Eternal_Freedom wrote:
And as I said, that hasn't been true since the Age of Sail. Even once anti-ship missiles appeared, gettign in close wasn't an advantage, because your opponent would have been firing at you all the way in.
No, getting in close is very important now with missiles because with systems like Aegis if it sees you at any range other than point blank it kills you. Thats why sea skimming to use the horizon to the max is what they do. Granted the shooter itself is happy to be further away, but missiles themselves are fundamentally different than direct fire guns or turbo laser for that matter as they are vehicles in and of themselves with waypoints, homing, retargeting and everything else.
Both of us are being two simplistic here. My comment regarding decreasing range was really only taking into account the assumed increace in accurate fire, while you are assuming everything regarding ballistic gunnery is about plunging shot without taking accuracy of fire or what you are actually shooting at into account.
As I think you agree too in space warfare and SW specifically the plunging shot comparison is not relevant, and a decrease in range will increase fire effectiveness measured by ability to put shots on target until you get into masking situations, I think we can stop beating this horse.
It will apply in Star Wars though, not because of any stuff about turbolaser bolts losing power, but simply because it is easier to aim at point-blank range. No jamming or ECM can stop you if you can aim the damn gun by eye. And from a physics standpoint, getting in close and staying there means they've matched the Imperials' course and speed exactly, to escape they'd need a lot of extra velocity.
We know this is not the case because from Ackbar's viewports we see SD's and Star Cruisers moving in opposite directions amoungst each other. There is the famouse broadside trading shots between an ISD and a Rebel frigate where they are going opposite directions. If I had to guess the SDs were not stupid and knew what the Rebels were doing (regarding hiding amongst them) and with specific orders to not engage the Rebels directly the Imperails were probably trying to get out of the way.
In fact given they say the DS was operational and attacking with their own eyes you wouldn't have to be a very cynical Imperial ship commander to come to the conclusion that the DS might just shoot through its own fleet to get at the Rebels anyway so getting out the firing line was probably on their mind. I am pretty sure Lando expected that too, because when he says "maybe we will take a few of them with us" I originally assumed he was directy refereing to the DS blowing up Imperials ships in the process of getting the Rebels. But maybe he was talking about the Rebel fleet taking down a few ISDs itself.
Also, your comments about risk prove that Ackbar thought he could prevail against Death Squadron. He risks losing all or part of his fleet to destroy the DSII. He would not run that risk if he knew he absolutely couldn't win the fight. He wouldn't take the risk if the odds were zero.
You are ignoring Lando and Ackbar's conversation. This was very much Ackbar's first assessment, that with the shield still up and now ALSO an operationa DS there was no hope of victory so why waste his fleet needlessly (note that is different from that fleet being relevant in universe with a fully completed DSII). Lando convinces him that even with the seemingly impossible odds it was STILL worth it to stick around on even the faintest hope of a chance at the DSII that they would likely never get again. Ackbar obviously agrees because he follows Lando's reasoning with action.
You might think Ackbar and Lando were stupid for doing that based on literally no feedback from the Endor strike team. I would agree. But thats the decision they made.
And your remarks about whether it was even possible for Ackbar to retreat are irrelevant. We have to go with what we see on screen, and Ackbar recgonizes the trap and moves out to engage nevertheless, because he thinks he can defeat or hold off Death Squadron for a sufficient length of time. Again, he clearly thinks the odds are better than zero. It's only whent he Death Star is added tot he mix that he says "fuck it, it's not worth the risk."
That is literally the exact opposite of what we see on screen. Ackbar directly tells us, straight up and without any ambiguity, that he will not only lose but lose quickly realtive to whatever a normal fleet engagement timeframe is.
Again, defeating Death Squadron and holding Death Squadron off long enough to make a starfighter attack on the DS are two different things. The second is the primary goal of the entire opperation and supporting that, NOT defeating present Imperail fleet units, is the stated purpose of the Rebel fleet from the briefing scene.
Also Ackbar does NOT engage the Star Destroyers initally. They are reported to him, he notes where they are and that it constitutes a trap, and then we see nothing bit Imperial starfighters engage him. ADM Piett tells us specifically they are NOT going to attack Ackbar. Again, from the briefing, we know the fleets only mission was to form a peremiter to protect the starfighters attacking the DS. Ackbar is between the DS and the Imperial fleet, but the Imperial fleet isn't closing with or attacking him. The fact that he is in a trap and can't escape himself is irrelevant to his fleets mission as long as his stike in the DS can still take place which at this point is only impeded by intact shield.
Ackbar only attacks the ISDs when confronted with the operational Death Star, and then only does because between the ISDs and the DSII he will last longer agains the ISDs (as Lando directly states). Picking the lesser of two evils says nothing about surviving against either.
Eternal_Freedom wrote:Except that even if the DSII is dsetroyed and Palpatine and Vader killed, the Empire isn't instantly defeated. Hell, if we look at the EU, it took fifteen-odd years for the Rebels and the Imperials to finally make peace, and even then the Empire still existed.
If the Rebel fleet is annihilated, then the Empire wil ultimately prevail in a new form with a new leader, because all of the Rebel's senior leadership will be gone (Ackbar, Luke, Leia, Han, Lando for certain, Mon Mothmas most likely as well, plus Madine and others) and it's main means of fighting back is gone.
I seriously doubt Ackbar is willing to sacrifice absolutely everything on something that will not for certain destroy the Empire and restore the Republic. That last part is equally important as destroying the Empire. With no prospective Republic leaders left, the Empire will not be destroyed.
Except the Empire bouncing back, picking a new leader, and chugging along just fine is not what happened is it? The collapse of the Empire post Endor had little if anything to do with the whatever Rebel fleet survived that battle in the actual time line. The leadership of the Empire itself was a labyrinthine house of cards tied directly to and inseparable from the Emperor himself and without his influence collapsed into squabbling between all the stupid villains we were forced to endure through dozens of EU novels. In fact the EU novels rarely tell us exactly what happened to cause the fracture of the Empire or the loss of its fleet but there is no mention of the Rebels doing it. They capitalize on this fracture after the fact picking off feuding warlords and splinter factions. And you know what? I truly believe people like Mon Mothma and Organa who had served decades in the Empire and Republic before and being the experienced and astute politicians and power brokers we see knew something like that would happen if they removed the Emperor. It was certainly the case with many real world dictator states.
Now would taking on all those factions or even an Empire that recovered have been harder to do if there was no surviving Rebel fleet after an Endor victory? Sure. But would that be preferable to a fully functioning Rebel fleet but also a surviving Emperor and Vader, and a fully functional and as described to us by the Rebels themselves invincible planet busting battle moon serving the stable rampaging Empire we see in TESB and RTJ? Absolutely. In the second situation does the presence of a rebel fleet with a tonnage of 1% of the DS really matter? Nope. That’s why you get an all or nothing attack on the DS II when a chance, however small, existed to change that calculus.