Global warming: to what extend will it affect us?

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Sikon
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Post by Sikon »

Korto wrote:A doco I watched, ("A Crude Awakening", I believe it was called), had the opinion that due to the increased CO2 in the air, the torrential downpours would be acidic, (carbonic acid?), with pretty devestating effects. [...]
Of course, massive torrents of acid rain wouln't be that brilliant for life on land, either.
Whether all these effects, along with the almost simultaneous Peak Oil (in a massive irony) cause the disintegration of our civilisation may just depend on how robust you think our civilisation is. Me, I suspect it isn't that robust, but that's only an uninformed opinion
Civilization-disintegrating acid rain?

Sure, just like those commercial greenhouses which use carbon dioxide injection for carbon-fertilization kill their plants by the resulting acidity of water inside.

Just like life hundreds of millions of years ago, when atmospheric CO2 concentrations were far higher, was devastated by acid rain resulting from such.

Oh wait, none of the above is true.

Such a claim in a documentary is a small amount of truth mixed with loads of bullshitting, presumably realizing that the target audience can't tell the difference, lacking any decent scientific education or tendency towards critical thought.

All water exposed to the atmosphere contains a small amount of a weak acid, carbonic acid, and the concentration is determined by the partial pressure of carbon dioxide.

Soda drinks are relatively acidic. To make the carbonated water for them, pressurized carbon dioxide at well above 1 atm pressure is used. The bubbles one sees when drinking Pepsi or Coke are from the excess carbon dioxide coming out of solution. In contrast, the partial pressure of CO2 in the atmosphere is a mere fraction of a thousandth of 1 atm, whether the carbon dioxide concentration is the 400 ppm of today or figures such as 500 to 800 parts per million which might be reached in a century.

Rain is and always has been "acidic" in the sense of less than 7 pH. But the concentration of carbonic acid in rain is and will remain literally orders of magnitude less acidic than a soda drink.

To a degree, the average pH of rain would change (though it already varies a lot in different locations). Slight change in the average pH of areas of ocean water as more carbon dioxide dissolves has been something of an environmental concern.

But it's not the kind of toxic acid rain you're envisioning.

What more truly deserves the term acid rain is different. In some localities, there has been large amounts of unregulated pollution with nitrogen oxides and sulfur oxides. Such can cause sulfuric and nitric acid in rainwater, making real acid rain ... a hell of a lot more acidic than traces of weak carbonic acid from a few hundred ppm atmospheric CO2. In the U.S., there's been a fair amount of progress on reducing acid rain since it gained attention as a concern in the 1970s and 1980s. Sulfur dioxide and nitrogen dioxide levels have been typically reduced by about 75% and 30% respectively.

**********

For hundreds of millions of years, atmospheric CO2 concentrations were much more than the relatively low levels of the past few million years, a lot more than the 500 to 800 ppm anticipated at the end of the 21st century. That and the lush biosphere of the time is where the carbon of today's fossil fuels came from.

In the following graph, the far left of the graph is the more recent past:

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Global warming has some undesirable effects, but the fascination with looking for an excuse to believe civilization will disintegrate is seriously screwed up.
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Post by The Big I »

Sikon wrote:
The Big I wrote:So have any of you ever read these papers before
Why reference such a curious assortment, e.g. can you specifically show the relationship between this discussion of worldwide climate change and the paper studying Ahuriri Quarry in New Zealand, why that would be a top choice for relevance?

Suspecting you just copy & pasted a list from somewhere on the internet, doing a momentary search finds it is from someone in a yahoo thread here.

Indeed, looking closely, I see the web board debate tactic that individual was trying...
That's why I'm asking I could also turn that question around by asking you what is the relevance of ice core in the Artic/Antartic or tree rings in North America?? The person that gave me thoses scientific papers has a masters degree in palaeogeology. She as I btw believe that humanity has had a impact on Global warming but that it is a natural event and that if we do try to stop global warming it will be very, very bad.
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Post by ray245 »

Well...stopping global warming is useless at this momment, so we might as well try and cope to global warming.
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Post by Mayabird »

Ray: Stopping it ENTIRELY is impossible and we will have to cope to some amount, but there are different degrees of warming. It's not an on-off switch.

Sikon: curse you for making me regret not having my old textbooks with me. I'm really getting frustrated with my lack of numbers and charts here. And I mean that in the best of ways. It's fun talking to/arguing with you.
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Post by ray245 »

Mayabird wrote:Ray: Stopping it ENTIRELY is impossible and we will have to cope to some amount, but there are different degrees of warming. It's not an on-off switch.

Sikon: curse you for making me regret not having my old textbooks with me. I'm really getting frustrated with my lack of numbers and charts here. And I mean that in the best of ways. It's fun talking to/arguing with you.
Because to me, coping even to a small effect caused by global warming should be our main priority. But preventing further harm and stopping the worse effect causes by global should not be forgotten and should be our secondary concern.
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Post by Mayabird »

Have you ever heard the phrase "an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure"? How it's cheaper to prevent a disease than to treat it and its aftereffects? Because you're being totally backwards here.
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Post by ray245 »

Mayabird wrote:Have you ever heard the phrase "an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure"? How it's cheaper to prevent a disease than to treat it and its aftereffects? Because you're being totally backwards here.
I thought it is labeled by scientist that it is near impossible to stop global warming now?
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Post by The Big I »

There is a way to stop GW by dumping a lot of iron ore into the ocean.
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Post by Ghost Rider »

ray245 wrote:
Mayabird wrote:Have you ever heard the phrase "an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure"? How it's cheaper to prevent a disease than to treat it and its aftereffects? Because you're being totally backwards here.
I thought it is labeled by scientist that it is near impossible to stop global warming now?
Stop fucking strawmanning. It is against the rules and you are not exactly by any means a poster who's got any sort of credit to explain lapses in judgement.

Did you read Mayabird's post? You cannot STOP Global Warming but you can prevent is being as bad as it will be if the world continues on this course. That is called prevention.

I know you're a motherfucking moron but I will be fucking blunt, shut the fuck up with your pissant black and white fallacies and goddamn strawmen you've been doing the past fucking couple of days. It's getting fucking tiring to watch you bleat out half witted dumbass shit to just simply blurt whatever is on your ignorant teenage mind.

Take that as an honest warning.
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Post by ray245 »

Ghost Rider wrote:
ray245 wrote:
Mayabird wrote:Have you ever heard the phrase "an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure"? How it's cheaper to prevent a disease than to treat it and its aftereffects? Because you're being totally backwards here.
I thought it is labeled by scientist that it is near impossible to stop global warming now?
Stop fucking strawmanning. It is against the rules and you are not exactly by any means a poster who's got any sort of credit to explain lapses in judgement.

Did you read Mayabird's post? You cannot STOP Global Warming but you can prevent is being as bad as it will be if the world continues on this course. That is called prevention.

I know you're a motherfucking moron but I will be fucking blunt, shut the fuck up with your pissant black and white fallacies and goddamn strawmen you've been doing the past fucking couple of days. It's getting fucking tiring to watch you bleat out half witted dumbass shit to just simply blurt whatever is on your ignorant teenage mind.

Take that as an honest warning.
Well...my bad on the part where she said prevent it from getting worse. Cause I keep reading it as preventing it from happening.

And because the word prevent is used together with something that did not happen YET...so... :roll:
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Post by Ghost Rider »

ray245 wrote:
Ghost Rider wrote:
ray245 wrote: I thought it is labeled by scientist that it is near impossible to stop global warming now?
Stop fucking strawmanning. It is against the rules and you are not exactly by any means a poster who's got any sort of credit to explain lapses in judgement.

Did you read Mayabird's post? You cannot STOP Global Warming but you can prevent is being as bad as it will be if the world continues on this course. That is called prevention.

I know you're a motherfucking moron but I will be fucking blunt, shut the fuck up with your pissant black and white fallacies and goddamn strawmen you've been doing the past fucking couple of days. It's getting fucking tiring to watch you bleat out half witted dumbass shit to just simply blurt whatever is on your ignorant teenage mind.

Take that as an honest warning.
Well...my bad on the part where she said prevent it from getting worse. Cause I keep reading it as preventing it from happening.

And because the word prevent is used together with something that did not happen YET...so... :roll:
Fuck off retard.

She said prevent because the state that the world is becoming and changing is fucking inevitable BUT, and here's the catch you illiterate moron, we can help ourselves by easing the changes that we ourselves are doing to the enviroment.

So do you get it you fucking inbred shitfucker? If we can prevent the current situation from getting worse and progress into a better situation, the effects will not be as bad.

So fuck off with you pithy strawman before you get banned for thinking it's cute to ignore the fucking rules.
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Post by Darth Wong »

The Big I wrote:There is a way to stop GW by dumping a lot of iron ore into the ocean.
And how would that help?
The Big I wrote:That's why I'm asking I could also turn that question around by asking you what is the relevance of ice core in the Artic/Antartic or tree rings in North America?? The person that gave me thoses scientific papers has a masters degree in palaeogeology.
How does that make her qualified to dispute the conclusions of major scientific bodies on the subject? Or you?
She as I btw believe that humanity has had a impact on Global warming but that it is a natural event and that if we do try to stop global warming it will be very, very bad.
Why?
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Post by Broomstick »

Darth Wong wrote:
The Big I wrote:There is a way to stop GW by dumping a lot of iron ore into the ocean.
And how would that help?
The idea behind that is that an influx of iron would act as a growth promoter of algae, which would then soak up the offending CO2. Of course, there are problems associated with some natural algae blooms which are conveniently ignored by this group with the handwave "that won't happen".
She as I btw believe that humanity has had a impact on Global warming but that it is a natural event and that if we do try to stop global warming it will be very, very bad.
Why?
I belive it is a fear of do TOO much, triggering another ice age. But it's hard to say, as I'm not in that camp.

I've been saying for some time that GW is inevitable at this point, it's not a matter of stopping it but rather how we'll adapt (or not).
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Post by Mayabird »

Broomstick wrote:
Darth Wong wrote:
The Big I wrote:There is a way to stop GW by dumping a lot of iron ore into the ocean.
And how would that help?
The idea behind that is that an influx of iron would act as a growth promoter of algae, which would then soak up the offending CO2. Of course, there are problems associated with some natural algae blooms which are conveniently ignored by this group with the handwave "that won't happen".
The key is that the dead algae then have to sink to the deep ocean, basically storing the carbon on the bottom. If, as happened in the first test at least (I had a prof who was on the ship for the experiment), all it causes is a lot of predators showing up and eating everything, then it's useless as a carbon sink.

Don't have the numbers on me, and I curse my lack of access to the scientific databases that I had when I was in college, but it was calculated at some point that to negate that effect and really dent the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, an area the size of the Southern Ocean would have to be fertilized.
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Post by FireNexus »

Korto wrote:A doco I watched, ("A Crude Awakening", I believe it was called), had the opinion that due to the increased CO2 in the air, the torrential downpours would be acidic, (carbonic acid?), with pretty devestating effects.
Is there even likely to be enough CO2 in the atmosphere to that greatly affect the acidity of the rain? It seems a little far-fetched to me.
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Post by JBG »

Ghost Rider wrote:
ray245 wrote:
Ghost Rider wrote: Stop fucking strawmanning. It is against the rules and you are not exactly by any means a poster who's got any sort of credit to explain lapses in judgement.

Did you read Mayabird's post? You cannot STOP Global Warming but you can prevent is being as bad as it will be if the world continues on this course. That is called prevention.

I know you're a motherfucking moron but I will be fucking blunt, shut the fuck up with your pissant black and white fallacies and goddamn strawmen you've been doing the past fucking couple of days. It's getting fucking tiring to watch you bleat out half witted dumbass shit to just simply blurt whatever is on your ignorant teenage mind.

Take that as an honest warning.
Well...my bad on the part where she said prevent it from getting worse. Cause I keep reading it as preventing it from happening.

And because the word prevent is used together with something that did not happen YET...so... :roll:
Fuck off retard.

She said prevent because the state that the world is becoming and changing is fucking inevitable BUT, and here's the catch you illiterate moron, we can help ourselves by easing the changes that we ourselves are doing to the enviroment.

So do you get it you fucking inbred shitfucker? If we can prevent the current situation from getting worse and progress into a better situation, the effects will not be as bad.

So fuck off with you pithy strawman before you get banned for thinking it's cute to ignore the fucking rules.


I hope that that was, inter alia, cathartic Ghost Rider :D

Prevention is always better than cure. Anthrogenic CO2 emissions will continue to rise, at least until 2020 and thereafter. In saying that I am not relying on the failure of most Kyoto signatories to meet their targets.

I am referring to the continuing increase in Chinese emissions ( up to 2 new (often inefficient) coal fired power stations), the blatant disregard for emissions standards by the Russians and India's growing middle class. which wants to drive cars etc. They are the elephant in the room that lead me to think that much of our effort must go in adaptation to changes, which is where technology comes in, which is our forte in the West. God knows we'll need it down under, most projections are most dire for this part of the globe.

The climate does not give a flying **ck just where C02 originates.
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Post by The Duchess of Zeon »

No, it doesn't, which is why we should be selling nuclear reactors to the Chinese and Indians in job lots.. Surely if there's so much public opposition to building them at home, we could try to get other people to build them?
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Post by Dargos »

Darth Wong wrote:
The Big I wrote:There is a way to stop GW by dumping a lot of iron ore into the ocean.
And how would that help?
From what I understand, seeding millions of tons of iron ore dust will act as fertilizer for plankton, causing massive growth. The plankton will absorb CO2 during photosynthesis. When the plankton dies it will sink to the bottom to the ocean, locking the CO2 into the sea bed.

Even if it works, its just a band-aid and not a cure. It does nothing to limit the true cause of global warming.
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Post by Sikon »

Potential methods of carbon sequesterization include encouraging the growth of biomass, whether forests on land or plankton in the ocean.

The productivity of the oceans varies a lot, with the limited nutrient in some areas being iron. Even though only about 0.001% as much iron as carbon is needed by plankton, if there's too little iron, there's little growth even if other conditions are capable of supporting more life.

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Productivity is higher in some regions of the ocean partially due to nutrients from land, such as iron-rich windblown dust reaching some areas. The point of iron fertilization would be to convert some of the low productivity regions of the ocean to be more like some of the higher productivity regions.

The economic ratio of benefit to cost (e.g. the number of cents per ton of CO2) for this method absorbing a significant fraction of anthropogenic emissions is rather interesting. But there's little reason to write much here, when the topic was discussed far more in a prior thread here.
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