Shroom Man 777 wrote:
Judging by the fact that it takes these ships six years to transit from Earth to Pandora, and that there's only one TINY mining outpost there, do you honestly see the RDA's operations on Pandora as being vital to providing for the entire planet Earth's all-pervasive super-addiction to some stupid rock that gets transported only in TINY amounts?
Before I go on, please note that I wasn't trying to argue that it
was going to be some humanitarian disaster if we didn't get it. Rather, my arguments were made in the context of the "what if?" scenario, where we were assuming it was as bad as if oil suddenly vanished. This was in turn based on earlier comments made by various people. So don't read into my comments as "well obviously it would be that bad because in the movie we saw _____", but rather "if this were at stake, then these actions should be seriously considered".
But since something interesting might appear out of it, I may as well crunch some numbers and see what comes out. Maybe we can settle this finally, one way or another.
The Venture star was the 9th ship in it's class, all owned by RDA, all dedicated to shipping Unobtanium back from from Pandora. A one way trip takes 14.5 "real years" according to Earth time, but with at least nine ships (possibly more, 9 is the minimum that must exist), that's a ~300 tonne shipment (350 tonne is capacity, it's mentioned that sometimes returning crew members are told to wait till next time so they can cram more of the stuff on. This figure is a guesstimate.) every 2 years or so. Since it's already completed one round trip, that's means that there has been at least 18 shipments (more in reality since the original ships in the class have been hauling since long before Venture Star was completed), yielding ~5400 tonnes of the stuff.
At the 20 mil per kilo value, that puts it at 108 trillion dollars of product over 14.5 years, or ~7.44 trillion / year of product.
2009 GDP for the whole world was ~57 trillion. If someone could adjust for inflation over the ~150 years between now and Avatar that'd be grand. At a guess, I'd say it's a significant portion, but I'm doubtful it would be in striking range of oil in '09 dollars.
If an "economic collapse" is like the economic "crisis" today where America's expereincing "hardships" but its standards of living are still lightyears ahead of the Third World and it's populace is still capable of living in relative comfort compared to other people, then this greater-evil lesser-evil bullshit is just that - bullshit.
Again, these comments are made under the assumption it would be like oil magically vanishing in terms of economic significance, because this line of reasoning from me originated from before it was brought forward that, in fact, we have no evidence to suggest it would be approaching that bad. So, no, far worse than the current economic situation.
No one's even expounded on the extent of the socioeconomic sideffects on Earth, yet even without that people are jumping at the notion of doing harm to helpless little people just for the "greater good". My ass.
Err, if we suddenly went into economic and social lockdown because a cornerstone of society suddenly collapsed, it's a bit worse than you're trying to make it out, and killing a few hundred Na'Vi in the process of moving them somewhere else to prevent that from happening may well end up being the lesser evil there.
As it happens, I've made a preliminary analysis attempt above.
Just because RDA has access to awesome space ship that can theoretically do terrible damage to a planet =/= RDA can have access to other weapons systems
Just because private citizen has access to awesome jet plane that can theoretically do terrible damage to American skyscrapers =/= private citizen has access to other weapons systems
No, I understand perfectly that having access to an antimatter-catalyzed fusion torch doesn't mean that you're allowed to have a bomber or what have you, except that it's more complex than that. First of all, we have no reason to believe they had the weapons banned - it never came up at all in the film or any supplementary materials that the gear the RDA had was restricted in any way by laws. In legal terms, if harm-minimization is the goal, then it's not as plainly- comparable to your analogy as you'd have us believe. Although proportionally it might be roughly correct, in absolute terms a makeshift RKV is completely and totally devastating. Granting someone an air-plane doesn't confer the same level of trust that granting them them a rocket that goes at 0.7 C does.
Likewise, they've already been granted access to helicopter gunships that aren't really all that far behind a strike fighter in terms of firepower. Once again, I
know this isn't irrefutable proof that they would be allowed to have them, but it would be mighty strange if they were explicitly forbidden from building them in-situ. We don't have evidence to suggest that they were banned, especially since a far simpler and more probable explanation exists - they didn't think to build them because they didn't think they would need them.
It can be, especially if you relocate non-technological people to a location where they have little or no resources and no idea how to cope with the local environment.
Well I'd hope that the RDA are a bit more humane than that
The majority of the Na'Vi did not live on that big vein of delicious gold. Or whatever it was that the space-imperialists were after. I imagine it's not the only spot on the whole planet that the Na'Vi can live at, and we know there are tribes scattered all over.
Oh, I forgot. The Tree of Souls that Quarritch wanted to bomb so that he could carve a hole in their racial memory was also the place where the Na'vi refugees - including the women and children - were taking shelter in. But that's also part of the lesser evil, right?
We all know that colonel cardboard was an unreasonable, irrational warmonger. His defining character trait was "being evil". Relocating the Na'Vi doesn't have involve bombing the shit out of the Soul Tree. It's not an all-or-nothing deal where we either side with the Na'Vi in the movie or the douchbag military in the movie. Alternate solutions are preferred.