The Presidential race was never close--Romney was losing all year long and never did he have an electoral path that was anywhere near as favorable to him. The raw popular vote breakdown doesn't especially matter in the Presidential election since you cede 80% of the states to begin with so you don't even try to boost turnout in those. These sorts of things impact Democrats much more than Republicans because the typical GOP voter is by nature much more likely to vote without encouragement.Straha wrote: You are looking at too narrow a picture. The Republicans had some of their best results since 1950 at the State level. Their message appeals to a broad base of the populace, they lost the popular vote in the house by a couple percentage points and the vote for President by a relatively tiny margin To put it bluntly, the republicans still have the support of well over 40% of the voting populace. With that level of support and the structural foundations that support the de facto two-party system inside the US there can be no existential threat to the Republican party, and the Republican party doesn't need to shift away from its old "big tent" strategy; if the Republican party had tailored its message to win over 2% of the voting populace we'd have a Mormon President right now. It's just a question of fine-tuning.
I really don't think you can say that Romney going into election day a 10:1 underdog (At least according to Nate Silver's formula which I'm inclined to give credence to) made this race at all competitive, especially given that this election on paper should not have been good for the Democrats. The GOP by all rights was supposed to at least have an even shot of retaking the Senate...instead they lose 2 seats. House seats should have been a net gain given the Gerrymandering but instead saw a loss of 8 seats. By all accounts the GOP got their clocks cleaned.
40% of the population will ALWAYS vote for one party or the other, that's just the way this stuff works. Even in ridiculously one-sided races you don't expect anything above a 20-point victory which is exactly what 60-40 support works out to.This is what irks me about this discourse. When you can get 40+% of the voting populace to vote for your candidate you are not "clearly out of touch with people". Jill Stein? Clearly out of touch with the populace. Virgil Goode? Ditto. The GOP? Clearly in touch enough to remain a dominant (and with democratic incompetence the dominant) party inside the United States.
We have a two party system in the US which means someone votes for one party or the other and most people tend to make up their minds early. The things that should scare Republicans is that typically they have made up for their reduced numbers (Registered Democrats nationwide have a decent sized average in registered voters but not necessarily in voters that show up) by having high turnout and ironclad unity but this path the GOP is on is not only going to alienate more of the middle, but it has a good chance of peeling away voters who fit the "California Conservative" model of fiscal conservatism and social liberalism. On one hand the GOP continues to pander to the culture wars but guess what: they aren't even fiscally responsible anymore! It's not fiscal responsibility to hold up a bill with no room for compromise because of petty politics and personal pride.
Worse yet, their actions have started energizing the Democrat base instead of the reverse. There's a reason why the culture wars ultimately became a losing game for the GOP to pursue on a national stage: these wedge issues are bigger turnout boosters for the Democrats than the GOP (since as I said before the Democrats usually need more of a reason to show up and vote than the Republicans) and are thus ultimately unproductive.