will baghdad be like stalingrad?
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will baghdad be like stalingrad?
or like paris?
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Re: will baghdad be like stalingrad?
Probably a lot more parisian. The majority of the Iraqi army is conscripts and I doubt they'll be willing to fight to the death for Saddam Hussien.Enforcer Talen wrote:or like paris?
Somewhere in between, leaning towards Paris. Stalingrad had pretty much everyone fighting the Germans, whereas Paris had only a few stalwart defenders. I expect a lot of Republican Guard opposition, but I doubt Joe Iraqi is going to be harassing the Coalition forces much.
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The key difference between Baghdad and Stalingrad is this: The troops guarding the "City of Peace" will be composed of demoralized ad hoc units put together from retreating army soldiers, and some Ba'athist partisan militia, who might be tougher morale (doubtful, when they showed for solidarity just before the deadline, they started to disintegrate within hours) but are minimally trained and armed.
The people supposedly guarding Baghdad may be more dangerous to Saddam than us. They know they can't win, so they might try to buy some mercy by grabbing the rulers and then surrendering.
The people supposedly guarding Baghdad may be more dangerous to Saddam than us. They know they can't win, so they might try to buy some mercy by grabbing the rulers and then surrendering.
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I don't even think the Republican Guards will put up much resistance. Once Saddam is dead or deposed, they have no reason to protect him. It's far healthier for them to simply surrender and get a good position in the new government, since the old one is guaranteed to be toast.
Hell, the CIA has even been calling Iraqi generals on their cell phones and E-mailing them with surrender offers. I wonder if they use smilies in their E-mails.
Hell, the CIA has even been calling Iraqi generals on their cell phones and E-mailing them with surrender offers. I wonder if they use smilies in their E-mails.
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This is a big deal, even though it isn't that many troops. What it shows is that an entire division, soldiers and officers, is unwilling to fight for Saddam. It's rather rare for this sort of thing to happen, except in special cases (mass encirclement, national collapse), and with this happening without the division in question being significantly engaged, we can see that defeatism is VERY strong in the Iraqi army.Montcalm wrote:Well apparently an Iraqi commander has surrendered along with 8000 of is troops maybe more will do the same.
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It sounds like several other divisions may be surrendering completely.
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Maybe. But until a bridge is across the Euphrates I wouldn't be too optimistic. Supposedly a Republican Guard unit is on the far bank of one of the crossing sites. Around Basra a brigade of the Iraqi 6th Armored Division has given in, and the rest may be following. I can't recall the name of the other unit.
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Pablo Sanchez wrote:The key difference between Baghdad and Stalingrad is this: The troops guarding the "City of Peace" will be composed of demoralized ad hoc units put together from retreating army soldiers, and some Ba'athist partisan militia, who might be tougher morale (doubtful, when they showed for solidarity just before the deadline, they started to disintegrate within hours) but are minimally trained and armed.
.......How is that different from Stalingrad again?
Remeber, the Russian army was at the end of it's tether, fighting for a person they didn't psarticularly like, when Stalingrad occured.
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Re: will baghdad be like stalingrad?
Paris.Enforcer Talen wrote:or like paris?
Didn't they use a pair of bridges to cross the Euphrates already?Maybe. But until a bridge is across the Euphrates I wouldn't be too optimistic.
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But the Russians were willing to fight their attackers. I'd wager most of those Iraqis are being made to fight and would just as happly surrender. They aren't going to lose their country unlike the Russians so there just isn't the motivation to fight a messy urban war to the death.Lonestar wrote:.......How is that different from Stalingrad again?
Remeber, the Russian army was at the end of it's tether, fighting for a person they didn't psarticularly like, when Stalingrad occured.
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What was that quote about the Republican Guard?
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Republican Guard will fight a little harder. They're still totally outclassed, outgunned, and outnumbered.
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