Early exit polling Results

theski · Post by **theski** » 2004-02-03 04:26pm

AZ Kerry 46, Clark 24, Dean 13.
MO Kerry 52, Edwards 23, Dean 10
SC Edwards 44, Kerry 30, Sharpton 10
OK Edwards 31, Kerry 29, Clark 28
DE Kerry 47, Dean 14, Lieberman 11, Edwards 11

http://www.nationalreview.com/thecorner ... 24351[url]

Howedar · Post by **Howedar** » 2004-02-03 04:36pm

I voted Kerry today. I felt a little bit dirty, but I don't want that grabasstic piece of shit Clark to win AZ.

Master of Ossus · Post by **Master of Ossus** » 2004-02-03 04:38pm

Howedar wrote:I voted Kerry today. I felt a little bit dirty, but I don't want that grabasstic piece of shit Clark to win AZ.

Looks like you're getting your wish. Clark's losing badly.

Knife · Post by **Knife** » 2004-02-03 04:43pm

Hmm, unless things flip flop pretty drasticaly, this is the death blow for the Dean campaigne as well as Joe's and probably Al's. They'll probably keep going as long as they have some money just for the publicity and for the hope of having some delegates for the convention, but its going to be a sorry sight to see any of them say any thing remotely like they're still in it after this.

Clark, IMNSHO, was done last week.

Joe · Post by **Joe** » 2004-02-03 04:47pm

It looks like Kerry is going to be on the ticket. I have to give him credit, I thought he was out of the race in November.

Howedar · Post by **Howedar** » 2004-02-03 04:53pm

Yeah, I thought so too.

Master of Ossus wrote: Looks like you're getting your wish. Clark's losing badly.

Good.

Howedar · Post by **Howedar** » 2004-02-03 04:54pm

That was odd. Could a mod fix it please?

Grand Admiral Thrawn · Post by **Grand Admiral Thrawn** » 2004-02-03 05:12pm

Done.

Asst. Asst. Lt. Cmdr. Smi · Post by **Asst. Asst. Lt. Cmdr. Smi** » 2004-02-03 05:31pm

And to think, Dean was considered the undisputed frontrunner by many a few months ago. I say it's a race between Kerry and Edwards now.

Master of Ossus · Post by **Master of Ossus** » 2004-02-03 05:34pm

Knife wrote:Hmm, unless things flip flop pretty drasticaly, this is the death blow for the Dean campaigne as well as Joe's and probably Al's. They'll probably keep going as long as they have some money just for the publicity and for the hope of having some delegates for the convention, but its going to be a sorry sight to see any of them say any thing remotely like they're still in it after this.

Clark, IMNSHO, was done last week.

To be fair, Dean claimed that he was ignoring this round to focus on later rounds. If he can actually pull off a come-from-behind in the states he wanted, he'll be back in the race. I would also say that Sharpton has been out of it for a while. In fact, he's been out of it since before he started running, but Lieberman has just been knocked out today, since it's clear now that he lost the state he wanted to win, and that his message isn't being heard loudly enough to make a significant showing in the polls.

Joe · Post by **Joe** » 2004-02-03 05:36pm

I would argue that Edwards is the most electable, but he doesn't really communicate anti-Bush sentiment as well as Kerry does, and that seems to be something the Democratic base wants to get across.

Andrew J. · Post by **Andrew J.** » 2004-02-03 08:10pm

I predict a Kerry/Edwards ticket.

theski · Post by **theski** » 2004-02-03 08:16pm

Update..... As of 5:10 EST.....

AZ Kerry 46, Clark 24, Dean 13.
MO Kerry 52, Edwards 23, Dean 10
SC Edwards 44, Kerry 30, Sharpton 10
OK Edwards 31, Kerry 29, Clark 28
DE Kerry 47, Dean 14, Lieberman 11, Edwards 11

Its the battle of OK Edwards is stronger there then anyone thought...

Col. Crackpot · Post by **Col. Crackpot** » 2004-02-03 10:00pm

I think Edwards can pull off most of the South. Call it a little bit of southern rebellion against the Yankee Kerry. There is the potential of this being a battle for a while to come.

Master of Ossus · Post by **Master of Ossus** » 2004-02-03 10:31pm

Lieberman just withdrew. Apparently he didn't think his campaign could win if he didn't win Delaware, and he lost fairly miserably.

CelesKnight · Post by **CelesKnight** » 2004-02-03 10:32pm

Col. Crackpot wrote:I think Edwards can pull off most of the South. Call it a little bit of southern rebellion against the Yankee Kerry. There is the potential of this being a battle for a while to come.

That's my impression as well. Edwards is doing OK (not good but still in the race). Dean isn't doing well, but he doesn't appear to be leaving anytime soon. And I haven't heard anything about Clarke leaving.

Does anyone have any idea how fast these guy's are spending money? Each dollar that the Dems spend fighting each other is one less to spend against the Republicans.

Worlds Spanner · Post by **Worlds Spanner** » 2004-02-03 11:36pm

Kerry and Edwards will be on the ticket in some order.

Dean can *say* he's ignoring this round, but with only one *second* place finish and that with low numbers (14%) in a tiny state (DE) he's dead.

Cosmic Average · Post by **Cosmic Average** » 2004-02-03 11:44pm

Looks like Clark's in the lead in OK, by a slim margin.

Master of Ossus · Post by **Master of Ossus** » 2004-02-04 01:28am

Cosmic Average wrote:Looks like Clark's in the lead in OK, by a slim margin.

That's actually important. If Edwards wins OK, he'll be in MUCH better position moving into the next round. If he loses, then he and Clark will only be DISTANT challengers to Kerry and may even be out of the race.

Cosmic Average · Post by **Cosmic Average** » 2004-02-04 02:14am

Well, looks as if Clark won, getting 15 delegates. Edwardscame in second, winning 13 delegates, and Kerry won 12.

kojikun · Post by **kojikun** » 2004-02-04 02:47am

Anyoen check Clark's website? Neat idea to get people to vote for him in the various states..

INVADE A STATE!!! XD

Master of Ossus · Post by **Master of Ossus** » 2004-02-04 02:56am

kojikun wrote:Anyoen check Clark's website? Neat idea to get people to vote for him in the various states..

INVADE A STATE!!! XD

I would think that that phrasing would be horribly criticized by his supporters, but I guess I was wrong.

Knife · Post by **Knife** » 2004-02-04 03:44am

Master of Ossus wrote:
To be fair, Dean claimed that he was ignoring this round to focus on later rounds. If he can actually pull off a come-from-behind in the states he wanted, he'll be back in the race. I would also say that Sharpton has been out of it for a while. In fact, he's been out of it since before he started running, but Lieberman has just been knocked out today, since it's clear now that he lost the state he wanted to win, and that his message isn't being heard loudly enough to make a significant showing in the polls.

I don't know, for Dean to win, he'll have to win eventualy. His cash is going quick and I doubt he'll have much in the way of new funds flowing in. He can keep shifting the focus to the next round all he likes but its just starting to look sad.

Master of Ossus · Post by **Master of Ossus** » 2004-02-04 01:48pm

Knife wrote:I don't know, for Dean to win, he'll have to win eventualy. His cash is going quick and I doubt he'll have much in the way of new funds flowing in. He can keep shifting the focus to the next round all he likes but its just starting to look sad.

If he can't win Michigan and some other states in the next round he'll be out of it completely, since his new "all or nothing" strategy with those states will have been shown to be worthless. However, I think that he still has a chance of mounting a come-back IF he manages to win in the next round. If he loses then, he'll be totally out of the race and that'll be the end of that.