The Duchess of Zeon wrote:...Any engagement started by aerial visual identification of the target is virtually guaranteed to result in the target that is attacked not actually being what it is identified as, to this day, since there's no way to improve the human eyeball against sitting in a vibrating contraption at altitude and angle to what you're going after. The misidentification in short is the perfectly understandable part of this event and basically an inevitable fact of combat air support.
Very true, which is one of the reasons I think that part of the problem is the doctrine and rules of engagement. In a situation where groups of civilians with perfectly legitimate reasons to move around and carry equipment are going to be mixed in with the guerilla types who are carrying weapons, does it make sense to say "OK, we'll have gunships orbiting over the city and clear them to shoot anyone they tell us is carrying a weapon?" Given that the past hundred years are rife with cases of an air attack hitting the wrong target, or hitting something that isn't a target at all, or hitting the first thing they see without even bothering to
consider whether it's the target... this may be an unavoidable problem that needs to be taken into account by occupation forces.
Of course, there's a problem with that:
The Duchess of Zeon wrote:The quicker you kill the enemy the safer your buddies are. The ROE follows the Geneva conventions: Winning with the minimum possible civilian casualties. It would be impossible to use air support with an ROE which prevented this kind of mistake.
This presents us with an either/or choice:
-Prevent air support from killing random unlucky people who are mistaken for enemies, at the cost of making it useless, or
-Allow air support to kill random unlucky people who are mistaken for enemies, while giving it ROE that make it useful.
Now, I'm not going to assert that there's an intermediate range of options. I'm just going to ask: is there? Because this kind of thing is a really serious dilemma. The propaganda effect really hurts us. Is there
no solution, no "be a little more careful," no "don't just wishful-think your way into shooting up people you can't see clearly?"
Maybe not. If so, then we may never be able to occupy territory without becoming the villains of the piece in the eyes of the world, because there's no way to do it consistent with not getting our own soldiers killed. If so, then we need to take that into account in future wars, as an article of faith: any nation building plan that requires a prolonged occupation of guerilla-infested territory will lead to a slew of incidents where our forces kill random unlucky people because they got mistaken for enemies. And this will
predictably interfere with our ability to convince people in the occupied country of our good intentions, and
predictably harm our international standing, no matter what we do or say while protesting our honorable motive of protecting Our Boys.
Sound reasonable?
____________
Aside from that, I think some of the people on the "don't blame the helicopter guys as much as D.A. wants to" side are misunderstanding the arguments against them.
Mr. Coffee wrote:So nevermind that Corporal K just showed "hey it's a giant fucking grey area"...
Now, I don't actually disagree about the "no evidence to support they did it on purpose bit." But I do disagree with the "giant fucking gray area" bit, because the bit DA was actually talking about (Article 18) isn't. It goes:
"Art. 18. The military authorities may appeal to the charity of the inhabitants voluntarily to collect and care for, under their direction, the wounded and sick, granting persons who have responded to this appeal the necessary protection and facilities. Should the adverse Party take or retake control of the area, he shall likewise grant these persons the same protection and the same facilities.
The military authorities shall permit the inhabitants and relief societies, even in invaded or occupied areas, spontaneously to collect and care for wounded or sick of whatever nationality. The civilian population shall respect these wounded and sick, and in particular abstain from offering them violence.
No one may ever be molested or convicted for having nursed the wounded or sick..."
Now, we can argue that the Iraqi guerillas aren't covered by the Geneva conventions (mostly on account of not carrying insignia recognizable from a distance). So it is
possible to interpret this as a non-violation. That it's perfectly all right to shoot someone who runs to the aid of someone who you've decided is an Iraqi guerilla after they are wounded. And to shoot the van they rode in on.
But that's lawyering the passage pretty damn far, I'd say. Especially when your identification of the first guy as an actual guerilla is kind of questionable because you did it from a helicopter a long way away. Why is it worth the effort to do that much lawyering in this case?
On the other hand, I think some of the people on D.A.'s side of the line are pushing it a bit.
Plekhanov wrote:These aren't some ultra vulnerable infantry guys within easy range of small arms but circling above in armoured gunships, they could have looked a little harder and longer without being "vulnerable to the kind of tactics that belong in bad movies".
Yeah, they could have. Then note the moment when they thought one of the guys was carrying an RPG. While AK fire will almost certainly not cause major damage to an Apache, an RPG can blow through it like it was made of cardboard. And there is no reason to expect them NOT to have RPGs if they're armed at all.
They got the identification wrong in the first place, but their real mistake was
assuming guys carrying stuff with straps were carrying weapons. Once they had made that mistake, all their other actions followed predictably from the premise that the group was armed. So while I do blame them for the whole incident, because of their interpretation of a grainly elongated blob as an automatic rifle or a rocket launcher... I don't blame them for not coming in closer
after they made that interpretation.