Coyote wrote:NATO won't back an armed intervention for a couple of reasons: while ostensibly to support the Turks, in the long run NATOs reason for going to war would be interpreted as "NATO going to war for the right to support Hamas" --Hamas, which is listed as a terrorist organization. People can split hairs by saying "no, we are supporting the Palestinian people, not Hamas." But like it or not, Hamas is the ruling authority there (elected by those people). There will be strong words and harsh language, and rounds of condemnation, and Israel probably faces serious sanctions.
The only reasonable szenario for armed conflict between Turkey and Israel would look something like that:
-Turkey sends warships to escort the next convoy. Less a matter of helping the Palestinans, more a matter of national pride. (new convoys and escorts are already planned).
-Israel doesn't let them trough and sends warships to intercept. The turkish fleet doesn't back up.
-Israel opens fire on turkish warships or ships under their escort. This would be a clear act of war against Turkey.
-Turkey demands that the NATO assists them against a foreign attack.
-Either the NATO intervenes or looks totally powerless while one of it's members is getting attacked. As Turkey is a valuabe ally in an important region, this would be a bad move.
Of course, that doesn't have to happen - but there is no other szenario that would result in an armed conflict.
People conveniently forget that Egypt was also enforcing this exact same blockade.
They didn't fire on foreighn citizens trying to help starving people.
Thus, no negative public perception.
-There's a gallows humor to the angle that people were trying to take supplies to Gaza because Israel is heavy-handed and forceful, and then they're all shocked and amazed that Israel lashes out in a heavy-handed and forceful manner; I mean, seriously, what did they really expect? To be greeted as liberators?
Um...Israel inspecting the ships and letting them supply Gaza with
food?
-For all the moral outrage about Irgun being a terrorist organization pretending to be a government, the truth is Hamas is pretty much the same.
Oh, shut up.
This isn't about Hamas, it isn't even that much about Gaza anymore.
This is about Israels armed forces (and their politics) being a loose gun incapable of backing up to anything and nearly shooting on sight.
They have done this for years, using a legitimate threat as excuse for starving civilians. Now they have done it to someone who is not a threat to them (a few soldiers do not really count).
The question is wether other nations will let Israel do that or not. And that's how the public seems to perceive it.
Lonestar wrote:Why not? The USCG(and USN vessels on CRACKPACs) stops vessels bound for the US all the time well off shore.
It doesn't produce international incidents. As long as no one complains, it doesn't matter.
Besides, it's a difference wether you just inspect them inside your trade zone or wether you enforce a blockade - different measurments and zones.
Israel would make the argument that The US did the same to ships bound for Japan in WW2(outright sinking them) and that Britain did the same through boarding of vessels during WW1.
Well of course they did! They were at war with another nation, remember?
The US did it during the ACW, and the UK accepted the precedent.
Well, the american civil was was quite a while ago. I don't know wether it's relevant or not - but again, times of war are different.