Aranfan wrote:Appeal to Authority? I'm giving an example of someone, specifically a scientist, assigning a positive truth value to counterfactuals. How is that at all a fallacy?
For starters, he's a CHEMIST. History isn't even his specialty!
Second of all, if I'm an authority on a subject and you are an authority on the
same subject, how are we supposed to decide who is right and who is wrong? We look at the evidence and make logical arguments and try to convince each other (like we are doing right now). If an authority talks to someone who
isn't an authority, he must be willing to do the same if the person cites a differing opinion from another authority.
The only way to have the Law of Non-Contradiction is to appeal to intuition, same with the law of identity. The only way to have Empiricism is to appeal to intuition that you can trust your senses.
Bullshit.
The "predictions" made about the past in alt history cannot be true under the correspondence definition because they are not what really happened.
Stop with the wall of ignorance tactics, please. Both Surleth and myself have already explained what the correspondence theory of truth
actually says about this: the correspondence is to the real entity that
could have existed, as long as its existence is not
impossible we can make true or false claims or predictions about them. Hence, we can assess the truth value of an alt. history hypothetical the same way we assess any other claim or prediction: by looking at the evidence i.e. the facts.
What would be a test of empirical epistemology then? How could one falsify empiricism?
If the predictions made using empirical evidence were no better than chance, produced results that were consistently inconsistent, or were otherwise utterly useless (in the sense that its useful to be able to find food with your senses, tell the difference between a working machine and a piece of junk, and avoid dangers to your life like fire and moving vehicles) then you might be able to falsify it and its use.
If I assert their truth on my own authority as you have done with these so called counterfactuals? Then no, you can't. You could, however, actually read the evidence yourself and assess it on its own merits and possibly decide I'm right or wrong, whatever the case may be. Next question.
You are saying that I am wrong, implicitly that you know more about this than I do, that you are a greater authority than I am.
I am explaining how I would tell if you were wrong, lying, or bullshitting. I would go to the source, the facts. Whether or not those counterfactual statements you made are in fact true isn't what is at stake here: its whether or not they represent a challenge for empirical epistemologies or the correspondence theory of truth. And yes, in that sense I do think you are wrong. You have no idea what those philosophies actually
say, you just keep asserting that counterfactuals are a problem despite my repeated explanations to the contrary.
So you say. Possibly others say so as well. Yet you said not to take people's word on stuff, that applies to how stuff works as well.
No it doesn't. You can actually see that stuff in operation with your own eyes, despite never having been in the laboratories that created them. You don't have to take anyone's word for it. In the same way you can test the theory of gravitation by throwing yourself off a bridge (not that I am suggesting anyone try this, mind you!)
The point is that you are surrounded by the successes of empirical epistemology in your every day life and use it unconsciously all the time. The fact that you are still alive
and talking to me over the internet is evidence enough that it works. Whereas Plato's Theory of Forms has produced nothing, and does nothing to help you live your life.
I believe General Relativity and Quantum Mechanics to be close approximations to the real world, yet I have performed no experiments and only have the word of others that my computer runs on QM principles.
Actually, what's funny is that they
are only close approximations. "Truth" in modern epistemology and science is like an asymptote. You can approach it but its impossible to ever have perfect certainty, even about the past. But by constantly refining your models you can come so close that the distinction doesn't really matter.