Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Axis Kast »

The main issue with this is that whether or not the opposition notices the nuance of self-delusion because many people do vote on single issues. They may frame it in their heads in a way that allows them to justify it, but this doesn't make their action any less dubious within the framework of democracy.
The "main issue," as you put it, is that Republicans have a coherent vision for national improvement, clear assumptions about what this or that policy will bring about, and a slew of examples which they believe validate those expectations.

In other words, it should be possible to engage them in argument. Too often, however, they are simply dismissed as "blind, racist poop-heads." This only reinforces their sense of victimization, which in turn helps sustain the idea that politics is always "for all the marbles." Later, members of this board can't understand why Republican voters seem to put up with slimeballs and their slimeball tactics. In part, it's because of the feeling that the ends will justify the means.

To put it simply, these people aren't cardboard cut-outs. There are ways to communicate with them, and that's exactly what we need to do as a nation if we are going to move forward with everyone in tow, rather than abandon one-third of the population to a rut in the side of the road and pretend that's going to help bring about all the change we want and need.

EDIT: Addressing the matter of the Conservative Party and impending "civil war" within the Republican Party, the title of the thread was, "Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party," not, "GOP divided over which way to go." This smacks more of the fights between "Deaniacs" and Kerry's moderate centrists than anything else. I don't see a new third party forming. Where are these "others" who once sheltered under the Republican tent and can no longer find solace with one of the two major parties?
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Dark Hellion »

Axis Kast wrote: The "main issue," as you put it, is that Republicans have a coherent vision for national improvement, clear assumptions about what this or that policy will bring about, and a slew of examples which they believe validate those expectations.
They do? Are you sure about this? Much of the infighting seems to suggest that there vision is not as coherent as you seem to be making it out. This is overlooking the bigger point of NO ONE has a coherent vision of national improvement, period, on any organizational level beyond the individual. This is because it is so damn difficult to achieve axiomatic coherence even from ridiculously simple axioms the second you step beyond a straight mathematical system and into any system that requires emotion and subjective feelings to be taken into account. Do you think there would be such huge arguments about things like morality if this wasn't true. Just look at the difference between Stuart's Utilitarianism and Mill's. These are same archtype of system from nearly identical axioms and they are still massively different. Or we can look at the Social Contract. Originally, when Hobbes defined it in "The Leviathan" he used it as a support for Absolute Sovereignty of Kings. Today, we use his same exact first premises and end up with an argument for socialism.

This is a very basic mistake to assume that two different people will arrive at a similar conclusion from the same first premises, especially when talking about social subjects, were hundreds of unspoken premises and axioms exist which can be vastly different from person to person. Simply because there is an idea of a framework of conservative thought does not mean that any number of conservatives will agree or even UNDERSTAND the framework they are in. You cannot simply assume that people with similar beliefs hold them for similar reasons or even for complex reasons at all. A majority of normal people hold beliefs that have never been analyzed and are held because of tradition, emotion or a subconscious piecing together of various information within their mind and that is the end of it. When it runs into a wall they can either reexamine their beliefs or rationalize them to themselves. One is clearly logical, the other is an avoidance of having to actually change their belief to fit what they have been presented with.

When you defend this rationalization you are effectively stating that you do not wish for your fellow conservatives to be held under the same standard of logic you would hold the opposition. You may not actually feel this way, but because you have rationalized it to yourself that this is only fair, you are in effect becoming exactly what you are claiming to despise; someone who forms a caricature of their opposition without understanding that they have deep, complex reasons for feeling that Republicans are "blind, racist poop-heads."
Axis Kast wrote:
In other words, it should be possible to engage them in argument. Too often, however, they are simply dismissed as "blind, racist poop-heads." This only reinforces their sense of victimization, which in turn helps sustain the idea that politics is always "for all the marbles." Later, members of this board can't understand why Republican voters seem to put up with slimeballs and their slimeball tactics. In part, it's because of the feeling that the ends will justify the means.

To put it simply, these people aren't cardboard cut-outs. There are ways to communicate with them, and that's exactly what we need to do as a nation if we are going to move forward with everyone in tow, rather than abandon one-third of the population to a rut in the side of the road and pretend that's going to help bring about all the change we want and need.
But communication is a two-way street. This is again something you seem to fail to realize. You act as if people haven't tried to communicate with them before. It makes no sense to attempt to engage in blatant manipulation of emotions to appeal to those who are unwilling to listen to reason. I would dare say that it is actively unethical to do so. When you have a section of populace who is unwilling to believe, regardless of argumentation that homosexuality has a genetic component and thus people don't just choose to be gay or that blacks and whites are are equally capable despite the massive scientific evidence that says so, what option are you left but to shame and outcast them?

To paraphrase an old movie "What we have here is a failure to communicate. This is what they want, so they get it." When you have populace who are simply not interested in changing their minds on a subject, regardless of what is said, there is simply no way to include them in rational society if said belief is clearly immoral (like racism or homophobia). This seems to be where you are getting a golden mean from that shouldn't exist. Sure there are Democrats with idiotic beliefs that they don't want to get rid of, damn the evidence. But the NIMBYs are an annoying impediment to progress, while anti-gay groups are actively immoral. This is a huge difference and they cannot be conflated to one another when talking about difficulties in changing hearts and minds. With a NIMBY you have a zoning headache for a new power plant while a Neo-Nazi simply does not have a place in modern society, they are an archaic growth of anachronistic beliefs who actively sabotage the political landscape if one necessitates pandering to them. While it may sound fascistic I would hope you can get the nuance that there are certain beliefs that are undesirable and should be stamped out in modern society and when the holders of these beliefs refuse to change, since we cannot morally stamp them out (here's the nuance if you missed it) then we can only isolate their ideas from society. If the belief has merit, you could not actually stamp it out, as rational people would still hold it, but a belief without merit will die.

No one is saying that Republicans cannot have a voice in the political process, there is always a necessity for conservatives simply because they add due diligence to the changing of law by questioning the change. They can also call back old precedent, utilizing modernizations of old systems which work better than current systems. The problem is when, as I would argue some of the GOP has become, the conservatives go from if it ain't broke don't fix it to the nothing's wrong here party. We then have the regressive wing of the GOP who are just straight-up moronic because they basically refuse to see the differences in society between eras and assume that bringing back prosperous systems will automatically work regardless of modern context. There used to be a chunk of the party that was actively acting as responsible conservatives, but they have become drowned out, and I would suspect that numerous of them are now identifying as independents because they feel they have lost control of their party to groups who are unwilling to listen.

In many ways this dispute within the GOP is the time when you can either prove yourself to be someone willing to listen to others, consider what they say, examine your own party and decide where to go from here; or you can prove yourself to be the obsequious and obfuscating little shit that most have you pinned for.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

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ray245 wrote:Where did you get those figures from?
Its a guesstimate. According to polls, about 17-22% of the population still identify as Republicans. If you look at specific issues, about 60-70% support liberal/progressive programs like a Public Option or Cap-and-Trade. If you look at a Generic Ballot vote, pretty much the only demographic still voting strongly Republican are rural white males. If you remember the support that former Pres. Bush had, he languished at 20-30% support. And so on.

Especially poignant is the support for a public option - despite the constant and massive trashing of it in the mainstream media and by the Republicans. It is a blatantly progressive program, and is still favored by a large majority. That is bad news for a Party rapidly contracting to a strongly conservative base.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Ma Deuce »

its a guesstimate. According to polls, about 17-22% of the population still identify as Republicans. If you look at specific issues, about 60-70% support liberal/progressive programs like a Public Option or Cap-and-Trade. If you look at a Generic Ballot vote, pretty much the only demographic still voting strongly Republican are rural white males. If you remember the support that former Pres. Bush had, he languished at 20-30% support. And so on.
Then explain how McCain finished last election with 46% of the vote, the Senate election ending with the Republicans taking 45% of the popular vote, and the House election 44%?
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Serafina »

Ma Deuce wrote:
its a guesstimate. According to polls, about 17-22% of the population still identify as Republicans. If you look at specific issues, about 60-70% support liberal/progressive programs like a Public Option or Cap-and-Trade. If you look at a Generic Ballot vote, pretty much the only demographic still voting strongly Republican are rural white males. If you remember the support that former Pres. Bush had, he languished at 20-30% support. And so on.
Then explain how McCain finished last election with 46% of the vote, the Senate election ending with the Republicans taking 45% of the popular vote, and the House election 44%?
Because more than this 30% voted for him?

His proposition is that, if the Republicans continue like this, they will reduce their voterbase to the real extremists - not the somewhat conversatives, but the white-supremacits, evangelists, burn-the-gay hatemongers.

He further claims that there people are about 30% of the voter base. Wether or not that is true is debatable (i would say it is smaller, but perhaps i am naive), but his proposition that such a reduction would reduce them to insignificance is certainly correct.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Ma Deuce »

His proposition is that, if the Republicans continue like this, they will reduce their voterbase to the real extremists - not the somewhat conversatives, but the white-supremacits, evangelists, burn-the-gay hatemongers.
Which is not an unreasonable prediction. However, unless I'm misreading him severely, he seems to be implying that this has already happened, which is most certainly not the case.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

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Ma Deuce wrote:Then explain how McCain finished last election with 46% of the vote, the Senate election ending with the Republicans taking 45% of the popular vote, and the House election 44%?
Two reasons: McCain was not a right-wing Republican. If one of their other candidates had won, Obama would have also won with a larger margin. In addition, the radicalizing of the Republicans only really took off after the Presidential election.
Which is not an unreasonable prediction. However, unless I'm misreading him severely, he seems to be implying that this has already happened, which is most certainly not the case.
No, Serafina has it right: It is a currently ongoing process. It has already happened to a certain extent (hence the large Democratic majorities in the House and the Senate, in State Legislatures, Governorships, and winning the Presidency), but it is not finished. IF the Republicans continue radicalizing, they will be further marginalized, until they are a rump regional party in the South and non-competitive nationally.

As an example, here is the generic ballot question from the Daily Kos/Research 2000 Weekly poll:

Code: Select all

Generic Congressional Ballot

QUESTION: Would you like to see more Democrats or Republicans elected to Congress in 2010?
  	DEMOCRATS	REPUBLICANS	NOT SURE
All			36		28		36

NORTHEAST	52		6		42
SOUTH		21		46		33
MIDWEST		39		25		36
WEST			37		28		35
If you look at the various questions, that regional breakdown is apparent everywhere: Huge Democratic support in the Northeast, slightly lower in the Midwest and West, and low support in the South. Republicans meanwhile enjoy large support in the South, low support in the West and Midwest, and are irrelevant in the Northeast.

Additionally, if you look at the Trendlines (Under Congress -> Generic Ballot), you can see that the Republicans never got above 30% since they started asking that question (the week of May 21, this year). Democrats dropped from a high of 44% (in June) to a low of 32% (in September), but have recovered slightly since then (mostly through consolidating support among Democrats).

This is actually something that is holding steady through all the various questions: Republicans have nearly unanimous support from Republicans (85-90%), but less and less people are identifying as Republicans.

The Democratic Party meanwhile lost a lot of support among Democrats, because they aren't delivering, occupied as they were with the Washington DC notion of bipartisanship (Cave in to Republicans). Since they started hitting back a bit, their support has recovered.

Note however, that the lost support for Democrats did NOT go to Republicans. Their support has been low and has stayed low. Net favorability (Favorable minus unfavorable opinion) of the Republicans in Congress has swayed between -50% and -66%. Net favorability of the Republican Party has swayed between -40% and -57%. Net favorability of the Republican Leaders (both Senate and House) has swayed between -30% and -55%.

What the numbers suggest is that people are sick and tired of the Democrats not delivering. Whenever the Democrats delivered or looked like they were delivering, their numbers rose. When they dithered and looked for excuses, their numbers dropped.

Republican numbers always stayed low.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by KroLazuxy_87 »

Does anyone else think that the moderate republicans of the GOP brought this on themselves at the wind up of the 2008 Presidential Campaign?(You know, the almost two years of campaigning that we thought would never end) The GOP knew they'd pissed a lot of voters off and so started playing to they're more conservative base, then when the economy started looking shaky, they really got desperate and made some very regrettable decisions.(aka Palin)

I'm in agreement that this is happening, and being a liberal leaning individual, can't say I'm all too distraught. I'm just wondering what you guys think started the GOP down this path towards this possible "civil war" within their party.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Instant Sunrise »

Looks like Limbaugh and the rest of the Right Wing Noise Machine are being their usual inflammatory selves:
Rush Limbaugh wrote:Scozzafava has screwed every RINO in the coun -- we can say that she's guilty of widespread bestiality. She has screwed every RINO in the country. Everyone can see just see how phony and dangerous they are.
Democrat Bill Owens, of all people, has come to her defense on that
Bill Owens wrote:"This despicable attack on Assemblywoman Scozzafava offends me personally and exemplifies exactly what's wrong with Hoffman and his right wing backers. Assemblywoman Scozzafava is an honorable public servant who has served Upstate New York as an independent and principled leader who always prioritized the best interests of Upstate New York ahead of a partisan agenda. Rush Limbaugh and the rest of the right wing special interests that are running Hoffman's campaign can't even begin to compete with what she has accomplished over her career."

"Doug Hoffman and his supporters have sunk to a new low today. There is no excuse for this kind of shameful rhetoric and Doug Hoffman ought to denounce Limbaugh immediately."
This race is getting more hilarious by the minute.

To be perfectly honest, if the right keeps up this crusade against RINO's we will probably see a GOP civil war maybe by 2010 and likely by 2012. Such a split would look something like the 1968 election with the 3rd party Wallace-LeMay ticket picking up the deeply regressive states that have led the pack with the tea parties and Obama-hate.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Darth Wong »

Axis Kast wrote:
The main issue with this is that whether or not the opposition notices the nuance of self-delusion because many people do vote on single issues. They may frame it in their heads in a way that allows them to justify it, but this doesn't make their action any less dubious within the framework of democracy.
The "main issue," as you put it, is that Republicans have a coherent vision for national improvement, clear assumptions about what this or that policy will bring about, and a slew of examples which they believe validate those expectations.

In other words, it should be possible to engage them in argument.
You act as if "them" is a uniform group. In structure (not that I'm saying they still support slavery), the Republican Party seems somewhat reminiscent of the Southern Confederacy in its heyday. You have ideological leaders who make arguments, you have business leaders who are quietly arranging things for their own financial interest, and you have a lot of ignorant foot soldiers who think that the ideologues' arguments sound real purty, don't entirely understand them, but do understand that there's "us" and there's "them". It is possible to engage certain Republicans in debate, however the foot soldiers are morons, and they're the ones clogging up Internet forums and websites. They're especially prevalent on general-interest venues such as news station feedback forums. Their religious contingent is also pretty much immune to rational debate.
Too often, however, they are simply dismissed as "blind, racist poop-heads." This only reinforces their sense of victimization, which in turn helps sustain the idea that politics is always "for all the marbles." Later, members of this board can't understand why Republican voters seem to put up with slimeballs and their slimeball tactics. In part, it's because of the feeling that the ends will justify the means.
See above. It is quite possible for all of these things to be true simultaneously.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Instant Sunrise »

Stay classy teabaggers...
NY Daily News wrote:It's getting ugly out there.

I just got off the phone with former state Democratic Chairwoman June O'Neill, who informed me the police had been called to at least two polling sites in St. Lawrence County due to overzealous electioneering (O'Neill called it "voter intimidation") by Doug Hoffman supporters.
"We've gotten reports that people are standing there, covered with Hoffman stickers and yelling anti-choice stuff at voters," said O'Neill, a St. Lawrence native who has been running the party's GOTV effort for Bill Owens in NY-23.


"Apparently, there's some woman claiming to be a commissioner," O'Neill continued. "Commissioner of what, I don't know. She's from Texas, I think, and she won't leave."

"This is not the way we roll in the North Country."


O'Neill also said she had received anecdotal reports of problems at polling sites in Gouverneur, which is Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava's hometown. But she couldn't immediately confirm this.

I called over to the St. Lawrence Board of Elections and got GOP Elections Commissioner Debbie Pahler on the line. She confirmed that the police indeed had been called, but she downplayed the incident, saying it's "a routine procedure here in the county."
"We had electioneering within the 100-foot polling marker," Phaler said. "It's my understanding that they were asked to leave and wouldn't leave."


"If people are electioneering within the marker and don't stop when we ask them to, our inspectors are instructed to call law enforcement to assist them. I don't think anybody was arrested."
Supposedly, the right wing chatter yesterday was that it was the Democrats who were going to try and intimidate voters at the polls. What that thing where you apply your own negative qualities onto somebody else.

Oh yeah, projection.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Dark Lord of the Bith »

Hoffman has conceded and Owens wins the seat.

http://www.wwnytv.com/news/local/69008277.html
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Darth Wong »

I wonder what effect this will have on Sarah Palin's political ambitions. She seems to be trying to engineer some sort of internal coup in the Republican party, and I'd imagine this proxy defeat will not help her chances at all.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Crossroads Inc. »

Darth Wong wrote:I wonder what effect this will have on Sarah Palin's political ambitions. She seems to be trying to engineer some sort of internal coup in the Republican party, and I'd imagine this proxy defeat will not help her chances at all.
I would say that she has no "practical" future in the Republican party political. I think this election showed something I had been rather skeptical about... that while the "Wackso" shriek yell and "appear" to be gaining control of the GOP, ousting moderates at every turn... That when it comes down to it the "GOP" are still firmly n control, largely because what they really care about is Power.

Basically I would say is the High Mucky Mucks in the GOP realize, perhaps to our dismay, that yes indeed, Letting the crazies take oevr would be a BAD thing, that a moderate Republican is still a Republican, and still a vote for 'their' side.

People liek Sarah Palin may be Darlings of the Far Right, and she may be useful at stirling up the wackos to get them to vote for something, but she herself will never have a real political future. I would say that those in the GOP are primarily about Power and Control... And I am willing to bet that, unless there already a huge support base, any other "third party" Conservative candidate will be either ousted or defeated in the main election.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Instant Sunrise »

Well, she did start her own PAC after the election was over.

MSNBC link
MSNBC wrote:In a sign Sarah Palin wants to continue to be a player on the national political stage, the Alaska Governor has started a new political action committee to raise funds, SarahPAC.

The PAC is registered in Virginia and is modeled after HillPAC, Hillary Clinton's former political committee. Palin's committee allows her to raise money for other Republicans.


According to the Web site, the committee will also support Palin's "plans to build a better, stronger, and safer America in the 21st century."

Palin continues to have a huge political following. As of noon today, she has 464,000 friends on Facebook.com.
Palin has been building a warchest of campaign funds to disperse to far-right candidates and she sees fit and without any oversight from the GOP. Palin, if anything, is only going to go along with the GOP if it's convenient. This election will show them that they almost get a 3rd party candidate elected if they don't like the GOP.

In all likelyhood, the Republican primaries for 2010 are going to be viscous with the wingnut candidates able to outspend opponents and still lose ground in the general.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by bobalot »

Hoffman, Sarah Palin and her fellow far right ideological douchebags managed to lose a district that has been Republican for decades.

EPIC FAIL.

Hoffmans excuse? ACORN was brought in to steal the election and his supporters tires were slashed.

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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Lord of the Abyss »

bobalot wrote:Hoffman, Sarah Palin and her fellow far right ideological douchebags managed to lose a district that has been Republican for decades.
In fact, I understand that the last non-Republican to hold that office...was a Whig. It's been Republican a long time.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by D.Turtle »

bobalot wrote:Hoffman, Sarah Palin and her fellow far right ideological douchebags managed to lose a district that has been Republican for decades.
Try more than a hundred years:
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As for the results: Let the Republican Civil War begin.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Instant Sunrise »

It's probably a good idea to look at why this failed.

The Republicans are running a top-down campaign that is built on national issues like abortion and gay marriage. What they neglect to push on are local issues that are key to these local elections. In this case, Hoffman went into a debate unprepared, when the questions were made available in the local paper the day before. D13 even points out that he had nothing to run on other than national wedge issues like abortion.

I have a feeling that the tea-party set is going to try to repeat this strategy next year and it will probably backfire horribly, losing more seats due to internal divisions, and at best gaining a handful of seats that still leaves them in the minority. I don't think it's going to be 1994 Mk. 2.
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Knife »

Hmm, I was listening to some pundits last night and apparently this district will probably be carved up and absorbed into the surrounding Democratic districts after the next census. While fun to watch, and great to have the bat-shit crazies knocked down, functionally it means little.
They say, "the tree of liberty must be watered with the blood of tyrants and patriots." I suppose it never occurred to them that they are the tyrants, not the patriots. Those weapons are not being used to fight some kind of tyranny; they are bringing them to an event where people are getting together to talk. -Mike Wong

But as far as board culture in general, I do think that young male overaggression is a contributing factor to the general atmosphere of hostility. It's not SOS and the Mess throwing hand grenades all over the forum- Red
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Darksider »

Why hasn't there been more coverage of this splitting and self-destruction of the local republican party on any of the news networks? Every time I turn on the T.V., even the "liberal" networks like MSNBC, it's all about how the dems lost virginia. Fox keeps hammering on about it being a "referendum on president obama" or some such crap. No one seems to be talking about this.
And this is why you don't watch anything produced by Ronald D. Moore after he had his brain surgically removed and replaced with a bag of elephant semen.-Gramzamber, on why Caprica sucks
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Instant Sunrise »

Well, the right wing noise machine is already hemming and hawwing about how the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial races are this "referendum on obama."

I wonder what they were saying about the 2001 election when the democrats won those seats. Let's take a look.

Mort Kondracke: "We have no way of knowing" how 2001 outcome would affect 2002 midterms. On November 5, 2001, Mort Kondracke commented: "I don't know what effect this will have on the 2002 election. And the 2002 election is -- could be decided on the basis of terrorism, and the fact that law enforcement -- the Republicans have an advantage in defense and law enforcement. And the Democrats, if it's a lousy economy, that may be the big issue. We have no way of knowing." Kondracke continued: "But the history of the matter is that in 2002 the chances are that the party in control of the White House will lose. It's almost -- lose seats, yes, in the House and Senate. In which case, the Republicans could lose control of the House." (Fox News' Special Report with Brit Hume, 11/5/2001; via the Nexis database)

Mara Liasson: "A handful of off-year elections can't be used to predict" outcome of 2002 midterms. On November 7, 2001, Mara Liasson said: "A handful of off-year elections can't be used to predict what may happen next year when all of the House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate is up for election. But last night Democrats proved they could run to the middle and keep their base in both a conservative state like Virginia and a classic swing state like New Jersey." (NPR's Morning Edition, 11/7/2001; via Nexis)

Dick Morris: "If you have a Republican president, people are going to vote Democrat, and if you have a Democrat president, they're going to vote Republicans." On November 6, 2001, Dick Morris said of the "two Democratic victories" in New Jersey and Virginia: "If you have a Republican president, people are going to vote Democrat, and if you have a Democrat president, they're going to vote Republicans. That's why the Republicans got 37 governorships while Clinton was president." Morris added: "[N]ow the Democrats are picking them all off because Bush is president. People want divided government, and that's what you're seeing, and that's what you will see in '02, a Democratic trend, not because they don't like Bush" (Fox News' Hannity & Colmes, 11/6/2001; via Nexis)

David Broder highlighted the difference between open gubernatorial races and congressional races with "popular incumbents." On November 6, 2001, David Broder said in an appearance on CNN: "The striking thing about these races was that Republicans did not have incumbents to run, and the candidates that they came up with as the successors that they hoped to elect were -- did not have nearly the breadth of appeal, not nearly the personalities of the people that they were trying to sec -- to replace." He continued: "And that carries some warning signs, I think, perhaps more for next year's governors' races where the Republicans will be in the same position, trying to replace popular incumbents, not so much in the congressional races where we expect most of the incumbents will be running again." (CNN's Greenfield at Large, 11/6/2001; via Nexis)

Michael Barone: "I don't think that the issues and personalities" in Virginia and New Jersey races "are going to be congruent with very many" races in 2002 or 2004. On November 5, 2001, Michael Barone said: "f you're talking about a harbinger -- are the odd-year elections a harbinger of the off-year elections and the presidential-year elections, I think the answer is, only to the extent that the issues and personalities are congruent." He later added: "I don't think that the issues and personalities in that race in Virginia or in New Jersey are going to be congruent with very many Congressional and House and Senate races in '02, or the presidential race in '04." [Special Report, 11/5/2001; via Nexis)

Laura Ingraham: "Both sides are going to spin this," but "to call this some kind of watershed moment against Republican views is nonsense." On November 7, 2001, Laura Ingraham said of the election results: "Both sides are going to spin this, Alan [Colmes], but to say -- to call this some kind of watershed moment against Republican views is nonsense." (Hannity & Colmes, 11/7/2001; via Nexis)

Darksider wrote:Why hasn't there been more coverage of this splitting and self-destruction of the local republican party on any of the news networks? Every time I turn on the T.V., even the "liberal" networks like MSNBC, it's all about how the dems lost virginia. Fox keeps hammering on about it being a "referendum on president obama" or some such crap. No one seems to be talking about this.
I'm really not surprised by NY-23 getting swept under the rug and the coverage of the VA and NJ governors races getting the lion's share of media coverage.

It's an unfortunate truth that the right controls the political narrative when it comes to how the media covers political issues. The opinion commentators will create a controversy, and then the news side is merely "covering the controversy." :roll:
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Knife »

Well, I'm of two minds. The two Gov. wins are important for moral for the GOPers, yet the retention of the Dem in California, and the pick up in NY strengthens the Dems in the national government while the governors do nothing in the national government. So, yeah, the GOPers have a couple more Governors to display and run some states (for good or bad) but lost ground in the Congress of the US where most of the important legislation we need will be had.
They say, "the tree of liberty must be watered with the blood of tyrants and patriots." I suppose it never occurred to them that they are the tyrants, not the patriots. Those weapons are not being used to fight some kind of tyranny; they are bringing them to an event where people are getting together to talk. -Mike Wong

But as far as board culture in general, I do think that young male overaggression is a contributing factor to the general atmosphere of hostility. It's not SOS and the Mess throwing hand grenades all over the forum- Red
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by D.Turtle »

Frankly, you have to look at the type of Democrats who lost.

You have the deeply disliked incumbent democrat in New Jersey who ran a campaign that consisted solely of attacking the Republican. And you have a blue dog democrat who is anti universal health care, anti cap and trade, anti immigration reform, anti labor reform running in Virginia.

Surprisingly they lost, because Democrats didn't turn out enough.

But hey, one can always hope that the Democratic leadership gets the message that "moderate" blue dog democrats can not expect to delay and attack and sabotage progressive Democrats' goals and still get their support. Frankly, the Democrat's have enough breathing space in order to purge some of the more extreme "moderates" and still retain their majorities.

As for this being a referendum on Obama (from the CNN exit polls: When only 20% of voters say their vote was meant to express opposition to Obama, the same amount say their vote was supposed to express support for Obama, and the remaining 60% say Obama wasn't a factor, then I'd say those elections weren't a referendum on Obama. But don't tell the Mainstream Media that...
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Re: Palin and Armey pull a Bull-Moose Party in NY House race

Post by Axis Kast »

Rather than a "Republican Civil War," look to the fact that third-party wins, even when they have the effect of "spoiling" a single election cycle, rarely translate to staying power in our two-party system. Instead, "flanking" maneuvers, especially against one's own party, select for, and influence, the issues that take precedence two, four, or six years hence.

The number of self-identified Independents suggests that the truth of Rove's perceptions earlier this decade -- that the margins, not the middle were where to look for voters -- may no longer be correct. However, the fact that moderates in NY went to the Democratic candidate and not their own moderate candidate suggests that the "cleansing" of the Republican Party will only strengthen the Democrats, not result in the establishing of a third, libertarian political organization.
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