Q99 wrote:Sure, but we'd need *far* stronger subs than modern ones, so I'm not sure about cost, and you'd regularly lose plenty. Jaegers were only considered cost effective when they didn't die.
You mean like the multiple submarines that have already been as deep as the rift or deeper? Yes, they aren't military submarines designed to fight at that depth, but it isn't as if we don't know how to make things survive at those depths. If you throw the need for running quietly out of the window you can also do away with a lot of the design constraints modern submarines deal with.
Uh, no, I'm claiming that Jaegers were badly outsped by Kaiju underwater and were much more disadvantaged beneath the water than above, and could not actually intercept Kaiju at all, they had to wait for the Kaiju to attack them.
If the Kaiju were so fast, why were the Jaegers always able to intercept them? The Kaiju should have been able to disengage at will and strike a target on the other side of the Pacific while the Jaegers would be caught entirely out of position. So either the Kaiju can sprint for short distance at high speeds, but have a far slower sustained speed, or the Kaiju and their masters are some of the worst military minds anybody can conceive of.
Which is it?
I'm just saying one supertech does not imply another. Which of the known-super advances implies great underwater speed?
The power plant able to move a multistory tall walking robot, the incredible increases in computing power needed to link pilots within the drift, the materials science that could, depending on the exact properties of the materials discovered, allow for lighter but string skins on planes, tanks, and submarines. Perhaps some combination of the above.
Would you mind showing your work on the scaling done in that scene? Could you also show the scene in question, I'm not taking your frame counts at face value.
Also, please show that Kaiju are able to sustain that speed for any length of time.
We have Scunner- slower than Raiju, also swim from Gipsy, at known-survivable distance from the 1.2 megaton nuke, to Striker, ground zero of the nuke, in a single scene which I haven't timed.
Show your work on scaling, time, and distance covered.
The boat scene in Alaska also had the radar have Knifehead travel over a mile in the time it took to speak a line of dialog.
Prove it.
10-minute is just a guesstimate. How far one would want to be from a nuclear explosion isn't set, after all.
You don't get to be this wishy-washy on your numbers. Prove that a submarine would have to be stationed as far out as you claim.
The 'wall' is really the pointless expense there....
'Subs + Jaeger' seems more sensible.
So you concede that the funds for a proper combined arms approach do exist.
We didn't see high tech proliferate though. The material science and power source, yea- but those are big and expensive.
That doesn't matter. DARPA would have access to this technology as would other top military and civilian research facilities. So the people that need the tech to design things other than Jaegers already have it. If they didn't the Jaegers never would have been created.
On not knowing? Sure, but if your plan is highly reliant on the portal working a certain way, that just means you're maybe talking a coin flip.
We actually do know that it doesn't interact with matter in any violently destructive way. We don't see it flash boiling water or causing any effects that would cause concerns for concrete, steel, etc surrounding the rift.
Try actually looking at the fucking movie next time you scrub.
They went from 'beaten down by a prototype,' to 'acid-shooting to counteract a foe's heavy armor, having extra limbs to counter a foe's extra limbs, and taking multiple plasma caster shots to take down instead of one.' Knifehead, they were honestly surprised it took more than one hit. Leatherback, they fired a bunch, then did more just to be on the safe side. Otachi seemed fairly obviously designed to take down Crimson and Cherno specifically.
Yet in the end they all still failed. They lost to the very things they were designed to counter. They were still vulnerable to the exact same weapons they were at the start.
This doesn't exactly bode well for them adapting to high velocity impactors.
Also, EMP. That's a very meaningful adaptation.
It would also be a worthless adaptation against a non-movie military.
Finally, Mutavore looked like a battering ram. Possible anti-wall design?
Proof? You can't just keep begging the question, doing half the work needed to prove a point, and expecting me to let it slide. Put up or fuck off.
Sure, until it gets to the point where it does. That's the big worry, eventually it stabilizes and does stay open either permamently or extended periods.
It's not as if the plug wouldn't be watched, and damned closely. We'd have a good idea of when it's going to fail. Also, depending on the energy patterns given off by the breach it's entirely possible that we could monitor it regardless of the plug being in the way. After all, we could figure out pretty damned accurately what it was doing through miles of water.
And then when they get through, you don't know when and you won't have much experience with Kaiju or warning just how many are coming out.
The Kaiju also won't have much experience with us. Given how slowly the adapted to Jaegers, and how poorly they did so, that's more of an issue for them than it is for us.
That doesn't look like a movie still to me. I'd like you to show a count from the movie.
Newt also talked about the extermination wave, and how everything so far was just scounts.
Any proof that he was correct in his assumption?
'Rings'. Nah, you need domes, water's three dimensional. Hundreds to thousands of mines to do something like that. Every time one detonates, you have to replace most of them, and there is a hole until you do, they do not work on multi-events. Nukes are individually cheap, but how long can you replace them at that rate?
Rings, domes, it doesn't much matter. The idea would be to place mines in the best pattern to kill Kaiju without losing your investment when you have to use them. Only you would place your mines in such a way that they would blow themselves up uselessly in common useage.
Surface fleet is likely gonna costs more than Jaegers if they take high casualties. Considering how ill-suited they are to defend against attacks from below, I'd cut that step out entirely and put more budget elsewhere.
You have subs covering the surface fleet. The surface fleet is needed as a missile launch and spotter plane platform. The fleet can also act as bait. If a Kaiju wants to come up from the depths to slag a ship, that opens it up to your hypersonic missiles, which means a dead Kaiju. If the Kaiju learn to ignore the surface fleet it gives humanity an easy place to strike from.
2:18
Also I think Scunner swimming to Striker was probably over a mile, but that's just guesstimate.
Please do the actual math. I'm not taking you word on this.
Even if you can match speed, hitting something with something only-around-as-fast isn't exactly easy, and if you lose your super expensive subs and don't get kills, you'll be at worse economics than a more expensive thing that works.
Super-cavicating torpedoes, while obviously makeable, also come with a certain range limits as well, so long range chase is difficult.
Has humanity ever seriously tried to make longer range versions of these weapons? Right now they're a luxury, a nice thing for your fleet to have, but aren't exactly a war winner.
Plus, active design factor. If they're facing subs, then the Precursors will make more "Knifeheads" and "Raijus"- sleak, fast swimmers- and fewer "Leatherbacks" and "Scunners" - brute tough ones.
That's a win for humanity. It means they're weaker to the shore defense and interceptors.
Jaeger were in the same league on land. In the water, less so, definitely not in speed. Jaeger walked, Kaiju swam.
Yet the Jaegers still won against the best Kaiju to date, at the bottom of the ocean. Why are you claiming that dedicated underwater craft are a poor idea again?
The Kaiju *could* disengage by going back into the water, but the Jaeger had enough number for coverage for awhile (background material says that while Gipsy was at Anchorage, Romeo Blue was at Seattle in case it turned south), and can re-deploy at air-lift.
The Kaiju were, after all, scouts meant to test and destroy our defenses (according to Newt), with wrecking havoc on our industry only half their mission.
So the guys controlling the Kaiju were stupid?
They could have used hit and fade tactics, wasted resources, and massed Kaiju on the ocean floor giving them unexpected two or three on one odds to kill the Jaegers with. They could have faked out humanity by not sending a Kaiju through the breach each time it opened and thus hiding their strength, drawing humanity in with this scientific curriousity and then sending a wave of Cat 5's through to start the war .
But they didn't, because they're straight up too stupid to fight a war.
State-of-the-art non-jaegertech sub can be up to 8 billion. Most expensive Jaeger is 100 billion.
Once again please show your work for what exactly went into the 100 billion dollar price tag.
Consider that the F-22 program ran up a 66.7 million dollar budget when designing a thing we've already designed plenty of. Also consider the current cost of the F-35 program which was 1.3 trillion dollars as of the 25 May 2015 in
this report. Now please go ahead and tell me that you buy a Jaeger costing 100 billion dollars with development factored in.
One dozen for *modern* state of the art sub vs the cost of Striker.
Your numbers are wrong.
To get them ready for Kaiju fighting, you're going to have to upgrade the cost significantly. Better armor, I assume, because you don't want them imploding if a Kaiju just taps it and you need better to go deeper. Better power, better propulsion.
I don't know how many submarines you'll be able to get per Jaeger, but definitely not dozens. You've got most of the major components of a Jaeger right there.
So you're conceding this point right? You haven't shown a baseline for the cost of a Jaeger, you refuse to give an estimate of how many subs you think could be built per Jaeger, and throughout this thread you've failed to show you numbers for basically anything.
The main fatigue issue is gonna be maintenance more than people's need to eat or rest, I'd think. Plus you don't want something that can be taken out by signal loss, that's a potentially exploitable vulnerability, or even just bad luck, since that'd require wires.
Hence why you have multiple tenders, some sort of default attack patterns programmed into your drones, and manned subs as a secondary line of defense.
Not that hard- duck behind the nearest building after leaping onto the shore, and let it take the hit.
*laughs* You're pretty dense aren't you?
Even assuming a baseline Sprint missile dodging isn't going to happen. Here's a quote about the Sprint missile, "The Sprint accelerated at 100 g, reaching a speed of Mach 10 in 5 seconds." Using a the simple formular of distance = 1/2 * at^2 this means that the missile can travel 24 kilometers in 5 seconds.
Are you seriously claiming that this isn't fast enough to catch a Kaiju? Especially when they fail to react to simple punches and sword strikes.
It at least temporarily shut down the Jaegers and Jaeger HQ, in a bunker.
I don't actually think you know shit about EMP or EMP hardening. You might want to look at real life plans for dealing with EMP from nuclear weapons...
That building a breach plug is more technically challenging, and still suffers the same problem.
Do you even understand the technical issues with building a multi hundred meter wall around the entire pacific?
Leatherback's EMP's effectiveness is demonstrated.
Against the tech shown in the movie. Tech which no real life military would have let get past the drawing board. Just because stupid monsters can beat equal stupid tech doesn't mean that EMP magically works against competantly designed military hardware.
Jesus fucking christ you're the posted child for the Dunning Kruger effect.
And, conceded you can get stuff that just sinks down there with modern tech, but things that can swim around and do stuff? That needs better than we've got.
So none of the expeditions sent to the bottom of the trench have moved around or has "done stuff"?
Admittedly most of the vessels puttered about at a top speed of 3 knots, but they did move around and collect samples. That means that we could use current technolgy for mundane tasks like maintenance of mines, placement of sensors, and such.
Fleets of subs, planes, and surface ships have maintenance, storage and repair costs as well, and *replacements* from higher casualties will drive costs up.
Please, go ahead and show your work. First for the costs of the Jaeger program, with a price comparision so we can peg the value of the currency used, and then show how my plan would cost more. You're making the assertion, now show your fucking math.
How are you gonna get dead kaiju into the net in deep water?
You drag the net along the bottom. I'd figure that the term 'drag net' might have tipped you off to that idea.
Not 'doomed,' but, y'know, a lot more city destruction, and if you're trading cities for kaiju, that's not exactly great if your selling point is 'cheaper than Jaegers'. Repair cost is part of a cost-analysis benefit too.
You only assume city destruction because you've failed to account for just how mind numbingly fast mach 10+ actually is.
Rods from God is another good weapon that's not too anti-Kaiju- it takes time for something to go from orbit to ground, obviously, and they can't significantly adjust course on the way down. Indirect hits won't kill. Saturation is probably needed. Also not so good against flying Kaiju.
They work just fine when you know when and where the Kaiju are coming from. You just point your rods at the breach, let your scientists tell you when it's going to open and fire your volleys at that time with some adjustment for margine of error. You can also fire them along the Kaiju's route because these giant ass monsters aren't exactly hard to track and have been shown to bee-line for targets even when changing routes would be advisable.
The lone kaiju kill underwater were done by letting a Kaiju run into a sword.
Your point being? Even in their element the Kaiju failed to stop the mission.
Sure, but, set a mass fire in a city? The cost of however many tons of chemicals? More expenses on the cost-effectiveness chart.
You're again making a bad assumption that the Kaiju even reach the city... but in the worst case it's probably easier just to napalm the area and quarantine it than to send in clean up crews as they did in the movie.
Come now, that's a bit childish, just because I didn't already do the math you turn to insults? I'm not always good at eyeballing numbers, but you can still respond civilly when someone just *doesn't know something*.
*looks to the banner at the top of the page* "Get your fill of sci-fi, science, and mockery of stupid people."
Please shut the fuck up about my being polite and produce actual math.
And there is the rather significant factor that I don't know the cross-section of the blade of the sword, or even the mass (there's some official numbers, but they are rather bunk on the light side considering the things don't float like corks, and Jaegers flat-out sink). The total energy can be estimated and I'll do that, but how much is hitting X amount of space, I don't know.
So you don't actually know and your best math is going to be a total asspull... This ought to be interesting.
Again it does depend on what you mean by 'work'. Do damage, certainly, but one-hit kill? A lot dependent on where it hits.
Please show your work on this point. Prove that these missiles can't get a kill based on what we see in the movie.
Lesse, going off of Raiju's charge speed, and.... ok, Raiju's neutrally buoyant or close to it, right? Raiju's 104 meters long... I'll just call Raiju a 40-meter sphere as dense as water if tucked into a ball because I'm lazy and bad at calculations.... 273,974 tons.
I get... 2608 gigajoules. Which, of course, was enough to cut it in half. So yea, that much obviously works with energy to spare.
Yeah, I know you admitted your mistake below, but you fucked up your math here by an order of magnitude.
Now, assuming Gipsy slashes with the mass of a 20-meter sphere of water behind it (so this would not be putting it's whole weight behind an attack. Though unlike Raiju, Gipsy sinks, so maybe this is conservative? Whatever), at 60 m/s (number complete guesstimate), that gets me... 60 gigajoules. Which could represent the stab to Scunner's head which failed to penetrate through. Having to rely on some guessing here.
Please prove your math for the claimed speeds involved as well as show your work for energy imparted by the sword.
It's also worth noting that you've failed to account for give in the arm holding the sword which lessens your energy transfer by a large degree.
Note that Slattern took a 1.2 megaton nuke- or 5,020,800 gigajoules- and survived. Or however much of the blast it absorbed, which is a sizeable fraction of that.
Please show that the effects from the movie match the real life calculations as to the effects such a nuclear device would actually have at such depths. I'm extremely skeptical that the effect we see looks anything like 1.2 megaton nuclear warhead going off.
The screenwriter and writer of the prequel comic says it took 3 nukes to kill one of the early Kaiju, Trespasser, but those would certainly be no more than KT nukes. KT starts at thousands of gigajoules and goes up.
Are any of those things canon? Nope, so they don't count.
It flies to another city and causes thousands of deaths and hundreds of billions in damages before the anti-kaiju attack squad refuels and catches up again.
Please show that the Kaiju have ever done this.
And will these heavy ordinance be able to hit it while flying at all? They aren't designed to hit mobile targets that can rapidly change elevation, after all. Well... if designed for anti-kaiju use they'll have to be more precise than modern super-heavy missiles if they want to hit even a running target.... hm.... gonna think about that one.
A sprint missile is only 3,500 kg, so going purely by weight, a B-2 could carry 15 of them, 9 in the bay and 6 on external hardpoints. Good luck dodging the dreaded mach 10 missile Mr. Kaiju.
Um, are you asking for proof that toxic stuff can be slow-acting....? Really? I think burden of proof is on you on the excluded middle there.
If it's slow acting that makes clean up nice and easy. However based on what we see in the movie it either isn't that toxic, or the effects are easily mitgated, otherwise you simply wouldn't have people next to a corpse in anything less than full hazmat gear.
Tendo's grandfather (Tendo being the coordinator on the radio with the pilots) died a few hours after exposure in the prequel comic.
The comics don't seem to agree with the movie in this case. Thus we throw them out.
The punches never actually kill them from what we see, it's always just to stun them while they set up the finisher, which are volleys of oversized missiles
The punches clearly do enough damage to warrent the Kaiju blocking them. Ergo, these punches can harm Kaiju that are adapted to fight Jaegers.
Missiles that don't carry the energy of the Sprint missile which you're claiming won't work against them. Which is it, can Kaiju dodge a mach 10 missile or are missile effective against them?
or slow-charging plasma cannons hooked up to oversized nuclear reactors.
Slow charging and slow moving, yet oddly enough the Kaiju still don't dodge it.
How energy is delivered matters a lot- a famous fencing instructor notes it takes less force to kill someone with a blade than it does to open a stuck door, and yet people can survive multi-floor falls.
No shit sherlock. I'm well aware of overpentration, hit placement, and force concentration. That tends to not matter so much when you attach to warhead to the end of your pointy bit.
Swords, well, see above calcs.
Your calcs are shit. See above.
Burden of proof. We have come up with some ways to make things go fast over short distances in water- super cavication- but here you're asking for an assumed supertech different than the ones we've seen.
I'm willing to entertain the idea, but which of the known techs discovered in that time frame would solve the underwater speed problem? The walking/movement stuff wouldn't, superheated sword wouldn't, plasma *probably* wouldn't, and the super tough materials wouldn't.
If you can come up with a solution using something at least close to implied by the movie, that's ok. But if you argument is, 'one supertech, therefore another,' that doesn't follow.
You always seem to ignore the advance computing that they have making accomplishing all other tasks easier.
Still just from the movie techs super materials would likely reduce weight, advances in chemical technology should enable denser energy storage to power a propulsion system even if the power sources used in the movie can't scale downsmall enough to fit in a fesible torpedo casing, advances in computing allow for more accurate and faster modeling or torpedo performance thus saving money and time on testing. Those are just the obvious ones.
I think this is a deflection into details.
It really isn't. As shown above the F-35 program cost an inflation adjusted 1.3 trillion dollars in May of this year. I simply don't buy your assertation that the Jaeger program cost as little as you claim it does in 2013 USD. Hence my demanding proof for these claims as well as a baseline purchasing power of the movie's dollars.
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Without knowing the value of these dollars and what costs are included in the reports (versus the costs burried in other programs or written off as general military spending) I'm not buying your numbers.
Looking over my calc numbers for Raiju's mass, I realized they're way high- radius vs diameter mixup. Like I said, I'm not good at this ^^; For a 40-meter across sphere of raiju (rather than a 40 meter radius sphere, which is what I actually had), it'd be 34,246 tons. Which at Raiju's speed, results in a more sensible- but still significant- 573 gigajoules to slice it in half.
You still haven't actually shown your work on this. We need numbers for the Kaiju's mass and velocity at impact, the weight behind the sword and it's speed, how much energy is lost due to the flexing of the arm during the sword's impact, and some estimate for the edge thickness of the sword and the sword's stiffness. Even as a ballpark figure you haven't proven the velocity of the sword, nor the mass behind it.