Knife wrote:
Manning was part of the military and intelligence organization, his treatment was regulated by military UCMJ, Assange isn't. Assange would be in Federal court and in Federal detention, if the US charged him and got him extradited.
Essentially the boils down to - Manning was tortured, held under detention for ages without charge, but he is military. Assange is a civillian so he won't be treated in such a manner. Despite of course enemy combatants being treated in such a manner and released after the US found out that they were just civvies and they got the wrong people. Forgive me for saying so, but I dare say if any other geopolitical rival, say NK, China, Russia, Iran wanted an equivalent of Assange and someone used the same type of argument, no one would find it convincing.
Knife wrote:
That being said, while I agree there are probably plenty of people in the halls of power that would 'want to get him', I've seen little movement of the actual government, and those departments that would be responsible, to get him. One country asking for a heads up when and if the US goes for him is not proof of anything. Come back when the DOJ or State Department start making claims on his ass. There is a difference between individual politicians or bureaucrats wanting him as a private or even professional opinion, and the actual Government wanting him.
Two points here.
1. You essentially want to have a bet each way. The US does not have to guarantee it won't want to extradite Assange, because it might at a future date, but Assange is not allowed to respond to this threat, by calling for US guarantees / seeking asylum etc. Or rather he is not allowed to respond to this threat until its formally made, by which point arguable it will be too late to call for US guarantees, and most probably too late to seek asylum.
2. Such a high standard of "proof" is not required nor applied to any of America's geopolitical rivals. Keep in mind of course leaked
diplomatic documents already show "informal discussions have already taken place between US and Swedish officials over the possibility of the WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange being delivered into American custody"
Lets do some word substitutions here.
US=> Iran
DOJ => Ayatolla
State departmnet => Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
wanting Assange => wants the bomb
investigations into Assange => work on a nuclear reactor
Frankly if we applied the same standards, no one could say Iran wants the bomb unless the Ayatolla or the President OFFICIALLY says it. We both know that isn't the case. So why is such a high standard of proof required for Assange?
Now I am not saying Iran should or should get the bomb, but I am asking for the same standards to be applied to Assange. If the US can act on Iran without them officially admitting wanting a nuke based on the evidence, then Assange is frankly entitled to act on fears the US wants him when the US has investigated him, informal talks have occurred about extraditing him (see above link) etc, and when you yourself admit its a very real possibility in the future.
Knife wrote:
Of course Assange has a reasonable fear the US and it's not because he is worried we'll rip his toenails out, more like he'll be charged and a probable chance of spending a large chunk of time in US prisons. That's reasonable, but people concocting these conspiracy issues about UK to Sweden to US Guantanamo for fingernail removal is ridiculous. Assange would be an instant rock star, high profile lawyers, riots in the street, people with ridiculous ribbons on their car, the whole shabang. Acting like Mr White is just waiting for him in the dungeon is ridiculous. And even then, I assume Assange is more worried about a Swedish prison than a US one at the moment.
The first part I think I addressed above. The second point about Assange's celebrity status protecting him - I do agree it will afford some protection. However would you take that chance? Or would you prefer extra precautions like not ending up in US custody in the first place. Apparently even Assange is not arrogant enough to think it will.
Knife wrote:
Hmm, if you want to go that route, I demand proof that the Egyptian incident is common enough to actually be a reasonable fear. How many people get extradited from Sweden in a reasonable time frame and how many of those where sent off to be tortured?
Thats a bit hard, when you don't say how common it must be to be proof that its a reasonable fear. If you want more than one times, then I can't provide it. I can however point out a few things.
1. I am sure you can come up with Country A who did a bad thing and has been put on shit list B, and people expect them to repeat the action, even though they have not done so for years even in a similar situation. Now what they did was pre 2006, yet we still expect them to do it. Yet Sweden only did this in 2006 and we are automatically expected to test the waters so to speak.
Now people like Magis would say, this is fucking Sweden, not some totalitarian shithole. Ok fair enough. Then they can submit to the same standard, and they should come out with flying colours.
BTW, if you can't think of a country that fits this criteria, then I will give you one next post.
2. Chances of a fair trial are already suspect when the Swedish prime minister has stirred up public animosity
a.
Assange has been charged, when he hasn't
b.
Other prejudicial stuff against Assange when he hasn't been convicted yet
3. Extraditions from Sweden to the US have a high success rate. The only times they failed to extradite, was when Sweden failed to locate the person of interest, otherwise it always went to the US. Which by the way, would help Assange's contention that it is harder to extradite from the UK.
Linky
Never apologise for being a geek, because they won't apologise to you for being an arsehole. John Barrowman - 22 June 2014 Perth Supernova.
Countries I have been to - 14.
Australia, Canada, China, Colombia, Denmark, Ecuador, Finland, Germany, Malaysia, Netherlands, Norway, Singapore, Sweden, USA.
Always on the lookout for more nice places to visit.