The Sisko wrote: ↑2024-02-20 09:41pm
Broomstick wrote:As for "not touching people not in the country anymore" - you might want to ask Zelimkhan Khangoshvili, Ruslan Israpilov, Abdulvahid Edelgiriev, Umar Israilov, Alexander Litvinenko, or Maksim Kuzminov about that. Except you can't, because all of them were killed by Russian agents while outside of Russia (or Ukraine for that matter). You see, that's another flaw with "run away" - the Russians follow. They kill people years after they leave and they don't care about damage to innocent bystanders.
Not everyone wants to spend the rest of their lives looking over the shoulder or having to pick up and flee again and again.
Well, their two options are to slowly die fighting in Ukraine, or to die quickly someday with a quick ice-pick to the temple. Of course no one wants to be in that position. It's absolutely fucking disgusting that they are. But what is realistically the third option?
The difficulty of making such choices is why I prefer to leave the decision up to the individual(s) involved. Just because you would make one choice does not mean someone else would prefer your choice.
For all that many have fled Ukraine, many others have chosen to go and fight there, even some that have no connection to Ukraine. Free choice is kinda important to me for several reasons.
The Sisko wrote: ↑2024-02-20 09:41pm
If Ukraine somehow does turn this around and win at this point, what will be left? So many men are dead, millions have fled the country, what's not in Russian hands is being bombed to pieces.
That argument could have been made of much of Europe towards the end of WWII (with various other nations subbed in for "Russia") And yet people kept fighting. Based on history, people don't give up easily even if "logically" they should.
The Sisko wrote: ↑2024-02-20 09:41pmAs discussed by Elfdart earlier, at this point the only reason to keep it going is to scoop up the remainder for cheap and make Ukraine a western-owned entity completely.
They can either be completely owned by Russia or completely owned by the West, are those the choices they're being presented with? Wonder what the Ukrainians would prefer - does anyone even bother to ask them? I'd say based on their actions the past few years they prefer to be Western-owned than Russian owned (actually, they'd prefer to be self-owned, of course, but that may not be a fit with reality).
The Sisko wrote: ↑2024-02-20 09:41pmBroomstick wrote:Where are the remaining Ukrainians going to evacuate to? Which country on the map is willing to take in millions of people?
They're going to have to go
somewhere. The ones capable of fighting have already decided to GTFO of dodge, so this isn't even an academic question. If you don't count Russia then the current winners in the 'Who Can Take the Most Fighting Age Men From Ukraine' contest are Poland and Germany, respectively. They've already taken in a million or more people, each. (unsure what percentage is fighting age/conscription age men, but I'm sure it's not low, either). Poland's at 1.6 as of 2023
Yes Yes Yes, Wikipedia...
Just because Poland and Germany have already taken in a million or more each doesn't mean they have the ability to absorb more.
Among the many groups piling up along the Mexico-US border are a number of Ukrainian refugees who are going nowhere. Tolerance for migrants is dropping world-wide because there are just so damn many of them.
No, they actually
don't have to go "somewhere". Pre/during WWII numerous refugees attempted to flee Europe yet found no safe harbor and wound up dying. One of the more famous cases was the
M. S. St. Louis but it was far from the only one. The world is once again moving towards a situation where there are more refugees than welcome for them and people might once again die by the thousands in ships, in "camps", sometimes literally stack up against border fences.
Right now there are desperate people dying in improvised or shoddy boats in the Mediterranean Sea. Nobody seems to give a fuck. Never assume that groups fleeing conflict will be able to find a safe haven.
Being a descendant of refugees who
were lucky enough to find a place to survive I have pondered this problem from time to time. There are good reasons that a substantial number of people attempt to survive where they are, or chose to go down fighting, rather than flee elsewhere because, frankly, drowning at sea, the ship going down and people fighting to climb to the highest point for just those extra moments of life, really sucks. Or, in other circumstances, dying in a desert crossing in the Southwest of North America or parts of Africa, overheated and desperate for water you don't have, is pretty terrible, too. Or tearing your flesh on barbed wire marking national borders, or slicing your limbs open when trying to cross a river because you can't see the razor wire beneath the surface. Dying in the Darien Gap between North and South America, your corpse lost as it's churned in the mud by the passing feet of thousands of other desperate people also sucks. For women, having to "pay" for passage by being raped at every checkpoint and by every human smuggler and everyone else waiting to have a quick fuck and who cares about the effect on the dirty whore, right? She should be happy to get past this roadblock - If she doesn't enjoy it, too, she's just an ungrateful bitch with a bad attitude. [/sarcasm] I think that's what you don't quite get - death by a Russian gun or bomb might actually be quicker and more merciful than what a refugee could face.
I get the sense that you haven't studied this sort of history very closely. Which, if you're young and in school to obtain a degree or career training isn't entirely surprising, earlier schooling for children doesn't cover the really awful and dark parts of history. But you might want to look into what, historically, has happened to people attempting to flee war. Finding a safe haven is arguably the exception and not the rule.
The Sisko wrote: ↑2024-02-20 09:41pmI'm stupendously awful at math - my handlers have to count my Rubles. Is there even a way to calculate how much of the country is likely to flee after this is over?
There is a serious question of whether or not they'll be
able to flee. Based on actions in this current war the Russians seemed inclined to murder, torture, and transport Ukrainians they gain control of, and attempt to kill any trying to flee. Fleeing on foot or vehicle requires that surrounding nations allow them through borders, which is by no means guaranteed.
If you are trapped and
can't leave "go down fighting" is a choice a lot of people have made in the past.
The Sisko wrote: ↑2024-02-20 09:41pmBroomstick wrote:Capitulation? Are you serious?
Kapitulerin?! Gegen Bolschewismus?! DAS GEHT NICHT!
English please - board policy. I don't read German and here translation is on the person posting, not the reader.
The Sisko wrote: ↑2024-02-20 09:41pm
The irony of decrying war crimes while supporting a far-right government that venerates the Nazis, oh man. It's impossible to make up this shit.
Don't bring that straw-manning bullshit here - condemning the actions of one side does not mean the speaker is in any way in favor of the other side. It is entirely possible for all sides of a conflict to be reprehensible and disgusting.
War crimes are war crimes regardless of who is committing them and who is the victim.
As for your cites - what happened in Ukraine in WWII may or may not have any relevance to what's happening there now. Were/are there neo-Nazi types in Ukraine? Sure. They're every fucking where, every country you care to name has those scum. The US has had more than one official Nazi Party, in fact, we currently have two: The American Nazi Party and the New Order. The presence of such, or any organized, fascist, far right fuckhead thugs, does not mean that position is held by the entire nation, or everyone in that nation. For all that such human cockroaches (with apologies to actual cockroaches) were a factor in Ukraine before this war, Ukraine had also elected a man of Jewish background to be president and, when the war broke out, those same far-right fascist thugs fought ferociously for Ukraine under Zelenskyy's government. So... I really do discount Russian propaganda that Ukraine was full of rabid Nazis. It was a classic case of taking a nugget of information out of context (Ukraine, like any nation, has a certain number of fascist members) and blowing it way, way out of proportion for propaganda purposes.
You might as well argue that the US is a Nazi nation because a recent former governor of California is the son of a man who was a member of the actual Nazi party in Austria in WWII - it takes a fact out of context and completely ignores the subsequent decades of history and change, not to mention that the people currently running the show are NOT the same individuals who were in control in the 1940's.