the government adding arbitrary costs as a result of speculations. The regulations needed are those that ensure free flow of accurate information and the prevention of coercion.
A market is simply a way of distributing goods. A free market is a particular strategy for doing it, based on cost/benefits of consumers. However, cost/benefits are defined by a bunch of externalities, and one of them is the laws of physics themselves.
Falcon wrote:Which only serves to illustrate my point that the government shouldn't have the power to intervene on anyone's side in such a situation, neither for business nor labor. Companies shouldn't be allowed to use force either (mercinaries), that's a violation of the free market.
No it isn't, moron. Mercinaries in this scenario were fairly hired to protect the company's interests. And they would, just like the government did with the strikebreakers through the companies' bought influence.

The free market is capable of some very nasty shit. It's demonstrated this too often. That's why it needs to be regulated.
Falcon wrote:Industry chips in a lot more than you do though. I haven't seen any evidence that industry pays disproportionately less than anyone else. Plus, you are the reason that industry uses the roads (to transport goods to you, the consumer) so you're going to bear the ultimate cost as the end user no matter what.
If I'm the one bearing the cost in any case, then industry isn't bearing it. Concession accepted, twit.
Falcon wrote:If any resource were a corporation that could charge us for its use then that use would alter.
PRECISELY! If the environment could levy surcharges for damage to its properties (which is what pollution is), then companies would change their behavior. That's what happened when government regulations on sulfur pollution were imposed (essentially the equivalent of the environment slapping a factory with a surcharge). Now you no longer hear about acid rain. The costs of climate change is currently externalized, so the free market cannot respond to very real costs mounting in the future.

Concession accepted.
Falcon wrote:You haven't done what you think you've done. The free market isn't inherently short sighted either, especially on big capital projects, but even on the individual level. People can choose to be short sighted, sure, as is their right, but they can also take a very far reaching look at where they want to go in life as they make decisions. The free market has one thing going for it that government doesn't and that's results. Innovation, efficiency, dependability, etc, are all superior, on average, when the free market is in charge rather than the government.
There's only one thing wrong with that argument. It's wrong.

Let's bring back your regulation argument, that if people want a product that outperforms regulation, then government has done nothing. Not true. Without regulations in other areas, a product that outperforms a compeditor in one area, may be extremely deficient in another to make up for the cost of being really good in that area, perhaps past any fully reasoned consideration (and remember, comsumers are not entirely reasonable). But enforcing a minimum standard, performance in that one area is kept down to keep compliance with other regulations... until that company comes up with an innovation, or an increase in efficiency, that allows the product to achieve the higher performance in that one area, without sacrificing performance in another and without too much additional cost.

So, contrary to your argument, the government regulation actually stimulates innovation, efficiency, dependability, and what have you, by acting as a selection pressure.
Falcon wrote:You've shifted the argument. First premise: the market demands goods at a level higher than government regulation. Government has affected nothing.
You pretend that the quality of goods has a single dimension. It doesn't. With cars, for instance, there are cars with good acceleration but bad milage, and cars with bad acceleration and good milage, cars with good handling but have a high maitainance requirement, and cars wit any combination of all these dimensions. A car's manufacturer may sacrifice quality on one dimension to improve quality on another to keep price down (and therefore maximize salability). Government regulations keeps important considerations, such as safety, from slipping too low in order to satisfy outperformance of those regulations elsewhere. You fail the argument, because that was the point of my original comment.
Falcon wrote:Second premise: the market demands goods both at and above government regulation. Government has still affected nothing.
I reject this premise, for the reasons sited above. Your definition of "quality" is one dimensional and fails to capture the true picture in any satisfactory detail.
Falcon wrote:Third premise: the market demands goods below the government regulation. Government has interfered with free choice and has now likely denied some individuals (the poor) the ability to purchase said product (since government regulation usually increases costs). Who are you to tell someone that they can't get a product at a certain level of quality if they knowingly want to purchase that product?
Said like a true liberatarian. Can such a person afford or have the intelligence to do the footwork to make sure that the product they are buying really matches the product they want in terms of safety, maintainability, performance in all its various dimensions, convenience, compliance with standards (NTSC/PAL), options, and all that? History has shown otherwise.

Regulations actually make product choice easier for the consumer. The consumer is assured a minimum standard of the product (which is for most cases perfectly reasonable), and can then concentrate on the features he has the patience to research.
Falcon wrote:That's why the government should prevent fraud or force, but not interfere with free choice.
Again, spoken as if "free choice" is some magical garlic-y charm that will ward off all evils. Free choice is not all its cracked up to be.
Falcon wrote:As long as everyone was uncoerced by fraud or force then they have a right to risk their lives. It isn't for us to stand in judgment over someone else's situation and deny them their ability to choose.
So you think those coffins in the ground are there because people understood the risks they were getting into? What about the infants? They had no choice abot whether they wanted to risk their continued existence for a trip to the mall like their parents (if the parents did make that choice).

You believe that people have a good handle of the risks they take every day. This is patent nonsense. People are more scared of flying, and feel perfectly safe driving, yet per mile (even after 9/11) airplanes are the safest form of travel, and driving the most dangerous. People buy guns without any training, even though a gun in the home is more likely to kill one of the occupants of that home than defending any one of them. People wail about nuclear power irradiating them, yet nuclear power spews much less radioactivity into the air per MW than burning coal.

People don't know how to evaluate risk. The kind of wholly consumer-side evaluation of a product you give head to only works in a hunter-gatherer society with neolithic goods, where the risks can be evaulated with the untrained brain. In case you haven't noticed, we've moved a bit beyond that.
Falcon wrote:
article wrote:A Freedom of Information request to the Highways Agency in October 2005 showed that the cost of constructing a mile of motorway had risen from £23 million to £28 million in just 6 months [5].

The rising cost of the roads programme has not gone unnoticed by both the Liberal Democrats and the Conservatives [6]. Both parties have pointed out that the roads programme is now £1.5 billion over budget.
http://www.roadblock.org.uk/press_relea ... -03-23.htm
And?

At least try to tie this into your argument, dumbfuck. Prove that a private company would be able to do it for the budget projected, rather than simply asking for £1.5 billion over the stated budget, or without going back to the government to plead for more budget. Furthermore, prove that this £1.5 billion over budget for a public works project didn't involve private companies.
Falcon wrote:If private companies go overbudget they lose profits or go out of business.
Companies can and do renegotiate their contracts, idiot. Especially if they can convince the government that they are going to go out of business unless they get more green. Regardless of whether they actually need it.
Falcon wrote:
Also, are you willing to put up with inefficiency when safety is a concern? When property?
Safety is my own concern, I'm not willing to give up liberty for safety.
Be free of gravity then! Jump off a building!

Still here? Then you're still willing to be bound by gravity for your safety. So much for your not willing to give up liberty for safety claptrap.
Falcon wrote:The right to own property is fundamental to liberty, but there is no right to have your property protected from environmental damage by the government (such as insurance or bailout schemes like those on the coasts).
What about by companies? If you're done harm by a company, should they not pay for the damage?
Falcon wrote:I wouldn't complement you on your values either, but who cares?
I'm not the one who would sacrifice human civilization itself for some fake people's rights, boyo.
Falcon wrote:Linux is a lot more like the free market (individual control) and microsoft is a lot more like government (monopoly).
Even though Microsoft was created entirely through the free market forces, and Linux was created entirely because someone wanted a good kernel and without consideration for profit. :lol:

You don't get to pass of Microsoft as some government Frankenstein's monster; that monster was entirely the free market's baby.
Falcon wrote:Not everyone judges things in the same way. People are familiar with Microsoft and so even if they are aware of its problems they still continue to use it. I use it, despite all the griefs I have with it, because it would be too troublesome to use linux in my current situation and I don't like apple (or any of the other alternatives). As long as I have all the information it should be up to me, even if you think my decision unwise.
Do you think everyone has the brainpower or the training to take a complex subject like operating system design, apply decision theory, and then come up with a course of action that is theoretically sound? Do you know what a loss function is? Do you know what a decision rule is? Do you understand why closed interface standards are bad, and how much damage they actually cause the ultimate user? No? Then you and the public cannot make a decision that is in your best interests without resorting to some kind of regulation, even if you had all the information.
Falcon wrote:No, it doesn't fall on the government. The government has no business substituting its will (or the will of the majority over the minority) for that of the people.
Prove it, shitstain! Why doesn't the government have any business implementing policy decisions for the public good?
Falcon wrote:Name an industry that was taxed into oblivion, shitstain.
It should be common sense; if a company is taxed then it either passes those costs on or else it fails if it cannot. When taxes go up it isn't like the businesses all say "oops, we can't pay these taxes," because the cost is hidden. Instead it looks like a simple failure to provide goods at a price the market demands. [/quote]

I say again, name a company that fails because it cannot pay its taxes. Here, I'll make things easier by outlining a proper proof of your claim: find a correlation between increased taxes and increased companies going out of business, find a mechanism that links increased taxes with increased business shutdowns, and then name a business that suffered such a shutdown.

Get to it, twerp!
Falcon wrote:<snip comedy writing itself>
No further comment there.
Falcon wrote:I didn't say it would be "better" just that there was no reason to claim that the market is undemocratic because there are people who have the option to inform themselves and choose not to.
You're argument is that free markets should be free and unfettered. For me to buy that, you have to show that pure free markets consistently produce better results than regulated free markets. I do not see any reasoning from you that demonstrates this.
Falcon wrote:If they want to trade lifespan for junkfood and smoking then that's their value judgment.
No it isn't, you millet-headed birdbrain. It's millions of years of now-maladaptive traits and straightforward nicotine addiction. Humans aren't just collections of values, you fuck. They're also billions of years of evolutionary baggage.
Falcon wrote:If they don't want to believe the shaky inconsistant bleating of agenda driven individuals then that's their value judgment too.
See above, and prove that my "agenda" is "shaky inconsistent bleating."
Falcon wrote:You're upset because you can't convince people on the merits, or even with doomsaying, so now its time to get out the gun and compel them by force.
If you were being dragged by a mob of blind, deaf men marching toward a precipice, wouldn't you pull out the guns and "compel them by force"?

Yes. Yes, you would.

The science says the coming global crisis is real, that science says our civilization is unsustainable in its current form. This is the scientific community, the human institution that has done the most good for us, ever, telling us these things. Yet idiots like you keep walking this path towards the precipice.

If it wasn't for the fact that you are dragging me with you off the edge, I would happily let you self-destruct and leave the remains to the smarter generation. Sadly, I have to save you bozos to save myself.
Falcon wrote:
And yet they do it. Even in this supposedly over-regulated era.
That's what the legal system is for, to punish the offenders who try to use fraud and force.
How is withholding information "fraud"? How is it "force"? Prove your shit, dumbfuck.
Falcon wrote:
So you admit that companies sometimes make the wrong choices.
Companies make the profitable choice. If left to their own devices they'll attempt to make the right choice.
Wrong. They still make the profitable choice. The choice they make will not be the right choice unless it also happens to be the profitable choice. I repeat, "So you admit that companies sometimes make the wrong choices."
Falcon wrote:It isn't the free market when its not mutual agreement between all parties in question.
Yes there is, moron. All the parties I named do it by mutual concent/quid pro quo.
Falcon wrote:That money isn't given to the government by choice. The wealthy, a minority, are taxed for the bulk of the federal budget. The voters who make up the majority that demands pork are largely outside this taxed group. Thus the majority is using government power to coerce the majority into wealth redistribution. That's prime example of why the government shouldn't have such power and its as far away from a free market as one can get.
Even if I believed your evidence was accurate, it's still spurious reasoning. These costs are externalized to the senate as a whole, and to the constituency senator A represents. Just like the costs of climate change are externalized to companies that burn fossil fuels. These are serious consequences, affecting us all, and I certainly never gave these companies any leave to change the globe's climate for their selfish, short-term gain.

Git it, bitch? These problems are caused by externalized costs, not by government. Free market theory doesn't know shit about the government, yet it's able to predict this outcome.
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Post by Darth Wong »

I don't know why you're bothering to argue in detail about the idiot's claims regarding morality and economics. It's pretty clear that he only snips out the pieces of whatever ideology he thinks will fit his personal convenience. He was never interested in formulating a self-consistent rational approach, and never will be. Classic fundie.
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Post by Wyrm »

Darth Wong wrote:I don't know why you're bothering to argue in detail about the idiot's claims regarding morality and economics. It's pretty clear that he only snips out the pieces of whatever ideology he thinks will fit his personal convenience. He was never interested in formulating a self-consistent rational approach, and never will be. Classic fundie.
Yeah... I still haven't mastered the finer points of mocking without the fine detail. Sorry for the long-ass post. :oops:
Darth Wong on Strollers vs. Assholes: "There were days when I wished that my stroller had weapons on it."
wilfulton on Bible genetics: "If two screaming lunatics copulate in front of another screaming lunatic, the result will be yet another screaming lunatic. 8)"
SirNitram: "The nation of France is a theory, not a fact. It should therefore be approached with an open mind, and critically debated and considered."

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Post by Falcon »

Wyrm wrote:Good to know this argument is still live. Somewhat. It seems that our little birdy has fled, though. Nevertheless, it's incumbant upon me to answer his points.
Falcon wrote: There are no costs though, its all supposition on future costs. If there were real costs then they'd be figured in without any government actions.
:lol: Insurance, buzzard! Costs from accidents are not actually accrued until you're in one. Supposedly, they don't exist. Yet we still pay insurance, so YES, you can put a price on potential future losses, and for certain types of losses, it makes sense to start paying before you suffer the actual loss.

You know fuck-all about the mechanisms of the free market, yet you hold it up like some something you should kneel in front of and "worship". You deserve your title, bitch.
Then let the insurance be voluntary. I have no problem with people who are worried about incurring future damages pooling their money, my problem is with the government dictating that I have to pool my money too.
Falcon wrote:That's such a retarded mischaracterization of what I was saying its stunning. Costs and benefits do not come from "outside" the free market, those things are an integral part of the free market. Outside influence are relegated to, for our purposes here, government imposed costs or mandates that have nothing to do with the actual marketable cost and benefit of some act.
Congradulations! You have failed Economics 101!

In the free market, value is the dynamic potential that drives the movemet of goods. I value a Capt'n Crunch Secret Decoder Ring more than I value the $12 it takes to purchase it, so I make the purchase. At the bottom of everything, that's how things work in a free market.

But these values do not originate within the free market. What made me buy the Capt'n Crunch Secret Decoder Ring for $12 retail is that I place more value on the ring than on the $12. These values come from outside the free market, because when I leave the free market and go to any one of the communistic countries still exant, what I value still guides my decisions, as much as they are able. So when I get back into a free market, I carry that value system with me as I enter, and therefore, this value system is external to the free market within which I am participating.

So tell me why governmental-imposed externalities are verboten, whereas mine are permitted.
A free market is made up of your internal values along with everything else. What distinguishes a free market from one that is not free is when some third party substitutes its will for the will of the collective individuals. Its clear that your idea of what makes a market free is so far removed from reality that there is no basis for commonality here. A market is the demands and supplies by individuals. What makes it free is when each individual makes all the decisions, not the government.
Falcon wrote:When the government comes in and imposes an arbitrary cost based on some theory of what might happen in a hundred years then that is most definately an outside influence that ought not be permitted.
Why ought it not be permitted? Why is the change in the cost/benefit landscape permitted when it comes from consumers, while it's forbidden if it comes from a government?

Something more substantial than "it comes from the government," please.
Aren't the double standards getting old yet? I argue we should preserve liberty and you whine "WHY" at the top of your lungs, yet you provide no rational basis for eliminating liberty and worse yet placing that power of elimination in an aribtrary government checked only by an apathetic public. The reason that the government is not fit to alter that "cost\benefit landscape" as you put it is because such a situation is ripe for the majority to oppress the minority. That's the whole point of having limited government of enumerated powers; the prevention of tyranny whether it be by monarch or majority vote.
Falcon wrote:The key phase there is "in retrospect." You're diluding yourself into thinking that you can peer ahead into the future with the 20\20 vision of the past and then use the government to compel what you assume to be the best outcome.
You fail spelling and the argument! DOUBLE PLAY! At least the government has the benefit of people actually looking forward, you molting emu. When you're riding the mythical almighty, unguided free market, you're flying blind.

So far, I've shown much more foresight than the companies. It's obvious that we are going to run out of fossil fuels, and that fuel prices were going to rise long before they actually rose. Yet the supposedly foresightful free market pushed SUVs as the new big wave. It's obvious that the amount of carbon in fossil fuels, released as CO2 into the atmosphere, will greatly disrupt climate (the average temperature of the Earth when these fossil fuels were forming was quite a bit higher than it is now, and that was in the past when the sun was cooler, and the climate was much different back then), and therefore severely disrupt human civilization. Yet I see an increase in the rate carbon is going into the atmosphere due to the free market wankage.

I find it ironic that you screech about your silly freedoms, yet being willing to enslave yourself to the free market — that which should be our servant, not the other way around.
The government has never looked foreward as well as the individual. Even on matters of critical importance like national defense the government is typically fighting the last war (France, WWII), let alone on the mundane economic concerns you want to hand over to it.

If you think the companies don't realize that fossile fuels are running out you're kidding yourself. There just no basis for such an incomprehensible claim. Try again. Any product choice you don't approve of is a result of market forces. Regardless of what companies realize or not, they do realize what consumers want.

You see the most growth of fossile fuel consumption, not to mention the worst kind of pollution, in nations choked with government control over every aspect of the society (China). China has just enough freedom in its market to encourage people to work, but it is by no means free (since you're obviously dull enough to make the "China is capitalist" argument)
Falcon wrote:The free market is a necessary consequence of individual liberty, not an inherent component of democracy. You can't have liberty unless the right to property is held above all other rights and accordingly you can't have a right to free property unless you can buy, sell, trade, destroy, etc, your property freely in an uncoerced market.
Yes, and by this logic you have the liberty to build a doomsday weapon that will destroy all life on Earth if you have the resources. Do you see why making doomsday devices is a bad idea?
No, your logic is flawed. There is no such thing as liberty to harm someone else's liberty. That of course takes us back to the original point of this thread which is that there has been no dispositive evidence of man made global warming, let alone some kind of pending doomsday scenario, such as many try to pretend.
Falcon wrote:Of course this is getting far afield from your original and apparently abandoned statement equating individuals in the government making decisions with individuals collectively in the market.
Who's abandoned it? Individuals aren't in the market, either... unless we're talking about slavery. Individuals participate in the free market, importing and imposing onto the market their own values (which makes the market go). The government can participate, too. That your bird-like brain is too small to understand this is not my fault.
Individuals, collectively, are the market. They are "in" it, as you put it, not as slaves, but rather as free agents who self own and self direct. The government can participate, but only in the capacity of any other equal entity, IE it can only legitimately participate by mutual agreement, not via coercion and use of its sovereign power.
Falcon wrote:I realize that when you artifically decrease the supply or increase the cost of energy you create cost increases across the board.
Do you really believe that the cost in dollars for a pound of coal is actually equal to its true cost, which would include things like environmental costs? If anything, the price of fossil fuels is artificially low. It doesn't take into account the environmental damage it causes (in the form of atmospheric CO2) when it's burned, a cost you have yet to disprove in other parts of the debate.

Prices that are too low also create problems, you blue-footed boobie.
There's no such thing as a price that's too low unless the sellor has been coerced. If sellor and buyer mutually agree on a price then that price is correct. You keep harping on the cost of CO2 to the environment, but those are projected costs that have never occurred. It isn't up to me to prove that something which has not and is not happening won't ever happen in the future. If it happens then the market will bear those costs at that time, just as the market will in the future bear the costs of the accidents caused by all cars sold today, or the cost of all health problems caused by tobacco products sold today, etc...
Falcon wrote:Then where are they? I haven't seen a single dime's worth of expense from global warming? Most of the costs I see attributed to global warming, like hurricane damage, is the result of government bailouts taking away the economic disincentive to build your house in the path of routine natural disasters.
You're either blind, stupid, or lying. What about the lost revenue of my state's (Vermont) first snowless November on record? Skiing is big business up here; businesses literally live or die by the snow. But for the first time, snow was sporatic during the very time of year when before, we could essentially bet your bottom dollar on there being plenty of snow from November 'til January. Not only that, good maple syrup depends on a good freeze the winter before, and it almost didn't happen except for the Valentine blizard. So don't tell me global warming hasn't cost anyone a dime.

As for the government bailouts in Katrinaland, I'm in partial agreement with you. I'd make the bailouts contingent on not rebuilding in hurricane paths.
In case you weren't aware, snow fall varies from year to year. Its surreal to have people like you dream up a problem then blame the day to day happenings of life on that problem and conclude that those problems validate your fantasy. Let's just assume global warming wrecked up your snowfall. The market had to absorb that cost already. You don't need to do anything else special, the impact has already been felt. Oh, but wait, you want to spread out the damage across the economy in some artifically contrived way so that the people who didn't get to make any money on snow don't have to bear the losses alone, right? Classical socialism of course, but it makes one wonder how many ski resort owners paid for wrecked cars, lost school days, lost work days, salt\road treatments, etc? We might as well collectivise now and go live in our gulags.
Falcon wrote:Its funny you should mention iceberg because it used to be global cooling, not global warming, that got everyone in such a twist.
Global cooling has been discredited since the 1970's, and it came about in the first place because we thought ice ages came more frequently than they did. It was never a serious contender in scientific circles anyway. Of course, your camp was hoping that global cooling would counterbalance global warming. Way to go!
Oh I know global cooling was discredited. All I've got to do is hold out another 30 years and history will repeat.
Falcon wrote:This is just alarmist propaganda for the sheep so that the wolves in power can seize more control for themselves.
*applause* BRAVO!! Nice performance! I bet you practiced for days to deliver that line without breaking into a grin... oh, you were serious.

Grow up, birdbrain. All the propagandizing came from your camp. My camp only gave warnings of what it honestly saw as oncoming problems in the future, and if anything we severely underestimated the problem.
I know what would be fun. Let's waste our time devising arbitrary statements and trying to sqeeze out some *witty* comments involving birds and bodily waste!!!
Falcon wrote: That's it, get all the terror out of your system. Go to your happy place.
Fail. I like how you've deluded yourself into believing that global warming actually gives me comfort. :roll:

If business would self-regulate, I would have no problem with just letting them be. But they don't. They keep screwing up. If the consequences of businesses not self-regulating affected only businesses, I would have no problem simply letting them self-destruct. But the consequences affect every living thing on Earth. They keep screwing everyone over. I'm tired of that. Any sane person would be tired of that, and want regulation of industry.

But then, you're not a sane person, are you. You're doing the same things and expecting different results.
What on earth are you talking about? Business self regulates just fine (if you can really call it self regulation, its actually just a response to market forces). I'm not doing the same thing and expecting different results either. I'm merely refusing to buy into the notion that we have to do something different in order to expect the same result.
Falcon wrote:If you need to work so bad that you'll work in awful conditions it is just as fair as the other side of the coin where you don't need to work badly so the employer has to bribe you with generous benefits.
Again, you betray your complete disregard for human life by bleating about free markets. I find it amazing that you would think that anybody could be in such dire straights that he couldn't expect reasonable safety in his job, and not be compensated with hazard pay for the job falling short of that.

And here I thought America was supposed to be egalitarian. Silly me! :roll:
No, America was not supposed to be egalitarian as you conceive of it. Equality before the law is all that matters, everything else is left up to you. Furthermore, it isn't at all difficult to imagine someone who needs money bad enough that they wouldn't disregard their own safety. Your loved one needs medical care, food, etc... Or perhaps the job itself is inherently unsafe, but also unskilled and so there are many people willing to take a risk. An example would be the workers who built the Hoover Dam. Some of them died, but they were all still willing to risk it and that's their business. It isn't for me to deny them work or eliminate their jobs by forcing some kind of standard on them that they aren't willing to force on themselves.
Falcon wrote:What really hurts people and the economy is when the government imposes regulations such that people who want to work, and employers who want to hire, are forbidden from entering into those mutually acceptable agreements as a result of the government act.
Bullshit. The worst economic disasters in history came from government not doing enough. The Great Depression wasn't ignited by government "oppression" of the economy; it was percipitated when the bottom fell out of the agriculture market in the middle of a vulnerable time in the economy caused by free market forces.
You're simply wrong. Government assumption of control via the Federal Reserve and then failing to administer that control properly was what caused the initial crash to be so terrible. The government then lengthened and deepened the depression by destroying valuable products, limiting production, etc... I'm sure you won't read it, but if you really want to know:
http://www.hoover.org/publications/poli ... 76271.html
Falcon wrote:As long as all parties have the relevant information who cares? If the public knows that there is an increase in risk by using a product and continue to use it, however unwisely, that's their own business. The company is just fulfilling a demand.
That's just it: the customers DIDN'T have all the information because the companies were keeping it quiet. Who would accept such a side effect for routine pain relief? If the FDA hadn't been immasculated, these drugs would have never been approved without this side effect coming to light, and doctors able to take it into account when they write prescriptions — namely, keeping tabs on the patient's cardiovascular health at the very least.
Yet what you don't seem to be able to grasp is that the problems with the FDA are typical of each and every government activity. You can expect every government activity to mirror those problems. Thus my point is have an FDA, let it make its recommendations, but don't force people to follow them. Let the consumer, who has the ultimate responsibility for his own welfare, make the ultimate choice. Also, prosecute companies who misbehave.
Falcon wrote:You haven't noticed all the companies fleeing offshores and incurring shipping expenses, local instabilities, and the like just to access cheaper labor?
You mean, in the past decade in spite of the fact that no new real regulatory moves have been implemented? These moves were only possible because the international infastructure enabled any job done completely over the phone, say tech support, to be located anywhere on earth. It would have happened regardless of regulation.
Companies are not going to take on the expense of physically shipping their goods in from across an ocean, risking their infrastructure in unstable corrupt nations, and risking consumer retaliation unless they can make substantial savings. They only are able to make those savings because of the overwhelmingly burdensome taxes and regulations in the US. There's no reason to think that absent those liabilities the companies would have needed to move in such numbers. We're not talking about tech support, we're talking about the mass manufacture of physical consumer items like clothing, electronics, tools, etc...
Falcon wrote:You haven't noticed all the people who lose their job everytime the minimum wage goes up?
Of course I haven't noticed. You guys made that fairytale up.

A raise in the minimum wage, the argument goes, means that employers have to fire workers to make up for the wage increase. Therefore minimum wage causes unemployment.

Sounds like a sound argument, doesn't it. But it's wrong:
Economic Policy Institute wrote:There is no evidence of job loss from the last minimum wage increase.
  • A 1998 EPI study failed to find any systematic, significant job loss associated with the 1996-97 minimum wage increase. In fact, following the most recent increase in the minimum wage in 1996-97, the low-wage labor market performed better than it had in decades (e.g., lower unemployment rates, increased average hourly wages, increased family income, decreased poverty rates).
  • Studies of the 1990-91 federal minimum wage increase, as well as studies by David Card and Alan Krueger of several state minimum wage increases, also found no measurable negative impact on employment.
  • New economic models that look specifically at low-wage labor markets help explain why there is little evidence of job loss associated with minimum wage increases. These models recognize that employers may be able to absorb some of the costs of a wage increase through higher productivity, lower recruiting and training costs, decreased absenteeism, and increased worker morale.
  • A recent Fiscal Policy Institute (FPI) study of state minimum wages found no evidence of negative employment effects on small businesses.
http://www.epi.org/content.cfm/issuegui ... nwagefacts

Real evidence trumps liberitarian logic.
What you don't seem to realize is that you can't measure jobs that were never created as being lost when a market is on the rise. During the period in question the economy was expanding. The loss in jobs therefore manifested itself as jobs that were never created rather than jobs already existing that disappeared. Those links I provided had real evidence in them, but you ignored it. http://www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa106.html
Falcon wrote:Who do you think corporations are if not people? They're just people who have entered into a legal construct for economic protections.
Corporations are artificial entities, fucknut. The legal construct real people enter into when they become a corporation is recognized as a separate legal entity from its members for their protection. That's the point of entering into one.

I'm not surprised you don't know what that implies, having gotten an F in basic economics. The government gives corporations certain rights, privilages and liabilities, but those rights, privilages and liabilities are not necessarily the same as those of a real person. Indeed, they are demonstratably so.

For one thing, imprisoning a corporation is pointless. Also, the individuals in the corporation (the "parents") can dissolve the corporation (the "child") at any time ("killing" it); doing the equavalent to a real individual is called "murder". A company exec that drives a corporation under (again, "killing" it) through gross incompetence is not arressted for negligent homicide (he may open himself to lawsuit, but that's a civil matter).

For all you screeching about the sanctity of "corporation rights and liberties", we obviously don't treat them the same as a living person. That's as it should be; corporations are our servants, not our masters.
Corporations are made up of and run by people regardless of their legal status. I know precisely what a corporation is and what it implies, congrats on reciting pointless information. Corporations are the servants of their owners, not all of us collectively. Those owners have a right not to see their corporation divested of its property arbitrarily.
Falcon wrote:It isn't a slippery slope argument to raise concerns about giving government power it can abuse. No one is saying such abuse in evitable, merely too risky.
You have no idea what a slipery slope argument is, have you? The rights of a corporation is not commesurate with that of a living individual. They exist only so far as they serve our needs.
Agreed, but I doubt you realize what you're saying here.
Falcon wrote:The market itself is a function of costs and benefits, it doesn't need the government adding arbitrary costs as a result of speculations. The regulations needed are those that ensure free flow of accurate information and the prevention of coercion.
A market is simply a way of distributing goods. A free market is a particular strategy for doing it, based on cost/benefits of consumers. However, cost/benefits are defined by a bunch of externalities, and one of them is the laws of physics themselves.
The "strategy" behind a free market is that it's free, as in, the individual, not the government, gets to decide how things are distributed. That has a cost\benefit advantage, normally, but even if it doesn't freedom is its own overriding value. Considerations about physics are every bit as much a part of the market as considerations about personal preference or some other individual value.
Falcon wrote:Which only serves to illustrate my point that the government shouldn't have the power to intervene on anyone's side in such a situation, neither for business nor labor. Companies shouldn't be allowed to use force either (mercinaries), that's a violation of the free market.
No it isn't, moron. Mercinaries in this scenario were fairly hired to protect the company's interests. And they would, just like the government did with the strikebreakers through the companies' bought influence.

The free market is capable of some very nasty shit. It's demonstrated this too often. That's why it needs to be regulated.
If the mercinaries were merely hired to prevent destruction of the company's property then of course that is fine. The people have a right to strike, but the company has a right to fire them all, remove them from the premises, and hire new employees. The government is capable of far greater evil than the free market. You're hiring a mafia don to watch a petty mugger.
Falcon wrote:Industry chips in a lot more than you do though. I haven't seen any evidence that industry pays disproportionately less than anyone else. Plus, you are the reason that industry uses the roads (to transport goods to you, the consumer) so you're going to bear the ultimate cost as the end user no matter what.
If I'm the one bearing the cost in any case, then industry isn't bearing it. Concession accepted, twit.
I said resources are limited, nothing is free. You responded that you were talking about services that companies got for free, such as roads. I pointed out that the costs of roads are born by industries at a proportional rate to everyone else and incidently they pass that cost on to the consumer. Of course, a company is just made up of people, often the same people that buy the products. Thus, that industry passes on the cost does not imply that the industry is getting it for "free" because the industry is bearing the proportional cost of the members who own it. Unless you want to argue that industry gets its iron, land, etc, for free too. Additionally, the industry bears all the risk of production, which it attempts to pass on, but which everyone knows still results in a lot of bankruptcy filings.
Falcon wrote:If any resource were a corporation that could charge us for its use then that use would alter.
PRECISELY! If the environment could levy surcharges for damage to its properties (which is what pollution is), then companies would change their behavior. That's what happened when government regulations on sulfur pollution were imposed (essentially the equivalent of the environment slapping a factory with a surcharge). Now you no longer hear about acid rain. The costs of climate change is currently externalized, so the free market cannot respond to very real costs mounting in the future.

Concession accepted.
No, government imposed regulations and burdens are not the equilivant of nature imposing a charge for using it; my point was that anytime a cost is imposed behavior will change, not that there is currently some cost that isn't being imposed, don't take things out of context. In any event, if the public doesn't want acid rain it can get companies to stop without government coercion, which is all I want, the people not the government making the decision when it affects liberty. The costs of climate change currently do not exist and there is no guarentee that they ever will exist so your analogy falls flat anyway.
Falcon wrote:You haven't done what you think you've done. The free market isn't inherently short sighted either, especially on big capital projects, but even on the individual level. People can choose to be short sighted, sure, as is their right, but they can also take a very far reaching look at where they want to go in life as they make decisions. The free market has one thing going for it that government doesn't and that's results. Innovation, efficiency, dependability, etc, are all superior, on average, when the free market is in charge rather than the government.
There's only one thing wrong with that argument. It's wrong.

Let's bring back your regulation argument, that if people want a product that outperforms regulation, then government has done nothing. Not true. Without regulations in other areas, a product that outperforms a compeditor in one area, may be extremely deficient in another to make up for the cost of being really good in that area, perhaps past any fully reasoned consideration (and remember, comsumers are not entirely reasonable). But enforcing a minimum standard, performance in that one area is kept down to keep compliance with other regulations... until that company comes up with an innovation, or an increase in efficiency, that allows the product to achieve the higher performance in that one area, without sacrificing performance in another and without too much additional cost.

So, contrary to your argument, the government regulation actually stimulates innovation, efficiency, dependability, and what have you, by acting as a selection pressure.
You're predicating your argument on a long winded chain of assumptions that there is no reason to believe must occur. A compeditor may only produce in one area and thus have no extreme deficiency to make up for. If there is no demand for a product beyond the minimum standard then there will be no innovation beyond it. If there is then there will be even without the minimum standard. What is inescapable is that people who want to purchase goods below the minimum standard, usually the poor, are denied a product all together because of your paternalistic attitude.
Falcon wrote:You've shifted the argument. First premise: the market demands goods at a level higher than government regulation. Government has affected nothing.
You pretend that the quality of goods has a single dimension. It doesn't. With cars, for instance, there are cars with good acceleration but bad milage, and cars with bad acceleration and good milage, cars with good handling but have a high maitainance requirement, and cars wit any combination of all these dimensions. A car's manufacturer may sacrifice quality on one dimension to improve quality on another to keep price down (and therefore maximize salability). Government regulations keeps important considerations, such as safety, from slipping too low in order to satisfy outperformance of those regulations elsewhere. You fail the argument, because that was the point of my original comment.
I do not pretend that goods only have a single dimension. I merely want to put the power back into the hands of the people to decide where they want the lines to fall on quality. If I want a car without a seat belt or air bags its my own business.
Falcon wrote:Second premise: the market demands goods both at and above government regulation. Government has still affected nothing.
I reject this premise, for the reasons sited above. Your definition of "quality" is one dimensional and fails to capture the true picture in any satisfactory detail.
The premise is not predicated on a one dimensional definition of quality.
Falcon wrote:Third premise: the market demands goods below the government regulation. Government has interfered with free choice and has now likely denied some individuals (the poor) the ability to purchase said product (since government regulation usually increases costs). Who are you to tell someone that they can't get a product at a certain level of quality if they knowingly want to purchase that product?
Said like a true liberatarian. Can such a person afford or have the intelligence to do the footwork to make sure that the product they are buying really matches the product they want in terms of safety, maintainability, performance in all its various dimensions, convenience, compliance with standards (NTSC/PAL), options, and all that? History has shown otherwise.

Regulations actually make product choice easier for the consumer. The consumer is assured a minimum standard of the product (which is for most cases perfectly reasonable), and can then concentrate on the features he has the patience to research.
It doesn't matter if they can afford or comprehend the information necessary to make what you call a good decision. I shouldn't be deprived of my money or my liberty so you can be paternalistic to someone else. I don't want an easier choice, I want a free choice.
Falcon wrote:That's why the government should prevent fraud or force, but not interfere with free choice.
Again, spoken as if "free choice" is some magical garlic-y charm that will ward off all evils. Free choice is not all its cracked up to be.
Fine, no one is making you freely choose. Let the government do everything for you for all I care. Just let me opt out.
Falcon wrote:As long as everyone was uncoerced by fraud or force then they have a right to risk their lives. It isn't for us to stand in judgment over someone else's situation and deny them their ability to choose.
So you think those coffins in the ground are there because people understood the risks they were getting into? What about the infants? They had no choice abot whether they wanted to risk their continued existence for a trip to the mall like their parents (if the parents did make that choice).

You believe that people have a good handle of the risks they take every day. This is patent nonsense. People are more scared of flying, and feel perfectly safe driving, yet per mile (even after 9/11) airplanes are the safest form of travel, and driving the most dangerous. People buy guns without any training, even though a gun in the home is more likely to kill one of the occupants of that home than defending any one of them. People wail about nuclear power irradiating them, yet nuclear power spews much less radioactivity into the air per MW than burning coal.

People don't know how to evaluate risk. The kind of wholly consumer-side evaluation of a product you give head to only works in a hunter-gatherer society with neolithic goods, where the risks can be evaulated with the untrained brain. In case you haven't noticed, we've moved a bit beyond that.
Infants are at the mercy of their parents. If you've reached your majority then your life and safety is your own problem.

Yawn, some people are dumb. That's no reason to take away my freedom.

The government doesn't know how to evaluate risk anymore than the people. The government acts according to its own agenda of pork, re-elections, and pandering to the basest elements of society. If you want a government run by an elightened despot you will be sadly disappointed whether it be a single person or an academy of science.
And?

At least try to tie this into your argument, dumbfuck. Prove that a private company would be able to do it for the budget projected, rather than simply asking for £1.5 billion over the stated budget, or without going back to the government to plead for more budget. Furthermore, prove that this £1.5 billion over budget for a public works project didn't involve private companies.
Its self expalantory (and a direct answer to a previous challenge by you which implodes your argument so unsurprisingly you retort with more challenges). The government runs over its budget routinely. If a company did that the market would put it out of business. Government just collects more tax receipts. That's the difference.
Falcon wrote:If private companies go overbudget they lose profits or go out of business.
Companies can and do renegotiate their contracts, idiot. Especially if they can convince the government that they are going to go out of business unless they get more green. Regardless of whether they actually need it.
Falcon wrote: Safety is my own concern, I'm not willing to give up liberty for safety.
Be free of gravity then! Jump off a building!

Still here? Then you're still willing to be bound by gravity for your safety. So much for your not willing to give up liberty for safety claptrap.
Was that supposed to be a rebuttal? Is the government an immutable force of nature now?
Falcon wrote:The right to own property is fundamental to liberty, but there is no right to have your property protected from environmental damage by the government (such as insurance or bailout schemes like those on the coasts).
What about by companies? If you're done harm by a company, should they not pay for the damage?
Falcon wrote:I wouldn't complement you on your values either, but who cares?
I'm not the one who would sacrifice human civilization itself for some fake people's rights, boyo.
Your agenda would sacrifice human liberty and thus human civilization long before my agenda resulted in doomsday climate change.
Falcon wrote:Linux is a lot more like the free market (individual control) and microsoft is a lot more like government (monopoly).
Even though Microsoft was created entirely through the free market forces, and Linux was created entirely because someone wanted a good kernel and without consideration for profit. :lol:

You don't get to pass of Microsoft as some government Frankenstein's monster; that monster was entirely the free market's baby.
Someone doing something without a transparent profit motivation is also a part of the free market.
Falcon wrote:Not everyone judges things in the same way. People are familiar with Microsoft and so even if they are aware of its problems they still continue to use it. I use it, despite all the griefs I have with it, because it would be too troublesome to use linux in my current situation and I don't like apple (or any of the other alternatives). As long as I have all the information it should be up to me, even if you think my decision unwise.
Do you think everyone has the brainpower or the training to take a complex subject like operating system design, apply decision theory, and then come up with a course of action that is theoretically sound? Do you know what a loss function is? Do you know what a decision rule is? Do you understand why closed interface standards are bad, and how much damage they actually cause the ultimate user? No? Then you and the public cannot make a decision that is in your best interests without resorting to some kind of regulation, even if you had all the information.
I'm not going to trust someone else to make the best decision for me though, I'd rather make a bad decision that's my own. Of course, in reality it is possible for ordinary people to make the right decision by accessing the advice of experts. The key is that they make the decision rather than having the expert dictate to them.
Falcon wrote:No, it doesn't fall on the government. The government has no business substituting its will (or the will of the majority over the minority) for that of the people.
Prove it, shitstain! Why doesn't the government have any business implementing policy decisions for the public good?
We value free will? Seriously, if you don't see the inherent value of free will then there's no point in having a discussion. Do you also routinely challenge people to prove that breathing is good?
Falcon wrote:Name an industry that was taxed into oblivion, shitstain.
It should be common sense; if a company is taxed then it either passes those costs on or else it fails if it cannot. When taxes go up it isn't like the businesses all say "oops, we can't pay these taxes," because the cost is hidden. Instead it looks like a simple failure to provide goods at a price the market demands.
I say again, name a company that fails because it cannot pay its taxes. Here, I'll make things easier by outlining a proper proof of your claim: find a correlation between increased taxes and increased companies going out of business, find a mechanism that links increased taxes with increased business shutdowns, and then name a business that suffered such a shutdown.

Get to it, twerp!
article wrote:The most commonly found external causes of small business failure include the external price environment and inflation, interest rates, wage costs, declining markets (eg in recessionary periods), tax rates, bad debts and late payment, and market competition.
http://www.entemp.ie/publications/enter ... ailure.pdf

Falcon wrote:<snip comedy writing itself>
No further comment there.
Falcon wrote:I didn't say it would be "better" just that there was no reason to claim that the market is undemocratic because there are people who have the option to inform themselves and choose not to.
You're argument is that free markets should be free and unfettered. For me to buy that, you have to show that pure free markets consistently produce better results than regulated free markets. I do not see any reasoning from you that demonstrates this.
You haven't noticed how the most prosperous economies lean toward the free end of the spectrum, the freer the better, while the opposite is true in the other direction? Incredible, you can spot global warming, but when a real trend smacks you in the face you blink repeatedly.
Falcon wrote:If they want to trade lifespan for junkfood and smoking then that's their value judgment.
No it isn't, you millet-headed birdbrain. It's millions of years of now-maladaptive traits and straightforward nicotine addiction. Humans aren't just collections of values, you fuck. They're also billions of years of evolutionary baggage.
Who cares? People can control themselves as much as they want, usually, unless they have some kind of abnormal condition. It is their value judgment regardless of what urges their body might have because those are controllable urges. For crying out loud, you really can't take any responsibility for yourself can you? I need the government, evolution made me fat, boo hoo.
Falcon wrote:If they don't want to believe the shaky inconsistant bleating of agenda driven individuals then that's their value judgment too.
See above, and prove that my "agenda" is "shaky inconsistent bleating."
Seen, unimpressed, already done, next.
Falcon wrote:You're upset because you can't convince people on the merits, or even with doomsaying, so now its time to get out the gun and compel them by force.
If you were being dragged by a mob of blind, deaf men marching toward a precipice, wouldn't you pull out the guns and "compel them by force"?

Yes. Yes, you would.

The science says the coming global crisis is real, that science says our civilization is unsustainable in its current form. This is the scientific community, the human institution that has done the most good for us, ever, telling us these things. Yet idiots like you keep walking this path towards the precipice.

If it wasn't for the fact that you are dragging me with you off the edge, I would happily let you self-destruct and leave the remains to the smarter generation. Sadly, I have to save you bozos to save myself.
Too bad for your position our current situation doesn't match your broken analogy.

The science doesn't say what you think it says, a bunch of agenda driven people and power hungry politicians are trying to con you out of your liberty with doomsday scenarios.
Falcon wrote:
And yet they do it. Even in this supposedly over-regulated era.
That's what the legal system is for, to punish the offenders who try to use fraud and force.
How is withholding information "fraud"? How is it "force"? Prove your shit, dumbfuck.
There isn't anything to prove, it is self evidence that it is fraud to withhold vital information about a product. Fraud is defined as "deceit, trickery, sharp practice, or breach of confidence, perpetrated for profit or to gain some unfair or dishonest advantage." Withholding critical information is deceit. You're the first person who I've ever seen demand someone to prove what a word means.
Falcon wrote:
So you admit that companies sometimes make the wrong choices.
Companies make the profitable choice. If left to their own devices they'll attempt to make the right choice.
Wrong. They still make the profitable choice. The choice they make will not be the right choice unless it also happens to be the profitable choice. I repeat, "So you admit that companies sometimes make the wrong choices."
Everyone makes the "wrong" choice from time to time. Companies make it less than government. It isn't valid to say that if companies ever make the wrong choice then we should place that choice into the hands of government which often makes the wrong choice.
Falcon wrote:It isn't the free market when its not mutual agreement between all parties in question.
Yes there is, moron. All the parties I named do it by mutual concent/quid pro quo.
No they don't, the people paying the majority of the taxes in your scenario were coerced by government force.
Falcon wrote:That money isn't given to the government by choice. The wealthy, a minority, are taxed for the bulk of the federal budget. The voters who make up the majority that demands pork are largely outside this taxed group. Thus the majority is using government power to coerce the majority into wealth redistribution. That's prime example of why the government shouldn't have such power and its as far away from a free market as one can get.
Even if I believed your evidence was accurate, it's still spurious reasoning. These costs are externalized to the senate as a whole, and to the constituency senator A represents. Just like the costs of climate change are externalized to companies that burn fossil fuels. These are serious consequences, affecting us all, and I certainly never gave these companies any leave to change the globe's climate for their selfish, short-term gain.

Git it, bitch? These problems are caused by externalized costs, not by government. Free market theory doesn't know shit about the government, yet it's able to predict this outcome.
Wrong, the constituency that Senator A represents didn't necessarily all vote for him.

If global warming actually is imposing a cost, such as stopping ski resorts from making money, then that cost immediately impacts the economy as the resort operators have to buy fewer goods and services, etc, rippling out from that point.

What you've got is a problem that probably doesn't exist and a solution that won't solve the problem even if it does exist, but will in fact merely concentrate power in the government.



I didn't see anything else worth responding too, but I'm sure someone will feel insulted that their specific mindless jab wasn't addressed. It's also abundently clear that the gulf is too vast for any reasonable discourse to take place, not that I really expected it. All minds are made up already.
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Yes he did, Stark.
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Post by Patrick Degan »

Falcon the Imbecile wrote:If global warming actually is imposing a cost, such as stopping ski resorts from making money, then that cost immediately impacts the economy as the resort operators have to buy fewer goods and services, etc, rippling out from that point.
It takes a really clueless moron to make the performance of ski resorts the measure for the impact of global warming.
What you've got is a problem that probably doesn't exist and a solution that won't solve the problem even if it does exist, but will in fact merely concentrate power in the government.
Is that really the best you can come up with after nearly a week underground? Just another regurgitation of your stock talking point?
I didn't see anything else worth responding too, but I'm sure someone will feel insulted that their specific mindless jab wasn't addressed. It's also abundently clear that the gulf is too vast for any reasonable discourse to take place, not that I really expected it. All minds are made up already.
Translation: you can't really defend your argument to save your fucking life so you're just going to grandstand. Impressed we are not.
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Post by aerius »

Patrick Degan wrote:
Falcon the Imbecile wrote:If global warming actually is imposing a cost, such as stopping ski resorts from making money, then that cost immediately impacts the economy as the resort operators have to buy fewer goods and services, etc, rippling out from that point.
It takes a really clueless moron to make the performance of ski resorts the measure for the impact of global warming.
On the other hand, ski resorts haven't been doing as well lately. Quite a few world cup ski events have had their courses shortened and/or moved to higher altitudes due to lack of snow and melting slushy snow. In Ontario for instance, our ski resorts didn't have any snow till the middle of January, over a month later than normal. In fact, thousands of workers were laid off and the economy of cottage country towns went to shit. Either way, Falcon the dumbass loses.
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Post by Einhander Sn0m4n »

Patrick Degan wrote:
Falcon the Imbecile wrote:What you've got is a problem that probably doesn't exist and a solution that won't solve the problem even if it does exist, but will in fact merely concentrate power in the government.
Is that really the best you can come up with after nearly a week underground? Just another regurgitation of your stock talking point?
Especially considering the people who deny GW (like Falcon) are closely allied with people with long histories of concerted efforts to concentrate power into the Executive branch of the government (like Shrubby and the Oilmen).
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Post by D.Turtle »

Stark wrote:Did you just quote three pages to respond with a fucking link? :roll:
Not to defend Falcon, but he simply screwed up his formatting.

His replies in the first three quarters of the post are in the quote tags.
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Post by Wyrm »

Falcon wrote:Faulty quoting corrected. Way to go, buzzard! -Wyrm

Then let the insurance be voluntary. I have no problem with people who are worried about incurring future damages pooling their money, my problem is with the government dictating that I have to pool my money too.
Way to not answer my point that we can anticipate costs before we start paying for it in money, blood or sweat, and turning it into yet another of your liberatarian screeches.
Falcon wrote:A free market is made up of your internal values along with everything else. What distinguishes a free market from one that is not free is when some third party substitutes its will for the will of the collective individuals. Its clear that your idea of what makes a market free is so far removed from reality that there is no basis for commonality here. A market is the demands and supplies by individuals. What makes it free is when each individual makes all the decisions, not the government.
Again, way to not answer my question, which was "why is government interference necessarily bad?" As expected, I didn't get an answer except for your libreratarian screeching.

Also, nice semantics debate about what belongs in a free market and what does not. To bad I wasn't asking for one.

Go divebomb a cooking pot, buzzard.
Falcon wrote:Aren't the double standards getting old yet? I argue we should preserve liberty and you whine "WHY" at the top of your lungs, yet you provide no rational basis for eliminating liberty and worse yet placing that power of elimination in an aribtrary government checked only by an apathetic public.
Wow! A false dilemma wrapped up in a strawman! A new record!

Since when was "liberty" equal to "only individuals influence cost/benefits", Tweety?
Falcon wrote:The government has never looked foreward as well as the individual.
The free market is not an individual. This should be obvious, even to you.

/me reads on, but gets headache.

Chrissakes, I can feel the brain cells dying in my skull. Let's see if I can cut down that number by judicious use of out of hand (and absolutely justified) dismissals.

First, you're not a climatologist, and even if you are, you stand in stark contradiction to the majority of climatologists who say that there is a greenhouse effect and that we caused it. Sure, you screech conspiracy and screech that you're not convinced of the evidence. Tough. The burden is on you to prove your case that GW isn't happening and/or we're not the cause.

Second, you're not an economist. This is made clear by the nonsense you post in the form of screwy economic reasoning apparent to even someone whose formal economics education is a single course in high school. The CATO Institute's yammering about the destruction of nonexistent jobs is particularly hilarious. You can't even cite one example of a company sent under because the taxes were too high; you had to go to fucking Ireland to find a citation of an article that cites taxes as only one of a long list of reasons why small businesses went under, and near the end of that list. And the list wasn't even sorted alphabettically, implying taxes were at most a contributory factor.

(Maybe this is why you took a week to reply. You were getting drunk on genuine Irish wiskey!)

Third, you're not a statistician. Everything you say betrays that fact, by you're not able to perform decision theoretical analysis (as evidenced by your howler of an assertion that liberties are more important than human civilization itself), to accusing me of not knowing statistical variation when I see it, not realizing that the "statistical variation" of both Vermont's snowless November and Katrina, coupled with that of the corellation of CO2 rampup and the industrial age, and the global temperature anomally are all predicted by GW, and therefore should be taken seriously.

Hmmm... what's left? That's right. You continually fail to explain why a result of free market forces is necessarily a good result. You fail to appreciate how GW is a slow process — slow to build up, slow to correct — and therefore to leave its solution to the free market risks the collapse of human civilization itself (remember, the free market cannot respond to externalized costs), which would put a final end to the liberties you continually screech about. (Yeah, my grandkids will thank you for preserving their liberties at the cost of eeking out an existence in a ruined world.)

Speaking of liberties, you give the same liberties to constructs (corporations) as you would to the actual people who make them up, treating them the same even though the point of setting up a corporation is so that they are different entities. We manifestly don't treat corporations the same as humans; I own part of Microsoft, but I don't own any part of Bill Gates. (Not that I'd want to own any part of Bill Gates. Ewww!) Also, you cite government impeding liberties that you have not successfully shown we should even have, such as an unlimited right to do what we want with our property.

Next to last point, you have failed to show why I should want to live in a society with no governmental regulation. In particular, I find it hard to see how a government could restrict its powers to preventing fraud or force without also having regulation. Fraud concerns would spur companies to drop safety testing, hiding under the cloak of plausible deniability that takes research to uncover... research that doesn't happen without a concerted effort to uncover them. And no, your magic free market does nothing. All of the safety considerations we now enjoy are the result of governmental regulations. Even seat belts. And you've yet to answer my point about how regulation can actually stimulate commerse, rather than impede it as you continuously screech.

(For this reason, you should've been given the DCT "Liberatarian Screech-Owl". But that's just me.)

Finally, there's this gem:
Falcon wrote:China has just enough freedom in its market to encourage people to work, but it is by no means free (since you're obviously dull enough to make the "China is capitalist" argument)
:shock: :evil: When did I make that argument, Tweety! I've looked back at my posts and couldn't figure out where I'd even mentioned China.

Hmm... not a bad job cutting down the crap, for a first attempt.
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Post by TheLemur »

The burden is on you to prove your case that GW isn't happening and/or we're not the cause.
Although I certainly agree that the vast preponderance of evidence is for GW, isn't the burden of proof usually on the guy who is making the claim, instead of the guy who is arguing against the claim? And how could you prove that we are not causing something?
You can't even cite one example of a company sent under because the taxes were too high;
Companies actually pay very little tax in comparison to gross revenue, since tax is usually only on profits and companies have lobbyists and lawyers. More than 60% of all US companies payed no tax during the 1996-2000 boom (reference). And companies that do have to pay high taxes will just shift the burden to consumers, as the cigarette industry has shown wonderfully.
by you're not able to perform decision theoretical analysis (as evidenced by your howler of an assertion that liberties are more important than human civilization itself)
This strikes me as more of an ethical judgment than a decision-theoretic one. What math is involved in simply asserting that liberties are more important than civilized life?
not realizing that the "statistical variation" of both Vermont's snowless November and Katrina,
Although I can't locate any specific numbers, I live in the Northeast and we had a cold-snap from late January through mid-March that was well below average; we did not simply have nice weather with no snow all winter. Katrina was not a particularly exceptional storm when it made landfall as a category 3; category 3s hit quite often and it was primarily just bad luck that it hit where it did when it did and did the damage it did. 2005's season as a whole was indeed exceptional, but earlier exceptional seasons such as 1931 are likely to have been quite understated due to the paucity of data (ships, after all, are not likely to head directly into a hurricane so they can measure its strength).
All of the safety considerations we now enjoy are the result of governmental regulations.
And so organizations such as the Better Business Bureau have just sat on their ears and slept all these years? Certainly government has been responsible for a great deal of safety considerations, but all is a very strong statement.
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Post by Wyrm »

TheLemur wrote:Although I certainly agree that the vast preponderance of evidence is for GW, isn't the burden of proof usually on the guy who is making the claim, instead of the guy who is arguing against the claim?
The one who brings up the claim that goes against the established position of the scientific field has the burden of proof. The established position, or claim, has presumably already met the burden of proof... that's why it's "established."

Since climatologists the world over, as well as corroborations from physical sciences, have been convinced that GW is indeed true, and likely caused by human activities, it becomes the established position. Falcon's counterclaim then bears the burden of proof.
TheLemur wrote:And how could you prove that we are not causing something?
For one thing, if the rate that CO2 is accumulating in the atmosphere (taking into account CO2 feedback loops in nature) didn't match with the rate CO2 is being emitted by burning fossil fuels (which is very related to the amount of fossil fuels used, since fossil fuels are used mostly as... well, fuel), then that would indicate that mankind wasn't causing it.
TheLemur wrote:This strikes me as more of an ethical judgment than a decision-theoretic one. What math is involved in simply asserting that liberties are more important than civilized life?
Ethical judgements can be cast in terms of decision theory — indeed, there is no rational way to make a decision without decision theory. It's not like you cannot create a metric of how much you value freedom and how much you value other things.

And when you take into account the kind of important fact that liberties are predicated on civilized life, preserving liberty at the sacrifice of civilized life is quite pointless.
TheLemur wrote:Although I can't locate any specific numbers, I live in the Northeast and we had a cold-snap from late January through mid-March that was well below average; we did not simply have nice weather with no snow all winter. Katrina was not a particularly exceptional storm when it made landfall as a category 3; category 3s hit quite often and it was primarily just bad luck that it hit where it did when it did and did the damage it did. 2005's season as a whole was indeed exceptional, but earlier exceptional seasons such as 1931 are likely to have been quite understated due to the paucity of data (ships, after all, are not likely to head directly into a hurricane so they can measure its strength).
The first snowless Vermont November was more a sign of changing weather patterns than the actual warming aspect. Whether it was the result of unseasonal warmth or lack of precipitation, it is nonetheless in line with what GW predicts: namely, climate disruption.

The thing is that an unusual season can never be evidence for a stable climate, and may serve to undermine it. On the other hand, GW does predict disturbed weather patterns, so an unusual season is always evidence for this, and can never be against.
TheLemur wrote:And so organizations such as the Better Business Bureau have just sat on their ears and slept all these years? Certainly government has been responsible for a great deal of safety considerations, but all is a very strong statement.
Maybe, but you'll find very few safety considerations were taken up by companies before government or someone else stepped in.

Actually, if you have any references to how the BBB has improved safety, I'd like to see it.
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TheLemur
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Post by TheLemur »

The one who brings up the claim that goes against the established position of the scientific field has the burden of proof. The established position, or claim, has presumably already met the burden of proof... that's why it's "established."

Since climatologists the world over, as well as corroborations from physical sciences, have been convinced that GW is indeed true, and likely caused by human activities, it becomes the established position. Falcon's counterclaim then bears the burden of proof.
Thank you for the explanation.
For one thing, if the rate that CO2 is accumulating in the atmosphere (taking into account CO2 feedback loops in nature) didn't match with the rate CO2 is being emitted by burning fossil fuels (which is very related to the amount of fossil fuels used, since fossil fuels are used mostly as... well, fuel), then that would indicate that mankind wasn't causing it.
But you can always postulate some unknown mechanism, such as man's mining of minerals has caused the growth of bacteria which produce CO2, or something. Obviously no reasonable person would argue this way, but presumably everyone here is aware that it's impossible to actually prove a negative.
Ethical judgements can be cast in terms of decision theory — indeed, there is no rational way to make a decision without decision theory.
Doesn't decision theory always require some sort of metric for desirability as input? It sounds like Falcon's desirability metric is screwed up, in which case he need not be making a math error to arrive at his conclusions.
The thing is that an unusual season can never be evidence for a stable climate, and may serve to undermine it. On the other hand, GW does predict disturbed weather patterns, so an unusual season is always evidence for this, and can never be against.
I'm not a climatologist, but the GW scenarios I've heard about involve the poles heating up quite a bit more than the tropics. In that case, wouldn't instability decrease, since weather instability is driven by temperature imbalance? And it does sound silly when people say that a hot summer is evidence for GW and a cold summer is also evidence for GW (but if it's an average summer, it's of course not reported on and therefore isn't used as evidence).

Maybe, but you'll find very few safety considerations were taken up by companies before government or someone else stepped in.

Actually, if you have any references to how the BBB has improved safety, I'd like to see it.
The BBB regularly handles consumer complaints and disputes and serves as a mediator, although of course it doesn't have much official power. The BBB also distributes information on millions of companies and reports on various scams, tricks and other fraudsters. But really, this is supposed to be the government's job; fraud, libel, embezzling and such are all legal crimes.

(Reference)
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Wyrm
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Post by Wyrm »

TheLemur wrote:But you can always postulate some unknown mechanism, such as man's mining of minerals has caused the growth of bacteria which produce CO2, or something. Obviously no reasonable person would argue this way, but presumably everyone here is aware that it's impossible to actually prove a negative.
Oh, the "can't prove a negative" bullshit. We're not talking mathematical proofs here. We're talking about certainty beyond a reasonable person's ability to doubt. In this case, it nearly certain that we are at fault, since natural systems would have a tendency to be in balance, and would tend to only slowly change CO2 balance. The kind of increases we see now are beyond the pale.
TheLemur wrote:Doesn't decision theory always require some sort of metric for desirability as input? It sounds like Falcon's desirability metric is screwed up, in which case he need not be making a math error to arrive at his conclusions.
We can always criticise him for his choice of ethical metric.
TheLemur wrote:I'm not a climatologist, but the GW scenarios I've heard about involve the poles heating up quite a bit more than the tropics. In that case, wouldn't instability decrease, since weather instability is driven by temperature imbalance?
In the long term, yes, some models predict the average temperature between poles and equator will be more even than today. But in the short term, there would be a lot of non-equilibrium conditions in between. Also, this is average temperature. There can still be rather dramatic swings one way or the other.
TheLemur wrote:And it does sound silly when people say that a hot summer is evidence for GW and a cold summer is also evidence for GW (but if it's an average summer, it's of course not reported on and therefore isn't used as evidence).
We're talking about a rise in average global temperature, year-round. Some parts are allowed to get colder while other parts get warmer. Remember, some parts of the globe may be better at shifting the heat around to others.
TheLemur wrote:The BBB regularly handles consumer complaints and disputes and serves as a mediator, although of course it doesn't have much official power. The BBB also distributes information on millions of companies and reports on various scams, tricks and other fraudsters.
'Mkay.
TheLemur wrote:But really, this is supposed to be the government's job; fraud, libel, embezzling and such are all legal crimes.
True, but proving liability can be difficult at times.
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TheLemur
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Post by TheLemur »

We're not talking mathematical proofs here. We're talking about certainty beyond a reasonable person's ability to doubt.
I realize this, which is why I explicitly stated no sane person would reason that way.
We can always criticise him for his choice of ethical metric.
Yes, we can, but that is different from a mathematical error in his decision computation.
Also, this is average temperature. There can still be rather dramatic swings one way or the other.
Of course there will be, but why would such swings be any worse under GW?
Some parts are allowed to get colder while other parts get warmer. Remember, some parts of the globe may be better at shifting the heat around to others.
I realize this, but the fact remains that "both cold and warm are held up as proof" is a common argument against GW and is rather convincing. So maybe we should stop doing that every time a heat wave/cold snap comes around; that's not the point we're trying to make anyway.
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Post by Wyrm »

TheLemur wrote:I realize this, which is why I explicitly stated no sane person would reason that way.
If the person's unreasonable, then no amount of proof will convince them. The best you can do is show that his opinion is not to be taken seriously.
TheLemur wrote:Yes, we can, but that is different from a mathematical error in his decision computation.
He hasn't said a thing about balancing liberties against all other considerations, which he would have to do to show he really has a metric. So far, he's all "liberty uber alles," which is not an ethical metric.
TheLemur wrote:Of course there will be, but why would such swings be any worse under GW?
Because there's a lot of heat coming into the system. 'Heat', however, is not the same as 'temperature'. It takes a while for the heat to move around the system, and interesting things can happen because of this heat moving around.

For instance, during the winter months heat input can cause increased snowfall, which can cause a temporary cooling effect (snow has high albedo). The increased energy can cause clouds to burn off at night, which means more energy escapes at night (causing a cooling effect). Or high reflective clouds to form during the day.
TheLemur wrote:I realize this, but the fact remains that "both cold and warm are held up as proof" is a common argument against GW and is rather convincing. So maybe we should stop doing that every time a heat wave/cold snap comes around; that's not the point we're trying to make anyway.
Perhaps. But this doesn't make the common argument any less of a naive misinterpretation of the theory.
Darth Wong on Strollers vs. Assholes: "There were days when I wished that my stroller had weapons on it."
wilfulton on Bible genetics: "If two screaming lunatics copulate in front of another screaming lunatic, the result will be yet another screaming lunatic. 8)"
SirNitram: "The nation of France is a theory, not a fact. It should therefore be approached with an open mind, and critically debated and considered."

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