Geodd wrote:I really doubt it's 1015 millisieverts/hour, that's shit-your-pants, Chernobyl firefighters numbers that you just wouldn't see without significant damage to the reactor core.
Actually... Chernobyl was worse, in large part because it went on for
days before they got it under control. Chernobyl also spewed reactor core pieces all over the neighborhood, in this case the radiation source is still very localized. I'm sure the peak reading at the Fukushima plant was a factor in the seawater dump into the reactor, but it was a
peak reading - it wasn't that high before, nor as high after. Unlike Chernobyl, which required days of firefighting, this one was put down pretty much as soon as they went to seawater cooling.
But yes, you are correct - those are serious readings which, no doubt, is a reason for the current expansion of the evacuation to 20 km around the plant. With prompt and proper action no one is likely to die from a
brief exposure to such levels, but neglect of the situation could be tragic.
It is also pretty certain there WAS damage to the Fukushima #1 reactor core with even the limited data available at present indicating core temperatures in excess of 2,000 C. At least a partial meltdown did occur according to official statement by the Japanese government. Well, that also happened at TMI, a partial meltdown. The thing is, both Fukushima and TMI are very different reactors than Chernobyl was, and the Fukushima and TMI varieties are not as prone to blowing radioactive graphite through the roof when the cooling system breaks down.
I think we also need to keep in mind that the situation in Japan is still quite chaotic. We don't know exactly what's going on there, what prior and subsequent radiation readings were, or a great deal of other information that would be relevant to the situation. We're dealing with limited information filtered in many cases through the media.
Perhaps, with other reactors in Japan also having difficulties, they might be more inclined to use the seawater dump sooner if other reactors show similar signs of impending meltdown. Yes, it trashes the power plant, but at this point preserving human health and reassuring the public might be worth a couple more power plants if it gives the population confidence that even in extreme circumstances nuclear power can be managed. For darn sure, after this week Japan will become the world authority on dealing with earthquake and tsunami damaged nuclear power plants. The experience will have been costly, but going forward having the knowledge may save other lives in the future.