Railroads Roar Ahead

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SirNitram
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Post by SirNitram »

HemlockGrey wrote:
And the free market kept roads perfectly paved and running!

....

Wait, no, privately owned roads tend to be in horrible condition, and most are still subsidized.
That's a bit of a nonsequitor, no? Both points could easily be equally true.
Except both establish my basic point: Ground travel is heavily subsidized. That the railways 'went broke' and had to be bailed out implies they were more successful than auto transport for a while, since the highway system was founded by the government.

Ground travel is subsidized. I don't have a problem with that. I daresay air travel will get increasingly subsidized, even if they find a way through the oil crash.
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Post by The Duchess of Zeon »

Ma Deuce wrote:
Conrail recently double/triple tracked one of their freight lines that's a mile or so from my apartment.
Wait, I thought Conrail didn't exist anymore?
It sorta does. It was split into two companies which are actually the wholly owned subsidiaries of CSX and Norfolk Southern, and then a third company which handles switching track in some major cities, basically, to prevent one of the two other railroads from having a major advantage in places like Pittsburgh or Chicago, all of the urban track there is still handled by Conrail, so it lingers on as a ghostly shadow of a railroad.
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Post by MKSheppard »

I'm not exactly even sure what Nitram is trying to say with his "free market" and "subsidy" thing.

It just shows he has no fucking idea how a railroad is run.

It costs money to maintain track; and if you don't maintain the track; then it's FRA classification drops, which means bad things, such as you no longer being able to operate fast trains on that track; and you have to slow everything down on that track to be within safety regulations, which means the track is less efficient in gross tons carried in a specific time period; which means less money for you.

The vicious cycle caused by not being able to shed track that was clearly unprofitable and unproductive meant that there was less maintenance money available for the profitable track, leading to their downgrading, and becoming less profitable. You can see this in action in a photograph in the old American Heritage book on Railroads in the US of a switcher engine in the sixties or seventies making it's way across horribly unmaintained track, with the rails all out of skew, in a major passenger depot.

If the mighty state of West Virginia (Ha) wants passenger train service; perhaps they should start the West Virginia Railroad (WVR), you know, like Maryland started MARC and Virginia started VRE. Don't load down Amtrak with the burden of unprofitable train service to your state and then complain that Amtrak is unprofitable.
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Post by SirNitram »

MKSheppard wrote:I'm not exactly even sure what Nitram is trying to say with his "free market" and "subsidy" thing.

It just shows he has no fucking idea how a railroad is run.
Right. You're a moron, Sheppard, because what I said was patently obvious: Transportation is not profitable for people in general. That they 'ran out of money' means nothing: People moved. You can whine about how they didn't make a profit, but that's just whinging about free market effects which are picked up by the subsidy, which you whine about, presumably because you buy into the crap that everything must be profitable.

Give a reason why a railroad absolutely much be profitable. Give a reason why any transport method must be profitable, and cannot be assisted from outside.
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Post by Adrian Laguna »

SirNitram wrote:Right. You're a moron, Sheppard, because what I said was patently obvious: Transportation is not profitable for people in general. That they 'ran out of money' means nothing: People moved. You can whine about how they didn't make a profit, but that's just whinging about free market effects which are picked up by the subsidy, which you whine about, presumably because you buy into the crap that everything must be profitable.
I think you're misreading Shep's argument. He's saying that one of the reasons the railroads collapsed is stupid regulation. Basically, Congress did not allow the railroad companies to shut down unprofitable tracks, this chocked their revenue, which decreased the amount of money they had available to do maintenance, which decreased the quality of service, which chocked revenue even further. If Congress had not put these regulations in place, then the railroads would not have collapsed. He has said nothing about subsidies.

I will though, if Congress had instituted subsidies to pay for the unprofitable tracks along with the regulations that prohibited railroads from closing them, then said regulations wouldn't have been a problem. I think Shep would agree with this, but he'll have to speak for himself.
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Adrian Laguna wrote:Basically, Congress did not allow the railroad companies to shut down unprofitable tracks, this chocked their revenue, which decreased the amount of money they had available to do maintenance, which decreased the quality of service, which chocked revenue even further
They could abandon unprofitable segments; but it was incredibly difficult to do so; that's what the two major rail de-regulation bills of 1976 and 1980 did; significantly streamlined the line abandonment process.
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Post by MKSheppard »

There were also significant union-related issues with the railroads in the late fifties extending into the sixties. Basically, as the railroads dieselized, they no longer needed such large locomotive crews; and with the advent of diesel-electrics; it meant that a single crew could operate multi-headed units.

This of course meant that many jobs were now redunant. The problem was that these jobs had influential unions backing them. So it was a huge fight through that time period for the railroads in reducing the redunant workforce.
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Post by SirNitram »

Given the 'unprofitable' parts still move people who need to move, I'm not seeing how this actually contradicts me.
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Post by MKSheppard »

SirNitram wrote:Given the 'unprofitable' parts still move people who need to move, I'm not seeing how this actually contradicts me.
They can you know, take the car; seeing as widespread motorization in that time period caused many of these marginally profitable lines to become negative in the red as more people drove instead of waiting on railroad schedules.
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Post by SirNitram »

MKSheppard wrote:
SirNitram wrote:Given the 'unprofitable' parts still move people who need to move, I'm not seeing how this actually contradicts me.
They can you know, take the car; seeing as widespread motorization in that time period caused many of these marginally profitable lines to become negative in the red as more people drove instead of waiting on railroad schedules.
And now the situation will start to reverse and the routes are still there.

But this all still relies on the idea that the transport should be profitable. Why?
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Post by Adrian Laguna »

SirNitram wrote:Given the 'unprofitable' parts still move people who need to move, I'm not seeing how this actually contradicts me.
It doesn't, and your arguments don't contradict Shep's. The two of you are arguing circles around each other because the "railroads collapsed due to stupid regulation interfering with free market" and "railroads need subsidies" are not mutually exclusive arguments. In fact, they complement each other rather nicely.
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Post by SirNitram »

Adrian Laguna wrote:
SirNitram wrote:Given the 'unprofitable' parts still move people who need to move, I'm not seeing how this actually contradicts me.
It doesn't, and your arguments don't contradict Shep's. The two of you are arguing circles around each other because the "railroads collapsed due to stupid regulation interfering with free market" and "railroads need subsidies" are not mutually exclusive arguments. In fact, they complement each other rather nicely.
Indeed. It's just Shep is obsessed with the idea that railroads must be profitable.. And has yet to answer why. The highway system certainly isn't profitable!
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Post by Lonestar »

SirNitram wrote:
And now the situation will start to reverse and the routes are still there.

But this all still relies on the idea that the transport should be profitable. Why?
Uh, that isn't how I read it. I read it as "forcing trains to maintain unprofitable lines without providing government subsidies to maintain those lines" is bad. And I agree. VRE and MARC are not profitable, they are heavily subsidized(in face, VRE runs on existing CSX track). And that's fine, as it makes sense for the government to pick up where there is no free market substitute.

Forcing a private corporation into hanging onto revenue losing track without compensation, however, does not make sense.
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Post by Stuart Mackey »

SirNitram wrote:
Adrian Laguna wrote:
SirNitram wrote:Given the 'unprofitable' parts still move people who need to move, I'm not seeing how this actually contradicts me.
It doesn't, and your arguments don't contradict Shep's. The two of you are arguing circles around each other because the "railroads collapsed due to stupid regulation interfering with free market" and "railroads need subsidies" are not mutually exclusive arguments. In fact, they complement each other rather nicely.
Indeed. It's just Shep is obsessed with the idea that railroads must be profitable.. And has yet to answer why. The highway system certainly isn't profitable!
Here's a question for you: Why shouldnt the state/government own the track as it owns and maintains the roads?
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Post by K. A. Pital »

We have a net profitable railroad system, where profits from cargo overhauls cover the gross losses from passenger traffic.

It's allright for passenger rail to be in the red.
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Stuart Mackey wrote:Here's a question for you: Why shouldnt the state/government own the track as it owns and maintains the roads?
Train/Rail Split ownership has worked so well with Amtrak and British Rail :lol:
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Stas Bush wrote:We have a net profitable railroad system, where profits from cargo overhauls cover the gross losses from passenger traffic.

It's allright for passenger rail to be in the red.
That's how things historically were run in the US; passenger rail operations were run as a low-profit sideline to the main side of business, freight hauling; and used as rolling advertisements for the railroads themselves; who here hasn't heard of the Santa Fe's famous "warbonnet" Super Chief?

Image

What happened after WW2 is that other modes of transport took over from passenger trains, despite a brief resurgence following the introduction of modern streamliners like the Super Chief. This caused the already slim profit margins of the passenger trains to pluge big time. By the mid 50s, railroads in the US were losing $5 billion dollars a year on passenger service.

This wouldn't have been so bad, if it wasn't for the Interstate Commerce Commission. In '58, the ICC gained the authority to allow or reject modifications/eliminations of passenger train routes. As you might imagine, this caused much fuckups; the average delay between petitioning the ICC and being able to cut the route was eight months, and the ICC continued to insist that profitable routes be merged with unprofitable ones.

Also, taxes continued to be insanely high on railroads. For example; a WW2 excise tax of 15% on passenger rail travel was not repealed until '62; and in an infamous case, the Great Northern Railroad, which owned 0.34% of the land in Lincoln County Montana, was assessed with 91% of the school taxes in that county in 1959.

From this huge fucked up mess, and the collapse of the Penn Central in 1970; came the effective quasi-nationalization of all passenger rail operations by a government funded corporation -- Railpax -- later renamed Amtrak. Basically it was a deal between the railroads and the Feds; give us all your passenger railroad equipment and capital; and you can terminate all your passenger services.

A few years later, Congress came up with a plan to nationalize all the bankrupt railroads. As you might imagine, this went over like a bomb in the rail industry; and they did a counterproposal - a government funded private corporation, called the Consolidated Rail Corporation.

Conrail went into operation in 1976, and essentially took over the following railroad lines:
  • Penn Central (Pennslyvania Railroad and New York Central)
  • Ann Arbor
  • Erie Lackawanna
  • Leigh Valley
  • Reading
  • Central Railroad of New Jersey
  • Leigh and Hudson River
Despite a lot of government money mainly spent in rebuilding the run-down tracks and rolling stock inherited from it's precedessor lines, Conrail was still losing about $1 million a day, and thus lobbied for the Staggers Act (I mentioned that in an earlier post); which allowed it to increase the rates it was charging and abandon unprofitable segments without having to constantly go hand in hand and get permission from the ICC.

A mere year after the Staggers act was passed in 1980, Conrail posted a profit in '81; which enabled it to be privatized in 1986 by Reagan for a nice $1.9 billion in IPO.
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Post by Stuart Mackey »

MKSheppard wrote:
Stuart Mackey wrote:Here's a question for you: Why shouldnt the state/government own the track as it owns and maintains the roads?
Train/Rail Split ownership has worked so well with Amtrak and British Rail :lol:
Oh? Was marginally effective here.
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Post by MKSheppard »

Indeed. It's just Shep is obsessed with the idea that railroads must be profitable.. And has yet to answer why. The highway system certainly isn't profitable!
Because you know, virtually all US railroads, other than government run mass transit semi-public corporations are private companies and own their own non-public rights of way (aka railroad tracks); so they have to show a profit to the boss or their stockholders.
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Post by MKSheppard »

And even when it's a semi-public corporation like Amtrak or state government owned like MARC, there has to be a close enough return on the budget to make the legislators who approve the yearly subsidies/budget for them that they are getting their money's worth, and not pouring money down a hole.
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MKSheppard wrote:
Indeed. It's just Shep is obsessed with the idea that railroads must be profitable.. And has yet to answer why. The highway system certainly isn't profitable!
Because you know, virtually all US railroads, other than government run mass transit semi-public corporations are private companies and own their own non-public rights of way (aka railroad tracks); so they have to show a profit to the boss or their stockholders.

And even when it's a semi-public corporation like Amtrak or state government owned like MARC, there has to be a close enough return on the budget to make the legislators who approve the yearly subsidies/budget for them that they are getting their money's worth, and not pouring money down a hole.
It can only be pouring money down a hole if you expect it to be profitable. Why should the subsidied corporations have that expectation? Why the fuck can't you simply address this fundamental thing which I've been asking, again and again? It was always about Amtrak, since you started your diatribes whining about how unprofitable the Cardinal was.
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Post by K. A. Pital »

This caused the already slim profit margins of the passenger trains to pluge big time.
That matters not. Cargo profits of RZHD cover the passenger traffic which is always lossy, was lossy, is lossy and will be lossy.

I just don't understand why corporations can't invest parts of their profit into passenger rail, which is convenient and necessary, but lossy?

If a huge cargo+passenger rail corporation weren's such dicks and demanded that passenger traffic produce profits too, it would've still been there.
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Post by Alferd Packer »

The Duchess of Zeon wrote: No, the plan is to retain the same route but upgrade the cantenary and widen the spacing between the tracks to accommodate higher speed at the turns.
I thought the catenary in Connecticut was fairly new? Or was that in Rhode Island? I know there's a part of the NEC that was recently electrified and can handle high speed trains, I just don't know where.

Also, I fear that Amtrak will run into significant NIMBY resistance in those towns in Connecticut that straddle the NEC. Not only to they have to eliminate the grade crossings and re-lay track at great expense and annoyance, but the towns will probably impose absurd speed restrictions anyway, so that they don't have to listen to those mean ol' trains rip through at 100+ mph.
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Post by CmdrWilkens »

SirNitram wrote:
MKSheppard wrote:
Indeed. It's just Shep is obsessed with the idea that railroads must be profitable.. And has yet to answer why. The highway system certainly isn't profitable!
Because you know, virtually all US railroads, other than government run mass transit semi-public corporations are private companies and own their own non-public rights of way (aka railroad tracks); so they have to show a profit to the boss or their stockholders.

And even when it's a semi-public corporation like Amtrak or state government owned like MARC, there has to be a close enough return on the budget to make the legislators who approve the yearly subsidies/budget for them that they are getting their money's worth, and not pouring money down a hole.
It can only be pouring money down a hole if you expect it to be profitable. Why should the subsidied corporations have that expectation? Why the fuck can't you simply address this fundamental thing which I've been asking, again and again? It was always about Amtrak, since you started your diatribes whining about how unprofitable the Cardinal was.
A subsidised corporation should expect that AFTER the subsidy it should still make a net profit across all operation modes.

For rail freight is the obvious money-maker (and thus would determine the value of investing in more track, better signalling, etc). What motive does a corporation have to run passenger traffic over the same rails if it is a net money loser? We can expect many things from corporations but ultimately they are etablished to operate profitably.

If the government requires that they operate passenger service over a given line segment then the corporation will. In turn if the losses from passenger service outweigh the income from freight service the corporation will lose money and eventually go bankrupt. This means the government needs to either not mandate the passenger traffic OR it needs to subsidize the traffic. If the subsidy still means the rail line AS A WHOLE is unprofitable the rail line will STILL go bankrupt which will result in losing the freight and passenger service.

You ask why should a subsidized corporation expect to make a profit? They shouldn't on passenger service alone BUT unless they ahve to have it none of them will willignly add a money losing venture. I doubt I could get you to invest in a new idea I have if I can garuntee you that I will lose money every single year and you will have to keep shelling extra money out.

So here are the scenarios for any given rail line:

1) Frieght isn't profitable AND passenger traffic isn't profitable
- Without government subsidy the liune is going to go bankrupt period, no service will be avilable no matter if the governmnt requires service to be continued.
- With government subsidy if it matches the operating losses then the coproation will continue to stay alive and operate services.

2) Freight is profitable BUT passenger traffic isn't
- Without government subsidy threescenarios:
A) Passenger traffic isn't mandated and the coporation will cut service to make money
B) Passenger service is mandated and the operating losses are less than the freight profits. The corporation will oeprate since it is still making money and doesn't have to get into fights with the government
C) Passenger service is mandated and operating losses exceed freight profits. The corporation will either go bankrupt (ending service) or will find some way to cut passenger losses
-With government subsidy, its unlikely there will not be a requirement to maintain service so really only B and C from above apply only you would have to say passenger losses after the subsidy then proceed with the previous scenarios.

3) Freight and Passenger traffic is profitable
-Everything is hunky dory and we get all the rail we want.

Now the most common situation is the second where freight is profitable but passenger traffic is a net loser. It would be crazy to actually ask people to intentionally lose money therefore the combination of freight profits and the subsidy MUST exceed the losses from passenger operation or else the corporation will slowly go bankrupt and then there will be no service.


Lets take an example I can speak to very easily: MARC. Its a commuter rail service operated in Maryland by the Maryland Transit Adminitration. Within that scope they contract out to both CSX and Amtrak to operate the actual trains (as they own the rails on which MARC runs). In the cae of CSX their balance sheet shows that the cost of operating the service over their lines exceeds the amount received in the contract from the State of Maryland. The only reason the contract has not been terminated is that CSX doesn't want the hassle of dealing with the State after stopping service. In turn if the line they use (the Capitol and Metropolitan Subdivisions) were not profitable for freight traffic then they would just shut the whole lines down rather than risk bankrupting the corporation. Again its simple logic that you cannot expect a corporation to bankrupt itself and if the subsidy/contract for passenger service doesn't cover losses then they need to make money on the line somehow or it will just be simpler for them to try and shut the line down than risk losing the whole business.

All this comes back to the point I was makign earlier. You can't expect a company to oeprate its whole business at a loss AFTER you account for government subsidy because that way lies bankruptcy and the loss of service anyway.
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K. A. Pital
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Post by K. A. Pital »

Wait, I thought the 2"B" situation is more common, where freight profits cover any losses from passengers and even generate a sizeable net profit? No?
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