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Hope you're feeling better soon, Broomie.
Moderators: Alyrium Denryle, Edi, K. A. Pital
Even if they can't hire more cops, the question still remains of which effect is larger: proliferation+untrustworthy population or self-defense.Formless wrote:Granted, of course, although I believe the courts (and I am working from memory, so do bear with me) made the case that they could not simply hire more cops to fulfill the need to protect people on every occasion. More people would die and more property would be stolen if they didn't recognize people's right to defend themselves, specifically their homes as I remember it.The problem with microscopic reasoning like this is that social policy must generally be made on macroscopic reasoning, not microscopic reasoning. If a policy caused X more deaths due to widespread weapon proliferation but saved Y deaths due to self-defense incidents, then the question is whether Y is greater than X. If it isn't, then you can't appeal to the microscopic scenario in order to challenge the macroscopic policy.
Indeed; the situations are not the same. But it does show that the blanket statement "you can't blame the guns, you can only blame the people" is highly questionable, if spikes in civil war violence invariably follow arms shipments. You can't just ignore a pattern like that, and insisting that the effect is zero is more doctrinaire than logic. The more logical approach is to accept that there is probably an effect, but to question how large that effect is, relative to self-defense.Well, the situations are not exactly the same, considering the extremely bad sociopolitical conditions found in Africa. You yourself have often said that in our countries, even the poor are relatively rich.Now of course, I know that people dispute the notion that weapon proliferation can cause deaths. But we don't seem to have a problem applying that logic elsewhere in the world: for example, Americans generally do not dispute that widespread availability of AK-47s in Africa can be linked to civil wars there (and in fact, civil wars in Africa flare up whenever new arms shipments arrive).
Well, guns can be considered dangerous when not in use, in the same way that bottles of toxic chemicals are considered dangerous. That's why we tell people to store them carefully, and preferably in special secure cabinets.Well, I personally believe that the average person needs more power, at least relative to the government in charge of them, but I understand why you would be distrusting of them due to your belief that the average person is stupid. Also, in a society where the people are educated at a basic level, they tend to act more responsibly. I know that there are many people who don't understand the realities of guns, and fear them unreasonably because they have been given a mythical deadly quality even when they are not being used.
Well, I know that here in Colorado, we have the Make My Day law (yes, it is actually called that, and yes, it is a Dirty Harry reference. The voters have a sense of humor). Basically, it gave home owners the right to use deadly force to defend the living space of their homes (usually with a gun) from intruders such as burglars and home invaders. The result is that the rate of these crimes fell very steeply, even though the law is rarely invoked. Sounds like a precident to me. Could be wrong, though.Darth Wong wrote:Even if they can't hire more cops, the question still remains of which effect is larger: proliferation+untrustworthy population or self-defense.
Conceded, for now. I kinda wish to have a source or study on whether or not the effect has been seen in America or other modern nations- that is, if the rise of crime can be attributed to the proliferation of crime.Indeed; the situations are not the same. But it does show that the blanket statement "you can't blame the guns, you can only blame the people" is highly questionable, if spikes in civil war violence invariably follow arms shipments. You can't just ignore a pattern like that, and insisting that the effect is zero is more doctrinaire than logic. The more logical approach is to accept that there is probably an effect, but to question how large that effect is, relative to self-defense.
I would more put that under "anti-idiot measure" to protect children. The liability does not come from instability of the device, like you would worry about a poison seeping into the environment, but from kids playing with what is known to be a dangerous item.Well, guns can be considered dangerous when not in use, in the same way that bottles of toxic chemicals are considered dangerous. That's why we tell people to store them carefully, and preferably in special secure cabinets.
You didn't answer DW's question. You offered an example of the "self-defense" effects, but you did not evaluate it versus the negative effects of arms proliferation.Formless wrote:Sounds like a precident to me.
Last time I checked, penises aren't used as murder weapons. So there's a rather significant difference, I think.Darth Wong wrote:A better rebuttal would be to point out that he does not need to understand. In anything that could be reasonably called a "free society", the onus must be on the regulator to establish that regulations are necessary, rather than the individual to show that he should have the freedom to engage in something the regulator does not understand.
I don't understand why a guy would want to have sex with another guy either, but that doesn't mean I would restrict his freedom to do so.
No there isn't, at least not for the purpose of this analogy. You are using the "find any distinction to invalidate the analogy" trick, even though the distinction has absolutely nothing to do with the point of the analogy.Ryan Thunder wrote:Last time I checked, penises aren't used as murder weapons. So there's a rather significant difference, I think.Darth Wong wrote:A better rebuttal would be to point out that he does not need to understand. In anything that could be reasonably called a "free society", the onus must be on the regulator to establish that regulations are necessary, rather than the individual to show that he should have the freedom to engage in something the regulator does not understand.
I don't understand why a guy would want to have sex with another guy either, but that doesn't mean I would restrict his freedom to do so.
I beg your pardon, Mike, but you're comparing an unjustified limitation of somebody's personal right to a justified limitation of somebody's dangerous privilege. The connection is tenuous at best.Darth Wong wrote:No there isn't, at least not for the purpose of this analogy. You are using the "find any distinction to invalidate the analogy" trick, even though the distinction has absolutely nothing to do with the point of the analogy.Ryan Thunder wrote:Last time I checked, penises aren't used as murder weapons. So there's a rather significant difference, I think.Darth Wong wrote:A better rebuttal would be to point out that he does not need to understand. In anything that could be reasonably called a "free society", the onus must be on the regulator to establish that regulations are necessary, rather than the individual to show that he should have the freedom to engage in something the regulator does not understand.
I don't understand why a guy would want to have sex with another guy either, but that doesn't mean I would restrict his freedom to do so.
Your preference for shitty logic does not validate your behaviour.
Totally irrelevant to the particular argument I quoted from you, where you appealed entirely to your incomprehension of why someone would engage in the stated activity. Your dishonesty is growing irritating.Ryan Thunder wrote:I beg your pardon, Mike, but you're comparing an unjustified limitation of somebody's personal right to a justified limitation of somebody's dangerous privilege. The connection is tenuous at best.
Well, at this point I have to ask-- is it just the "availability of firearms" that bothers you? Are you unconcerned about crime, willing to let the police handle it as they have been, but the mere existence of a firearm, even in the hands of a law-abiding person, is irreconcilable to you?Kar Kar wrote:That'd be a nice point if it didn't ignore the issue of availability of firearms. There's a reason homicides are committed two and a half more times with firearms in the US than Canada, and it isn't because Canadians are so courteous with murder.Coyote wrote:Bear in mind that when the economy bottoms out in the USA, and you hit the bottom of poverty, you are well and truly fucked and desperate. Desperate, hungry people, or desperate addicts, will turn to crime to feed their needs.
See, again we have a difference of opinion, because if I were in some weird situation where I had to choose between getting shot or being stabbed, I'd rather take my chances with the bullet.At least my poor ass will far more likely get stabbed instead of shot.On the other hand, places like in Europe or Canada have social safety nets that keep people from falling into such deep despair. They don't have the need to turn to desperate crime.*
Well, this is either a very unimaginative ad-hominem, or, you have in fact done an in-depth, verifiable and peer-reviewed study on penile sizes of gun owners vs. non-gun owners. It would be interesting to see you publish that. Who was your control group?Sure there are other factors, like having a tiny penis.There are many other factors in this than "satisfying the kill boner". So unless you have something else besides ad-hominem attacks...?
But wasn't it also on the rise for awhile as well? My point was not that the abscence of gun made crime spiral and has continued to spiral, my point was that the abscence or prescence of guns doesn't have as big a factor on crime as you may think. Crime follows other fluctuations, frequently related to economic opportunity. By the time a citizen decides to pick up a gun to facilitate crime, he has already made the decision to adopt crime as a worthwhile alternative. The gun (or any weapon) came along after the fact.Oh, wait, crime has been on the decline in the UK. Guess you shouldn't be getting your information from sensationalist rags then.
You should keep in mind that this argument only applies to premeditated crime. "Heat of the moment" crimes are different; in such cases, the mere proximity of a gun can make a huge difference to the outcome.Coyote wrote:By the time a citizen decides to pick up a gun to facilitate crime, he has already made the decision to adopt crime as a worthwhile alternative. The gun (or any weapon) came along after the fact.
I thought that was a little... sudden and disproportionate. Hope it turns out well for you, Broomstick.Darth Wong wrote:Just a note: Broomstick sent me a PM to let me know that this was the one year anniversary of her losing her job, and perhaps it wasn't the best night for her to be posting. In light of that, I would like to say that I totally understand why she might be a little ... erm ... short-tempered
Hope you're feeling better soon, Broomie.
Yes, that is inescapable logic. It's not much solace, but all I can offer in counter to that in a gun-control discussion would be that "heat of the moment/crime of passion" scenarios are likely only to occur once per person, and probably followed by contrition (and even a willingness to accept punishment afterwards), whereas premeditated crime (be it murder or otherwise) is probably part of a criminal "career path" that will result in many more crimes that would occur regardless of any weapon type.Darth Wong wrote:You should keep in mind that this argument only applies to premeditated crime. "Heat of the moment" crimes are different; in such cases, the mere proximity of a gun can make a huge difference to the outcome.Coyote wrote:By the time a citizen decides to pick up a gun to facilitate crime, he has already made the decision to adopt crime as a worthwhile alternative. The gun (or any weapon) came along after the fact.
Yeah, I think so, more than we may have thought earlier. In regards to my original posting of this the reason I got a little on the hyperbole and strawmanning side was because I was posting at work, and getting interrupted constantly, so I had to keep trying re-acquire my train of thought and I started getting rushed. Foolishly, I didn't go back and re-check after posting, I wouldn't have gotten so touchy.erik_t wrote:Okay, we're on the same page then.Coyote wrote:Law is supposed to restrict socially damaging behavior by dealing with individuals who cause that damage. A society always has to seek the comfortable balance point between safety and freedom.
Indeed, and I am not against some gun laws. I think that focusing on the guns themselves --the block of metal-- is a sort of massive political red herring, in a way. Bear with me as I build another "quote ladder" (As I've maintained throughout my involvement in this thread, at least I think I've tried to maintain, what we need is a discussion about what is an acceptable ratio of damage by a few vs. punishment (I'd prefer a different term, but we can go with that) of the many. ...
But again, we're clearly on the same page. It's just a question of where we should draw the line.
I'll be honest with you, looking at the banter elsehwere in this thread actually tells me that there has been insufficient research. It seems we need to clarify the numbers we have: how many criminals are causing the 400,000 gun crimes, for example, and how many crimes do they commit that do not involve guns. Are those criminals counted as part of the 57 million gun owners (ie, did the criminals voluntarily identify themselves as gun owners). How many times were guns used for legal defense, and in countries where bans were put in effect, how many people were using guns to defend themselves legally, etc. How much of crime statistics reflect actual increases or decreaces in crime, and how much of it was simply the reporting of said crimes? Obviously, you and I here don't have access to that sort of data, or indeed the means to collect it-- unfortunately....My frustration is that people were tossing about claims that there were a tiny number of crimes vs a huge number of guns, and nobody bothered to actually find any numbers. I wished to rectify that, and give us some idea of the number of people that would be "punished" vs the damage done. If you have a metric you'd prefer instead of this one, I'm all ears.
On one side, we've got deaths that were directly caused by guns. On the other side, we've got situations in which the presence of a gun might have saved a life. Some of those deaths would have happened without a gun, yes. Some of those lives were saved by the presence of a gun, yes. But to my knowledge, we have no way of knowing how many of each.
Definitely, and I'd also bring in some other, minor (I think) ideas that I'd like to believe would go a long way towards alleviating some of the unecessary gun deaths while enhancing overall public safety...I am highly sympathetic to that viewpoint. I'd include some kind of crimes-per-criminal statistic if I could, but I don't have that information. And I agree that the resources would be better spent elsewhere - that's why I'm not advocating taking them away, and I never have. I think if we were waving our magic wand and remaking the world, we'd be better off without handguns. But I wouldn't take them away in any foreseeable future.Many other factors are responsible for causing crime, such as poverty, lack of education, and economic factors. Resourses spent harassing 57 million gun owners could achieve far more crime prevention by diverting those resources to alleviating the desperation that sparks crime. It could pay for social safety nets so that people don't fall to such financial depths that crime becomes a worthwhile option.
erik_t wrote:I'd have it no other way, and I expect the same from you. I expect you to be a little sympathetic that I'm addressing the same post to multiple people, not all of whom have said this.Coyote wrote:I've known for much of this argument that this is going to be as much about opinions as it is about facts. I stated pages ago that some people only feel safe if they have a gun, while others only feel safe if there are no guns, and there won't be much room to reconcile these two positions. So you can set aside your accusations about my "proclomations from up on high" and keep this real.
Honestly wouldn't know... I'd guess it would have something to do with time of day and region, as well as the worthwhile benefit of the activity (such as Oregon, where a significant amount of county revenue comes from tickets). Heh-- meybe it's best we let this one go...I don't know the time spent by the cop watching the radar gun or whatever per speeder caught. Do you? Honest question.But catching speeders is a minor inconvenience to resources compared ot tracking down and investigating and confiscating property from 57 million people. You write a ticket and the guy-- who deep inside realizes he did something wrong-- goes on his way and mails in his check to the court.
While technically, you'd be correct, the problem is there would be many, many people who would see it in a very defensive mindset. There may not be the '1 million armed violent criminals created from thin air' like I mentioned (although there might be some), but I feel safe in saying that there would be a great deal of 'civic disobedience' where people just flat out don't turn them in, or turn in a couple 'ringers' and say "there ya go, now leave me alone". While I have no statistics to back that up, I feel that a understanding of human nature allows me to predict that to some extent (to how much extent remains open for speculation).They would emphatically not be told they are criminals, and this is a silly canard often raised by the NRA and the like. Something being against the law does not make someone a criminal for having/doing it. I am not proposing this, but a buyback + fines for the noncompliant would negate much of this.In contrast, you'll have 57 million people who have not done anything wrong and broken no laws, suddenly being told they are criminals and the cops are going to come to take property from them that they bought with their own money.
Possibly, but there have also been studies done on how difficult it is to get people to kill. I think it is relevant to remember the works of military historian SLA Marshall that said that it was very difficult to get men, soldiers in combat, to kill another human being, even when that other person is armed and threatening. (Sorry about the damn Wiki reference, but it has some references). Supporting Marshall's claim is work by retired military officer and psychologist Lt. Col. Dave Grossman and his book "On Killing", which goes back as far as the Civil War to show the phenomenoin at work-- normal people have social inhibitions about killing, and abnormal people do not have these inhibations. For soldiers, you have to train around that (even though it inflicts a cost) but for civilians, there usually isn't such conditioning.I would argue that the user-friendly point-and-click interface of a firearm makes murder much more accessible to people who would otherwise not want to get their hands dirty, but I do not claim that is a fact. I would further argue that, again because people don't want to get their hands dirty, most of those violent crimes would not have ended in murder (since about 1.2% of violent crimes are murders).
Domestic violence is cyclical? I actually never knew that. Is there some way to do predictability research on it?Darth Wong wrote:Fair enough, but it must be pointed out that certain kinds of "heat of the moment" crimes are actually cyclical, such as domestic violence.
That would be one area where a registry would be very helpful. My idea about liscencing the owner, rather than the gun itself, would at least tell police that an inhabitant has the skills and passed the test, so a gun is likely but not a given.In fact, the police in Canada say that one of the most common uses of the gun registry is to quickly check for the likelihood of a gun being present when they respond to a domestic violence call.
It's an older article, but it should still be relevant:Coyote wrote:That's why I wouldn't fight overmuch against a waiting period for a first gun purchase. For any gun purchase afterwards it's kind of moot.
Guns are rarely bought legally for the specific purpose of killing someone. And the firearms commonly used in most crimes are cheap and concealable. In the case of the shotgun, a Mossberg shotgun is about the cheapest you can buy. I can only guess how much it costs on the street, but they're likely sawed-off anyways.One measure by which ATF gauges a gun's appeal as an offensive (rather than a defensive or sporting) weapon is its "time-to-crime" factor — how long after its sale it is used in a crime. Revolvers, not generally used as an offensive weapon, had a median time-to-crime of 12.3 years, according to the 2000 figures. At the other extreme, Bryco Arms 9mm semiautomatics recovered from kids younger than18 had a median time-to-crime of 1.5 years, and those recovered from suspects aged 18 to 24 had a median time-to-crime of 1.1 years. The Hi Point 9mm is another downscale semiautomatic frequently seized from suspects in the 18-to-24 age range; it has a time-to-crime span of just one year.
I don't mean "cyclical" in a larger societal sense, but in the sense that there is a predictable cycle within a given household, of violence, followed by regret, followed by violence. I've heard that cops who answer a domestic violence call can often recognize the address.Coyote wrote:Domestic violence is cyclical? I actually never knew that. Is there some way to do predictability research on it?Darth Wong wrote:Fair enough, but it must be pointed out that certain kinds of "heat of the moment" crimes are actually cyclical, such as domestic violence.
Unfortunately, whenever you see the phrase "estranged boyfriend" or "estranged husband" in a news article, you can pretty much bet money that the story involves a woman being killed. As far as I'm concerned, the moment some guy commits his first domestic battery he should be assumed to be an extremely dangerous violent offender and treated accordingly. I'm sick of the way I keep reading about these asshats steadily escalating their violence until someone dies.That would be one area where a registry would be very helpful. My idea about liscencing the owner, rather than the gun itself, would at least tell police that an inhabitant has the skills and passed the test, so a gun is likely but not a given.In fact, the police in Canada say that one of the most common uses of the gun registry is to quickly check for the likelihood of a gun being present when they respond to a domestic violence call.
Domestic violence history would, at some point, have to be considered a disqualifier in my scenario. People that cannot contain themselves with ordinary family stress... yeah.
Ahh, sorry, I should have guessed. Any predictability study would have to be household-at-a-time. If society had the resources it would be valuable...Darth Wong wrote:I don't mean "cyclical" in a larger societal sense, but in the sense that there is a predictable cycle within a given household, of violence, followed by regret, followed by violence. I've heard that cops who answer a domestic violence call can often recognize the address.
Any domestic battery should disqualify a gun buyer in my mind. Unfortunately, one of th eproblems with domestic violence perps is that the victims frequently refuse to press charges. But it's an entirely different subject, and one that frequently has no good endings. The victims have to decide to break the cycle.Unfortunately, whenever you see the phrase "estranged boyfriend" or "estranged husband" in a news article, you can pretty much bet money that the story involves a woman being killed. As far as I'm concerned, the moment some guy commits his first domestic battery he should be assumed to be an extremely dangerous violent offender and treated accordingly. I'm sick of the way I keep reading about these asshats steadily escalating their violence until someone dies.
Most domestic disputes (including someone who is currently in divorce proceedings) disqualify someone from purchasing a firearm, for at least a period of time.Coyote wrote:Any domestic battery should disqualify a gun buyer in my mind.
This is only part of the problem. There are numerous instances of people being convicted of domestic abuse or being found mentally unfit, for whatever reason, still passing a background check because the system was either to slow to update or the data just never made it in. It's an issue with enforcement and it needs to be corrected.Unfortunately, one of th eproblems with domestic violence perps is that the victims frequently refuse to press charges. But it's an entirely different subject, and one that frequently has no good endings. The victims have to decide to break the cycle.
Point-of-sale personnel have a responsibility, too. Some time ago I worked for a SoCal firearms dealer, and on a couple of occasions we had people walk in who were so (evidently) out-of-whack that we (a) refused to pursue a sale and (b) called the California DOJ and requested that a flag be placed for the name they gave us.TheFeniX wrote:There are numerous instances of people being convicted of domestic abuse or being found mentally unfit, for whatever reason, still passing a background check because the system was either to slow to update or the data just never made it in. It's an issue with enforcement and it needs to be corrected.
Ah, shit. Sorry. I wasn't trying to avoid that. Since that's what you were addressing, I concede that point.Darth Wong wrote:Totally irrelevant to the particular argument I quoted from you, where you appealed entirely to your incomprehension of why someone would engage in the stated activity. Your dishonesty is growing irritating.Ryan Thunder wrote:I beg your pardon, Mike, but you're comparing an unjustified limitation of somebody's personal right to a justified limitation of somebody's dangerous privilege. The connection is tenuous at best.
Here in Indiana, the police do access the LCTH (license to carry handgun) database when making a traffic stop or responding to a domestic disturbance call.My idea about liscencing the owner, rather than the gun itself, would at least tell police that an inhabitant has the skills and passed the test, so a gun is likely but not a given.