Count Chocula wrote:Samuel wrote:... actually, what percentage of the population is evangelical?
Looking for that fig I ran across
a Wiki article, and found two references in it that appear to be legitimate: a Pew Research poll, and the 2007 statistical abstract of the United States. Depending on the source, evangelicals are 26% - 29% of the US population. Assuming, unlike Catholics, that all evengelicals who vote go Republican (feel free to contradict me if I'm mistaken), that would make self-named evangelical Christians around...holy shit...2/3 of the Republican party if
the latest Rasmussen survey is correct! Granted, evangelicals are probably not a monolithic bloc of voters outside of abortion, and probably have their own political fractures outside of the "big issue," but still...assuming my premise holds, that would explain a
lot of candidates' electioneering behavior. Especially at the national level. It's possible that a significant percentage of Independents are evangelical, but I couldn't find any info one way or the other on that.
Hmmm.
I'm looking at some Pew forum stuff from 2008, and the political breakdown is not really that simple, according to their exhaustive Religious Landscape Survey. They say
26.3% of Americans identified as members of evangelical churches (not counting historically black churches, which are mostly evangelical but substantially different from white churches, so they got a separate category).
50% of those evangelicals described their party affiliation as "Republican" or "lean Republican". The
table where I got this doesn't break the voters down into proportions of the Republican party, but I fed the relevant data into a little spreadsheet of my own, and it ended up that only 37% of the Republican party was comprised of evangelicals. 24% was "mainline" Protestants and 21% was Catholics. The rest was a mishmash of other groups, the largest of which was the heterogeneous "unaffiliated" group (atheists, agnostics, people who "aren't really religious" and grew away from their parents' faith, maybe some "spiritual" people, and so on).
Liberal and moderate evangelicals do exist. There's
another chart in the same survey about political ideology (as opposed to party affiliation). Plenty of evangelicals describe themselves as moderate (32%) or liberal (11%). I suspect the problem is that the conservative evangelicals are the ones with political power. Even if an individual churchgoer is politically moderate or liberal, her pastor and church are probably conservative, and they're the ones who orchestrate letter-writing campaigns to congressmen about boobies on TV.
Have I mentioned how much I love this survey with its extremely detailed charts? I could look at this survey's breakdowns for hours. Seriously, you should
check it out if you're curious about this stuff. I always end up poring over these stats at least once every few months.