I hate entering complicated threads, but I have a very simple point to make. This is my interpretation of the Sea Skimmer View:
American problems with Iraq:
- Potential conventional military threat some time in the future.
- Saddam's track record makes this potentiality a high risk.
- Iraqis starving, Saddam's dictatorship is cruel.
American options against Iraq - consequences:
1. Nothing - Immoral but legal (morality system: some suffering-based utilitarianism). Iraqis continue to starve and suffer in the long term. ~50 000 deaths per year.
2. New sanctions - Immoral but legal. No substantial effect, past alterations totally disastrous due to corruption.
3. Invasion - Moral but illegal. Iraqis die and suffer a lot in the short-term, but better in long term. American reputation down the drain (America now considered an aggressive threat to anyone not currently allied with it, who sees itself as above the law, fueling terrorist self-justification, etc).
Legality: There was a de jure end to First Gulf War, after successful UNSC-approved expulsion of Iraq from Kuwait. However, there was a de facto ongoing low-level war which means 'war never really ended', thus invasion has a chance of being legal, from a certain POV.
Conclusion: Option 3 is best.
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Applying that to North Korea:
American problems with North Korea:
- Potential
nuclear military threat RIGHT NOW. Has nukes, tends to fire missiles over Japan every now and then.
- Korean reunification (and a war against the U.S. expelling its presence from South Korea) is actually a matter of openly stated public policy, and has been for many years. This makes this potentiality an
extremely high risk.
- Norks starving, Kim Jong-Il's dictatorship is cruel.
American options against North Korea - consequences:
1. Nothing - Immoral but legal. Norks continue to starve and suffer in the long term. ~300,000-800,000 deaths per year. [1]
2. New sanctions - Immoral but legal. No substantial effect, been going on for years with miscellaneous tinkering.
3. Invasion -
Moral and legal. Norks die and suffer a lot in the short-term, but better in long term. American reputation FURTHER down the drain - etc etc.
Legality: since no peace treaty, actual
de jure war still ongoing +
de facto war with border incidents is also still ongoing. Invasion both moral AND legal.
Conclusion: Option 3 is not only morally justified, it is much more justified than Iraq. Further, America is not only morally obligated to invade, but its failure to do so since the 'end' of the Korean War is actually a grave moral wrong. It would be a grave moral wrong for the U.S. NOT to invade North Korea as soon as possible, and this guilt should weigh on Americans' minds.
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Is this an accurate interpretation? I'm not really interested in arguing about relative costs/gains/harm/etc, I am interested in whether the proponents of the Sea Skimmer View are consistent, and thus consider the second conclusion to be true. (Or whether I have miscompared the above points somehow).
[1]
Ongoing Nork famine.
In 1998 US Congressional staffers who visited the country reported that: "Reliable sources estimate that of North Korea's 23 million people, between 300,000-800,000 people have died each year (peaking in 1997) as a result of the food shortages." They went on to say: "Other estimates of the death toll by exile groups are much higher."