20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

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20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Duckie »

sorry on replacing in with : to make an ugly newspaper headline
For many Christians, Easter is the most important religious holiday of the year -- a time to celebrate the Resurrection of Jesus Christ and look forward to the Second Coming. According to a 2006 survey by the Pew Research Center's Forum on Religion & Public Life and the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, fully 79% of Christians in the U.S. say they believe that Christ will return to Earth someday. There is less agreement among Christians, however, over the timing and circumstances of his return. Only 17% of American Christians do not believe in the Second Coming. By contrast,a larger number of American Christians, 20%, believe the Second Coming will occur in their lifetime.
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It surprises me both that many Christians believe he won't come back (I wonder if we could somehow have polls from 50 AD every 10 years until now would it go down noticably but steadily?).

However, some numbers shock me.

20% believe it will happen within their lifetime, so presumably in this century.
34% believe the earth will get worse before Jesus returns.
23% believe that humanity can affect the timing.

I wish they had asked conditional on that last question "Should humanity attempt to hasten the return of Jesus" to see the level of apocalyptic christians within the US. I'd guess it's something like 10% of the populace or something.

Which is scary as fuck.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Mr Bean »

20% sounds about right. America has a high number of what I've come to refer to as soft fundamentalists. They are just as fundamentalist as any right wing christian mega-church running Preacher but they are somewhat quiet about their believes. And by quiet I mean if you asked them about their faith they will tell you, but aside from bumpers stickers and church attendance. You'd not be able to pick them out of a crowd unless you sorted out all the old white people.

This is of course traditional as those staring death in the face are much more open to the idea of the end of days as they themselves look at it themselves for their own end of days.

*Edit not to say that other races can't be end of days happy, the Philippians are fucking nuts about that stuff despite being mostly catholic. Same thing with Black Southern Baptist churches, one of the greatest living examples of utter lack of progress in race relations in the south is the fact the Black Southern Baptist church spends a great deal of time working alongside but not with the Southern Baptist Coalition. Where the two groups to merge(Never mind the fact the SBC still retains the "S" for South in their name to this day) it would be very hard since the SBC still faces the serious problem of racism within it's ranks. Both because of it's de-centralist setup and it's geographic strongholds(Hint "The south") it has a warped representation of out and out racists as members in one church with cross burnings be held in the woods out back(True story from NC, Hillsborugh) while ten miles over an all black BSB church is running preaching 95% of the same beliefs and sometimes even using the same sermons the same weekend.

Religion in the US is a funny, funny thing. It's also very fucked up, but that's a story for another night.

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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Ariphaos »

I've met a lot of Christians - particularly Episcopalians, who don't believe Jesus rose from the dead or any miracles surrounding him or the Bible. One merely called himself a Christian to smooth over social relations - and admitted as much to me. So the 17% who lump the Second Coming in with Santa Claus is not too surprising.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Darth Wong »

A lot of Christians just treat it as a tribal allegiance with some empty rituals, so I have to side with Xeriar in not being surprised about 17% of them disregarding certain key tenets of Christian doctrine. To be honest, I wouldn't have been surprised if it were even higher, although I'm basing my thinking on Canadian Christians; maybe American Christians are more fundamentalist. The 20% who honestly think the Second Coming is right around the corner seem like a disturbingly high number.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by General Zod »

Darth Wong wrote:A lot of Christians just treat it as a tribal allegiance with some empty rituals, so I have to side with Xeriar in not being surprised about 17% of them disregarding certain key tenets of Christian doctrine. To be honest, I wouldn't have been surprised if it were even higher, although I'm basing my thinking on Canadian Christians; maybe American Christians are more fundamentalist. The 20% who honestly think the Second Coming is right around the corner seem like a disturbingly high number.
Isn't that about the same as Bush the dumber's approval rating before he left office?
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Mr Bean »

General Zod wrote: Isn't that about the same as Bush the dumber's approval rating before he left office?
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Duckie »

Mr Bean wrote:
General Zod wrote: Isn't that about the same as Bush the dumber's approval rating before he left office?
25% Can't forget the 5% who don't pay attention to any news
Which seems to correlate with the 5% in this poll who are christians but can't muster up the mental effort to decide whether the living son of god will come back in a glorious rapture or not. I mean you'd think that'd be something important to them as Christians, wouldn't you?
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Ariphaos »

Well not really.

When I was a part of Bible study groups, they would alternately bemoan America's 45% church attendance rate (at the time) and people who came back from Europe would tell them to be grateful that it's that high. To a lot of people, being Christian is just another means to follow or fit in with the herd.

There are also things like gnostic revival movements and so on, but I doubt they make up more than a fraction of a percent.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Akkleptos »

Ducky wrote: 20% believe it will happen within their lifetime, so presumably in this century.
It amazes me how many Christians seem unfazed by the fact that the so-called prophecies in Revelations never happened at all, yet through some prodigious double-thinking -because many have actually read the stuff- they still believe it will happen.

Ravings of some madman Revelations, on the Second Coming:
1:1 The Revelation of Jesus Christ, which God gave unto him, to shew unto his servants things which must shortly come to pass; and he sent and signified it by his angel unto his servant John:
1:2 Who bare record of the word of God, and of the testimony of Jesus Christ, and of all things that he saw.
1:3 Blessed is he that readeth, and they that hear the words of this prophecy, and keep those things which are written therein: for the time is at hand.
<snip nonsensical babble>
1:7 Behold, he cometh with clouds :wtf: ; and every eye shall see him, and they also which pierced him: and all kindreds of the earth shall wail because of him. Even so, Amen.
So, the very people who "pierced" him would get to see his return.

Also, with such a conspicuous description, you'd think someone might have noticed if he had come...
1:13 And in the midst of the seven candlesticks one like unto the Son of man, clothed with a garment down to the foot, and girt about the paps with a golden girdle.
1:14 His head and his hairs were white like wool, as white as snow; and his eyes were as a flame of fire;
1:15 And his feet like unto fine brass, as if they burned in a furnace; and his voice as the sound of many waters.
1:16 And he had in his right hand seven stars: and out of his mouth went a sharp twoedged sword: and his countenance was as the sun shineth in his strength.
But, uh... no. Nothing on the historical records about some guy with fiery eyes, metal feet and a fucking sword sticking out of his mouth.

Patmos back then must have had some really potent pot, or 'shrooms, or something.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Pablo Sanchez »

I especially like the last three poll responses, because the book of Matthew explicitly says that it is impossible to predict when Jesus will return and it is going to just randomly come out of nowhere, with no warning. "Nobody knows the hour or the day" etc. etc.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

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Pablo Sanchez wrote:I especially like the last three poll responses, because the book of Matthew explicitly says that it is impossible to predict when Jesus will return and it is going to just randomly come out of nowhere, with no warning. "Nobody knows the hour or the day" etc. etc.
Because it is a well known fact, that people who call themselves Christians devote time to study the book which forms a base of their ideological system, right? :roll:
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

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Tolya wrote:Because it is a well known fact, that people who call themselves Christians devote time to study the book which forms a base of their ideological system, right? :roll:
This kind of flip response is useless. While many Americans who consider themselves Christians are not heavily involved in their religious faith and don't know that much about the bible, usually people belonging to old, traditional, mainline congregations like Lutherans, Methodists, and Catholics, the kind of people who sincerely believe in premillennialism and try to interpret prophecy (you know, the people who we're actually discussing in this thread) typically have studied the bible and often know it forwards and backwards, or at the very least get their doctrine directly from people who do.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Themightytom »

20 percent of christians think he's done?

You really WOULD expect a higher percentage of Christians to expect Christ's imminent return because its a cornerstone of belief that you are supposed to be ready when he does, the bible is full of cautionary tales about people who weren't paying attention and screwed the pooch when they had their shot.

And WTF is with 4% thinking the world situation will improve before the second comming? its a shitty end of the world story if everythings going awesome and then Jesus shows up to rain on the parade.

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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by CarsonPalmer »

Pablo Sanchez wrote:
Tolya wrote:Because it is a well known fact, that people who call themselves Christians devote time to study the book which forms a base of their ideological system, right? :roll:
This kind of flip response is useless. While many Americans who consider themselves Christians are not heavily involved in their religious faith and don't know that much about the bible, usually people belonging to old, traditional, mainline congregations like Lutherans, Methodists, and Catholics, the kind of people who sincerely believe in premillennialism and try to interpret prophecy (you know, the people who we're actually discussing in this thread) typically have studied the bible and often know it forwards and backwards, or at the very least get their doctrine directly from people who do.
Just to make a minor correction: Catholics aren't premillenialists. They don't believe in any kind of millennium at all, and the Catholic doctrine on the subject is actually based off of the thief in the night and nobody knows the hour or day. The same actually goes for Lutherans (I'm not sure about Methodists).

Most of the old mainline denominations don't believe in any kind of a tribulation or Rapture; its the Evangelicals and Baptists who do.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Prannon »

I think it's fair to say that the whole Rapture/Tribulation image of "The Endtimes" comes from the Left Behind book series. I never heard much about Christian apocalyptic beliefs until those books surfaced. I read all of them, and they're pretty generic. They also take all of the Revelation prophesies very literally, which is why some of the things that permeate Baptist and Evangelical folk Christianity are so strange.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

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Pablo Sanchez wrote:the kind of people who sincerely believe in premillennialism and try to interpret prophecy (you know, the people who we're actually discussing in this thread) typically have studied the bible and often know it forwards and backwards, or at the very least get their doctrine directly from people who do.
How can you lump "studied the Bible" and "get their doctrine from people who do" together as if they're equivalent?

The latter kind of Christian is precisely what Tolya is talking about, and happens to be the vast majority of Christians (of all stripes) in my experience. They don't sit down and read the whole Bible, or even large portions of it; instead, they let their pastor tell them what to think and then selectively feed them passages to support those ideas. They're selective sound-bite Christians. They do not know it forwards and backwards; they only know the parts of it which support their opinions (which have in turn been spoon-fed to them).
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

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Even the ones who have read the bible find some way to justify the atrocities and other bad things within its pages.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

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I was under the impression there's ALWAYS been about 20% of Christians that believe/hope the 2nd coming will happen in their lifetime.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

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CaptainChewbacca wrote:I was under the impression there's ALWAYS been about 20% of Christians that believe/hope the 2nd coming will happen in their lifetime.
Really, given all of the other stupid things that large numbers of Christians believe, this is actually not that bad. Something like half of them think that the world is only 6000 years old, after all. And more than that seriously believe there is absolutely no relation between apes and humans.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by Samuel »

CaptainChewbacca wrote:I was under the impression there's ALWAYS been about 20% of Christians that believe/hope the 2nd coming will happen in their lifetime.
The irony being that most of them are children of the previous 20%.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

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Samuel wrote:
CaptainChewbacca wrote:I was under the impression there's ALWAYS been about 20% of Christians that believe/hope the 2nd coming will happen in their lifetime.
The irony being that most of them are children of the previous 20%.
That wasn't in the study, it could go just as easily in either direction, they could jsut as easily be influenced by watching their parents belief undermined by reality as by the influence itself.

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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by CaptainChewbacca »

Darth Wong wrote:
CaptainChewbacca wrote:I was under the impression there's ALWAYS been about 20% of Christians that believe/hope the 2nd coming will happen in their lifetime.
Really, given all of the other stupid things that large numbers of Christians believe, this is actually not that bad. Something like half of them think that the world is only 6000 years old, after all. And more than that seriously believe there is absolutely no relation between apes and humans.
I think it's because we have the whole 'None shall know the day or the hour' thing, so a lot of Christians are taught to NOT expect the second coming anytime soon.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

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CaptainChewbacca wrote:I think it's because we have the whole 'None shall know the day or the hour' thing, so a lot of Christians are taught to NOT expect the second coming anytime soon.
I've known a lot of people who took that literally: they don't know the exact day or hour, but they're sure it's soon. I'm not even a Christian, yet I've had Christians telling me about the proximity of the End Times too many times to count.
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

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Darth Wong wrote:How can you lump "studied the Bible" and "get their doctrine from people who do" together as if they're equivalent?
I didn't lump them together, the conjunction "or" is usually taken to imply a difference between the two parties being referenced. My point was that the type of people who set store by biblical prophecy predicting the occasion of the second coming like a rapture clock are often the same people who ought to know better, because the bible explicitly says that no such prophecy exists. As for the people who don't know the bible well but still believe this, they're still getting the information from people who should know better, e.g. LaHaye et al. Making your own fundamentally incorrect analysis of something isn't the same thing as receiving it from a gatekeeper like your pastor, but I think it's still a useful criticism of the idea of biblical prophecies, because in both cases there is a stage at which someone who is familiar with the bible is interpreting the bible in a very contradictory way.
The latter kind of Christian is precisely what Tolya is talking about, and happens to be the vast majority of Christians (of all stripes) in my experience. They don't sit down and read the whole Bible, or even large portions of it; instead, they let their pastor tell them what to think and then selectively feed them passages to support those ideas. They're selective sound-bite Christians. They do not know it forwards and backwards; they only know the parts of it which support their opinions (which have in turn been spoon-fed to them).
But we're not talking about the majority of Christians, it's the 20-33% found in the poll, who believe that the second coming is going to happen soon and that "biblical prophecy" predicts when. These people are more likely to belong to hardcore, apocalyptic congregations, and as you remarked it's strange that a majority of Christians believe Young Earth Creationism but a much smaller minority think that Jesus is coming around the corner right now. We're talking about groups that are a fringe even among the religious, and in my experience (which has included going to fundamentalist services that looked like a mental ward, with all the glossolalia, passionate outbursts, and lolling around the aisles) they're also the people who read the bible compulsively, for long periods, every single day, and who have read the entire bible multiple times. I've met people who were conversant chapter-and-verse with the bible, by which I mean you could name a book, chapter, and verse at random and they could repeat the King James Version of it off the top of their heads. Decades of memorization by people who have basically only read two types of books: the bible and books on the bible.

In my retort to Tolya I was reacting to what I see as a too-common knee jerk response to fundamentalist religious views, which is to say that fundies are just altogether ignorant, even of their own religion. I don't agree. The 20-33% of Christians from those polls are ignorant, deluded, and possibly insane, but to say that they don't know the bible just isn't true. Now, in terms of knowing exactly what the bible says American fundamentalists can give anybody a run for their money, but since they don't recognize biblical criticism and historiography even somebody who's barely read the thing "knows" it better than them... by virtue of knowing that lots of gospels were left on the cutting room floor, that the Pentateuch weren't written by Moses, that Genesis is just a pastiche and distillation of myths common to bronze age fertile crescent cultures, etc. etc. They know the bible very well; it's just that they don't know how to read critically and the ideas in the bible are ignorant, deluded, and possibly insane.

I guess I feel as though imputing theological and/or biblical ignorance to fundies diminishes the bible's responsibility (if a book can have such a thing) for their views. So when I pointed out that they were doublethinking by speculating on biblical prophecy although the bible explicitly says not to do that, and he said, "lol whatever they don't even read the bible", I disagreed.
CaptainChewbacca wrote:I think it's because we have the whole 'None shall know the day or the hour' thing, so a lot of Christians are taught to NOT expect the second coming anytime soon.
It's an ambiguous phrase. Speculatively, it might have been a late introduction to the bible for the specific reason of ambiguity. Christianity could have begun as an apocalypse cult that was eagerly awaiting the imminent return of the messiah, but as the years rolled by, they had to do the mental gymnastics that every cult has to do when the world fails to end. Hence, "we have no idea when Jesus will come back, but it might be tomorrow, so please continue to listen to us."
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Re: 20% of US Christians believe: second coming within lifetime

Post by CaptainChewbacca »

Darth Wong wrote:
CaptainChewbacca wrote:I think it's because we have the whole 'None shall know the day or the hour' thing, so a lot of Christians are taught to NOT expect the second coming anytime soon.
I've known a lot of people who took that literally: they don't know the exact day or hour, but they're sure it's soon. I'm not even a Christian, yet I've had Christians telling me about the proximity of the End Times too many times to count.
Oh, I have too. I just know that for Christians the end of the world has been 'almost here' since Paul went on his third book tour, and I don't think I'm a sufficiently lucky man to get to take a 'short cut' to heaven without living my full life.
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