Bush pushes "Mini-Nuke" Development

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Post by Admiral Johnason »

Sea Skimmer wrote:
Admiral Johnason wrote:All I can say is that the Russians beat the US this time. They had 50 suitcase nukes in this country before the end of the Cold War, but they weren't really powerful.
Got any proof of that bit of bull?
I remember hearing about the "Suitcase Nuke" on several documenteries. The CIA's website should have something on it.
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Post by Nova Andromeda »

--In my opinion, the U.S. has lost the long term struggle with its recent change in policy. It is now clear that only having nukes and a real deterant to the U.S. will save you. In addition, the U.S. is giving every other nation extra excuses to develop its WMD tech. to counter the U.S. moves. The U.S. will find it much harder to dominate the rest of the world when they cannot bully everyone else.
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Post by phongn »

Nova Andromeda wrote:--In my opinion, the U.S. has lost the long term struggle with its recent change in policy. It is now clear that only having nukes and a real deterant to the U.S. will save you. In addition, the U.S. is giving every other nation extra excuses to develop its WMD tech. to counter the U.S. moves. The U.S. will find it much harder to dominate the rest of the world when they cannot bully everyone else.
I was not aware that we bullied other nations via nuclear threat.
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Post by phongn »

Admiral Johnason wrote:I remember hearing about the "Suitcase Nuke" on several documenteries. The CIA's website should have something on it.
There's a large leap from "hearing about the 'Suitcase Nuke' on several documentaries" and claiming that there were fifty 'suitcase nukes' inside CONUS.
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Post by Grand Admiral Thrawn »

Admiral Johnason wrote:All I can say is that the Russians beat the US this time. They had 50 suitcase nukes in this country before the end of the Cold War, but they weren't really powerful.
Sure. And a few hundred nukes were lost and are now in the hands of terrorists. Along with a submarine.
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Post by HemlockGrey »

Yep. The Russians controlled reality back then. You see, they called it the Matrix...
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Post by Natorgator »

phongn wrote:
Nova Andromeda wrote:--In my opinion, the U.S. has lost the long term struggle with its recent change in policy. It is now clear that only having nukes and a real deterant to the U.S. will save you. In addition, the U.S. is giving every other nation extra excuses to develop its WMD tech. to counter the U.S. moves. The U.S. will find it much harder to dominate the rest of the world when they cannot bully everyone else.
I was not aware that we bullied other nations via nuclear threat.
I think he meant that we can't bully nations like North Korea since they have nukes/the capabilities to develop them, whereas we were able to do whatever we wanted to Iraq before we invaded.
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Post by Exonerate »

IIRC, it was 48 suitcase nukes, each with a yield of less than 1kt.

It was on Nova too, which was presumably the same source Johnason got his.

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Post by phongn »

I smell BS here, regardless of if it was on NOVA or the History Channel (of which the latter is hardly known for their accuracy). Something smells fishy.
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Post by SirNitram »

I fully foresee America continuing it's flipflop of test ban treaties until they can make antimatter cheaply and safely enough for a bomb. Then they'll go 'sure, no more nukes' and build the next worst thing.

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Post by Sea Skimmer »

SirNitram wrote:I fully foresee America continuing it's flipflop of test ban treaties until they can make antimatter cheaply and safely enough for a bomb. Then they'll go 'sure, no more nukes' and build the next worst thing.

Logic and morality hath no sway over politics.
That’s right, much better to use the current 9-megaton option then develop something a few thousandths as large and use that. :roll:
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Post by phongn »

Sea Skimmer wrote:
SirNitram wrote:I fully foresee America continuing it's flipflop of test ban treaties until they can make antimatter cheaply and safely enough for a bomb. Then they'll go 'sure, no more nukes' and build the next worst thing.
That’s right, much better to use the current 9-megaton option then develop something a few thousandths as large and use that. :roll:
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Post by Pendragon »

Sea Skimmer wrote:
SirNitram wrote:I fully foresee America continuing it's flipflop of test ban treaties until they can make antimatter cheaply and safely enough for a bomb. Then they'll go 'sure, no more nukes' and build the next worst thing.

Logic and morality hath no sway over politics.
That’s right, much better to use the current 9-megaton option then develop something a few thousandths as large and use that. :roll:
Well call me a peacemongering commiebastard, butcouldnt you just refrain from using any nukes? Is there actually some kind of crisis brewing you cant deal with using conventional weapons?
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Post by Sea Skimmer »

Pendragon wrote:
Well call me a peacemongering commiebastard, butcouldnt you just refrain from using any nukes? Is there actually some kind of crisis brewing you cant deal with using conventional weapons?
If you bomb a biochemical stockpile with a conventional bomb you run a risk of the agent being released. The fireball of a nuclear blast does a quite good job of incinerating the threat. The current solutions to this problem don't work very well, especially if the agents are inside of a bunker. Small nuclear earth penatraitor are also wanted for killing other forms of bunkers. Building a structure that can repel even the 4000 pound GBU-28 is quite possibul and a number exist.
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Post by SirNitram »

Sea Skimmer wrote:
SirNitram wrote:I fully foresee America continuing it's flipflop of test ban treaties until they can make antimatter cheaply and safely enough for a bomb. Then they'll go 'sure, no more nukes' and build the next worst thing.

Logic and morality hath no sway over politics.
That’s right, much better to use the current 9-megaton option then develop something a few thousandths as large and use that. :roll:
You did read the last line, right? Someone will undoutably want to try it, because this is Politics. No amount of logic can sway people here, not when they can perceive an idea.
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Post by Illuminatus Primus »

Pendragon wrote:Well call me a peacemongering commiebastard, butcouldnt you just refrain from using any nukes? Is there actually some kind of crisis brewing you cant deal with using conventional weapons?

The only real objective problem with nukes this size and application is that political asshats will play the name game and because it says "nuclear" they'll use it as an excuse to make 10 MT city-busters. :roll:
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Post by Vympel »

Grand Admiral Thrawn wrote:
Sure. And a few hundred nukes were lost and are now in the hands of terrorists. Along with a submarine.
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Post by MKSheppard »

Vympel wrote: Someone's been reading too much Tom Clancy 8)
No, too much Richard Marcinko. Supposedly, according to him, the USN
is missing at least one 80 foot long minisub or something,...
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Post by Vercingetorix »

Thre real problem with tactical nukes is that using them does serious damage to the strong anti-nuclear norms that currently exist. There is currently such a strong prejudice against use of nuclear weapons that nobody who currently posesses them is willing to use them offensively. Both nations that have them legitimately and those that have them illegitimately know that massive international stigmatization and isolation would result if nukes were ever used in any form, or proliferated to groups, such as terrorist organizations, who might use them. However, if the global superpower started using nukes, some of the prejudice against their use would inevitably disappear, and other nations might increasingly view it as acceptable to use nukes for their own purposes. It would be very dangerous to encourage that sort of attitude.
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Post by Sea Skimmer »

Vercingetorix wrote:Thre real problem with tactical nukes is that using them does serious damage to the strong anti-nuclear norms that currently exist. There is currently such a strong prejudice against use of nuclear weapons that nobody who currently posesses them is willing to use them offensively. Both nations that have them legitimately and those that have them illegitimately know that massive international stigmatization and isolation would result if nukes were ever used in any form, or proliferated to groups, such as terrorist organizations, who might use them. However, if the global superpower started using nukes, some of the prejudice against their use would inevitably disappear, and other nations might increasingly view it as acceptable to use nukes for their own purposes. It would be very dangerous to encourage that sort of attitude.
True. However deterrence requires that the threat remain credible, even if it's unlikely to ever be used. If tinpot dictator #6 knows we can blow up his ultimate bunkers with the anthrax missiles he will be a bit less likely to threaten there use then if those bunkers are unassailable.
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Post by Vercingetorix »

Unfortunately, the Bush administration has proven that the U.S. does not need tactical nukes to intimidate "tinpot dictators". We have shown ourselves willing to overthrow a regim that by the admission of our own intelligence agency, represents no clear threat to American lives, and as it turns out, may not have had any WMD's to begin with. In light of these facts, it seems a bit ridiculous to claim that tinpot dictator #6 is going to go around threatening anthrax attacks just because we don't have tactical nukes. The U.S. has far and away the most powerful conventional military on the planet, and to claim that it isn't sufficiently intimidating already is a bit silly.
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Post by Sea Skimmer »

It is not a matter of intimidation, that simply doesn’t work on many people and powers, it is a matter of military effectiveness which. A giant unitary or incendiary bomb is not viable against very large bunkers and biochemical stockpiles.
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Post by phongn »

Illuminatus Primus wrote:
Pendragon wrote:Well call me a peacemongering commiebastard, butcouldnt you just refrain from using any nukes? Is there actually some kind of crisis brewing you cant deal with using conventional weapons?
The only real objective problem with nukes this size and application is that political asshats will play the name game and because it says "nuclear" they'll use it as an excuse to make 10 MT city-busters. :roll:
How about no. Counter-population strikes would involve sizable numbers of warheads in the hundred-kiloton range, not giant multi-megaton nukes which were reserved for killing hard targets.
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Post by Illuminatus Primus »

phongn wrote:How about no. Counter-population strikes would involve sizable numbers of warheads in the hundred-kiloton range, not giant multi-megaton nukes which were reserved for killing hard targets.
Hyperbole, friend.

I know the days of the high-end MT superbombs was already ending in the 1960s.

Average warhead now is what? 300 KT?
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Post by phongn »

Illuminatus Primus wrote:I know the days of the high-end MT superbombs was already ending in the 1960s.

Average warhead now is what? 300 KT?
IIRC, Minuteman III has a 300kT warhead.
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