And the Germans say "forget about it" with regards to a bailout.
Guardian link
Angela Merkel dashes Greek hopes of rescue bidGerman chancellor refuses to rescue Greece's ailing economy amid Berlin's domestic austerity
Ian Traynor guardian.co.uk, Thursday 11 February 2010 20.39 GMT
Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, mounted stiff resistance tonight to any swift bailout of Greece, as a rift opened up between European capitals over how best to tackle the risks posed to the euro.
Despite a show of Franco-German unity on the crisis and the first statement from EU leaders pledging to safeguard the currency's stability, hopes on the markets of a German-led rescue plan to shore up Greece's critical public finances were dashed by Merkel, who repeatedly emphasised that Athens would need to put its own house in order and brushed aside all questions of financial support.
"Germany is stepping totally on the brakes on financial assistance," said a senior EU diplomat. "On legal grounds, on constitutional grounds and on principle." Another senior diplomat said of the Germans: "They're not waving their chequebooks."
An EU summit of 27 government chiefs in Brussels was the first opportunity to tackle the Greek crisis and also send a strong message to the financial markets, which have been betting against the euro for the last week.
Following talks between the Greek prime minister, George Papandreou, Merkel, President Nicolas Sarkozy of France, and Jose Manuel Barroso and Herman Van Rompuy, the European commission and European council presidents, the leaders issued a statement aimed at restoring calm and voicing political support for Papandreou's programme of swingeing budget cuts and structural reforms.
The statement said the 16 EU countries who use the single currency, including Greece, "will take determined and co-ordinated action, if needed, to safeguard financial stability in the euro area as a whole." That was seen as a strong political signal to speculators that the big euro economies such as Germany and France would act persuasively to restore confidence in the currency.
But there were no promises of funds for Greece and the statement emphasised that "the Greek government has not requested any financial support".
The European currency and the eurozone's stock markets gave a lukewarm reception to the outcome of the summit. The euro lost 1% against the dollar to $1.360, while the Dow Jones Stoxx 50 Index lost 0.7%. The major French, German, Spanish and Italian indexes fell by between 0.5% and 1.6%.
"This is little more than a sticking plaster at this stage," said Neil Williams, fixed income chief economist at Hermes Asset Management. "What is needed is a credible programme to help all the dominoes, not just one, and this takes time."
Merkel and Sarkozy held a joint press conference after the summit to demonstrate Franco-German unity, but that masked fundamental differences over how to proceed.
"France and Germany cannot agree on anything," said a Brussels official. "They are not always on the same page."
Berlin and Paris have been at odds for the last week through several rounds of negotiations, with the French, backed by the Spanish, seeking a solution through lending to Greece. But Germany and the European Central Bank (ECB) took a hard line, arguing that the bigger risk to the euro's stability came from bailing out a profligate member state which has notched up a budget deficit of almost 13% and a national debt of nearly €300bn.
The split meant 16 finance ministers could not agree a common position before the summit. "Germany cannot justify its taxpayers having to finance the lovely lives of the Greeks," said a senior diplomat.
Rather than bailing out Athens, Berlin is insisting on rigorous policing of the Greek austerity programme by a triple force from the commission, the ECB and the International Monetary Fund, an exercise never attempted in the eurozone.
"We recognise our responsibility for the stability of the eurozone," said Merkel. "Greece is not demanding any money from us."
The three will judge, initially in March, whether the Greek programme is being implemented "credibly, realistically and effectively", German officials said.
Merkel said this was the best way to assuage the markets. The parallel is with Ireland which has responded to a similar public finance crisis with savage spending cuts, public sector wage and pension cuts and restored market confidence.
Merkel's tough stance reflects her awareness that voters could react angrily to having to contribute to a bailout at a time of tough budget discipline at home.
Berlin also argues it has scant scope for manoeuvre legally as the German constitutional court would be likely to rule, under the terms of the Maastricht Treaty setting up the single currency, that Germany cannot come to the bilateral aid of a single currency country in trouble.
The European strategy that emerged tonight was one of wait, see and hope. The Greek government does not need to raise any money until the end of March at the earliest.
Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the ECB, complained that the Papandreou medicine was not strong enough, and he was supported by Berlin in demanding tougher action by the Greek government.
Papandreou has pledged to slash the ballooning budget deficit by 4% this year alone. Merkel made clear that this would be taken as the measure of success and that the commission, central bank and IMF experts would need to hold the Greek prime minister to that pledge.
Meetings of eurozone and EU finance ministers next Monday and Tuesday are to deal with the details of the European strategy, but these are more likely to focus on how to police the Greek austerity package than on bailout plans.
And her coalition partners are on the same page
Bloomberg link
Merkel’s CSU Ally Says ‘Not a Single Euro’ for Greece (Update1) Share Business
By Rainer Buergin
Feb. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Germany must resist supporting Greece with taxpayers’ money because granting aid would invite other indebted euro-region countries to emulate Greece, said the leader of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Bavarian allies.
“We are the stable currency party,” Horst Seehofer, who heads the Christian Social Union, one of three parties in Merkel’s coalition, told a rally in the southern city of Passau today. “That’s why we’re helping Greece politically; but not a single euro must go there.”
Seehofer, who is also the prime minister of Bavaria, said Greece’s financial woes risk damaging “the stability of the European currency.” The euro traded at $1.3645 as of 5:09 p.m. in Berlin, down from $1.3770 after climbing to $1.3788, the highest since Feb. 11.
European finance ministers meeting in Brussels Feb. 15-16 turned up the pressure on Greece to rein in its deficit and refused to specify potential aid measures, as the Greek government said it was ahead of schedule on its budget targets.
Greek government bonds rose today, as the extra yield demanded to hold Greek 10-year debt instead of German equivalents declined for the first time in four days.
‘Consciously Flawed’
Merkel faces opposition to any move to provide aid for Greece from her Free Democratic Party junior coalition partner as well as from Seehofer’s CSU. Carl-Ludwig Thiele, the FDP’s financial-policy spokesman in parliament, said Feb. 11 that Germans “can’t be expected to pay for the consciously flawed fiscal and budgetary polices of other euro-zone countries.”
Germans won’t rise up in protest if their government helps Greece cover its deficit, Manfred Guellner, head of the Berlin- based Forsa polling company, said in a phone interview yesterday. Threats by her coalition partners to block aid to Greece are “posturing” and “not credible.”
Greece’s troubles are “making people aware of the danger of big deficits,” and that may help Merkel swing the economic- policy debate in Germany away from Free Democratic calls for more tax cuts toward budget consolidation, Guellner said. Merkel can use Greece as “a case in point.”
Merkel is scheduled to deliver a policy speech to party members in northern Germany near her electoral district at about 6 p.m. today.
Greece needs to sell 53 billion euros ($72.6 billion) of debt this year, the equivalent of about 20 percent of its GDP, and faces bond redemptions of about 8 billion euros on both April 20 and May 19. Officials in Athens have committed to reduce the budget gap from 12.7 percent of gross domestic product in 2009 to 8.7 percent by the end of this year.
‘Considering Support’
Officials in Germany are “considering support” for Greece that would come “under strict conditions and if the Greek government undertakes far-reaching state reforms,” Michael Meister, financial-affairs spokesman for Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union, said Feb. 9.
Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble told lawmakers the next day that options for helping Greece extend beyond loan guarantees, according to a lawmaker who attended the briefing in Berlin and spoke on the condition of anonymity because the briefing was private. Schaeuble told reporters he had “no intention to participate in speculation.”
Spanish Finance Minister Elena Salgado, whose country holds the rotating European Union presidency, told reporters in Brussels yesterday that, if necessary, “Greece will receive whatever aid it needs from the members of the European Union.”
A team of officials from the EU and the European Central Bank will travel to Athens in coming days to “verify the implementation” of budget cuts, Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said.
This is going to be messy.
