Fuck, that quoting is seriously butchered.
Yeah, sorry about that...My mistake. I edited it out though.
True. But a sharp drop in life expectancy is an indication that the overclass problem worsened considerably after the fall of communism. This is not to say that communism is better, but that improperly regulated capitalism is worse than communism.
No one ever said that economic transitions were easy. The implosion of the Soviet "central economy" was always going to have some negative effects. Considering the sheer amount of territory (and all of the heavy industry, population centers, military hardware, natural resources, trade centers, etca that went along with it) the Russians surrendered after the fall of the USSR, it is nearly impossible to see how this development couldn't have been a major blow.
However, it should be noted that, in light of recent events, it looks like Russia is finally getting its economy back in stride. They should be able to achieve far more economically under their current system than they could have achieved under Communism.
I think we could also point out that there is no record of successful anarchistic/libertarian societies either (Somalia not generally being considered a success), yet that is the general direction the US is heading in right now thanks to existing political trends
Whose talking about anarchistic libertarianism? "Anarchist" utopias can exist only in the minds of such unrealistic dreamers as Noam Chomsky and Ayn Rand. The state may not be
ideal, but it is ultimately necessary.
Besides, I would hardly say that this is the direction that the US is currently headed. The "Neo-Liberal" revolution that ocurred in the late 1970s has all but spent its potency. Things are currently swinging back to a regulation oriented model.
According to Immanuel Wallerstein, this is more or less how the "Capitalist" system works. The market swings back and forth between one extreme and another as Capitalism's cyclical "up" and "down" periods give rise to the "blame game" and flare reactionary tempers. The Great Depression sent the Western World into a "statist" Keynesian frenzy, whereas the economic collapse of the 1970s gave rise to the recent "Neo-Liberal" trend that has been all the rage for the last few decades.
No is willing to admit that "recessions" are simply an inevitable fact of life in a market oriented economy, and so they tend to be used as weapons of political warfare.
How do you arrive at this evaluation?
Because we more or less know what's going on in China at the moment. They have opened their borders to the western media and international organiztions. The Chinese government simply isn't able to be as repressive as it was in the past (secret police spiriting people away in the middle of the night, seizure of property without cause, etca, etca).
Sure, things are still bad in China, but the government has certainly "mellowed out" to a certain extent.
Knobby's "RED" Communisim (ie, a planned economy) could work more effeciently (ie less dead weight lossess) given near perfect information and uncorruptable administrators. Ahh, for the leninbots...
I've a personal feeling that it's probably easier to attempt on a small scale too - Cuba being a fine example. (red rag to a bull?)
By "Red" Communism I mean Marxist/Leninism, Stalinism, Maoism, or anything derivative of these movements. All governments to adopt these ideological systems have utilized the same basic economic policies and faced the same societal problems. That is the only reason that I'm clumping them together.
Besides, I would hardly say that Cuba is even doing all that well as a "Communist" nation. They've basically had to whore themselves out to Europe and Canada as a Caribbean beach resort just to make ends meat. They have also implimented quite a few "Free Market" reforms since 1992.
Yeah, yeah...I know "Embargo is eviiilllll RAWR." However, it should be noted that if you actually look at Cuba's economic situation, the embargo hasn't relly had that much of an effect. Castro could basically rely on the Soviets to provide him with anything his economy needed during the Cold War, and (as I've already pointed out) his regime has learned to make due with other sources of economic capital in the decade since the fall of the USSR.
On the whole, I'd say that Cuba has pretty handily sold out its "Red" Leftist values.
Furthermore, the Soviet Union doesn't have to 'win' some sort of war with America any more than modern russia would have to win a war with America. The USSR gave up on influencing world revolution long before it's collapse. It would just have to be able to protect its own interests, and I don't see any reason why it couldn't to a similar degree it was in the 80s. Or even in a future where the Soviet Union is outpaced by America, nations can still exist without being top dogs: look at Cuba, Iran, and a whole bunch of other nations with interests opposite to America.
Am I correct in assuming that you would have peferred that the USSR end up as a mistrusted and economically stunted international pariah like Cuba or North Korea rather than go through market reform?
There is absolutely no doubt about it. The USSR had been in a rather definite decline for decades before Gorbachev's reforms. Their allies were abandoning them left and right, and they were falling increasing behind the West in terms of economic productivity, science, and technology. I can't think of any reason why these trends would have reversed themselves if the USSR had lasted any longer.
In fact, the only real difference I could see between the USSR in such a situation and modern Cuba or North Korea would be the presence of all of those nuclear weapons in the Soviet arsenal. Come to think of it, this is actually a rather frightening thought. lol
The Soviet Union could have retained its same basic structure with generally mild reforms to improve productivity and still been a giant relative on the world stage (especially with the economic clusterfuck western nations are going through at the moment). Hell, it's argued that only if the Soviet Union had survived a few more years the rise of Information technology and the Internet would have provided a huge boost to its productivity (at least relative to the west, where the internet's impact on productivity has largely been invisible).
I'm pretty skeptical about the chances of something like this working.
"Mild reform" likely wouldn't have gone over well with the Russian people. Even if it had, I doubt that there would have been any going back for the Soviet leadership once they had opened the flood gates for market reform. They likely would have simply found themselves gradually being dragged into "free market" Capitalism just as the Chinese and Vietnamese governments have.
Once you throw internet access for the average citizen into the mix, I can't see this fundamental change in society doing anything but accelerating.
(especially with the economic clusterfuck western nations are going through at the moment).
There was a fairly massive global recession in the 1970s as well. It didn't accomplish much in changing the overall "balance of power" in the Cold War.
Actually, come to think of it...This downturn (along with a few other events) was probably what gave the Soviets the idea that they could get away with invading Afghanistan in 1979. Of course, I think we all know how
that turned out.
No, but this is a Science and logic forum where a thread has gone off topic into historical matters. A similar degree of intellectual honestly and integrity should be expected.
Which is exacty why I'm not going out of my way to be intellectually dishonest here.