I will note that for Japan, they were already slaughtering Chinese people and using them for human experimentation well before the US started trying to use economic sanctions against Japan: the Rape of Nanking happened in 1937, the US started sanctions in July 1941.Destructionator XIII wrote:Like I said, I don't like sanctions, but it is something they considered at the time. And the Depressions limited the option there because we were leaning toward protectionism anyway, which actually contributed to the war. The big difference between sanctions and protectionism though is the other side might be able to end the former with a deal. With the other countries closing exports for their own purposes, you might see war as the only way out.Akhlut wrote:Yes, economic sanctions against one of three/four nations on the earth that was managing to somehow avoid the effects of the Great Depression mainly through internal actions. I'm sure that is going to work out in a stunning manner.
So, it turns out that the sanctions were too little, too late, and probably wouldn't have had the desired effect anyway.
"Success is the important thing. Propaganda is not a matter for average minds, but rather a matter for practitioners. It is not supposed to be lovely or theoretically correct. I do not care if I give wonderful, aesthetically elegant speeches, or speak so that women cry. The point of a political speech is to persuade people of what we think right. I speak differently in the provinces than I do in Berlin, and when I speak in Bayreuth, I say different things than I say in the Pharus Hall. That is a matter of practice, not of theory. We do not want to be a movement of a few straw brains, but rather a movement that can conquer the broad masses. Propaganda should be popular, not intellectually pleasing. It is not the task of propaganda to discover intellectual truths. " - GoebbelsWith the truth.So, how do you propose on combating their already well-established and highly polished propaganda arm?
"But the most brilliant propagandist technique will yield no success unless one fundamental principle is borne in mind constantly and with unflagging attention. It must confine itself to a few points and repeat them over and over. Here, as so often in this world, persistence is the first and most important requirement for success. " - Adolf Hitler
Don't get me wrong, I do think the truth if a most wondrous thing, but the Nazis were hiding behind what they believed the truth to be and were more than willing to spill blood over their perceived truths. The best way and the way to least suffering to stop them was to bloody them first.
After the Mongol conquests, trade seemed to flourish quite well as former barriers were broken down, allowing for new trade to expand.Trade isn't caused by invasions.Or it could have convinced them that the other nations were too weak to stop them and they'd be willing to invade more.
And had they lost some battles in 1938 with an Anglo-French invasion over the occupation of Czechoslovakia, those resistance elements would have been proven right and Hitler's regime would be on thin ice, if not thrown out of office entirely.In the real world, there was some resistance inside the German army before 1939, which was struck a big blow when Germany actually won some battles early in the war. They got what they wanted, and it didn't cost them much. This helped to solidify Hitler's support.
All of which would have been easier with a Western Front after the occupation of Czechoslovakia, a most decidedly military solution, not pacifist solution.If Poland repelled the German invasion militarily, that would have probably been the end of Hitler. Or, if trade was doing ok and the economy was picking up, then they launch the invasion and get cut off. That may well have also led to a coup.
Yeah, but Britain had the power to force the Arabs out of Palestine; who had the power to force the US to trade with Nazi Germany or Imperial Japan?Yes, of course, the other options are non-options. Asking someone else to make our concessions would be like using holocaust guilt to force hundreds of thousands of Arabs, who had nothing to do with it, out of their homes to make room for a Jewish state. That's utterly ridiculous.And where would you get these materials from? The US's own flagging economy?
Also, unlike Palestine/Israel, how many options were there to German or Japanese invasion in the laste 1930s?
Or we just could have gone to war earlier to stop Japanese aggression in Asia. :vThe US economy was recovering throughout the 1930's, and we could use the foreign trade as another kind of demand stimulus.
We were able to mobilize to build tanks and guns for the war, after all.
Not Czechoslovakia?I don't like the idea of a preemptive invasion, though I could perhaps accept improving the military defense of Poland or France.
The UK and France both could have acted against Nazi Germany after the Munich Agreement or the invasion of Czechoslovakia and they just sort of sat on their asses for fear of repeating WWI. Turns out, had they been prepared for WWII to be as bad on them as WWI, they would have been pleasantly surprised, as the UK and France had less than half the deaths as they received in WWI, while simultaneously preventing over 26 million Soviet deaths. And this is assuming that in a war with Germany in 1938 was as much of a problem for them as one in 1940, especially considering that prior to the Pact of Steel that brought Italy into an alliance with Nazi Germany, Italy was willing to ally itself with the UK and France.Still let Hitler make the first invasion, but get enough shit there to see to it that his invasion fails. (With a little luck, that could deter the invasion too, though it could also provoke it earlier... which might itself throw Hitler off base.)
Turns out that inactivity in hopes of utilizing pacifistic means of avoiding warfare and slaughter contributed far more to the largest slaughter of humanity the world has ever seen than an early, straight-forward military action would have.
Humans are imperfect and can make poor decisions? Shocking. :vThat's kinda the point: humans often aren't qualified to do a consequentialist analysis. We get it wrong, a lot. Hell, we can't even be sure - look at this discussion, can either of us actually say if Plan B would definitively have been better or worse than plan A, considering its outcomes are unknown? What about a Plan C neither of us even considered?Except that torture doesn't actually produce any results like that, and most people who go to war rarely do a good analysis on the outcomes; hell, as a 17 year old high school kid, I could have told you that going to war in Iraq in 2003 was just going to result in a large insurgency and more terrorists for no discernible reason.
Seriously, though, if you're going to use that argument, then by extension, you should be constantly paralyzed by indecision as you go through Plans A-Z x 10 ^10^10^10.... You would lose all initiative as you must consider every conceivable option available to you. Thus, like most things in life, one must approximate and make the best decisions with the best available information. Sometimes, those options will be shitty and you have to choose the lesser of two evils lest you be paralyzed by no decision and end up with an even worse outcome than by doing something, though it may require some pain and evil outcomes.
Like with pacifism?We might be able to isolate some variables in retrospect, and maybe use that to predict the future, but that's fucking hard, and people will get it wrong. Worst of all, they might be confident in it anyway.
And? That's true of everyone, pacifists included.This has happened again and again. It isn't that these people don't believe that the consequences of an action determine right or wrong... they do believe that, making them true consequentialists, but they are either incompetent or just tragically wrong about what those consequences will be, over and over again.
I can make the same exact argument for nearly all philosophies: people will inevitably fuck it up and hurt other people. Unless you cleave to an oblivionist sort of philosophy stating all humans should be exterminated, one has to accept that people are going to screw things up and make poor choices from time to time. Throwing out the baby with the bathwater solves nothing but to paralyze one with indecision based on fear that somewhere, somehow, something may be fucked up.A true consequentialist must renounce that philosophy based on a consequentialist principle of risk management. If you allow it, people will believe it, and they will get it wrong.