Broomstick wrote:The concentration in the water is also dependent on how quickly the metabolite is broken down in nature. If the breaking down is slower than the addition of more metabolite the chemical will increase in concentration over time. In other words, this might not be just cocaine piss, but an accumulation of cocaine piss from a couple centuries still lurking in the water.
Ah, now
that is very interesting... although in that case, what sample technique are you using, such that the water you sample gets all the extra metabolite that comes
in, but none is carried out... oh wait, I think I see.
If the metabolite doesn't break down in nature, then
the entire ecosystem is full of the stuff. Except then you wouldn't find it in rainwater or aquifers very much; it'd get washed into the ocean over time and 'new' water reentering the water cycle from springs or rain wouldn't contain any. In which case how would it end up concentrated in any specific part of the drinking water system?
Irbis wrote:Simon_Jester wrote:On the other hand, maybe I'm wrong about the percentage of treated urine in the wastewater, and it is more like 10%. In which case Britain's water supply is being used so thoroughly that just providing drinking water to the population uses a double digit percentage of all available water supplies in Britain... which is alarming.
Guess who tops
density list if you exclude all micro-states. Only 2-3 other big nations have more, all in SE Asia.
For comparison, USA has 32.3,
13.3 times less.
Thing is, the amount of water that runs through toilets is only
a modest fraction of total household water use, and only a relatively small fraction of
that is urine... and that's only household use and I'm not even counting other applications such as industrial water use.
Put this way: average urine production for a healthy human is about 1-2 liters a day. With 56 million people in England and Wales, I'm going to estimate something like 80 million liters of urine being produced.
By contrast, roughly
14.5 billion liters of water are used by English and Welsh consumers, total. And even that is only supposedly about 10% of the total freshwater resources of England and Wales.
So we can tentatively estimate that 145 billion liters of water are introduced to England and Wales each day, and 80/145000 or about 0.055% of that is urine.
So assuming for the sake of argument that the treated urine ends up mixed evenly into all water supplies throughout Britain (as opposed to only appearing downstream of a waste treatment plant), then a random sample of the water supply will be 0.055% urine by volume. If something is a one part per million constituent of the average person's urine, and is not removed by sewage treatment processes, then it will be a 0.00055 part per million constituent of the British water supply. Or 0.55 parts per billion, if that's easier to parse.
So if 20% of all Britons were heavy cocaine users,
and this metabolite were a 1 ppm constituent of their urine,
then we would expect to see a concentration in the water supply of roughly 0.1 ppb.
Note the 'worrying' part; I said
20% of all people in Britain.
Looking at Grumman's abstract, the
peak concentration in a cocaine user's urine is around 75 ug/mL, or (75*10^6) nanograms per liter. It's being found in the British water supply at a concentration of four nanograms per liter.
So if all cocaine users were continuously at their peak dosage, and if 2% of the British population were using cocaine, then... 1.6 million liters per day of addict urine (not a pleasant thought), times 75 million nanograms of cocaine metabolite per liter, equals 120 kilograms of metabolite introduced to the water supply a day.
The article says that levels in the water supply
after treatment are a quarter what they were before, so around 30000 grams of that should be getting through treatment... mixed into a total British water supply of 145 billion liters.
Interestingly that gives us a figure of
two hundred nanograms per liter, fifty times higher than the reported result. Of course, I'm assuming that all cocaine users have at all times a level of metabolite in their urine equal to the peak level, which means I'm probably overestimating by at least an order of magnitude what the expected concentration ought to be. Probably two.
Hm. Well, I'm not sure I should be surprised then; my back of the envelope calculation indicates that things should be far worse than they really are. Sorry I didn't math it out sooner.