From what I remember, when one of the dams was found to have a flaw they built another one as well to handle the pressure, but they're filling up so fast and unexpectedly due to the previous years of drought that it's come as a surprise. Recently the
Hinze dam had its wall raised, but some sites are reporting the dam system as a whole is expected to reach 200% of capacity, and its never been at 100% before.
I doubt any of the dams will break, but if they do the CBD will probably be underwater. The current floods expected are due to deliberate releases by the dam authority
Wivenhoe Dam
Upstream levels are rising quickly as a result of significant heavy rainfall. The objective for dam operations will be to minimise the impact of urban flooding in areas downstream of the dam.
Releases through five gates have been held at around 236,000 megalitres a day since early Monday night 10 January as a result of outflows into the Brisbane River from the Lockyer Creek and Bremer River.
If further rainfall occurs, dam releases may need to be increased further.
Somerset Dam
Water is being released into Wivenhoe; however the amount discharged can change as conditions change. Levels in Somerset are expected to continue rising.
Areas around Kilcoy are likely to be impacted as a result of the rising dam levels.
Leslie Harrison Dam
Gate releases are underway due to rainfall and inflows.
North Pine Dam
Five gates are open, releasing around 15,000 megalitres a day and will continue until at least Wednesday 12 January.
The local Council is being kept informed regarding Youngs Crossing.
Hinze Dam
A minor release of around 1200 megalitres a day is being made through the emergency gates. There is no public access to the spillway.
'Grid Twelve' is the water system for SEQ.
Storage Full Supply Capacity (ML)* Current Capacity (ML) % Full Latest Observation
Grid Twelve 2,070,504 3,196,381 100.0 11/01/2011 09:05AM
Atkinson Dam 30,488 30,488 100.0 11/01/2011 08:07AM
Dam is spilling
Baroon Pocket Dam 61,000 61,000 100.0 11/01/2011 08:59AM
Dam is spilling
Bill Gunn Dam 6,947 6,947 100.0 11/01/2011 08:14AM
Dam is spilling
Borumba Dam 45,952 45,952 100.0 11/01/2011 06:30AM
Dam is spilling
Bromelton Dam 8,210 8,021 97.7 11/01/2011 08:59AM
Cedar Pocket Dam 730 730 100.0 11/01/2011 07:53AM
Dam is spilling
Clarendon Dam 4,276 16,842 69.4 11/01/2011 08:44AM
Cooloolabin Dam 13,800 13,820 100.0 11/01/2011 08:06AM
Dam is spilling
Enoggera Dam 4,567 4,567 100.0 11/01/2011 09:01AM Dam is spilling
Ewen Maddock Dam 16,587 16,587 100.0 11/01/2011 08:53AM
Dam is spilling
Gold Creek Dam 801 801 100.0 11/01/2011 08:57AM
Dam is spilling
Hinze Dam 161,073 161,073 100.0 11/01/2011 07:00AM
Dam is spilling
Lake Kurwongbah 14,370 14,370 100.0 11/01/2011 08:34AM
Dam is spilling
Lake Macdonald 8,018 8,018 100.0 11/01/2011 07:00AM
Dam is spilling
Lake Manchester 26,217 26,217 100.0 11/01/2011 08:59AM
Dam is spilling
Leslie Harrison Dam 24,868 24,062 96.8 11/01/2011 09:00AM
Releases from storage.
Little Nerang Dam 6,705 6,705 100.0 11/01/2011 09:05AM
Dam is spilling
Maroon Dam 44,319 44,319 100.0 11/01/2011 09:00AM
Dam is spilling
Moogerah Dam 83,765 83,765 100.0 11/01/2011 09:01AM
Dam is spilling
North Pine Dam 214,302 225,607 100.0 11/01/2011 09:00AM
Releases from storage.
Somerset Dam 379,849 610,740 100.0 11/01/2011 08:00AM
Releases from storage.
Wappa Dam 4,694 4,694 100.0 07/01/2011 13:25PM
Wivenhoe Dam
1,165,238 2,049,705 100.0 11/01/2011 09:00AM
Releases from storage.