That's a very big "if". Too bad real life is usually much messier than such neat theories. All it takes is one critical vote on which they disagree to bring the whole thing crashing down.If the coalition remains committed to economic issues, putting constitutional and provincial matters on the back-burner, I can see the two parties cooperating long enough to make an effective government.
Oh, please. Duceppe helped prop up Harper's government early on: He'll work with his worst political enemies if it means a chance of wringing out more concessions for Quebec. Make no mistake, that will be his primary objective in entering a coalition: He's not going to be content with mere table scraps or the "occasional bone", especially since he'll be one holding the balance of power in the coalition.The mere fact that Duceppe is willing to work [probably] under Dion, of all Liberals, is a pretty strong sign that the Bloc is willing to play dead on the separatist issues.
Uh, yeah...The die-hard anti-Bloc Liberals, as far as I can gather, don't hold enough sway in internal Liberal politics at the moment to prevent the coalition, and I doubt they would risk out-right munity once the coalition is in government.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/canadi ... nGP0cTL6xg
Am I the only one who sees a mutiny in the making? The fact that Dion and his loyalists are attempting to negotiate the deal without consulting the leadership candidates will not sit well with a lot of Liberals, especially if Dion attempts to "unresign" (which according to the party's own rules he cannot do, except in an exemption is made under "extraordinary" circumstances by the board of riding presidents) I also think you're still underestimating the level of pent-up hatred the Liberal Party holds for the Bloc. It's been dormant as of late, but that doesn't mean it's gone, and if this deal goes through it would easily bring it right back to the surface.Liberal leadership dissension threatens coalition government
14 hours ago
OTTAWA — Dissension in Liberal ranks over who would lead a coalition government is threatening to derail opposition party plans to replace the Harper regime.
As negotiations between the Liberals, NDP and Bloc Quebecois were edging close to a deal late Sunday, frustration was mounting among Grits over Stephane Dion's lead role in conducting the talks and potentially installing himself as prime minister. Dion has announced his intention to resign as Liberal leader as soon as a successor is elected May 2 at a convention in Vancouver.
Some Liberals question Dion's moral authority to commit the party to a multi-year pact with the other opposition parties when he won't be the one who has to see it through. Others fear Dion will renege on his promise to resign should he make it into the prime minister's office.
"Getting a deal with the NDP and the Bloc is not the problem," said one Liberal insider.
"It's the internal stuff that's going to cause this to fall apart."
Strategists for the three contenders vying to succeed Dion - Michael Ignatieff, Bob Rae and Dominic LeBlanc - complain that they've been kept in the dark about the negotiations.
"This thing really is being run by Dion and his people. We're not being asked for our opinion," said a senior adviser to one contender.
Moreover, there is suspicion among all three camps that Dion may be angling to save his own job.
"Dion is making a power play. That's the absolute reality," griped another senior Liberal.
Rae organized a dinner meeting Sunday in Toronto with Ignatieff and LeBlanc in a bid to devise a common front among the contenders. According to insiders, Rae was trying to persuade his rivals to unite behind Dion's bid to forge a coalition and to head up any subsequent government until May, when the leadership convention to replace Dion would take place as scheduled.
It was not clear late Sunday whether Rae was successful in persuading his rivals to go along with his suggestion.
Going into the meeting, sources close to Ignatieff said the presumed frontrunner was "not wild" about the idea of forming a government propped up by the separatist Bloc. Moreover, they said he was inclined to accept the concessions wrung out of Prime Minister Stephen Harper's Tories on its fiscal update and allow the government to survive.
"My gut is Michael will cause all this to fall apart. He doesn't like this," said the insider.
Ignatieff enjoys the lion's share of support within the Liberal caucus so he could easily ensure the government's survival by ensuring that a handful of his supporters fail to show up for the Dec. 8 vote on the government's fall fiscal update.
However, with many Liberals excited about the prospect of regaining power and pumped to give Harper the boot, the insider added that Ignatieff could pay a big price in the leadership race if he's seen to be the one to scuttle all chances of a coalition.
In public, Ignatieff has so far supported Dion's efforts to forge a coalition and has dismissed the Tories' concessions as insufficient to ward off defeat.
Some of his supporters in caucus, however, are touting the idea of someone other than Dion - like former finance minister Ralph Goodale or former economist John McCallum - to head up a coalition government until May.
Last week's update set off the political crisis that has left Harper's minority government teetering on the brink of defeat. The three opposition parties united in outrage over the government's failure to provide any immediate economic stimulus while proposing to scrap public subsidies for political parties, the lifeblood of opposition parties.
Over the weekend, the Harper government scrambled to stave off defeat, withdrawing the subsidy-scrapping proposal as well as plans to do away with the right to strike for public servants. It also moved up the date of the next budget, which is to contain stimulus measures, to Jan. 27.
All three opposition parties have said the concessions fall far short of what's needed. They were continuing to negotiate details of a possible coalition late Sunday.
Should Dion become prime minister, he could not unilaterally put an end to the process, already well under way, to choose his successor as Liberal leader. There is no provision in the Liberal party constitution for Dion to "unresign."
However, the party's national executive and council of riding presidents could theoretically approve an extraordinary motion to bypass the constitution and allow Dion to remain leader indefinitely.
Now the article does mention that Ignatieff could potentially hurt his nomination chances by scuppering a coalition if too many Liberals have become frenzied by the whiff of power the coalition offers, but if it looks like Dion will attempt to "unresign", he'll have nothing left to lose anyway and would most likely go for it, and in that event he'd probably be able to rally enough backbenchers to send it under.